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Machida Zelvia
Kyoto Sanga FC
Machida Zelvia
Machida Zelvia
Machida Zelvia
Machida Zelvia
Kyoto Sanga FC
R. Popović
Machida Zelvia
Kyoto Sanga FC
Kyoto Sanga FC
Kyoto Sanga FC
Machida Zelvia
Kyoto Sanga FC
Kyoto Sanga FC
Kyoto Sanga FC
Machida Zelvia
Machida Zelvia
Kyoto Sanga FC
Kyoto Sanga FC
Ranko Popović
Kyoto Sanga FC
Machida Zelvia
Kyoto Sanga FC
3-4-2-1 · 3-4-2-1
Machida Zelvia
Commentary
90'
Full-time. Kyoto Sanga FC 0-1 Machida Zelvia.
90+4'
Machida Zelvia
Corner, Machida Zelvia.
90'
5 minutes of added time.
88'
Kyoto Sanga FC
Offside, Kyoto Sanga FC.
85'
Machida Zelvia
Corner, Machida Zelvia.
85'
Attempt blocked. T. Ouwejan (Machida Zelvia), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.02.
85'
Machida Zelvia
Corner, Machida Zelvia.
80'
Machida Zelvia
Corner, Machida Zelvia.
79'
Machida Zelvia
Corner, Machida Zelvia.
74'
Kyoto Sanga FC
Corner, Kyoto Sanga FC.
70'
R. Popović
Yellow card for R. Popović (Kyoto Sanga FC) for argument.
67'
Machida Zelvia
Corner, Machida Zelvia.
62'
Attempt saved. H. H. Mochizuki (Machida Zelvia), header from a throw-in. xG 0.04.
54'
Kyoto Sanga FC
Corner, Kyoto Sanga FC.
51'
Kyoto Sanga FC
Offside, Kyoto Sanga FC.
50'
Kyoto Sanga FC
Offside, Kyoto Sanga FC.
46'
The second half is under way.
45'
Half-time. Kyoto Sanga FC 0-0 Machida Zelvia.
45+3'
Machida Zelvia
Corner, Machida Zelvia.
45'
2 minutes of added time.
39'
Kyoto Sanga FC
Offside, Kyoto Sanga FC.
30'
Kyoto Sanga FC
Offside, Kyoto Sanga FC.
22'
Attempt blocked. Rafael Elias (Kyoto Sanga FC), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.05.
13'
Kyoto Sanga FC
Offside, Kyoto Sanga FC.
11'
Machida Zelvia
Corner, Machida Zelvia.
11'
Machida Zelvia
Corner, Machida Zelvia.
2'
Kyoto Sanga FC
Corner, Kyoto Sanga FC.
2'
Kyoto Sanga FC
Corner, Kyoto Sanga FC.
1'
Kick-off: Kyoto Sanga FC vs Machida Zelvia.
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
178040 EUR · live
Away
1.04 · implied 96.2%
73.5%
-22.7 vs price
Draw
22.0 · implied 4.5%
17.7%
+13.1 vs price
Home
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
8.8%
+8.7 vs price
Half time
1151 EUR · live
Away
4.1 · implied 24.4%
53.7%
+29.3 vs price
Draw
1.76 · implied 56.8%
32.1%
-24.7 vs price
Home
5.4 · implied 18.5%
14.1%
-4.4 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
113209 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
94.0%
-5.0 vs price
Over
120.0 · implied 0.8%
6.0%
+5.1 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
1993 EUR · live
Under
1.03 · implied 97.1%
88.0%
-9.1 vs price
Over
40.0 · implied 2.5%
12.0%
+9.5 vs price
14 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
26'
T. Yengi · Argument
29'
🔁
A. Souza ◂ Rafael Elias
Half-time · 0–0
58'
🔁
H. H. Mochizuki ◂ H. Nakamura
58'
🔁
T. Akimoto ◂ T. Nishimura
69'
🔁
S. Yoon ◂ R. Nakano
69'
🔁
Maceió ◂ R. Kato
70'
Maceió
70'
R. Popović · Argument
72'
🔁
M. Duke ◂ T. Yengi
72'
🔁
N. Lavi ◂ K. Sento
81'
🔁
M. Túlio ◂ H. Morooka
86'
⚽
T. Akimoto0–1
89'
🔁
I. Drešević ◂ T. Ouwejan
Full-time · 0–1
Coaches
Ranko PopovićGo Kuroda 
Recent form
Kyoto Sanga FCWHFujieda MYFC1-0
WAFagiano Okayama2-1
LHKashiwa Reysol2-3
LAFC Tokyo0-2
DAYokohama F. Marinos1-1
Machida ZelviaWHTochigi City FC2-1
LHKashiwa Reysol2-4
DHYokohama F. Marinos1-1
WANagoya Grampus3-1
WHKawasaki Frontale2-1
About this match
**Kyoto's hunt for consistency hits the road against a red-hot Machida outfit** — this is a classic mid-table clash where form matters way more than history. 🔥
Sanga are mixed bag lately (2W-1D-2L), but Machida just won't quit: three wins in five has them flying. That said, the head-to-head heavily favors Zelvia (3 wins to Kyoto's 1), so Machida arrive with serious psychological edge.
