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Hiroshi Jofuku
Tokyo Verdy
Kashima Antlers
Tokyo Verdy
3-4-2-1 · 4-4-2
Kashima Antlers
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
97759 EUR · live
Away
1.01 · implied 99.0%
83.0%
-16.1 vs price
Home
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
9.2%
+9.1 vs price
Draw
950.0 · implied 0.1%
7.8%
+7.7 vs price
Half time
459 EUR · live
Away
3.7 · implied 27.0%
45.3%
+18.3 vs price
Home
5.8 · implied 17.2%
39.2%
+22.0 vs price
Draw
1.68 · implied 59.5%
15.0%
-44.5 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
63639 EUR · live
Under
1.06 · implied 94.3%
77.7%
-16.7 vs price
Over
18.0 · implied 5.6%
22.3%
+16.8 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
2504 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
94.6%
-4.4 vs price
Over
90.0 · implied 1.1%
5.4%
+4.2 vs price
12 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
8'
R. Ogawa · Foul
17'
R. Hirose · Foul
18'
R. Hirakawa · Foul
36'
Élber · Foul
41'
🔁
J. Yamamoto ◂ K. Morita
42'
⚽
L. Ceará · assist Élber0–1
Half-time · 0–1
46'
🔁
R. Shirai ◂ I. Kumatoriya
50'
⚽
L. Ceará · assist N. Ueda0–2
60'
🔁
S. Kanda ◂ I. Someno
72'
🔁
K. Shibato ◂ R. Hirakawa
73'
🔁
K. Misao ◂ G. Shibasaki
73'
🔁
A. Čavrić ◂ Élber
73'
🔁
S. Nakayama ◂ Y. Matsuhashi
83'
🔁
K. Tsukui ◂ R. Hirose
83'
🔁
H. Hayashi ◂ Y. Matsumura
88'
🔁
M. Yoshida ◂ Y. Suzuki
88'
🔁
A. Motosuna ◂ M. Bueno
Full-time · 0–2
90'+5
🔁
G. Nakamura ◂ R. Shirai
Coaches
Toru Oniki 
Recent form
WHThespa Gunma4-1
DAFagiano Okayama0-0
LHKashiwa Reysol1-3
DHKawasaki Frontale1-1
LHGamba Osaka2-4
WHAtletico Suzuka Club3-0
WHAvispa Fukuoka3-2
WHNagoya Grampus2-1
WAYokohama F. Marinos4-3
WHVegalta Sendai5-0
Match facts
Stadium
Ajinomoto Stadium
City
Tokyo
Kickoff
29 Aug, 10:00 UTC
Competition
J1 League
Highlights & clips
1
M. Vidotto
5.9
15
K. Suzuki
5.8
4
N. Hayashi
6.2
5
R. Inoue
6.4
22
Y. Uchida
6.7
28
J. Yamamoto
6.2
↑ 41'
2
K. Shibato
6.6
↑ 72'
40
Y. Arai
6.9
24
S. Nakayama
6.7
↑ 73'
27
R. Shirai
6.5
↑ 46'
38
S. Kanda
6.4
↑ 60'
1
T. Hayakawa
7.1
23
K. Tsukui
6.7
↑ 83'
55
N. Ueda
7.6
5
I. Sekigawa
7.5
7
R. Ogawa
6.9
24
H. Hayashi
6.6
↑ 83'
6
K. Misao
6.8
↑ 73'
35
A. Motosuna
6.9
↑ 88'
77
A. Čavrić
6.8
↑ 73'
30
M. Yoshida
6.3
↑ 88'
9
L. Ceará
8.1
Substitutes
21GY. Nagasawa
29DM. Sako
36DR. Matsuda
10MK. Morita↓ 41'7.0
7MY. Matsuhashi↓ 73'6.4
16MR. Hirakawa↓ 72'6.3
25FI. Kumatoriya↓ 46'6.9
9FI. Someno↓ 60'6.0
30FG. Nakamura↑ 90'
Coach: Hiroshi Jofuku
Top stats
35%Possession65%
0.07Expected goals (xG)3.2
3Total shots25
1Shots on target6
0Big chances7
5Corners4
Shots
0Shots off target13
2Blocked shots6
1Shots inside box19
2Shots outside box6
0Hit woodwork2
0Big chances scored2
0Big chances missed5
Attack
6Touches in box38
27Final third entries83
1Offsides0
11Free kicks15
0Fouled in final third2
Passing
374Passes708
292Accurate passes624
18/47 (38%)Long balls29/63 (46%)
2/12 (17%)Crosses11/17 (65%)
16Throw-ins15
Duels
42Duels58
28/56 (50%)Ground duels28/56 (50%)
10/34 (29%)Aerial duels24/34 (71%)
1/2 (50%)Dribbles7/16 (44%)
5Dispossessed7
Defending
16Tackles6
75Tackles won100
10Interceptions10
19Clearances14
38Recoveries49
Discipline
15Fouls11
1Yellow cards3
Goalkeeping
5Saves1
11Goal kicks4
0Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
Who winsKashima to win (DNB) 74% · 1.39 @ Betano
1X2Kashima to win 51% · 2.25 @ William Hill
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 55% · 1.12 @ William Hill
BTTSBTTS: No 52% · 1.25 @ Bet365
1X2Draw 28% · 2.42 @ 1xBet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 74% · 1.26 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 59% · 1.72 @ Unibet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 65% · 1.51 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 53% · 1.72 @ Pinnacle
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 69% · 2.38 @ William Hill
1X2Tokyo Verdy to win 21% · 4.75 @ Bet365
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
4.46
Tokyo Verdy
3.30
Draw
1.79
Kashima Antlers
Double Chanceconsensus
2.00
Tokyo Verdy or Draw
1.25
Tokyo Verdy or Kashima Antlers
1.17
Draw or Kashima Antlers
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
2.05
Yes
1.70
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
7.25
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
2.77
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.06
Over 0.50
8.30
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.37
Over 1.50
2.88
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.14
Over 2.50
1.70
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.97
Over 3.50
1.22
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
8.00
Over 4.50
1.06
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
2.90
Tokyo Verdy
1.37
Kashima Antlers
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.38
Over 7.50
2.67
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.63
Over 8.50
2.14
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
2.05
Over 9.50
1.69
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.53
Over 10.50
1.40
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
3.23
Over 11.50
1.23
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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