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Mihailo Petrovic
Nagoya Grampus
Machida Zelvia
Nagoya Grampus
3-4-2-1 · 3-4-2-1
Machida Zelvia
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
88908 EUR · live
Away
1.01 · implied 99.0%
61.6%
-37.4 vs price
Draw
16.0 · implied 6.2%
24.7%
+18.4 vs price
Home
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
15.3%
+15.2 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
67933 EUR · live
Under
2.04 · implied 49.0%
71.3%
+22.3 vs price
Over
1.93 · implied 51.8%
28.7%
-23.1 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
4569 EUR · live
Under
1.02 · implied 98.0%
89.7%
-8.3 vs price
Over
38.0 · implied 2.6%
10.3%
+7.6 vs price
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
23'
🔁
Y. Yamagishi ◂ Y. Asano
36'
🔁
H. H. Mochizuki ◂ D. Okamura
43'
R. Izumi · Foul
Half-time · 0–1
45'+7
⚽
R. Shirasaki0–1
46'
T. Akimoto · Foul
46'
🔁
T. Hara ◂ Y. Nogami
55'
⚽
H. H. Mochizuki1–1
65'
🔁
T. Koyamatsu ◂ K. Nagai
66'
🔁
T. Yengi ◂ T. Nishimura
66'
🔁
H. Shimoda ◂ R. Shirasaki
70'
🔁
Y. Sato ◂ R. Izumi
75'
⚽
A. Pisano1–2
85'
🔁
Y. Matsuo ◂ Y. Soma
85'
T. Takamine · Foul
86'
🔁
M. Duke ◂ K. Ogawa
Full-time · 1–3
90'+7
⚽
Y. Matsuo1–3
Coaches
Mihailo PetrovicGo Kuroda 
Recent form
Nagoya GrampusLASanfrecce Hiroshima0-3
WHFagiano Okayama2-1
LHGainare Tottori1-3
WHGamba Osaka3-1
LAKashima Antlers1-2
Machida ZelviaWHKawasaki Frontale2-1
DAMito Hollyhock1-1
WHIwate Grulla Morioka3-0
WHUrawa Red Diamonds3-1
WAJEF United Chiba4-0
Where to watch
DAZN
Match facts
Stadium
Toyota Stadium
City
Toyota
Kickoff
06 Sep, 09:00 UTC
Competition
J1 League
Highlights & clips
Nagoya Grampus
3-4-2-1 · 3-4-2-1
Machida Zelvia
35
A. Pisano
6.6
70
T. Hara
6.3
↑ 46'
13
H. Fujii
7.2
55
S. Tokumoto
5.9
3
Y. Sato
6.5
↑ 70'
15
S. Inagaki
6.7
31
T. Takamine
6.9
27
K. Nakayama
6.3
11
Y. Yamagishi
6.1
↑ 23'
22
Y. Kimura
6.1
58
T. Koyamatsu
6.3
↑ 65'
1
K. Tani
6.9
6
H. H. Mochizuki
6.1
↑ 36'
4
R. Kikuchi
7.1
3
G. Shoji
7.2
88
H. Nakamura
6.8
18
H. Shimoda
6.6
↑ 66'
16
H. Mae
7.3
33
T. Akimoto
6.8
99
T. Yengi
6.5
↑ 66'
14
Y. Matsuo
7.5
↑ 85'
15
M. Duke
6.4
↑ 86'
Substitutes
1GD. Schmidt
2DY. Nogami↓ 46'6.6
9MY. Asano↓ 23'6.3
14MT. Morishima
19MH. Koda
33MT. Kikuchi
41MM. Ono
7FR. Izumi↓ 70'6.5
18FK. Nagai↓ 65'6.4
Coach: Mihailo Petrovic
Top stats
61%Possession39%
0.94Expected goals (xG)3.14
12Total shots12
1Shots on target5
1Big chances7
6Corners2
Shots
4Shots off target5
7Blocked shots2
10Shots inside box10
2Shots outside box2
0Hit woodwork2
0Big chances scored2
1Big chances missed5
Attack
29Touches in box27
72Final third entries49
2Offsides1
15Free kicks11
3Fouled in final third0
Passing
483Passes320
418Accurate passes246
34/62 (55%)Long balls22/52 (42%)
5/33 (15%)Crosses6/16 (38%)
22Throw-ins13
Duels
34Duels66
19/46 (41%)Ground duels27/46 (59%)
5/25 (20%)Aerial duels20/25 (80%)
1/5 (20%)Dribbles3/5 (60%)
9Dispossessed2
Defending
4Tackles13
25Tackles won69
3Interceptions8
21Clearances43
37Recoveries42
Discipline
11Fouls15
2Yellow cards1
Goalkeeping
2Saves1
7Goal kicks6
0Punches2
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers
Who winsMachida to win (DNB) 68% · 1.65 @ Betano
1X2Machida to win 43% · 2.50 @ Bet365
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 74% · 1.41 @ Unibet
CornersUnder 8.5 corners 50% · 2.12 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 62% · 1.68 @ Pinnacle
BTTSBoth teams to score 56% · 3.25 @ Bet365
1X2Draw 27% · 2.51 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 52% · 4.33 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 76% · 2.12 @ Unibet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 66% · 1.37 @ Pinnacle
1X2Nagoya to win 30% · 3.50 @ Unibet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
3.13
Nagoya Grampus
3.43
Draw
2.17
Machida Zelvia
Double Chanceconsensus
1.65
Nagoya Grampus or Draw
1.29
Nagoya Grampus or Machida Zelvia
1.33
Draw or Machida Zelvia
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.62
Yes
2.15
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
5.50
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
3.90
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50
10.50
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.25
Over 1.50
3.60
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.85
Over 2.50
1.95
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.10
Over 3.50
1.33
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
6.50
Over 4.50
1.09
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
2.20
Nagoya Grampus
1.61
Machida Zelvia
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.35
Over 7.50
2.77
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.64
Over 8.50
2.12
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
2.07
Over 9.50
1.68
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.59
Over 10.50
1.39
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
3.36
Over 11.50
1.22
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
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