Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**Shimizu's home fortress meets struggling Chiba — and the hosts have absolutely owned this fixture.** S-Pulse are sitting pretty at the Nihondaira with a perfect 5-0-1 head-to-head record, and Chiba look about as organized as a wet napkin right now 🔥
S-Pulse mixed results mask a decent home draw against FC Tokyo, while Chiba keep picking up scraps (1W in five). The visitors haven't beaten these guys in forever, and momentum isn't helping their case either.
Key storylines:
- **Shimizu's home dominance** continues against a Chiba side that's winless in two — the head-to-head tells the whole story
- **Capixaba and Matsuzaki** lead the attack against a JEF backline that shipped two goals to Okayama last time out
- **Indio and Erison** need to spark something creative, but Chiba's midfield has been painfully quiet
Expected lineups:
- **Shimizu S-Pulse**: T. Umeda, Y. Yoshida, Y. Honda, M. Brunetti, Capixaba, R. Germain, K. Matsuzaki
- **JEF United Chiba**: J. Suárez, M. Hidaka, D. Hall, T. Kawano, Indio, D. Ishikawa, Erison
Prediction:
**2-0 Shimizu** — They're relentless at home, and Chiba have no answer for what's coming.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.5%.
Report a data issue
Spotted something wrong on this match? Tell us what and we'll fix it.