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Pablo Machin
Cerezo Osaka
Tokyo Verdy
Cerezo Osaka
3-4-2-1 · 3-4-2-1
Tokyo Verdy
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
132319 EUR · live
Home
23.0 · implied 4.3%
54.3%
+50.0 vs price
Draw
1.05 · implied 95.2%
37.0%
-58.3 vs price
Away
230.0 · implied 0.4%
8.7%
+8.3 vs price
Half time
1574 EUR · live
Home
3.55 · implied 28.2%
56.8%
+28.6 vs price
Away
6.6 · implied 15.2%
33.0%
+17.9 vs price
Draw
1.9 · implied 52.6%
10.0%
-42.6 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
31719 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
87.6%
-11.4 vs price
Over
120.0 · implied 0.8%
12.4%
+11.5 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
3126 EUR · live
Under
1.03 · implied 97.1%
91.2%
-5.9 vs price
Over
34.0 · implied 2.9%
8.8%
+5.8 vs price
9 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
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Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
Half-time · 0–0
53'
Y. Komi · Foul
61'
🔁
H. Okuda ◂ T. Nakamura
62'
🔁
S. Sakuragawa ◂ Y. Komi
64'
🔁
S. Meshino ◂ K. Saito
64'
🔁
Y. Matsuhashi ◂ H. Hirao
73'
🔁
L. Fernandes ◂ T. Andrade
78'
🔁
S. Kanda ◂ Y. Fukuda
85'
🔁
P. Sabbag ◂ Y. Yokoyama
85'
🔁
S. Kagawa ◂ A. Ohata
89'
🔁
K. Shibato ◂ S. Meshino
89'
🔁
I. Kumatoriya ◂ Y. Matsuhashi
Full-time · 0–0
Coaches
Pablo MachinHiroshi Jofuku 
Recent form
Cerezo OsakaWHKashiwa Reysol2-0
LAVissel Kobe0-1
WHFC Gifu3-1
WHShimizu S-Pulse1-0
LAAvispa Fukuoka0-3
Tokyo VerdyLHVissel Kobe0-2
LHKashima Antlers0-2
WHThespa Gunma4-1
DAFagiano Okayama0-0
LHKashiwa Reysol1-3
Where to watch
DAZN
Match facts
Stadium
Yodokou Sakura Stadium
City
Osaka
Kickoff
06 Sep, 10:00 UTC
Competition
J1 League
Highlights & clips
Cerezo Osaka
3-4-2-1 · 3-4-2-1
Tokyo Verdy
23
K. Nakamura
7.5
27
D. Cools
7.4
44
S. Hatanaka
7.2
4
R. Inoue
7.0
16
H. Okuda
7.2
↑ 61'
10
S. Tanaka
7.2
36
J. Irvine
7.5
8
S. Kagawa
6.7
↑ 85'
9
S. Sakuragawa
6.4
↑ 62'
19
P. Sabbag
6.5
↑ 85'
77
L. Fernandes
7.0
↑ 73'
1
M. Vidotto
6.8
15
K. Suzuki
7.6
29
M. Sako
7.5
5
R. Inoue
7.0
40
Y. Arai
7.1
16
R. Hirakawa
6.9
7
Y. Matsuhashi
6.6
↑ 64'
18
S. Mizoguchi
6.2
20
S. Meshino
6.5
↑ 64'
38
S. Kanda
6.6
↑ 78'
9
I. Someno
5.3
Substitutes
31GK. Abe
66DA. Ohata↓ 85'7.0
2DT. Nakamura↓ 61'6.8
97DT. Takahashi
41MY. Komi↓ 62'7.1
14MY. Yokoyama↓ 85'7.0
11MT. Andrade↓ 73'6.2
28MK. Okazawa
7MS. Uejo
Coach: Pablo Machin
Substitutes
21GY. Nagasawa
36DR. Matsuda
8MK. Saito↓ 64'6.7
2MK. Shibato↑ 89'6.6
22MY. Uchida
14FY. Fukuda↓ 78'7.1
25FI. Kumatoriya↑ 89'6.5
71FH. Hirao↓ 64'6.3
13FG. Yamada
Coach: Hiroshi Jofuku
Top stats
67%Possession33%
1.39Expected goals (xG)0.83
18Total shots8
2Shots on target2
0Big chances2
10Corners3
Shots
10Shots off target6
6Blocked shots0
10Shots inside box8
8Shots outside box0
0Big chances missed2
Attack
27Touches in box16
68Final third entries63
0Offsides1
11Free kicks8
2Fouled in final third1
Passing
618Passes309
521Accurate passes207
19/52 (37%)Long balls23/71 (32%)
9/31 (29%)Crosses6/14 (43%)
19Throw-ins18
Duels
65Duels35
41/65 (63%)Ground duels24/65 (37%)
18/26 (69%)Aerial duels8/26 (31%)
8/15 (53%)Dribbles5/13 (38%)
5Dispossessed14
Defending
22Tackles12
50Tackles won92
8Interceptions8
20Clearances33
53Recoveries48
Discipline
8Fouls11
1Yellow cards0
Goalkeeping
2Saves2
1Big saves1
12Goal kicks20
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers
Who winsCerezo Osaka to win (DNB) 74% · 1.34 @ Betano
1X2Cerezo Osaka to win 52% · 2.25 @ William Hill
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 53% · 1.14 @ William Hill
CornersOver 8.5 corners 61% · 1.47 @ Unibet
BTTSBTTS: No 50% · 1.25 @ Bet365
1X2Draw 27% · 2.50 @ Unibet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 71% · 1.27 @ Pinnacle
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 72% · 2.30 @ William Hill
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 62% · 1.60 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 51% · 1.98 @ Pinnacle
1X2Tokyo Verdy to win 22% · 4.40 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.80
Cerezo Osaka
3.48
Draw
4.23
Tokyo Verdy
Double Chanceconsensus
1.20
Cerezo Osaka or Draw
1.25
Cerezo Osaka or Tokyo Verdy
1.93
Draw or Tokyo Verdy
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.90
Yes
1.80
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
2.90
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
7.00
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50
9.10
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.32
Over 1.50
3.14
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.06
Over 2.50
1.75
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.65
Over 3.50
1.26
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
7.30
Over 4.50
1.05
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.30
Cerezo Osaka
3.25
Tokyo Verdy
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.25
Over 7.50
3.19
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.46
Over 8.50
2.44
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.78
Over 9.50
1.97
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.23
Over 10.50
1.57
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.83
Over 11.50
1.33
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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