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Takuya Takagi
V-Varen Nagasaki
FC Tokyo
V-Varen Nagasaki
3-4-2-1 · 4-4-2
FC Tokyo
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
1072 EUR
Away
1.63 · implied 61.3%
69.2%
+7.8 vs price
Home
6.4 · implied 15.6%
17.7%
+2.1 vs price
Draw
4.3 · implied 23.3%
13.1%
-10.2 vs price
Half time
3529 EUR · live
Away
1.01 · implied 99.0%
75.3%
-23.7 vs price
Draw
11.0 · implied 9.1%
15.6%
+6.5 vs price
Home
95.0 · implied 1.1%
9.0%
+8.0 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
110402 EUR · live
Over
1.26 · implied 79.4%
72.1%
-7.3 vs price
Under
4.6 · implied 21.7%
28.0%
+6.3 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
7070 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
91.6%
-7.4 vs price
Over
15.5 · implied 6.5%
8.4%
+1.9 vs price
11 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
3'
I. Yuto · Foul
20'
🔁
M. Sekiguchi ◂ A. Ikki
37'
⚽
M. Nagakura · assist K. Bangnagande0–1
Half-time · 0–2
45'+4
⚽
S. Homma · assist M. Ryan0–2
46'
🔁
K. Yasuda ◂ Y. Hotaru
48'
T. Ko · Foul
55'
⚽
M. Ryan · assist M. Nagakura0–3
58'
🔁
N. Campbell ◂ I. Yuto
60'
🔁
S. Anzai ◂ S. Homma
60'
🔁
F. Yamada ◂ M. Ryan
60'
🔁
K. Hashimoto ◂ K. Bangnagande
67'
🔁
T. Nakagawa ◂ M. Nagakura
70'
🔁
D. Pituca ◂ R. Yamada
70'
🔁
K. Rei-Jin ◂ T. Santana
77'
🔁
M. Jesus ◂ Y. Shunya
78'
N. Campbell · Foul
79'
🔁
K. Tokiwa ◂ T. Ko
83'
🔁
H. Ishihara ◂ K. Sato
Full-time · 0–3
Coaches
Takuya TakagiRikizo Matsuhashi 
Recent form
V-Varen NagasakiWHEhime FC3-2
LAKashiwa Reysol2-4
LAFagiano Okayama0-1
WHKyoto Sanga FC2-1
LANEC Nijmegen1-3
FC TokyoWHAC Nagano Parceiro6-0
WHJEF United Chiba2-0
DAVissel Kobe2-2
LHMachida Zelvia1-5
LHBorussia Dortmund0-1
Match facts
Stadium
Peace Stadium
City
Nagasaki
Kickoff
29 Aug, 09:30 UTC
Competition
J1 League
Highlights & clips
V-Varen Nagasaki
3-4-2-1 · 4-4-2
FC Tokyo
1
G. Masaaki
6.0
50
S. Ryosuke
5.9
3
M. Sekiguchi
5.8
↑ 20'
6
Y. Egawa
6.4
22
O. Hijiri
6.5
7
K. Yasuda
6.4
↑ 46'
21
D. Pituca
6.9
↑ 70'
10
M. Jesus
7.1
↑ 77'
41
M. Hasegawa
6.9
11
N. Campbell
6.3
↑ 58'
39
K. Rei-Jin
6.3
↑ 70'
81
K. Seung-gyu
6.6
2
S. Muroya
7.4
24
A. Scholz
8.2
4
H. Inamura
7.4
42
K. Hashimoto
6.8
↑ 60'
22
H. Ishihara
6.9
↑ 83'
18
K. Hashimoto
6.8
27
K. Tokiwa
6.3
↑ 79'
7
S. Anzai
6.4
↑ 60'
39
T. Nakagawa
6.3
↑ 67'
71
F. Yamada
6.4
↑ 60'
Substitutes
13GH. Go
29DA. Ikki↓ 20'6.7
17DK. Takahata
5MY. Hotaru↓ 46'6.9
23MY. Shunya↓ 77'6.2
24MR. Yamada↓ 70'6.1
19MS. Takashi
9FT. Santana↓ 70'6.2
8FI. Yuto↓ 58'5.7
Coach: Takuya Takagi
Substitutes
1GH. Tanaka
6DK. Bangnagande↓ 60'7.1
3DM. Morishige
19MS. Homma↓ 60'7.4
8MT. Ko↓ 79'7.3
10MK. Sato↓ 83'6.6
26FM. Nagakura↓ 67'7.7
9FM. Ryan↓ 60'7.6
25FT. Kominato
Coach: Rikizo Matsuhashi
Top stats
51%Possession49%
0.3Expected goals (xG)1.84
5Total shots13
1Shots on target6
0Big chances4
7Corners3
Shots
0Shots off target6
4Blocked shots1
2Shots inside box7
3Shots outside box6
0Hit woodwork0
0Big chances scored3
0Big chances missed1
Attack
13Touches in box28
49Final third entries63
2Offsides1
11Free kicks6
2Fouled in final third1
Passing
554Passes543
458Accurate passes472
18/54 (33%)Long balls20/51 (39%)
1/11 (9%)Crosses1/7 (14%)
24Throw-ins8
Duels
41Duels59
24/61 (39%)Ground duels37/61 (61%)
10/22 (45%)Aerial duels12/22 (55%)
2/15 (13%)Dribbles6/11 (55%)
13Dispossessed7
Defending
12Tackles26
67Tackles won62
7Interceptions6
21Clearances22
47Recoveries56
Discipline
6Fouls11
2Yellow cards1
Goalkeeping
3Saves1
1Big saves0
7Goal kicks2
0Punches2
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
1X2Tokyo to win 57% · 2.07 @ Unibet
Who winsTokyo to win (DNB) 57% · 1.22 @ Novibet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 68% · 1.53 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 56% · 1.86 @ Pinnacle
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 51% · 4.60 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 75% · 2.12 @ Unibet
BTTSBoth teams to score 52% · 3.50 @ Bet365
1X2Draw 25% · 2.60 @ 1xBet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 56% · 1.55 @ Unibet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 67% · 1.38 @ Pinnacle
1X2Nagasaki to win 18% · 4.75 @ Bet365
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
5.11
V-Varen Nagasaki
3.85
Draw
1.63
FC Tokyo
Double Chanceconsensus
2.15
V-Varen Nagasaki or Draw
1.23
V-Varen Nagasaki or FC Tokyo
1.17
Draw or FC Tokyo
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.85
Yes
1.85
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
8.00
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
2.84
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50
9.60
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.27
Over 1.50
3.53
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.88
Over 2.50
1.92
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.20
Over 3.50
1.32
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
6.25
Over 4.50
1.10
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
4.10
V-Varen Nagasaki
1.20
FC Tokyo
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.28
Over 7.50
2.94
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.53
Over 8.50
2.26
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.91
Over 9.50
1.84
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.37
Over 10.50
1.47
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
3.04
Over 11.50
1.27
Under 11.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
FC Tokyo to win or draw
✓
82% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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