FC Tokyo 1-0 Nagoya Grampus: Stats, xG & Lineups

Commentary

90'

Full-time. FC Tokyo 1-0 Nagoya Grampus.

90+5'

K. Nakayama

Yellow card for K. Nakayama (Nagoya Grampus) for foul.

90+4'

Mateus

Attempt missed. Mateus (Nagoya Grampus), left-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.04.

90+3'

K. Hashimoto

Yellow card for K. Hashimoto (FC Tokyo) for foul.

90'

5 minutes of added time.

88'

Nagoya Grampus

Offside, Nagoya Grampus.

88'

H. Koda

Attempt blocked. H. Koda (Nagoya Grampus), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

79'

Y. Kimura

Substitution, Nagoya Grampus: T. Koyamatsu comes on for Y. Kimura.

78'

T. Takamine

Attempt missed. T. Takamine (Nagoya Grampus), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

78'

R. Matsuhashi

Yellow card for R. Matsuhashi (FC Tokyo) for argument.

77'

K. Sato

Substitution, FC Tokyo: H. Ishihara comes on for K. Sato.

77'

K. Bangnagande

Substitution, FC Tokyo: M. Morishige comes on for K. Bangnagande.

75'

T. Uchida

Substitution, Nagoya Grampus: T. Morishima comes on for T. Uchida.

75'

R. Izumi

Substitution, Nagoya Grampus: H. Koda comes on for R. Izumi.

73'

H. Fujii

Attempt blocked. H. Fujii (Nagoya Grampus), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

73'

Mateus

Attempt missed. Mateus (Nagoya Grampus), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

70'

M. Ryan

Substitution, FC Tokyo: K. Hashimoto comes on for M. Ryan.

68'

T. Ko

Second yellow card for T. Ko (FC Tokyo), who is sent off.

66'

Y. Kimura

Attempt blocked. Y. Kimura (Nagoya Grampus), right-footed shot. xG 0.05.

65'

K. Nakayama

Attempt saved. K. Nakayama (Nagoya Grampus), right-footed shot. xG 0.05.

65'

Nagoya Grampus

Corner, Nagoya Grampus.

64'

T. Ko

Attempt missed. T. Ko (FC Tokyo), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.03.

61'

K. Sato

Yellow card for K. Sato (FC Tokyo) for foul.

61'

Y. Yamagishi

Substitution, Nagoya Grampus: Mateus comes on for Y. Yamagishi.

58'

K. Tawaratsumida

Substitution, FC Tokyo: M. Nagakura comes on for K. Tawaratsumida.

56'

K. Tawaratsumida

Goal! FC Tokyo 1-0 Nagoya Grampus. K. Tawaratsumida (FC Tokyo) scores, assisted by K. Bangnagande.

56'

T. Hara

Attempt blocked. T. Hara (Nagoya Grampus), right-footed shot. xG 0.05.

52'

K. Tawaratsumida

Attempt missed. K. Tawaratsumida (FC Tokyo), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

49'

Y. Kimura

Attempt saved. Y. Kimura (Nagoya Grampus), right-footed shot. xG 0.05.

46'

Nagoya Grampus

Corner, Nagoya Grampus.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. FC Tokyo 0-0 Nagoya Grampus.

45+2'

M. Ryan

Attempt blocked. M. Ryan (FC Tokyo), right-footed shot. xG 0.09.

45+2'

FC Tokyo

Offside, FC Tokyo.

45'

2 minutes of added time.

43'

Y. Yamagishi

Attempt missed. Y. Yamagishi (Nagoya Grampus), left-footed shot. xG 0.13.

41'

Nagoya Grampus

Corner, Nagoya Grampus.

31'

M. Ryan

Attempt missed. M. Ryan (FC Tokyo), right-footed shot. xG 0.07.

26'

Y. Kimura

Off the woodwork! Y. Kimura (Nagoya Grampus), header from a corner. xG 0.05.

25'

Nagoya Grampus

Corner, Nagoya Grampus.

25'

Y. Yamagishi

Attempt blocked. Y. Yamagishi (Nagoya Grampus), right-footed shot. xG 0.05.

24'

K. Tawaratsumida

Attempt blocked. K. Tawaratsumida (FC Tokyo), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.01.

23'

FC Tokyo

Corner, FC Tokyo.

17'

K. Sato

Attempt saved. K. Sato (FC Tokyo), right-footed shot. xG 0.14.

