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Shinya Tsukahara
Avispa Fukuoka
Urawa Red Diamonds
Avispa Fukuoka
3-4-2-1 · 4-3-3
Urawa Red Diamonds
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
111874 EUR · live
Home
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
54.1%
+54.0 vs price
Away
1.03 · implied 97.1%
36.3%
-60.7 vs price
Draw
22.0 · implied 4.5%
11.7%
+7.2 vs price
Half time
683 EUR · live
Draw
2.04 · implied 49.0%
53.4%
+4.4 vs price
Away
1.29 · implied 77.5%
38.2%
-39.3 vs price
Home
32.0 · implied 3.1%
8.2%
+5.1 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
23994 EUR · live
Over
1.18 · implied 84.7%
59.3%
-25.4 vs price
Under
6.4 · implied 15.6%
40.7%
+25.0 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
3371 EUR · live
Under
1.14 · implied 87.7%
89.5%
+1.8 vs price
Over
6.8 · implied 14.7%
10.5%
-4.2 vs price
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
7'
⚽
M. Sávio · assist T. Kaneko0–1
10'
D. Boza · Foul
24'
⚽
S. Usui · assist S. Morooka1–1
34'
⚽
S. Morooka2–1
Half-time · 2–1
46'
🔁
H. Minamino ◂ R. Watanabe
48'
T. Miki · Foul
58'
🔁
N. Shintaro ◂ M. Shigemi
58'
🔁
K. Hayashi ◂ Y. Naganuma
64'
🔁
Werik Popó ◂ S. Morooka
64'
🔁
K. Maeda ◂ T. Miki
65'
Y. Tsujioka · Foul
67'
🔁
A. Onaiwu ◂ H. Komori
67'
🔁
H. Ueki ◂ K. Yasui
80'
🔁
K. Okuno ◂ S. Usui
80'
🔁
D. Fukazawa ◂ M. Yota
83'
⚽
K. Hayashi2–2
85'
⚽
A. Onaiwu · assist T. Kaneko2–3
88'
🔁
S. Sasa ◂ T. Seko
Full-time · 2–3
Coaches
Shinya TsukaharaGwi-jae Jo 
Recent form
Avispa FukuokaLAKyoto Sanga FC1-2
DHVerspah Oita0-0
LAKashima Antlers2-3
WHCerezo Osaka3-0
LHVissel Kobe0-1
Urawa Red DiamondsWHYokohama F. Marinos3-2
WHYamanashi Gakuin University Orions3-0
LAMachida Zelvia1-3
LHSanfrecce Hiroshima1-4
LAGamba Osaka3-4
Match facts
Stadium
Best Denki Stadium
City
Fukuoka
Kickoff
02 Sep, 10:00 UTC
Competition
J1 League
Highlights & clips
Avispa Fukuoka
3-4-2-1 · 4-3-3
Urawa Red Diamonds
41
K. Fujita
7.1
16
T. Oka
6.2
37
T. Masaya
6.1
15
Y. Tsujioka
5.9
47
Y. Hashimoto
7.1
34
K. Shiihashi
6.2
55
K. Maeda
7.2
↑ 64'
23
D. Fukazawa
6.1
↑ 80'
9
Werik Popó
6.2
↑ 64'
14
N. Shintaro
6.5
↑ 58'
8
K. Okuno
6.2
↑ 80'
1
S. Nishikawa
6.4
3
D. Boza
7.2
2
Y. Miyamoto
6.2
5
K. Nemoto
6.5
18
K. Hayashi
7.2
↑ 58'
37
H. Ueki
6.7
↑ 67'
33
S. Sasa
6.8
↑ 88'
42
H. Minamino
6.5
↑ 46'
7
T. Kaneko
8.0
45
A. Onaiwu
7.3
↑ 67'
10
M. Sávio
7.4
Substitutes
1GT. Nagaishi
38DD. Miya
29MM. Yota↓ 80'7.1
11MT. Miki↓ 64'6.7
6MM. Shigemi↓ 58'6.6
52MS. Takemoto
22MK. Fujimoto
13FS. Morooka↓ 64'8.1
7FS. Usui↓ 80'7.5
Coach: Shinya Tsukahara
Top stats
37%Possession63%
1.37Expected goals (xG)1.9
16Total shots20
8Shots on target6
4Big chances2
5Corners1
Shots
7Shots off target8
1Blocked shots6
11Shots inside box12
5Shots outside box8
1Hit woodwork1
1Big chances scored2
3Big chances missed0
Attack
21Touches in box27
52Final third entries66
2Offsides2
10Free kicks15
2Fouled in final third1
Passing
270Passes495
197Accurate passes412
18/51 (35%)Long balls24/62 (39%)
7/26 (27%)Crosses3/11 (27%)
23Throw-ins17
Duels
50Duels50
31/56 (55%)Ground duels25/56 (45%)
23/51 (45%)Aerial duels28/51 (55%)
9/13 (69%)Dribbles6/9 (67%)
4Dispossessed11
Defending
14Tackles8
36Tackles won63
8Interceptions11
21Clearances31
36Recoveries39
Discipline
15Fouls10
2Yellow cards1
Goalkeeping
3Saves5
1Big saves2
12Goal kicks9
1Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 22 bookmakers
Who winsUrawa Reds to win (DNB) 52% · 2.10 @ Bet365
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 56% · 1.14 @ William Hill
1X2Draw 29% · 2.33 @ 1xBet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 73% · 1.26 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 67% · 1.38 @ Unibet
1X2Urawa Reds to win 31% · 3.40 @ William Hill
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 55% · 1.64 @ Unibet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 57% · 1.85 @ 10bet
BTTSBoth teams to score 51% · 3.75 @ Bet365
1X2Fukuoka to win 39% · 2.80 @ Unibet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 69% · 2.43 @ Unibet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.37
Avispa Fukuoka
3.13
Draw
2.98
Urawa Red Diamonds
Double Chanceconsensus
1.36
Avispa Fukuoka or Draw
1.30
Avispa Fukuoka or Urawa Red Diamonds
1.53
Draw or Urawa Red Diamonds
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.84
Yes
1.87
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
3.73
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
4.78
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.05
Over 0.50
8.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.38
Over 1.50
2.84
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.21
Over 2.50
1.65
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
4.17
Over 3.50
1.20
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
8.50
Over 4.50
1.06
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.68
Avispa Fukuoka
2.10
Urawa Red Diamonds
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.42
Over 7.50
2.62
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.81
Over 8.50
1.96
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
2.21
Over 9.50
1.55
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.77
Over 10.50
1.34
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
3.59
Over 11.50
1.19
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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