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Yoshiyuki Kobayashi
JEF United Chiba
Fagiano Okayama
JEF United Chiba
3-4-2-1 · 3-4-2-1
Fagiano Okayama
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
80588 EUR · live
Draw
22.0 · implied 4.5%
47.9%
+43.3 vs price
Away
1.05 · implied 95.2%
43.3%
-52.0 vs price
Home
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
9.5%
+9.3 vs price
Half time
866 EUR · live
Away
2.98 · implied 33.6%
75.9%
+42.3 vs price
Draw
2.0 · implied 50.0%
13.7%
-36.3 vs price
Home
5.7 · implied 17.5%
10.3%
-7.3 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
60230 EUR · live
Under
1.11 · implied 90.1%
51.0%
-39.1 vs price
Over
11.0 · implied 9.1%
49.0%
+39.9 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
1194 EUR · live
Under
1.03 · implied 97.1%
80.0%
-17.1 vs price
Over
26.0 · implied 3.8%
19.9%
+16.1 vs price
9 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
31'
⚽
L. Gaúcho · assist H. Motoyama0–1
36'
🔁
T. Taguchi ◂ H. Kida
41'
⚽
K. Tanaka · assist T. Taguchi1–1
Half-time · 1–1
45'
T. Tsukui · Foul
46'
🔁
A. Esaka ◂ S. Na
64'
🔁
Y. Kamiya ◂ K. Kawano
64'
🔁
Lucao ◂ L. Gaúcho
70'
🔁
T. Matsumura ◂ Erison
70'
🔁
K. Yonekura ◂ K. Yamura
70'
🔁
N. Tsubaki ◂ T. Tsukui
77'
K. Yonekura · Foul
81'
🔁
K. Shirai ◂ H. Motoyama
84'
🔁
T. Yasui ◂ K. Tanaka
87'
🔁
N. Browne ◂ T. Yamane
Full-time · 1–2
90'+3
E. Miyamoto · Foul
90'+4
⚽
Y. Kamiya · assist Lucao1–2
Coaches
Yoshiyuki KobayashiTakashi Kiyama 
Recent form
JEF United ChibaLAKawasaki Frontale2-4
DHAzul Claro Numazu1-1
LAFC Tokyo0-2
LHMachida Zelvia0-4
LASanfrecce Hiroshima0-3
Fagiano OkayamaLANagoya Grampus1-2
WHBelugarosso Iwami3-0
DHTokyo Verdy0-0
WHV-Varen Nagasaki1-0
LACerezo Osaka1-2
Match facts
Stadium
Fukuda Denshi Arena
City
Chiba
Kickoff
02 Sep, 10:00 UTC
Competition
J1 League
Highlights & clips
JEF United Chiba
3-4-2-1 · 3-4-2-1
Fagiano Okayama
19
J. Suárez
6.0
22
T. Iida
6.4
66
D. Hall
6.5
28
T. Kawano
6.9
41
T. Yasui
6.4
↑ 84'
4
T. Taguchi
7.0
↑ 36'
25
Indio
6.8
11
K. Yonekura
6.3
↑ 70'
20
D. Ishikawa
7.0
14
N. Tsubaki
6.3
↑ 70'
30
T. Matsumura
6.3
↑ 70'
1
L. Moser
6.5
44
S. Mori
6.6
48
Y. Tatsuta
7.1
6
H. Omori
7.2
51
K. Shirai
6.6
↑ 81'
41
E. Miyamoto
6.8
80
O. Alionço
6.7
79
N. Browne
6.7
↑ 87'
33
Y. Kamiya
7.9
↑ 64'
8
A. Esaka
6.4
↑ 46'
99
Lucao
6.7
↑ 64'
Substitutes
23GR. Suzuki
39DR. Ishio
7MK. Tanaka↓ 84'7.6
55MH. Kida↓ 36'7.1
8MT. Tsukui↓ 70'6.6
5MY. Kobayashi
18MN. Sugiyama
99FErison↓ 70'6.8
29FK. Yamura↓ 70'6.6
Coach: Yoshiyuki Kobayashi
Substitutes
77GG. Kawanami
18DD. Tagami
26MH. Motoyama↓ 81'6.9
88MT. Yamane↓ 87'6.6
24MI. Fujita
9FL. Gaúcho↓ 64'6.9
20FK. Kawano↓ 64'6.5
10FS. Na↓ 46'6.1
5I. Shu
Coach: Takashi Kiyama
Top stats
47%Possession53%
0.77Expected goals (xG)1.33
7Total shots18
1Shots on target4
0Big chances1
4Corners5
Shots
4Shots off target5
2Blocked shots9
5Shots inside box12
2Shots outside box6
0Big chances scored1
Attack
16Touches in box26
72Final third entries80
13Free kicks9
Passing
403Passes450
286Accurate passes353
19/66 (29%)Long balls19/50 (38%)
3/14 (21%)Crosses5/25 (20%)
23Throw-ins27
Duels
55Duels45
36/62 (58%)Ground duels26/62 (42%)
24/48 (50%)Aerial duels24/48 (50%)
11/16 (69%)Dribbles5/11 (45%)
9Dispossessed6
Defending
12Tackles14
75Tackles won64
9Interceptions13
38Clearances23
61Recoveries66
Discipline
9Fouls13
2Yellow cards1
Goalkeeping
2Saves0
11Goal kicks6
2Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers
Who winsOkayama to win (DNB) 68% · 1.42 @ Betsson
1X2Okayama to win 50% · 2.30 @ William Hill
BTTSBoth teams to score 54% · 3.40 @ Bet365
1X2Draw 27% · 2.55 @ Unibet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 57% · 1.56 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 66% · 1.52 @ Unibet
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 51% · 4.60 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 75% · 2.12 @ Unibet
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 54% · 1.85 @ Unibet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 68% · 1.36 @ betfair
1X2Chiba to win 24% · 3.90 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
3.90
JEF United Chiba
3.50
Draw
1.89
Fagiano Okayama
Double Chanceconsensus
1.85
JEF United Chiba or Draw
1.25
JEF United Chiba or Fagiano Okayama
1.25
Draw or Fagiano Okayama
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.80
Yes
1.93
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
6.25
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
3.40
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50
9.75
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.26
Over 1.50
3.58
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.89
Over 2.50
1.92
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.17
Over 3.50
1.31
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
6.38
Over 4.50
1.10
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
2.80
JEF United Chiba
1.40
Fagiano Okayama
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.27
Over 7.50
3.05
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.50
Over 8.50
2.31
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.91
Over 9.50
1.83
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.34
Over 10.50
1.50
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.95
Over 11.50
1.29
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
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