Key storylines:
- **Machida's momentum** — they've picked up wins against Tochigi City and kept things tight against Yokohama; Kyoto need to avoid being steamrolled at home
- **Kyoto's attack led by **Rafael Elias**** — he's been central to their brightest moments; Machida's defense will have to stay sharp
- **Defensive battle brewing** — both sides have shown they can grind, but Zelvia's 3-4-2 setup is designed to control the middle
Expected lineups:
- **Kyoto Sanga FC**: Halls, K. Sato, Y. Suzuki, Weverton, J. Pedro, Maceió, S. Yoon, Rafael Elias
- **Machida Zelvia**: K. Tani, T. Akimoto, G. Shoji, R. Shirasaki, H. Nakamura, Y. Soma, T. Yengi
Prediction:
**Machida 2-1 Kyoto**. Zelvia's form and head-to-head edge give them the slight favorite label here. 📍
Match facts
Stadium
Sanga Stadium by KYOCERA
City
Kyoto
Kickoff
10 Oct, 10:00 UTC
Competition
J1 League
Highlights & clips
Kyoto Sanga FC
3-4-2-1 · 3-4-2-1
Machida Zelvia
90
Halls
6.7
40
Y. Ishida
6.8
50
Y. Suzuki
7.0
15
K. Nagata
6.9
25
S. Yoon
6.5
↑ 69'
10
S. Fukuoka
6.8
11
M. Túlio
6.4
↑ 81'
44
K. Sato
6.7
38
Maceió
7.0
↑ 69'
77
H. Arai
7.3
17
A. Souza
6.8
↑ 29'
1
K. Tani
8.0
3
G. Shoji
7.4
50
D. Okamura
7.8
5
I. Drešević
↑ 89'
33
T. Akimoto
7.5
↑ 58'
16
H. Mae
7.9
31
N. Lavi
6.5
↑ 72'
7
Y. Soma
7.6
9
K. Ogawa
6.5
6
H. H. Mochizuki
6.8
↑ 58'
15
M. Duke
6.6
↑ 72'
Substitutes
1GG. Ota
26DR. Kato↓ 69'6.6
5DH. A. Tawiah
62DT. Shichi
24MH. Morooka↓ 81'7.4
48MR. Nakano↓ 69'6.6
8MT. Yonemoto
99MF. Honda
9FRafael Elias↓ 29'6.4
Coach: Ranko Popović
Top stats
39%Possession61%
1.84Expected goals (xG)1.53
17Total shots13
4Shots on target5
3Big chances0
4Corners10
Shots
6Shots off target3
7Blocked shots5
12Shots inside box8
5Shots outside box5
1Hit woodwork1
3Big chances missed0
Attack
25Touches in box23
60Final third entries61
6Offsides0
6Free kicks16
0Fouled in final third1
Passing
343Passes547
259Accurate passes465
19/54 (35%)Long balls28/53 (53%)
6/17 (35%)Crosses5/26 (19%)
13Throw-ins13
Duels
47Duels53
20/48 (42%)Ground duels28/48 (58%)
20/38 (53%)Aerial duels18/38 (47%)
5/7 (71%)Dribbles4/9 (44%)
6Dispossessed5
Defending
10Tackles8
40Tackles won50
5Interceptions7
27Clearances33
50Recoveries46
Discipline
16Fouls6
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
Goalkeeping
4Saves4
1Big saves0
8Goal kicks9
1Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 15 bookmakers
Who winsMachida to win (DNB) 61% · 1.40 @ 10bet
1X2Machida to win 45% · 2.62 @ Bet365
BTTSBoth teams to score 55% · 1.78 @ fonbet
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 53% · 1.80 @ Bet365
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 68%
1X2Draw 27% · 2.25 @ Bet365
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 56%
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 76% · 1.25 @ Bet365
CornersOver 8.5 corners 56%
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 66% · 1.36 @ Bet365
1X2Kyoto Sanga to win 28% · 3.75 @ Bet365
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
3.30
Kyoto Sanga FC
3.40
Draw
2.01
Machida Zelvia
Double Chanceconsensus
1.73
Kyoto Sanga FC or Draw
1.30
Kyoto Sanga FC or Machida Zelvia
1.33
Draw or Machida Zelvia
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.75
Yes
1.98
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50
12.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.25
Over 1.50
3.75
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.80
Over 2.50
2.00
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.00
Over 3.50
1.36
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
6.00
Over 4.50
1.12
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
2.83
Kyoto Sanga FC
1.38
Machida Zelvia
1X2 (1st Half)consensus
3.75
Kyoto Sanga FC
2.25
Draw
2.62
Machida Zelvia
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.1%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.1%.
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