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Cerezo Osaka
Yokohama F. Marinos
Cerezo Osaka
Cerezo Osaka
Yokohama F. Marinos
Yokohama F. Marinos
Yokohama F. Marinos
Yokohama F. Marinos
Cerezo Osaka
Yokohama F. Marinos
Yokohama F. Marinos
Cerezo Osaka
Cerezo Osaka
Cerezo Osaka
Yokohama F. Marinos
Pablo Machin
Cerezo Osaka
Yokohama F. Marinos
Cerezo Osaka
3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1
Yokohama F. Marinos
Commentary
90'
Full-time. Cerezo Osaka 0-0 Yokohama F. Marinos.
90+4'
Cerezo Osaka
Corner, Cerezo Osaka.
90+2'
Yokohama F. Marinos
Corner, Yokohama F. Marinos.
90'
5 minutes of added time.
86'
Cerezo Osaka
Corner, Cerezo Osaka.
70'
Cerezo Osaka
Corner, Cerezo Osaka.
68'
Yokohama F. Marinos
Offside, Yokohama F. Marinos.
60'
Yokohama F. Marinos
Corner, Yokohama F. Marinos.
54'
Yokohama F. Marinos
Corner, Yokohama F. Marinos.
51'
Yokohama F. Marinos
Offside, Yokohama F. Marinos.
46'
The second half is under way.
45'
Half-time. Cerezo Osaka 0-0 Yokohama F. Marinos.
45'
6 minutes of added time.
42'
Cerezo Osaka
Corner, Cerezo Osaka.
38'
Yokohama F. Marinos
Offside, Yokohama F. Marinos.
37'
Yokohama F. Marinos
Corner, Yokohama F. Marinos.
36'
Cerezo Osaka
Offside, Cerezo Osaka.
16'
Cerezo Osaka
Offside, Cerezo Osaka.
14'
Cerezo Osaka
Corner, Cerezo Osaka.
12'
Attempt missed. J. Amano (Yokohama F. Marinos), left-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.04.
6'
Yokohama F. Marinos
Corner, Yokohama F. Marinos.
1'
Kick-off: Cerezo Osaka vs Yokohama F. Marinos.
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
40735 EUR · live
Draw
1.12 · implied 89.3%
35.3%
-54.0 vs price
Home
16.0 · implied 6.2%
34.6%
+28.4 vs price
Away
22.0 · implied 4.5%
30.1%
+25.5 vs price
Half time
215 EUR · live
Draw
1.93 · implied 51.8%
93.5%
+41.7 vs price
Home
3.6 · implied 27.8%
6.1%
-21.7 vs price
Away
3.65 · implied 27.4%
0.0%
-27.4 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
60837 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
91.0%
-8.0 vs price
Over
65.0 · implied 1.5%
9.0%
+7.5 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
5244 EUR · live
Under
1.03 · implied 97.1%
96.2%
-0.9 vs price
Over
32.0 · implied 3.1%
3.8%
+0.7 vs price
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
10'
J. Hernández · Foul
26'
A. Ohata · Foul
32'
VAR
Card check · R. Inoue
Half-time · 0–0
50'
J. Irvine · Foul
53'
🔁
T. Takahashi ◂ J. Hernández
62'
🔁
Y. Komi ◂ L. Fernandes
66'
T. Kimura · Foul
71'
🔁
K. Okazawa ◂ Y. Yokoyama
72'
🔁
S. Kagawa ◂ P. Sabbag
75'
🔁
J. Croux ◂ R. Miyaichi
75'
🔁
D. Tono ◂ J. Amano
82'
🔁
J. Onaiwu ◂ T. Kondo
82'
🔁
R. Nitta ◂ K. Tanimura
89'
🔁
K. Chinen ◂ K. Matsumura
Full-time · 0–0
90'+2
S. Kagawa · Argument
Coaches
Pablo MachinSteve Corica 
Recent form
Cerezo OsakaWHKagoshima United2-0
DAV-Varen Nagasaki1-1
LASanfrecce Hiroshima1-6
DHTokyo Verdy0-0
WHKashiwa Reysol2-0
Yokohama F. MarinosWHKyoto Sangyo University2-1
WHMito Hollyhock2-0
DAMachida Zelvia1-1
WAKashiwa Reysol2-0
DHKyoto Sanga FC1-1
About this match
**Cerezo's got the historical edge at home, but Yokohama's in way better form.** This is a throwback matchup with plenty of intrigue — Osaka's hunt for consistency versus Marinos' upward trajectory. 🔥
Cerezo have won 14 of their last 29 head-to-heads, yet they're wobbling domestically after that 6-1 shellacking to Hiroshima. Yokohama are clicking, though — two wins in their last three road games and solid control across the board.
