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Takayuki Yoshida
Shimizu S-Pulse
FC Tokyo
Shimizu S-Pulse
4-3-3 · 4-4-2
FC Tokyo
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
109797 EUR · live
Away
50.0 · implied 2.0%
57.6%
+55.6 vs price
Draw
1.01 · implied 99.0%
36.4%
-62.6 vs price
Home
250.0 · implied 0.4%
6.0%
+5.6 vs price
Half time
402 EUR · live
Home
6.2 · implied 16.1%
48.0%
+31.8 vs price
Away
3.0 · implied 33.3%
43.8%
+10.4 vs price
Draw
1.99 · implied 50.3%
8.0%
-42.3 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
64390 EUR · live
Under
1.08 · implied 92.6%
53.1%
-39.5 vs price
Over
14.0 · implied 7.1%
46.9%
+39.8 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
82 EUR
Over
10.0 · implied 10.0%
99.5%
+89.5 vs price
Under
0.0%
10 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
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Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
Half-time · 0–0
46'
🔁
T. Fujii ◂ Y. Tsuji
50'
⚽
S. Anzai · assist M. Nagakura0–1
53'
⚽
K. Kosuke1–1
64'
🔁
O. Se-Hun ◂ R. Germain
71'
VAR
Penalty not given after review · S. Anzai
77'
🔁
K. Kozuka ◂ K. Kosuke
77'
🔁
K. Sato ◂ M. Ryan
77'
🔁
K. Tawaratsumida ◂ S. Homma
86'
🔁
K. Hashimoto ◂ T. Ko
89'
🔁
K. Chiba ◂ Y. Shimamoto
Full-time · 1–1
Coaches
Takayuki YoshidaRikizo Matsuhashi 
Recent form
Shimizu S-PulseLHKashiwa Reysol0-1
WHFC Osaka2-1
LACerezo Osaka0-1
WHShonan Bellmare1-0
LHYokohama F. Marinos0-1
FC TokyoWAV-Varen Nagasaki3-0
WHAC Nagano Parceiro6-0
WHJEF United Chiba2-0
DAVissel Kobe2-2
LHMachida Zelvia1-5
Match facts
Stadium
IAI Stadium Nihondaira
City
Shizuoka
Kickoff
02 Sep, 10:00 UTC
Competition
J1 League
Highlights & clips
Shimizu S-Pulse
4-3-3 · 4-4-2
FC Tokyo
16
T. Umeda
8.2
24
H. Sugai
6.3
3
Y. Takahashi
7.2
51
J. R. Sumiyoshi
6.9
28
Y. Yoshida
6.8
23
K. Chiba
6.3
↑ 89'
9
O. Se-Hun
6.7
↑ 64'
17
M. Yumiba
7.4
21
K. Matsuzaki
7.0
81
K. Kozuka
6.7
↑ 77'
50
T. Fujii
6.7
↑ 46'
81
K. Seung-gyu
5.7
22
H. Ishihara
6.5
24
A. Scholz
6.9
3
M. Morishige
6.5
42
K. Hashimoto
6.7
7
S. Anzai
7.9
27
K. Tokiwa
6.8
18
K. Hashimoto
6.7
↑ 86'
10
K. Sato
6.8
↑ 77'
26
M. Nagakura
6.2
33
K. Tawaratsumida
6.6
↑ 77'
Substitutes
1GY. Oki
4DS. Hasukawa
70DS. Takagi
38MY. Tsuji↓ 46'6.6
47MY. Shimamoto↓ 89'6.5
7MCapixaba
97MR. Ohata
19FK. Kosuke↓ 77'7.2
13FR. Germain↓ 64'6.3
Coach: Takayuki Yoshida
Substitutes
1GH. Tanaka
2DS. Muroya
4DH. Inamura
5DY. Nagatomo
8MT. Ko↓ 86'6.8
19MS. Homma↓ 77'6.7
71MF. Yamada
9FM. Ryan↓ 77'6.7
39FT. Nakagawa
Coach: Rikizo Matsuhashi
Top stats
44%Possession56%
1.71Expected goals (xG)2.97
8Total shots17
3Shots on target5
1Big chances4
4Corners3
Shots
2Shots off target5
3Blocked shots7
5Shots inside box11
3Shots outside box6
0Hit woodwork3
1Big chances scored1
0Big chances missed3
Attack
23Touches in box36
79Final third entries56
1Offsides5
10Free kicks13
4Fouled in final third1
Passing
339Passes441
254Accurate passes350
28/63 (44%)Long balls20/64 (31%)
2/20 (10%)Crosses4/14 (29%)
21Throw-ins26
Duels
48Duels52
22/46 (48%)Ground duels24/46 (52%)
20/42 (48%)Aerial duels22/42 (52%)
7/11 (64%)Dribbles4/7 (57%)
6Dispossessed2
Defending
5Tackles10
100Tackles won80
7Interceptions5
30Clearances36
45Recoveries44
Discipline
13Fouls10
Goalkeeping
4Saves1
1Big saves0
7Goal kicks5
1Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 22 bookmakers
Who winsTokyo to win (DNB) 60% · 1.28 @ Novibet
1X2Tokyo to win 49% · 2.38 @ 10bet
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 51% · 1.15 @ William Hill
1X2Draw 27% · 2.48 @ Unibet
BTTSBoth teams to score 53% · 3.50 @ Bet365
CornersOver 8.5 corners 58% · 1.47 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 66% · 1.70 @ 10bet
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 54% · 2.05 @ 10bet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 73% · 2.20 @ William Hill
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 69% · 1.31 @ Pinnacle
1X2Shimizu to win 23% · 3.95 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
3.95
Shimizu S-Pulse
3.45
Draw
1.85
FC Tokyo
Double Chanceconsensus
1.80
Shimizu S-Pulse or Draw
1.28
Shimizu S-Pulse or FC Tokyo
1.24
Draw or FC Tokyo
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.80
Yes
1.90
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
6.00
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
3.35
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50
9.38
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.30
Over 1.50
3.30
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.00
Over 2.50
1.80
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.47
Over 3.50
1.27
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
6.88
Over 4.50
1.08
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
3.65
Shimizu S-Pulse
1.25
FC Tokyo
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.23
Over 7.50
3.25
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.47
Over 8.50
2.50
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.75
Over 9.50
1.98
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.17
Over 10.50
1.61
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.80
Over 11.50
1.33
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.8%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.8%.
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