12'

Y. Kimura

Attempt missed. Y. Kimura (Nagoya Grampus), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

10'

K. Tokiwa

Attempt blocked. K. Tokiwa (FC Tokyo), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

9'

Y. Kimura

Attempt blocked. Y. Kimura (Nagoya Grampus), right-footed shot. xG 0.05.

7'

T. Ko

Yellow card for T. Ko (FC Tokyo) for foul.

1'

K. Tokiwa

Attempt blocked. K. Tokiwa (FC Tokyo), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.02.

1'

Kick-off: FC Tokyo vs Nagoya Grampus.

Where the money is

477083 EUR matched · captured 1 month, 2 weeks ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 189929 EUR · live

Home 1.02 · implied 98.0%

74.0%

-24.0 vs price

Draw 28.0 · implied 3.6%

18.5%

+14.9 vs price

Away 310.0 · implied 0.3%

7.5%

+7.1 vs price

Half time 1327 EUR · live

Draw 1.91 · implied 52.4%

65.7%

+13.3 vs price

Home 2.9 · implied 34.5%

29.4%

-5.1 vs price

Away 6.8 · implied 14.7%

4.8%

-9.9 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 64682 EUR · live

Under 1.01 · implied 99.0%

72.9%

-26.1 vs price

Over 110.0 · implied 0.9%

27.1%

+26.2 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 1265 EUR · live

Under 1.03 · implied 97.1%

84.5%

-12.6 vs price

Over 25.0 · implied 4.0%

15.4%

+11.4 vs price

12 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG (estimated)

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 1 clip

Player of the match

Match events

7' T. Ko · Foul

Half-time · 0–0

56' ⚽ K. Tawaratsumida · assist K. Bangnagande1–0

58' 🔁 M. Nagakura ◂ K. Tawaratsumida

61' K. Sato · Foul

61' 🔁 Mateus ◂ Y. Yamagishi

68' T. Ko · Foul

70' 🔁 K. Hashimoto ◂ M. Ryan

75' 🔁 H. Koda ◂ R. Izumi

75' 🔁 T. Morishima ◂ T. Uchida

77' 🔁 M. Morishige ◂ K. Bangnagande

77' 🔁 H. Ishihara ◂ K. Sato

78' R. Matsuhashi · Argument

79' 🔁 T. Koyamatsu ◂ Y. Kimura

Full-time · 1–0

90'⁺³ K. Hashimoto · Foul

90'⁺⁵ K. Nakayama · Foul

Coaches

Rikizo Matsuhashi

Mihailo Petrovic

Recent form

FC Tokyo

WAGamba Osaka2-0

WHKyoto Sanga FC2-0

DAShimizu S-Pulse1-1

WAV-Varen Nagasaki3-0

WHAC Nagano Parceiro6-0

Nagoya Grampus

LAV-Varen Nagasaki0-2

LHMachida Zelvia1-3

LASanfrecce Hiroshima0-3

WHFagiano Okayama2-1

LHGainare Tottori1-3

About this match

**FC Tokyo are absolutely cruising right now** — four wins in their last five while Nagoya are stuck in a proper slump. This looks like a home team workout. ⚽

Tokyo's on a tear with back-to-back clean sheets, and Nagoya have conceded 8 goals in their last three games. The form gap is massive here. Grampus need to tighten up fast or this could get ugly.

Key storylines:

- **FC Tokyo's defense** has barely been breached lately — **K. Seung-gyu** and the backline will be quietly confident against a struggling Nagoya attack
- **Nagoya's away form is rough** — they've lost three straight on the road and face a Tokyo side that's unbeaten at home in this sequence
- **Midfield control** matters: **S. Homma** and **T. Ko** should dominate possession against a leaky Grampus setup

Expected lineups:

- **FC Tokyo**: K. Seung-gyu, K. Hashimoto, A. Scholz, H. Inamura, S. Muroya, S. Homma, T. Ko, K. Sato, M. Nagakura, M. Ryan
- **Nagoya Grampus**: A. Pisano, S. Tokumoto, H. Fujii, Y. Nogami, T. Hara, K. Nakayama, S. Inagaki, T. Takamine, R. Izumi, Y. Kimura, Y. Yamagishi

Prediction:

