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Go Kuroda
Machida Zelvia
Kawasaki Frontale
Machida Zelvia
3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1
Kawasaki Frontale
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
141820 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
57.0%
-42.1 vs price
Away
200.0 · implied 0.5%
27.6%
+27.1 vs price
Draw
55.0 · implied 1.8%
15.5%
+13.7 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
39391 EUR · live
Under
1.76 · implied 56.8%
71.6%
+14.8 vs price
Over
2.32 · implied 43.1%
28.4%
-14.7 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
3184 EUR · live
Under
1.03 · implied 97.1%
90.9%
-6.2 vs price
Over
27.0 · implied 3.7%
9.1%
+5.3 vs price
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
Half-time · 0–0
59'
⚽
Y. Wakizaka · assist S. Miura0–1
60'
🔁
K. Ogawa ◂ T. Yengi
64'
🔁
A. Sasaki ◂ Marcinho
64'
🔁
K. Mochiyama ◂ D. Lacerda
66'
🔁
H. Nakamura ◂ R. Kikuchi
66'
🔁
N. Lavi ◂ H. Shimoda
66'
🔁
Y. Matsuo ◂ T. Nishimura
75'
⚽
K. Ogawa · assist Y. Soma1–1
78'
🔁
K. Konno ◂ T. Ito
81'
⚽
K. Ogawa · assist H. Nakamura2–1
88'
🔁
R. Shirasaki ◂ N. Lavi
88'
🔁
Y. Ozeki ◂ R. Yamahara
88'
🔁
S. Kawahara ◂ K. Tachibanada
Full-time · 2–1
Coaches
Shigetoshi Hasebe 
Recent form
DAMito Hollyhock1-1
WHIwate Grulla Morioka3-0
WHUrawa Red Diamonds3-1
WAJEF United Chiba4-0
WAFC Tokyo5-1
WHJEF United Chiba4-2
WHTochigi SC3-1
DASanfrecce Hiroshima1-1
DHKyoto Sanga FC2-2
DATokyo Verdy1-1
Match facts
Stadium
Machida Stadium
City
Tokyo
Kickoff
02 Sep, 10:00 UTC
Competition
J1 League
Highlights & clips
1
K. Tani
7.1
50
D. Okamura
7.0
31
N. Lavi
6.9
↑ 66'
3
G. Shoji
7.4
6
H. H. Mochizuki
6.9
16
H. Mae
7.0
88
H. Nakamura
7.6
↑ 66'
33
T. Akimoto
6.7
14
Y. Matsuo
6.7
↑ 66'
7
Y. Soma
7.4
9
K. Ogawa
8.6
↑ 60'
49
S. Brodersen
6.2
19
S. Kawahara
6.5
↑ 88'
4
P. Romano
6.6
3
H. Taniguchi
6.3
13
S. Miura
6.2
16
Y. Ozeki
6.6
↑ 88'
6
Y. Yamamoto
7.4
18
K. Konno
6.4
↑ 78'
14
Y. Wakizaka
7.3
5
A. Sasaki
5.8
↑ 64'
20
K. Mochiyama
6.1
↑ 64'
Substitutes
13GT. Morita
4DR. Kikuchi↓ 66'6.2
5DI. Drešević
18MH. Shimoda↓ 66'6.9
23MR. Shirasaki↑ 88'6.7
8MK. Sento
20FT. Nishimura↓ 66'6.9
99FT. Yengi↓ 60'6.6
15FM. Duke
Coach: Go Kuroda
Substitutes
1GL. Yamaguchi
29DR. Yamahara↓ 88'6.1
28DY. Maruyama
22DF. Uremović
23MMarcinho↓ 64'6.8
8MK. Tachibanada↓ 88'6.6
17MT. Ito↓ 78'6.5
25MS. Yamaichi
97FD. Lacerda↓ 64'6.4
Coach: Shigetoshi Hasebe
Top stats
48%Possession52%
1.66Expected goals (xG)1.01
14Total shots9
6Shots on target2
5Big chances1
6Corners2
Shots
6Shots off target5
2Blocked shots2
9Shots inside box4
5Shots outside box5
0Hit woodwork2
2Big chances scored1
3Big chances missed0
Attack
25Touches in box15
59Final third entries65
2Offsides0
10Free kicks11
3Fouled in final third1
Passing
420Passes464
343Accurate passes386
31/62 (50%)Long balls15/48 (31%)
6/21 (29%)Crosses1/13 (8%)
17Throw-ins17
Duels
58Duels42
22/50 (44%)Ground duels28/50 (56%)
28/36 (78%)Aerial duels8/36 (22%)
5/9 (56%)Dribbles9/13 (69%)
5Dispossessed3
Defending
7Tackles9
43Tackles won44
4Interceptions5
16Clearances35
54Recoveries45
Discipline
11Fouls10
Goalkeeping
1Saves4
1Big saves0
8Goal kicks9
1Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
Who winsMachida to win (DNB) 74% · 1.44 @ Bwin
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 73% · 1.30 @ Unibet
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 61% · 1.54 @ Pinnacle
BTTSBoth teams to score 57% · 3.25 @ Bet365
1X2Machida to win 50% · 2.30 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 54% · 4.20 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 77% · 2.00 @ Unibet
1X2Draw 26% · 2.60 @ 1xBet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 51% · 1.89 @ Pinnacle
1X2Kawasaki to win 24% · 3.94 @ 1xBet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 63% · 1.41 @ Pinnacle
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.88
Machida Zelvia
3.50
Draw
3.90
Kawasaki Frontale
Double Chanceconsensus
1.24
Machida Zelvia or Draw
1.25
Machida Zelvia or Kawasaki Frontale
1.87
Draw or Kawasaki Frontale
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.65
Yes
2.12
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
3.42
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
6.50
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50
10.90
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.23
Over 1.50
3.85
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.80
Over 2.50
2.00
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.94
Over 3.50
1.38
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.78
Over 4.50
1.12
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.42
Machida Zelvia
2.70
Kawasaki Frontale
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.47
Over 7.50
2.40
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.85
Over 8.50
1.87
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
2.30
Over 9.50
1.50
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.97
Over 10.50
1.28
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
3.70
Over 11.50
1.18
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.8%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.8%.
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