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Mihailo Petrovic
Nagoya Grampus
Fagiano Okayama
Nagoya Grampus
3-4-2-1 · 3-4-2-1
Fagiano Okayama
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
89215 EUR · live
Draw
18.0 · implied 5.6%
60.4%
+54.8 vs price
Home
1.04 · implied 96.2%
24.9%
-71.3 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
14.9%
+14.8 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
78340 EUR · live
Under
1.26 · implied 79.4%
77.9%
-1.5 vs price
Over
4.9 · implied 20.4%
22.1%
+1.7 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
1745 EUR · live
Under
1.02 · implied 98.0%
80.1%
-17.9 vs price
Over
30.0 · implied 3.3%
19.8%
+16.5 vs price
7 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
38'
⚽
Y. Suzuki · assist Lucao0–1
40'
VAR
Penalty check · R. Izumi
43'
⚽
S. Inagaki (pen)1–1
Half-time · 1–1
60'
S. Na · Foul
62'
🔁
L. Gaúcho ◂ S. Na
66'
Y. Asano · Foul
67'
Y. Yamagishi · Foul
70'
L. Gaúcho · Foul
70'
🔁
Y. Sato ◂ Y. Nogami
76'
🔁
Y. Kamiya ◂ A. Esaka
76'
🔁
K. Kawano ◂ Lucao
83'
🔁
H. Koda ◂ Y. Yamagishi
83'
🔁
I. Shu ◂ Y. Suzuki
83'
🔁
N. Browne ◂ T. Yamane
83'
🔁
K. Nagai ◂ R. Izumi
86'
E. Miyamoto · Foul
Full-time · 2–1
90'+1
⚽
K. Nakayama2–1
Coaches
Mihailo PetrovicTakashi Kiyama 
Recent form
Nagoya GrampusLHGainare Tottori1-3
WHGamba Osaka3-1
LAKashima Antlers1-2
LHShimizu S-Pulse0-1
LAHokkaido Consadole Sapporo0-1
Fagiano OkayamaWHBelugarosso Iwami3-0
DHTokyo Verdy0-0
WHV-Varen Nagasaki1-0
LACerezo Osaka1-2
LAFC Schalke 041-3
Where to watch
DAZN
Match facts
Stadium
Toyota Stadium
City
Toyota
Kickoff
29 Aug, 10:00 UTC
Competition
J1 League
Highlights & clips
Nagoya Grampus
3-4-2-1 · 3-4-2-1
Fagiano Okayama
35
A. Pisano
6.6
3
Y. Sato
7.3
↑ 70'
13
H. Fujii
6.7
55
S. Tokumoto
7.3
9
Y. Asano
6.5
15
S. Inagaki
7.3
31
T. Takamine
6.4
27
K. Nakayama
7.4
19
H. Koda
6.6
↑ 83'
22
Y. Kimura
6.4
18
K. Nagai
6.7
↑ 83'
1
L. Moser
6.4
6
H. Omori
6.1
48
Y. Tatsuta
6.3
79
N. Browne
6.4
↑ 83'
51
K. Shirai
6.5
41
E. Miyamoto
6.1
80
O. Alionço
7.4
5
I. Shu
6.3
↑ 83'
9
L. Gaúcho
6.2
↑ 62'
33
Y. Kamiya
6.4
↑ 76'
20
K. Kawano
6.4
↑ 76'
Substitutes
16GY. Takeda
2DY. Nogami↓ 70'6.9
37DH. Kubo
30MS. Sugiura
41MM. Ono
33MT. Kikuchi
58MT. Koyamatsu
7FR. Izumi↓ 83'6.9
11FY. Yamagishi↓ 83'6.3
Coach: Mihailo Petrovic
Substitutes
13GS. Matsuda
43DY. Suzuki↓ 83'7.9
18DD. Tagami
88MT. Yamane↓ 83'6.6
24MI. Fujita
26MH. Motoyama
10FS. Na↓ 62'6.8
99FLucao↓ 76'6.7
8FA. Esaka↓ 76'6.5
Coach: Takashi Kiyama
Top stats
65%Possession35%
2.79Expected goals (xG)1.33
15Total shots15
4Shots on target2
2Big chances1
6Corners9
Shots
5Shots off target7
6Blocked shots6
13Shots inside box8
2Shots outside box7
0Hit woodwork0
2Big chances scored0
0Big chances missed1
Attack
33Touches in box23
57Final third entries56
1Offsides0
16Free kicks10
3Fouled in final third1
Passing
485Passes260
391Accurate passes187
19/65 (29%)Long balls15/48 (31%)
11/25 (44%)Crosses4/15 (27%)
19Throw-ins23
Duels
52Duels48
34/58 (59%)Ground duels24/58 (41%)
13/33 (39%)Aerial duels20/33 (61%)
5/15 (33%)Dribbles2/9 (22%)
3Dispossessed6
Defending
13Tackles13
62Tackles won62
1Interceptions7
20Clearances26
32Recoveries34
Discipline
10Fouls17
2Yellow cards3
Goalkeeping
1Saves2
11Goal kicks8
1Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 52% · 1.17 @ William Hill
1X2Draw 28% · 2.40 @ 1xBet
1X2Okayama to win 34% · 3.20 @ Unibet
BTTSBoth teams to score 55% · 3.55 @ 10bet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 59% · 1.41 @ 1xBet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 65% · 1.74 @ Unibet
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 53% · 2.16 @ Unibet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 70% · 1.31 @ Pinnacle
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 72% · 2.28 @ Unibet
Who winsNagoya to win (DNB) 52% · 1.82 @ Betsson
1X2Nagoya to win 38% · 2.90 @ William Hill
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.50
Nagoya Grampus
3.30
Draw
2.73
Fagiano Okayama
Double Chanceconsensus
1.40
Nagoya Grampus or Draw
1.30
Nagoya Grampus or Fagiano Okayama
1.50
Draw or Fagiano Okayama
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.68
Yes
2.05
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
4.20
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
4.62
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50
9.38
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.31
Over 1.50
3.24
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.02
Over 2.50
1.79
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.54
Over 3.50
1.25
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
7.35
Over 4.50
1.07
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.78
Nagoya Grampus
1.95
Fagiano Okayama
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.19
Over 7.50
3.60
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.37
Over 8.50
2.69
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.72
Over 9.50
2.00
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.15
Over 10.50
1.62
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.58
Over 11.50
1.40
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
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