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Shinya Tsukahara
Avispa Fukuoka
Mito Hollyhock
Avispa Fukuoka
3-4-2-1 · 4-4-2
Mito Hollyhock
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
113749 EUR · live
Home
16.0 · implied 6.2%
70.4%
+64.2 vs price
Draw
1.05 · implied 95.2%
20.8%
-74.4 vs price
Away
60.0 · implied 1.7%
8.8%
+7.1 vs price
Half time
1944 EUR · live
Draw
1.68 · implied 59.5%
89.6%
+30.1 vs price
Home
3.75 · implied 26.7%
6.2%
-20.5 vs price
Away
6.8 · implied 14.7%
4.1%
-10.6 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
56808 EUR · live
Under
1.05 · implied 95.2%
88.9%
-6.3 vs price
Over
18.5 · implied 5.4%
11.1%
+5.7 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
3830 EUR · live
Under
1.02 · implied 98.0%
88.9%
-9.1 vs price
Over
55.0 · implied 1.8%
11.0%
+9.2 vs price
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
Half-time · 0–0
45'+1
A. Watanabe · Foul
50'
K. Maeda · Foul
53'
⚽
S. Morooka · assist D. Fukazawa1–0
54'
🔁
K. Osaki ◂ Y. Funabashi
57'
S. Morooka · Argument
62'
🔁
N. Shintaro ◂ Werik Popó
63'
🔁
M. Yota ◂ T. Oka
63'
🔁
K. Shiihashi ◂ K. Maeda
69'
🔁
H. Yamamoto ◂ K. Taniguchi
69'
🔁
C. Kato ◂ A. Watanabe
69'
🔁
P. Ferreira ◂ K. Uchino
70'
Y. Torikai · Foul
77'
🔁
D. Miya ◂ Y. Tsujioka
82'
Y. Kimoto · Foul
85'
🔁
R. Nemoto ◂ Y. Torikai
86'
⚽
Y. Kimoto · assist S. Omori1–1
89'
🔁
K. Fujimoto ◂ Y. Hashimoto
Full-time · 1–1
Coaches
Shinya TsukaharaDaisuke Kimori 
Recent form
Avispa FukuokaLHUrawa Red Diamonds2-3
LAKyoto Sanga FC1-2
DHVerspah Oita0-0
LAKashima Antlers2-3
WHCerezo Osaka3-0
Mito HollyhockWHKashima Antlers4-2
DHMachida Zelvia1-1
LHKyoto Sangyo University0-2
WAKyoto Sanga FC3-1
DHGamba Osaka1-1
Match facts
Stadium
Best Denki Stadium
City
Fukuoka
Kickoff
05 Sep, 10:00 UTC
Competition
J1 League
Highlights & clips
Avispa Fukuoka
3-4-2-1 · 4-4-2
Mito Hollyhock
41
K. Fujita
6.7
29
M. Yota
6.3
↑ 63'
37
T. Masaya
6.3
38
D. Miya
6.7
↑ 77'
22
K. Fujimoto
6.5
↑ 89'
34
K. Shiihashi
6.4
↑ 63'
11
T. Miki
7.5
23
D. Fukazawa
7.8
6
M. Shigemi
6.8
13
S. Morooka
6.7
14
N. Shintaro
6.9
↑ 62'
34
K. Nishikawa
6.9
25
T. Mase
5.9
15
Y. Kimoto
7.9
4
A. Kawazura
6.3
7
S. Omori
6.9
9
R. Nemoto
6.5
↑ 85'
19
T. Semba
7.1
3
K. Osaki
6.6
↑ 54'
8
C. Kato
6.4
↑ 69'
39
H. Yamamoto
6.8
↑ 69'
33
P. Ferreira
6.3
↑ 69'
Substitutes
1GT. Nagaishi
15DY. Tsujioka↓ 77'7.5
16DT. Oka↓ 63'6.6
47MY. Hashimoto↓ 89'7.2
55MK. Maeda↓ 63'6.9
17MH. Akino
9FWerik Popó↓ 62'6.8
25FY. Kitajima
32FA. Sani Brown
Coach: Shinya Tsukahara
Substitutes
27GJ. Słowik
50DR. Ieizumi
17DK. Itakura
16DY. Tamura
20MY. Funabashi↓ 54'6.5
22MK. Taniguchi↓ 69'6.3
11MY. Torikai↓ 85'6.3
18FK. Uchino↓ 69'6.5
10FA. Watanabe↓ 69'6.4
Coach: Daisuke Kimori
Top stats
46%Possession54%
1.83Expected goals (xG)1.34
16Total shots10
5Shots on target4
2Big chances1
5Corners2
Shots
10Shots off target3
1Blocked shots3
10Shots inside box8
6Shots outside box2
0Hit woodwork1
1Big chances scored1
1Big chances missed0
Attack
29Touches in box18
77Final third entries58
1Offsides2
18Free kicks11
1Fouled in final third1
Passing
378Passes439
293Accurate passes350
31/68 (46%)Long balls17/58 (29%)
7/18 (39%)Crosses9/16 (56%)
25Throw-ins12
Duels
56Duels44
32/56 (57%)Ground duels24/56 (43%)
25/45 (56%)Aerial duels20/45 (44%)
3/7 (43%)Dribbles6/11 (55%)
3Dispossessed7
Defending
12Tackles6
58Tackles won33
7Interceptions9
18Clearances23
37Recoveries47
Discipline
11Fouls18
2Yellow cards3
Goalkeeping
3Saves4
7Goal kicks13
0Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 74% · 1.30 @ Unibet
CornersUnder 8.5 corners 50% · 1.83 @ 1xBet
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 62% · 1.51 @ Pinnacle
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 53% · 1.13 @ 1xBet
1X2Draw 28% · 2.40 @ 1xBet
Who winsFukuoka to win (DNB) 61% · 1.55 @ Betano
1X2Fukuoka to win 46% · 2.38 @ Unibet
BTTSBoth teams to score 52% · 3.50 @ Bet365
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 70% · 1.27 @ Pinnacle
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 71% · 2.33 @ Unibet
1X2Mito to win 26% · 3.90 @ William Hill
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.04
Avispa Fukuoka
3.30
Draw
3.67
Mito Hollyhock
Double Chanceconsensus
1.25
Avispa Fukuoka or Draw
1.27
Avispa Fukuoka or Mito Hollyhock
1.77
Draw or Mito Hollyhock
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.84
Yes
1.85
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
3.23
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
6.12
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.06
Over 0.50
8.40
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.35
Over 1.50
3.08
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.06
Over 2.50
1.75
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.75
Over 3.50
1.25
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
8.00
Over 4.50
1.06
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.50
Avispa Fukuoka
2.37
Mito Hollyhock
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.48
Over 7.50
2.33
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.93
Over 8.50
1.83
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
2.37
Over 9.50
1.50
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
3.01
Over 10.50
1.27
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
3.99
Over 11.50
1.13
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.8%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.8%.
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