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Shigetoshi Hasebe
Kawasaki Frontale
Shimizu S-Pulse
Kawasaki Frontale
4-2-3-1 · 4-3-3
Shimizu S-Pulse
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
112165 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
78.6%
-20.4 vs price
Draw
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
17.2%
+17.1 vs price
Away
950.0 · implied 0.1%
4.2%
+4.1 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
109984 EUR · live
Over
1.81 · implied 55.2%
75.0%
+19.8 vs price
Under
2.24 · implied 44.6%
25.0%
-19.7 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
2363 EUR · live
Under
1.27 · implied 78.7%
91.7%
+13.0 vs price
Over
5.6 · implied 17.9%
8.3%
-9.6 vs price
10 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
1'
⚽
K. Mochiyama · assist A. Sasaki1–0
27'
T. Fujii · Foul
40'
J. R. Sumiyoshi · Professional foul last man
44'
🔁
S. Park ◂ K. Matsuzaki
Half-time · 1–0
46'
🔁
D. Lacerda ◂ K. Mochiyama
46'
🔁
Marcinho ◂ K. Konno
57'
🔁
K. Inoue ◂ T. Fujii
57'
🔁
O. Se-Hun ◂ K. Kosuke
58'
🔁
M. Brunetti ◂ Y. Yoshida
68'
⚽
O. Se-Hun (pen)1–1
72'
Marcinho · Foul
73'
🔁
Y. Ozeki ◂ K. Tachibanada
77'
⚽
Marcinho · assist D. Lacerda2–1
80'
M. Brunetti · Argument
82'
🔁
S. Miura ◂ A. Sasaki
83'
Y. Takahashi · Foul
86'
🔁
K. Kozuka ◂ Y. Shimamoto
Full-time · 3–1
90'
⚽
Marcinho · assist Y. Wakizaka3–1
90'+3
🔁
S. Yamaichi ◂ T. Ito
Coaches
Shigetoshi HasebeTakayuki Yoshida 
Recent form
Kawasaki FrontaleLAMachida Zelvia1-2
WHJEF United Chiba4-2
WHTochigi SC3-1
DASanfrecce Hiroshima1-1
DHKyoto Sanga FC2-2
Shimizu S-PulseDHFC Tokyo1-1
LHKashiwa Reysol0-1
WHFC Osaka2-1
LACerezo Osaka0-1
WHShonan Bellmare1-0
Where to watch
DAZN
Match facts
Stadium
National Olympic Stadium
City
Tokyo
Kickoff
06 Sep, 10:00 UTC
Competition
J1 League
Highlights & clips
Kawasaki Frontale
4-2-3-1 · 4-3-3
Shimizu S-Pulse
49
S. Brodersen
7.4
29
R. Yamahara
6.8
22
F. Uremović
7.0
28
Y. Maruyama
6.4
13
S. Miura
6.8
↑ 82'
16
Y. Ozeki
6.8
↑ 73'
6
Y. Yamamoto
7.5
23
Marcinho
9.5
↑ 46'
14
Y. Wakizaka
7.2
25
S. Yamaichi
↑ 90'
97
D. Lacerda
7.0
↑ 46'
16
T. Umeda
7.5
24
H. Sugai
5.9
3
Y. Takahashi
6.9
51
J. R. Sumiyoshi
5.7
25
M. Brunetti
6.6
↑ 58'
81
K. Kozuka
6.4
↑ 86'
13
R. Germain
6.6
17
M. Yumiba
6.2
14
S. Park
5.9
↑ 44'
8
K. Inoue
6.4
↑ 57'
9
O. Se-Hun
7.7
↑ 57'
Substitutes
1GL. Yamaguchi
5DA. Sasaki↓ 82'7.5
3DH. Taniguchi
4DP. Romano
17MT. Ito↓ 90'7.4
18MK. Konno↓ 46'7.1
8MK. Tachibanada↓ 73'6.5
19MS. Kawahara
20FK. Mochiyama↓ 46'7.4
Coach: Shigetoshi Hasebe
Substitutes
1GY. Oki
28DY. Yoshida↓ 58'6.3
70DS. Takagi
21MK. Matsuzaki↓ 44'7.0
47MY. Shimamoto↓ 86'6.6
50MT. Fujii↓ 57'6.2
6MD. J. Won
7MCapixaba
19FK. Kosuke↓ 57'7.2
Coach: Takayuki Yoshida
Top stats
56%Possession44%
4.55Expected goals (xG)1.84
25Total shots13
9Shots on target4
5Big chances2
8Corners5
Shots
7Shots off target5
9Blocked shots4
15Shots inside box9
10Shots outside box4
1Hit woodwork0
2Big chances scored1
3Big chances missed1
Attack
46Touches in box22
58Final third entries61
4Offsides0
11Free kicks15
1Fouled in final third2
Passing
488Passes365
426Accurate passes291
12/38 (32%)Long balls24/52 (46%)
5/12 (42%)Crosses7/18 (39%)
8Throw-ins27
Duels
53Duels47
37/64 (58%)Ground duels27/64 (42%)
12/29 (41%)Aerial duels17/29 (59%)
9/13 (69%)Dribbles3/9 (33%)
6Dispossessed12
Defending
18Tackles10
61Tackles won60
13Interceptions4
22Clearances19
43Recoveries30
Discipline
16Fouls11
1Yellow cards3
0Red cards1
Goalkeeping
3Saves5
5Goal kicks8
0Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers
BTTSBoth teams to score 60% · 2.80 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 59% · 3.75 @ William Hill
Who winsKawasaki to win (DNB) 66% · 1.40 @ 10bet
1X2Kawasaki to win 50% · 2.20 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 80% · 1.85 @ William Hill
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 68% · 1.57 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 56% · 1.93 @ Pinnacle
1X2Draw 25% · 2.75 @ Unibet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 56% · 1.48 @ Pinnacle
1X2Shimizu to win 25% · 3.75 @ Bet365
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 60% · 1.50 @ 10bet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.85
Kawasaki Frontale
3.70
Draw
3.85
Shimizu S-Pulse
Double Chanceconsensus
1.24
Kawasaki Frontale or Draw
1.22
Kawasaki Frontale or Shimizu S-Pulse
1.90
Draw or Shimizu S-Pulse
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.59
Yes
2.20
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
3.67
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
7.50
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50
12.80
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.19
Over 1.50
4.42
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.61
Over 2.50
2.25
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.55
Over 3.50
1.49
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
4.62
Over 4.50
1.18
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.37
Kawasaki Frontale
2.80
Shimizu S-Pulse
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.25
Over 7.50
3.15
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.48
Over 8.50
2.38
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.82
Over 9.50
1.92
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.25
Over 10.50
1.53
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.88
Over 11.50
1.31
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.8%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.8%.
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