Key storylines:
- **Cerezo need L. Fernandes sharp up front** after a forgettable stretch in attack; Yokohama's K. Tanimura brings pace and directness
- **Yokohama's midfield pairing of K. Chinen and K. Matsumura** will press Cerezo's D. Cools and T. Nakamura in transition
- **Home advantage at Yodokou** is real historically, but form says Marinos have the momentum
Expected lineups:
- **Cerezo Osaka**: K. Nakamura, A. Ohata, R. Inoue, D. Cools, T. Nakamura, S. Tanaka, J. Irvine, T. Andrade, L. Fernandes
- **Yokohama F. Marinos**: H. Ilkura, K. Sekitomi, J. Quiñónes, K. Suwama, K. Chinen, K. Matsumura, S. Miidera, J. Amano, K. Tanimura
Prediction:
**1-1** — Yokohama's tighter shape edges the possession battle, but Cerezo's home record keeps it level. Slight lean Marinos to avoid defeat.
Match facts
Stadium
Yodokou Sakura Stadium
City
Osaka
Kickoff
10 Oct, 05:00 UTC
Competition
J1 League
Highlights & clips
Cerezo Osaka
3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1
Yokohama F. Marinos
23
K. Nakamura
6.8
27
D. Cools
8.1
4
R. Inoue
7.7
97
T. Takahashi
6.5
↑ 53'
16
H. Okuda
7.6
10
S. Tanaka
6.4
36
J. Irvine
6.7
66
A. Ohata
7.3
41
Y. Komi
6.5
↑ 62'
28
K. Okazawa
6.6
↑ 71'
8
S. Kagawa
6.7
↑ 72'
21
H. Ilkura
7.2
34
T. Kimura
6.9
17
J. Quiñónes
7.3
33
K. Suwama
7.0
25
T. Suzuki
6.5
14
K. Chinen
↑ 89'
28
R. Yamane
6.7
18
J. Onaiwu
6.4
↑ 82'
7
D. Tono
6.7
↑ 75'
11
J. Croux
7.0
↑ 75'
43
R. Nitta
6.6
↑ 82'
Substitutes
31GK. Abe
15DJ. Hernández↓ 53'6.8
2DT. Nakamura
77ML. Fernandes↓ 62'7.2
14MY. Yokoyama↓ 71'6.5
7MS. Uejo
17MR. Sakata
19FP. Sabbag↓ 72'6.4
45FK. Nagasoe
Coach: Pablo Machin
Substitutes
1GP. Il-Kyu
54DS. Fujii
13DT. Inoue
24MT. Kondo↓ 82'7.5
41MK. Matsumura↓ 89'7.3
40MJ. Amano↓ 75'6.5
8MT. Kida
23FR. Miyaichi↓ 75'6.5
9FK. Tanimura↓ 82'6.2
Coach: Steve Corica
Top stats
51%Possession49%
0.49Expected goals (xG)1.28
11Total shots12
2Shots on target1
5Corners4
Shots
9Shots off target7
0Blocked shots4
8Shots inside box11
3Shots outside box1
Attack
21Touches in box26
57Final third entries72
2Offsides3
13Free kicks11
1Fouled in final third2
Passing
376Passes359
283Accurate passes276
31/72 (43%)Long balls23/63 (37%)
5/19 (26%)Crosses9/25 (36%)
22Throw-ins17
Duels
55Duels45
40/73 (55%)Ground duels33/73 (45%)
21/38 (55%)Aerial duels17/38 (45%)
7/13 (54%)Dribbles5/16 (31%)
11Dispossessed9
Defending
20Tackles17
70Tackles won59
14Interceptions13
15Clearances22
42Recoveries50
Discipline
11Fouls13
4Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
Goalkeeping
1Saves2
11Goal kicks10
2Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
BTTSBoth teams to score 59% · 3.00 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 56% · 3.80 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 78% · 1.91 @ 1xBet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 60% · 1.32 @ 1xBet
1X2Draw 26% · 2.60 @ Bet365
1X2Yokohama FM to win 32% · 3.12 @ 1xBet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 64% · 1.87 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 52% · 2.32 @ Pinnacle
1X2Cerezo Osaka to win 42% · 2.70 @ William Hill
Who winsCerezo Osaka to win (DNB) 52% · 1.67 @ Betsson
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 64% · 1.48 @ Pinnacle
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.26
Cerezo Osaka
3.35
Draw
2.90
Yokohama F. Marinos
Double Chanceconsensus
1.38
Cerezo Osaka or Draw
1.29
Cerezo Osaka or Yokohama F. Marinos
1.60
Draw or Yokohama F. Marinos
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.57
Yes
2.25
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
4.20
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
5.80
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.03
Over 0.50
11.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.20
Over 1.50
4.00
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.72
Over 2.50
2.11
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.75
Over 3.50
1.40
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.25
Over 4.50
1.13
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.65
Cerezo Osaka
2.10
Yokohama F. Marinos
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.15
Over 7.50
4.30
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.32
Over 8.50
3.00
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.56
Over 9.50
2.29
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
1.92
Over 10.50
1.83
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.42
Over 11.50
1.50
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
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