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Daisuke Kimori
Mito Hollyhock
Machida Zelvia
Mito Hollyhock
4-4-2 · 3-4-2-1
Machida Zelvia
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
233621 EUR · live
Away
100.0 · implied 1.0%
66.0%
+65.0 vs price
Draw
1.03 · implied 97.1%
20.5%
-76.6 vs price
Home
60.0 · implied 1.7%
13.5%
+11.8 vs price
Half time
1301 EUR · live
Away
3.4 · implied 29.4%
65.8%
+36.4 vs price
Draw
1.82 · implied 54.9%
17.1%
-37.9 vs price
Home
6.6 · implied 15.2%
17.0%
+1.8 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
117839 EUR · live
Under
1.03 · implied 97.1%
72.4%
-24.7 vs price
Over
27.0 · implied 3.7%
27.6%
+23.9 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
2727 EUR · live
Under
1.02 · implied 98.0%
85.4%
-12.6 vs price
Over
40.0 · implied 2.5%
14.6%
+12.1 vs price
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
27'
⚽
A. Watanabe1–0
33'
⚽
Y. Soma1–1
Half-time · 1–1
46'
🔁
T. Nishimura ◂ M. Duke
75'
🔁
C. Kato ◂ A. Watanabe
82'
🔁
K. Ogawa ◂ T. Yengi
82'
🔁
H. Shimoda ◂ N. Lavi
83'
🔁
R. Nemoto ◂ K. Uchino
88'
🔁
Y. Matsuo ◂ I. Drešević
Full-time · 1–1
90'
🔁
S. Yamashita ◂ Y. Torikai
90'
🔁
P. Ferreira ◂ K. Taniguchi
90'
🔁
H. Yamamoto ◂ Y. Funabashi
90'+5
K. Ogawa · Foul
Coaches
Daisuke KimoriGo Kuroda 
Recent form
Mito HollyhockLHKyoto Sangyo University0-2
WAKyoto Sanga FC3-1
DHGamba Osaka1-1
LAKashiwa Reysol1-2
LHV-Varen Nagasaki0-1
Machida ZelviaWHIwate Grulla Morioka3-0
WHUrawa Red Diamonds3-1
WAJEF United Chiba4-0
WAFC Tokyo5-1
WHFujieda MYFC2-1
Match facts
Stadium
Mito Shinkin Bank Stadium
City
Ibaraki
Kickoff
29 Aug, 09:00 UTC
Competition
J1 League
Highlights & clips
Mito Hollyhock
4-4-2 · 3-4-2-1
Machida Zelvia
34
K. Nishikawa
7.3
25
T. Mase
7.0
15
Y. Kimoto
6.9
17
K. Itakura
7.0
7
S. Omori
7.0
39
H. Yamamoto
↑ 90'
19
T. Semba
6.9
53
S. Yamashita
↑ 90'
33
P. Ferreira
↑ 90'
9
R. Nemoto
6.5
↑ 83'
8
C. Kato
6.6
↑ 75'
1
K. Tani
7.1
3
G. Shoji
7.1
50
D. Okamura
7.0
14
Y. Matsuo
6.8
↑ 88'
88
H. Nakamura
6.6
16
H. Mae
6.6
18
H. Shimoda
6.8
↑ 82'
33
T. Akimoto
6.6
20
T. Nishimura
6.7
↑ 46'
7
Y. Soma
8.6
9
K. Ogawa
6.2
↑ 82'
Substitutes
21GS. Matsubara
16DY. Tamura
50DR. Ieizumi
4DA. Kawazura
11MY. Torikai↓ 90'6.3
22MK. Taniguchi↓ 90'6.3
20MY. Funabashi↓ 90'6.2
10FA. Watanabe↓ 75'7.1
18FK. Uchino↓ 83'5.9
Coach: Daisuke Kimori
Substitutes
13GT. Morita
5DI. Drešević↓ 88'6.6
4DR. Kikuchi
6DH. H. Mochizuki
31MN. Lavi↓ 82'6.7
23MR. Shirasaki
8MK. Sento
99FT. Yengi↓ 82'6.9
15FM. Duke↓ 46'6.8
Coach: Go Kuroda
Top stats
39%Possession61%
1.83Expected goals (xG)2.97
14Total shots18
4Shots on target3
2Big chances5
3Corners2
Shots
7Shots off target7
3Blocked shots8
11Shots inside box12
3Shots outside box6
0Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored0
1Big chances missed5
Attack
17Touches in box34
50Final third entries86
5Offsides1
9Free kicks13
0Fouled in final third3
Passing
371Passes573
283Accurate passes482
25/77 (32%)Long balls27/68 (40%)
4/12 (33%)Crosses8/31 (26%)
13Throw-ins20
Duels
43Duels57
19/47 (40%)Ground duels28/47 (60%)
18/39 (46%)Aerial duels21/39 (54%)
5/9 (56%)Dribbles3/5 (60%)
9Dispossessed5
Defending
7Tackles13
57Tackles won38
6Interceptions12
27Clearances10
54Recoveries52
Discipline
13Fouls9
0Yellow cards1
Goalkeeping
2Saves3
9Goal kicks5
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
Who winsMachida to win (DNB) 75% · 1.38 @ 10bet
1X2Machida to win 50% · 2.40 @ Bet365
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 75% · 1.27 @ Unibet
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 58% · 1.11 @ William Hill
CornersUnder 8.5 corners 51% · 1.90 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 63% · 1.55 @ Pinnacle
BTTSBTTS: No 53% · 1.22 @ Bet365
1X2Draw 28% · 2.33 @ Unibet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 73% · 1.22 @ Pinnacle
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 68% · 2.50 @ William Hill
1X2Mito to win 22% · 4.60 @ William Hill
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
4.40
Mito Hollyhock
3.40
Draw
1.83
Machida Zelvia
Double Chanceconsensus
1.85
Mito Hollyhock or Draw
1.30
Mito Hollyhock or Machida Zelvia
1.20
Draw or Machida Zelvia
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.93
Yes
1.79
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
6.12
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
2.94
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.05
Over 0.50
7.50
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.42
Over 1.50
2.67
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.32
Over 2.50
1.60
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
4.45
Over 3.50
1.19
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
9.00
Over 4.50
1.04
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
2.88
Mito Hollyhock
1.37
Machida Zelvia
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.49
Over 7.50
2.35
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.88
Over 8.50
1.88
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
2.33
Over 9.50
1.48
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
3.06
Over 10.50
1.27
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
4.23
Over 11.50
1.13
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
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