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Takuya Takagi
V-Varen Nagasaki
Gamba Osaka
V-Varen Nagasaki
3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1
Gamba Osaka
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
217232 EUR · live
Home
27.0 · implied 3.7%
50.7%
+47.0 vs price
Away
38.0 · implied 2.6%
29.5%
+26.9 vs price
Draw
1.07 · implied 93.5%
19.8%
-73.7 vs price
Half time
579 EUR · live
Away
4.2 · implied 23.8%
47.5%
+23.7 vs price
Home
4.2 · implied 23.8%
45.3%
+21.4 vs price
Draw
1.9 · implied 52.6%
6.9%
-45.7 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
50380 EUR · live
Under
1.27 · implied 78.7%
85.0%
+6.3 vs price
Over
4.8 · implied 20.8%
15.0%
-5.9 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
2412 EUR · live
Under
1.03 · implied 97.1%
94.0%
-3.1 vs price
Over
25.0 · implied 4.0%
6.0%
+2.0 vs price
12 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
36'
R. Hatsuse · Foul
Half-time · 0–0
46'
🔁
D. Hümmet ◂ N. Nakatsumi
46'
🔁
I. Jebali ◂ S. Kurata
46'
🔁
Y. Shunya ◂ K. Takahata
50'
🔁
M. Jesus ◂ M. Sekiguchi
61'
Y. Hotaru · Foul
66'
🔁
D. Pituca ◂ R. Yamada
66'
🔁
K. Yasuda ◂ T. Santana
66'
K. Doi · Foul
68'
🔁
Y. Yoshihara ◂ T. Suzuki
75'
🔁
Y. Egawa ◂ K. Doi
79'
⚽
K. Yasuda1–0
82'
🔁
S. Nakano ◂ R. Hatsuse
84'
⚽
M. Jesus · assist Y. Hotaru2–0
88'
🔁
A. Okamoto ◂ S. Sasaki
Full-time · 2–2
90'
⚽
D. Hümmet · assist S. Nakatani2–1
90'+4
⚽
I. Jebali2–2
Coaches
Takuya TakagiTomokazu Myojin 
Recent form
V-Varen NagasakiLHFC Tokyo0-3
WHEhime FC3-2
LAKashiwa Reysol2-4
LAFagiano Okayama0-1
WHKyoto Sanga FC2-1
Gamba OsakaDHSanfrecce Hiroshima0-0
WHReilac Shiga FC2-0
LANagoya Grampus1-3
DAMito Hollyhock1-1
WHUrawa Red Diamonds4-3
Match facts
Stadium
Peace Stadium
City
Nagasaki
Kickoff
02 Sep, 10:00 UTC
Competition
J1 League
Highlights & clips
V-Varen Nagasaki
3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1
Gamba Osaka
1
G. Masaaki
6.5
6
Y. Egawa
6.3
↑ 75'
50
S. Ryosuke
6.3
22
O. Hijiri
6.9
10
M. Jesus
7.9
↑ 50'
5
Y. Hotaru
7.9
7
K. Yasuda
7.6
↑ 66'
23
Y. Shunya
6.5
↑ 46'
41
M. Hasegawa
6.6
8
I. Yuto
6.9
21
D. Pituca
6.4
↑ 66'
22
J. Ichimori
8.2
19
G. Ikegaya
6.2
4
S. Nakatani
7.0
60
A. Okamoto
6.5
↑ 88'
47
S. Nakano
6.2
↑ 82'
13
S. Abe
6.7
32
Y. Yoshihara
5.7
↑ 68'
20
E. Adams
6.9
11
I. Jebali
7.6
↑ 46'
8
R. Meshino
7.0
23
D. Hümmet
6.9
↑ 46'
Substitutes
13GH. Go
17DK. Takahata↓ 46'7.3
31DK. Doi↓ 75'6.7
24MR. Yamada↓ 66'6.9
3MM. Sekiguchi↓ 50'6.6
11MN. Campbell
19MS. Takashi
9FT. Santana↓ 66'7.2
39FK. Rei-Jin
Coach: Takuya Takagi
Substitutes
18GR. Araki
67DS. Sasaki↓ 88'6.7
21DR. Hatsuse↓ 82'6.4
2DS. Fukuoka
10MS. Kurata↓ 46'6.7
16MT. Suzuki↓ 68'6.6
48MY. Fujimoto
37FN. Nakatsumi↓ 46'6.2
35FT. Tono
Coach: Tomokazu Myojin
Top stats
44%Possession56%
2.63Expected goals (xG, estimated)1.81
20Total shots16
10Shots on target6
5Big chances2
5Corners5
Shots
6Shots off target7
4Blocked shots3
14Shots inside box6
6Shots outside box10
0Hit woodwork1
2Big chances scored1
3Big chances missed1
Attack
29Touches in box26
67Final third entries50
1Offsides1
11Free kicks9
1Fouled in final third1
Passing
383Passes483
303Accurate passes396
26/61 (43%)Long balls24/55 (44%)
3/12 (25%)Crosses5/15 (33%)
16Throw-ins30
Duels
57Duels43
34/64 (53%)Ground duels30/64 (47%)
16/24 (67%)Aerial duels8/24 (33%)
7/13 (54%)Dribbles5/10 (50%)
10Dispossessed12
Defending
17Tackles16
71Tackles won56
7Interceptions11
29Clearances27
44Recoveries38
Discipline
9Fouls11
2Yellow cards1
Goalkeeping
4Saves8
2Big saves1
6Goal kicks8
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 15 bookmakers
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 69%
Who winsGamba Osaka to win (DNB) 58% · 1.70 @ Betano
1X2Gamba Osaka to win 44% · 2.10 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 87%
BTTSBoth teams to score 57% · 1.67 @ Bet365
1X2Draw 28% · 3.25 @ Bet365
CornersOver 8.5 corners 58%
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 66%
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 54%
1X2Nagasaki to win 28% · 3.30 @ Bet365
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 52%
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
3.30
V-Varen Nagasaki
3.25
Draw
2.10
Gamba Osaka
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.65
Yes
2.12
No
Draw No Betconsensus
2.10
V-Varen Nagasaki
1.65
Gamba Osaka
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Over 1.5 goals
✓
87% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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