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Michael Skibbe
Vissel Kobe
Cerezo Osaka
Vissel Kobe
4-3-3 · 3-4-2-1
Cerezo Osaka
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Over/Under 2.5 goals
23363 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
73.8%
-25.3 vs price
Over
120.0 · implied 0.8%
26.3%
+25.5 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
2342 EUR · live
Under
1.02 · implied 98.0%
98.2%
+0.2 vs price
Over
34.0 · implied 2.9%
1.8%
-1.2 vs price
5 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
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Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
Half-time · 0–0
46'
🔁
H. Kawabata ◂ N. Iino
53'
R. Komatsu · Foul
65'
🔁
T. Andrade ◂ Y. Yokoyama
68'
VAR
Penalty check · G. Sakai
71'
⚽
R. Komatsu (pen)1–0
73'
🔁
L. Fernandes ◂ T. Nakamura
73'
🔁
Y. Kuwasaki ◂ Y. Iwamoto
75'
L. Fernandes · Foul
81'
🔁
S. Kagawa ◂ Y. Komi
81'
🔁
P. Sabbag ◂ S. Sakuragawa
81'
Y. Goke · Foul
87'
🔁
M. Hidaka ◂ R. Komatsu
Full-time · 1–0
90'+2
🔁
I. Takahashi ◂ K. Nagato
Coaches
Michael SkibbePablo Machin 
Recent form
Vissel KobeWHVeroskronos Tsuno2-1
LAYokohama F. Marinos0-1
DHFC Tokyo2-2
WAAvispa Fukuoka1-0
WHFC Imabari6-1
Cerezo OsakaWHFC Gifu3-1
WHShimizu S-Pulse1-0
LAAvispa Fukuoka0-3
WHFagiano Okayama2-1
WHBorussia Dortmund1-0
Match facts
Stadium
Noevir Stadium Kobe
City
Kobe
Kickoff
29 Aug, 10:00 UTC
Competition
J1 League
Highlights & clips
Vissel Kobe
4-3-3 · 3-4-2-1
Cerezo Osaka
1
D. Maekawa
7.7
24
G. Sakai
7.4
4
T. Yamakawa
7.4
3
Thuler
7.4
15
Diego
7.2
5
Y. Goke
6.7
25
Y. Kuwasaki
6.9
↑ 73'
7
Y. Ideguchi
6.8
62
H. Kawabata
6.5
↑ 46'
44
M. Hidaka
6.6
↑ 87'
17
I. Takahashi
↑ 90'
23
K. Nakamura
7.0
27
D. Cools
7.4
44
S. Hatanaka
7.1
4
R. Inoue
6.9
77
L. Fernandes
6.7
↑ 73'
36
J. Irvine
6.5
10
S. Tanaka
7.0
66
A. Ohata
6.7
8
S. Kagawa
6.6
↑ 81'
11
T. Andrade
6.3
↑ 65'
19
P. Sabbag
6.2
↑ 81'
Substitutes
71GS. Gonda
2DN. Iino↓ 46'6.5
41DK. Nagato↓ 90'6.3
31DT. Iwanami
80DB. Nduka
23MY. Iwamoto↓ 73'6.8
20MK. Watanabe
61MR. Inouchi
29FR. Komatsu↓ 87'7.4
Coach: Michael Skibbe
Substitutes
31GK. Abe
2DT. Nakamura↓ 73'6.3
6DK. Noborizato
16DH. Okuda
97DT. Takahashi
41MY. Komi↓ 81'6.6
14MY. Yokoyama↓ 65'6.4
28MK. Okazawa
9FS. Sakuragawa↓ 81'6.3
Coach: Pablo Machin
Top stats
44%Possession56%
2.34Expected goals (xG)1.77
12Total shots13
6Shots on target3
4Big chances0
4Corners9
Shots
3Shots off target7
3Blocked shots3
10Shots inside box12
2Shots outside box1
1Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored0
3Big chances missed0
Attack
19Touches in box24
69Final third entries85
2Offsides2
10Free kicks13
4Fouled in final third0
Passing
349Passes431
261Accurate passes342
31/65 (48%)Long balls32/75 (43%)
5/22 (23%)Crosses8/32 (25%)
12Throw-ins25
Duels
54Duels46
23/41 (56%)Ground duels18/41 (44%)
21/40 (53%)Aerial duels19/40 (48%)
5/9 (56%)Dribbles4/10 (40%)
1Dispossessed3
Defending
9Tackles5
67Tackles won60
8Interceptions11
31Clearances27
48Recoveries41
Discipline
13Fouls11
2Yellow cards1
Goalkeeping
3Saves4
1Big saves0
7Goal kicks5
3Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
Who winsVissel Kobe to win (DNB) 70% · 1.58 @ Bwin
CornersOver 8.5 corners 62% · 1.48 @ Unibet
1X2Draw 28% · 2.55 @ Unibet
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 51% · 1.17 @ William Hill
BTTSBoth teams to score 54% · 3.40 @ Bet365
1X2Vissel Kobe to win 46% · 2.40 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 74% · 2.16 @ 1xBet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 68% · 1.33 @ 10bet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 62% · 1.59 @ Pinnacle
1X2Cerezo Osaka to win 27% · 3.80 @ William Hill
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 50% · 1.97 @ Pinnacle
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.06
Vissel Kobe
3.40
Draw
3.48
Cerezo Osaka
Double Chanceconsensus
1.25
Vissel Kobe or Draw
1.29
Vissel Kobe or Cerezo Osaka
1.80
Draw or Cerezo Osaka
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.80
Yes
1.93
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
3.30
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
6.25
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50
9.25
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.29
Over 1.50
3.38
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.94
Over 2.50
1.85
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.35
Over 3.50
1.29
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
6.38
Over 4.50
1.10
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.57
Vissel Kobe
2.30
Cerezo Osaka
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.25
Over 7.50
3.17
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.45
Over 8.50
2.42
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.80
Over 9.50
1.91
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.23
Over 10.50
1.54
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.85
Over 11.50
1.33
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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