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Takayuki Yoshida
Shimizu S-Pulse
Kashiwa Reysol
Shimizu S-Pulse
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1
Kashiwa Reysol
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
146465 EUR · live
Away
1.02 · implied 98.0%
84.7%
-13.4 vs price
Draw
27.0 · implied 3.7%
8.1%
+4.3 vs price
Home
150.0 · implied 0.7%
7.3%
+6.6 vs price
Half time
995 EUR · live
Draw
1.07 · implied 93.5%
56.2%
-37.3 vs price
Home
23.0 · implied 4.3%
31.5%
+27.1 vs price
Away
14.5 · implied 6.9%
12.2%
+5.3 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
79513 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
89.2%
-9.8 vs price
Over
36.0 · implied 2.8%
11.1%
+8.3 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
6215 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
95.7%
-3.3 vs price
Over
120.0 · implied 0.8%
4.3%
+3.5 vs price
12 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
Half-time · 0–0
46'
🔁
Y. Segawa ◂ Y. Kakita
57'
🔁
M. Hosoya ◂ H. Yamauchi
65'
🔁
J. R. Sumiyoshi ◂ Y. Honda
66'
🔁
K. Kosuke ◂ Y. Tsuji
70'
🔁
K. Yuruki ◂ Y. Koizumi
70'
🔁
K. Yuba ◂ K. Endo
71'
⚽
J. R. Sumiyoshi0–1
75'
🔁
Capixaba ◂ T. Fujii
82'
🔁
K. Koizumi ◂ M. Yumiba
82'
🔁
S. Takagi ◂ Y. Yoshida
Full-time · 0–1
90'+1
🔁
S. Baba ◂ T. Kubo
Coaches
Takayuki YoshidaRicardo Rodriguez 
Recent form
Shimizu S-PulseWHFC Osaka2-1
LACerezo Osaka0-1
WHShonan Bellmare1-0
LHYokohama F. Marinos0-1
WANagoya Grampus1-0
Kashiwa ReysolWHSenshu University2-1
WHV-Varen Nagasaki4-2
WATokyo Verdy3-1
WHMito Hollyhock2-1
DAJEF United Chiba0-0
Match facts
Stadium
IAI Stadium Nihondaira
City
Shizuoka
Kickoff
29 Aug, 09:30 UTC
Competition
J1 League
Highlights & clips
Shimizu S-Pulse
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1
Kashiwa Reysol
16
T. Umeda
7.2
24
H. Sugai
7.4
14
S. Park
6.4
51
J. R. Sumiyoshi
6.5
↑ 65'
70
S. Takagi
6.7
↑ 82'
47
Y. Shimamoto
7.2
37
K. Koizumi
6.6
↑ 82'
19
K. Kosuke
6.4
↑ 66'
13
R. Germain
5.9
7
Capixaba
6.4
↑ 75'
9
O. Se-Hun
7.1
25
R. Kojima
6.8
42
W. Harada
7.3
4
T. Koga
7.5
26
D. Sugioka
6.9
88
S. Baba
↑ 90'
27
K. Kumasaka
7.0
39
N. Nakagawa
6.9
44
K. Yuba
6.7
↑ 70'
16
K. Yuruki
6.4
↑ 70'
9
M. Hosoya
6.6
↑ 57'
20
Y. Segawa
6.2
↑ 46'
Substitutes
1GY. Oki
15DY. Honda↓ 65'7.8
28DY. Yoshida↓ 82'7.1
3DY. Takahashi
50MT. Fujii↓ 75'6.8
17MM. Yumiba↓ 82'6.8
38MY. Tsuji↓ 66'6.7
21MK. Matsuzaki
81MK. Kozuka
Coach: Takayuki Yoshida
Substitutes
77GT. Wakahara
2DH. Mitsumaru
24MT. Kubo↓ 90'7.3
5MK. Endo↓ 70'6.7
19MH. Nakama
40MR. Harakawa
8FY. Koizumi↓ 70'7.4
87FH. Yamauchi↓ 57'6.8
18FY. Kakita↓ 46'6.7
Coach: Ricardo Rodriguez
Top stats
38%Possession62%
0.66Expected goals (xG)1.49
6Total shots17
0Shots on target3
1Big chances2
3Corners6
Shots
4Shots off target7
2Blocked shots7
5Shots inside box10
1Shots outside box7
0Hit woodwork2
1Big chances missed2
Attack
10Touches in box32
75Final third entries50
1Offsides0
9Free kicks9
0Fouled in final third3
Passing
359Passes598
284Accurate passes519
29/57 (51%)Long balls27/57 (47%)
2/20 (10%)Crosses4/14 (29%)
16Throw-ins26
Duels
51Duels49
27/53 (51%)Ground duels26/53 (49%)
15/29 (52%)Aerial duels14/29 (48%)
4/9 (44%)Dribbles6/14 (43%)
8Dispossessed7
Defending
15Tackles13
47Tackles won69
11Interceptions5
18Clearances29
46Recoveries43
Discipline
9Fouls9
Goalkeeping
3Saves0
1Big saves0
8Goal kicks4
0Punches3
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
Who winsKashiwa to win (DNB) 64% · 1.41 @ Novibet
1X2Kashiwa to win 46% · 2.50 @ 10bet
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 52% · 1.15 @ William Hill
1X2Draw 28% · 2.48 @ Unibet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 58% · 1.50 @ Pinnacle
BTTSBoth teams to score 52% · 3.50 @ Bet365
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 66% · 1.58 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 54% · 2.05 @ 10bet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 70% · 1.30 @ Pinnacle
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 72% · 2.21 @ 1xBet
1X2Shimizu to win 26% · 3.80 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
3.62
Shimizu S-Pulse
3.40
Draw
2.00
Kashiwa Reysol
Double Chanceconsensus
1.73
Shimizu S-Pulse or Draw
1.29
Shimizu S-Pulse or Kashiwa Reysol
1.29
Draw or Kashiwa Reysol
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.82
Yes
1.90
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
5.75
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
3.50
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50
8.97
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.31
Over 1.50
3.23
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.04
Over 2.50
1.75
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.52
Over 3.50
1.27
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
7.25
Over 4.50
1.08
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
2.85
Shimizu S-Pulse
1.38
Kashiwa Reysol
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.24
Over 7.50
3.21
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.45
Over 8.50
2.44
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.78
Over 9.50
1.94
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.23
Over 10.50
1.54
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.87
Over 11.50
1.33
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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