**FC Tokyo 2–0 Nagoya Grampus**. Tokyo's form and home record give them the clear edge here. 🎯

Where to watch

Betano

Match facts

Stadium

National Olympic Stadium

City

Tokyo

Referee

César Ramos Palazuelos

4.40 yellows/match · 43 matches

Kickoff

19 Sep, 10:00 UTC

Competition

J1 League

Highlights & clips

FC Tokyo 4-4-2 · 3-4-2-1 Nagoya Grampus

81 K. Seung-gyu 7.2 2 S. Muroya 6.9 24 A. Scholz 7.8 4 H. Inamura 7.3 22 H. Ishihara 6.8 ↑ 77' 7 S. Anzai 7.1 27 K. Tokiwa 7.1 8 T. Ko 6.1 26 M. Nagakura 6.7 ↑ 58' 3 M. Morishige 6.7 ↑ 77' 18 K. Hashimoto 6.6 ↑ 70' 1 D. Schmidt 7.4 70 T. Hara 6.5 13 H. Fujii 7.7 55 S. Tokumoto 6.7 19 H. Koda 6.6 ↑ 75' 15 S. Inagaki 7.3 31 T. Takamine 8.1 27 K. Nakayama 6.7 14 T. Morishima 6.5 ↑ 75' 58 T. Koyamatsu 6.5 ↑ 79' 10 Mateus 6.4 ↑ 61'

Substitutes

1GH. Tanaka 6DK. Bangnagande↓ 77'7.2 15DR. Omori 33MK. Tawaratsumida↓ 58'7.6 10MK. Sato↓ 77'6.8 44MK. Suzuki 71MF. Yamada 9FM. Ryan↓ 70'6.3 39FT. Nakagawa

Coach: Rikizo Matsuhashi

Substitutes

36GH. Hagi 3DY. Sato 2DY. Nogami 17MT. Uchida↓ 75'6.6 41MM. Ono 33MT. Kikuchi 11FY. Yamagishi↓ 61'6.5 7FR. Izumi↓ 75'6.4 22FY. Kimura↓ 79'6.0

Coach: Mihailo Petrovic

Top stats

38%Possession62%

0.85Expected goals (xG)0.83

9Total shots14

2Shots on target2

1Big chances0

2Corners4

Shots

3Shots off target6

4Blocked shots6

2Shots inside box5

7Shots outside box9

0Hit woodwork1

1Big chances missed0

Attack

13Touches in box22

55Final third entries75

1Offsides2

12Free kicks19

2Fouled in final third3

Passing

350Passes555

282Accurate passes477

26/63 (41%)Long balls35/61 (57%)

3/10 (30%)Crosses4/22 (18%)

14Throw-ins9

Duels

45Duels55

24/59 (41%)Ground duels35/59 (59%)

12/21 (57%)Aerial duels9/21 (43%)

2/9 (22%)Dribbles6/12 (50%)

4Dispossessed4

Defending

10Tackles11

70Tackles won73

7Interceptions6

31Clearances22

43Recoveries51

Discipline

19Fouls12

4Yellow cards1

1Red cards0

Goalkeeping

2Saves1

2Big saves1

8Goal kicks3

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers

Tokyo 57%

23%

Nagoya 20%

Who winsTokyo to win (DNB) 74% · 1.22 @ Novibet

1X2Tokyo to win 57% · 2.10 @ William Hill

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 58% · 3.90 @ William Hill

BTTSBoth teams to score 58% · 3.25 @ William Hill

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 80% · 1.91 @ William Hill

CornersOver 8.5 corners 59% · 1.62 @ Pinnacle

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 65% · 1.39 @ 1xBet

CornersUnder 9.5 corners 53% · 1.70 @ Pinnacle

1X2Draw 23% · 2.75 @ 1xBet

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 61% · 1.52 @ Pinnacle

1X2Nagoya to win 20% · 4.75 @ 1xBet

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

1.60

FC Tokyo

4.00

Draw

4.80

Nagoya Grampus

Double Chanceconsensus

1.16

FC Tokyo or Draw

1.22

FC Tokyo or Nagoya Grampus

2.34

Draw or Nagoya Grampus

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.75

Yes

1.95

No

Home Win to Nilconsensus

2.80

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

9.00

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.02

Over 0.50

12.65

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.19

Over 1.50

4.45

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.65

Over 2.50

2.20

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

2.63

Over 3.50

1.46

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

5.00

Over 4.50

1.15

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.19

FC Tokyo

4.30

Nagoya Grampus

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.33

Over 7.50

2.78

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.62

Over 8.50

2.18

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

2.04

Over 9.50

1.69

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

2.55

Over 10.50

1.39

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

3.20

Over 11.50

1.21

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.

FC Tokyo to win or draw

✓

80% confidence

A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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