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Pablo Machin
Cerezo Osaka
Kashiwa Reysol
Cerezo Osaka
3-4-2-1 · 3-4-2-1
Kashiwa Reysol
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
120117 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
76.8%
-22.2 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
18.5%
+18.4 vs price
Draw
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
4.9%
+4.8 vs price
Half time
761 EUR · live
Away
3.55 · implied 28.2%
79.3%
+51.2 vs price
Home
1.4 · implied 71.4%
17.3%
-54.1 vs price
Draw
1.93 · implied 51.8%
3.2%
-48.7 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
83966 EUR · live
Over
22.0 · implied 4.5%
54.2%
+49.6 vs price
Under
1.09 · implied 91.7%
45.8%
-45.9 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
4105 EUR · live
Under
1.17 · implied 85.5%
87.4%
+1.9 vs price
Over
21.0 · implied 4.8%
12.6%
+7.8 vs price
12 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
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Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
20'
⚽
S. Sakuragawa · assist H. Okuda1–0
42'
J. Irvine · Time wasting
Half-time · 1–0
46'
🔁
Y. Konishi ◂ K. Kumasaka
46'
🔁
Y. Segawa ◂ H. Yamauchi
46'
🔁
M. Hosoya ◂ Y. Kakita
55'
🔁
K. Yuba ◂ K. Endo
56'
🔁
Y. Yokoyama ◂ T. Andrade
56'
🔁
K. Okazawa ◂ S. Kagawa
68'
⚽
S. Sakuragawa (pen)2–0
69'
🔁
K. Yuruki ◂ Y. Koizumi
79'
R. Rodriguez · Argument
80'
🔁
P. Sabbag ◂ S. Sakuragawa
Full-time · 2–0
Coaches
Pablo MachinRicardo Rodriguez 
Recent form
Cerezo OsakaLAVissel Kobe0-1
WHFC Gifu3-1
WHShimizu S-Pulse1-0
LAAvispa Fukuoka0-3
WHFagiano Okayama2-1
Kashiwa ReysolWAShimizu S-Pulse1-0
WHSenshu University2-1
WHV-Varen Nagasaki4-2
WATokyo Verdy3-1
WHMito Hollyhock2-1
Match facts
Stadium
Yodokou Sakura Stadium
City
Osaka
Kickoff
02 Sep, 10:00 UTC
Competition
J1 League
Highlights & clips
Cerezo Osaka
3-4-2-1 · 3-4-2-1
Kashiwa Reysol
23
K. Nakamura
8.6
27
D. Cools
7.4
44
S. Hatanaka
7.4
4
R. Inoue
7.4
16
H. Okuda
6.9
36
J. Irvine
7.5
10
S. Tanaka
7.5
66
A. Ohata
6.6
28
K. Okazawa
6.9
↑ 56'
14
Y. Yokoyama
7.7
↑ 56'
19
P. Sabbag
6.6
↑ 80'
25
R. Kojima
6.1
42
W. Harada
6.4
4
T. Koga
7.6
26
D. Sugioka
6.6
24
T. Kubo
6.6
21
Y. Konishi
6.5
↑ 46'
39
N. Nakagawa
7.0
44
K. Yuba
6.5
↑ 55'
16
K. Yuruki
6.5
↑ 69'
20
Y. Segawa
5.8
↑ 46'
9
M. Hosoya
5.9
↑ 46'
Substitutes
31GK. Abe
2DT. Nakamura
6DK. Noborizato
97DT. Takahashi
8MS. Kagawa↓ 56'6.6
11MT. Andrade↓ 56'6.1
7MS. Uejo
9FS. Sakuragawa↓ 80'9.0
45FK. Nagasoe
Coach: Pablo Machin
Substitutes
77GT. Wakahara
88DS. Baba
2DH. Mitsumaru
27MK. Kumasaka↓ 46'6.4
5MK. Endo↓ 55'6.2
40MR. Harakawa
8FY. Koizumi↓ 69'6.8
87FH. Yamauchi↓ 46'6.3
18FY. Kakita↓ 46'6.3
Coach: Ricardo Rodriguez
Top stats
48%Possession52%
1.83Expected goals (xG)1.09
12Total shots11
3Shots on target5
1Big chances1
7Corners9
Shots
4Shots off target4
5Blocked shots2
9Shots inside box5
3Shots outside box6
1Big chances scored0
0Big chances missed1
Attack
24Touches in box37
78Final third entries53
1Offsides3
3Free kicks5
2Fouled in final third0
Passing
472Passes506
378Accurate passes424
25/63 (40%)Long balls21/42 (50%)
6/19 (32%)Crosses2/16 (13%)
29Throw-ins21
Duels
62Duels38
32/54 (59%)Ground duels22/54 (41%)
18/27 (67%)Aerial duels9/27 (33%)
8/14 (57%)Dribbles2/11 (18%)
9Dispossessed11
Defending
20Tackles15
55Tackles won67
18Interceptions10
32Clearances30
48Recoveries50
Discipline
5Fouls4
1Yellow cards0
Goalkeeping
5Saves1
1Big saves0
10Goal kicks5
0Punches5
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 22 bookmakers
Who winsKashiwa to win (DNB) 55% · 1.55 @ Betsson
1X2Kashiwa to win 44% · 2.50 @ Bet365
BTTSBoth teams to score 58% · 3.00 @ 10bet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 61% · 1.45 @ Pinnacle
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 54% · 4.20 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 77% · 2.00 @ William Hill
1X2Draw 27% · 2.63 @ Unibet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 63% · 1.70 @ 10bet
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 51% · 2.00 @ Unibet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 65% · 1.42 @ Pinnacle
1X2Cerezo Osaka to win 29% · 3.40 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
3.30
Cerezo Osaka
3.50
Draw
2.10
Kashiwa Reysol
Double Chanceconsensus
1.67
Cerezo Osaka or Draw
1.25
Cerezo Osaka or Kashiwa Reysol
1.32
Draw or Kashiwa Reysol
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.62
Yes
2.19
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
5.78
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
3.95
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50
10.70
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.22
Over 1.50
3.95
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.80
Over 2.50
2.02
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.84
Over 3.50
1.39
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.68
Over 4.50
1.13
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
2.36
Cerezo Osaka
1.55
Kashiwa Reysol
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.21
Over 7.50
3.25
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.41
Over 8.50
2.56
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.75
Over 9.50
1.96
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.12
Over 10.50
1.61
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.70
Over 11.50
1.36
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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