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Mito Hollyhock
Mito Hollyhock
Mito Hollyhock
Shimizu S-Pulse
Mito Hollyhock
Mito Hollyhock
Mito Hollyhock
Mito Hollyhock
Mito Hollyhock
Mito Hollyhock
Daisuke Kimori
Mito Hollyhock
Shimizu S-Pulse
Mito Hollyhock
4-4-2 · 4-3-3
Shimizu S-Pulse
Commentary
90'
Full-time. Mito Hollyhock 1-2 Shimizu S-Pulse.
90+1'
Goal! Mito Hollyhock 1-2 Shimizu S-Pulse. H. Sugai (Shimizu S-Pulse) scores, assisted by T. Fujii.
90'
4 minutes of added time.
89'
Mito Hollyhock
Corner, Mito Hollyhock.
83'
Mito Hollyhock
Offside, Mito Hollyhock.
78'
Mito Hollyhock
Corner, Mito Hollyhock.
75'
Goal! Mito Hollyhock 1-1 Shimizu S-Pulse. T. Fujii (Shimizu S-Pulse) scores, assisted by Y. Shimamoto.
75'
Attempt missed. Y. Shimamoto (Shimizu S-Pulse), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.12.
74'
Shimizu S-Pulse
Corner, Shimizu S-Pulse.
48'
Goal! Mito Hollyhock 1-0 Shimizu S-Pulse. C. Kato (Mito Hollyhock) scores, assisted by K. Taniguchi.
46'
The second half is under way.
45'
Half-time. Mito Hollyhock 0-0 Shimizu S-Pulse.
45+2'
Attempt blocked. J. Okumura (Mito Hollyhock), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.04.
45+2'
Mito Hollyhock
Corner, Mito Hollyhock.
45+1'
Mito Hollyhock
Corner, Mito Hollyhock.
45+1'
Mito Hollyhock
Corner, Mito Hollyhock.
45'
3 minutes of added time.
36'
Mito Hollyhock
Corner, Mito Hollyhock.
23'
Mito Hollyhock
Corner, Mito Hollyhock.
11'
Mito Hollyhock
Offside, Mito Hollyhock.
1'
Kick-off: Mito Hollyhock vs Shimizu S-Pulse.
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
54363 EUR · live
Home
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
42.9%
+42.8 vs price
Away
1.01 · implied 99.0%
35.7%
-63.3 vs price
Draw
100.0 · implied 1.0%
29.4%
+28.4 vs price
Half time
1208 EUR · live
Draw
1.65 · implied 60.6%
51.4%
-9.2 vs price
Away
4.4 · implied 22.7%
39.8%
+17.1 vs price
Home
4.9 · implied 20.4%
8.7%
-11.7 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
87336 EUR · live
Under
1.14 · implied 87.7%
85.0%
-2.8 vs price
Over
8.0 · implied 12.5%
15.0%
+2.5 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
1898 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
91.3%
-7.7 vs price
Over
36.0 · implied 2.8%
8.7%
+5.9 vs price
12 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
20'
🔁
K. Uchino ◂ Y. Torikai
24'
O. Se-Hun · Persistent fouling
26'
K. Uchino · Foul
Half-time · 0–0
46'
🔁
Y. Funabashi ◂ H. Leonardo
46'
🔁
T. Fujii ◂ K. Inoue
46'
🔁
R. Germain ◂ O. Se-Hun
46'
🔁
Y. Shimamoto ◂ K. Kitagawa
48'
⚽
C. Kato · assist K. Taniguchi1–0
67'
🔁
K. Kosuke ◂ K. Matsuzaki
67'
🔁
K. Tada ◂ J. Okumura
67'
🔁
R. Nemoto ◂ K. Uchino
70'
T. Mase · Foul
75'
⚽
T. Fujii · assist Y. Shimamoto1–1
81'
VAR
Goal not given after review · K. Tada
84'
🔁
T. Hirato ◂ Dieguinho
85'
🔁
H. Yamamoto ◂ C. Kato
Full-time · 1–2
90'+1
⚽
H. Sugai · assist T. Fujii1–2
Coaches
Daisuke KimoriTakayuki Yoshida 
Recent form
Mito HollyhockLAYokohama F. Marinos0-2
LHKawasaki Frontale0-1
DAAvispa Fukuoka1-1
WHKashima Antlers4-2
DHMachida Zelvia1-1
Shimizu S-PulseWHV-Varen Nagasaki2-1
WHJEF United Chiba2-1
WHAvispa Fukuoka1-0
LAKawasaki Frontale1-3
DHFC Tokyo1-1
About this match
**Shimizu's juggernaut rolls into Mito looking absolutely unstoppable.** S-Pulse have won their last three and haven't lost in five, while the Hollyhock are stuck treading water with just one W in their last five. 🔥
Mito have been leaky at home too — back-to-back defeats to Yokohama and Kawasaki tell you they're vulnerable when the pressure comes. Shimizu, meanwhile, have figured out how to put teams away, racking up six goals in their last three wins at home.
Key storylines:
- **Shimizu's attacking trio** of Capixaba, R. Germain, and K. Matsuzaki have been clinical; Mito's backline (**K. Osaki**, **K. Itakura**, **Y. Kimoto**) will need to stay tight
- **Form disparity** is stark — S-Pulse sitting on three straight wins while Hollyhock are grinding out draws and losses
- Home advantage counts for something, but Mito haven't shown enough bite to trouble a red-hot opponent
Expected lineups:
- **Mito Hollyhock**: K. Nishikawa, K. Osaki, K. Itakura, Y. Kimoto, T. Mase, Y. Torikai, T. Semba, C. Kato, A. Watanabe, K. Taniguchi
- **Shimizu S-Pulse**: T. Umeda, Y. Yoshida, Y. Honda, M. Brunetti, H. Sugai, Y. Takahashi, M. Yumiba, Capixaba, R. Germain, K. Matsuzaki
Prediction:
**Shimizu S-Pulse 2–0 Mito Hollyhock.** S-Pulse have the edge in form and should cruise past a struggling side. ✊
Match facts
Stadium
K's Denki Stadium Mito
City
Mito
Kickoff
11 Oct, 06:00 UTC
Competition
J1 League
Highlights & clips
Mito Hollyhock
4-4-2 · 4-3-3
Shimizu S-Pulse
34
K. Nishikawa
6.3
25
T. Mase
6.4
50
R. Ieizumi
6.6
17
K. Itakura
6.5
6
K. Okamoto
6.8
9
R. Nemoto
6.4
↑ 67'
19
T. Semba
6.8
20
Y. Funabashi
6.4
↑ 46'
18
K. Uchino
5.7
↑ 20'
39
H. Yamamoto
6.4
↑ 85'
22
K. Taniguchi
7.1
16
T. Umeda
5.7
24
H. Sugai
7.4
3
Y. Takahashi
7.0
15
Y. Honda
7.6
25
M. Brunetti
7.3
19
K. Kosuke
6.6
↑ 67'
18
T. Hirato
6.6
↑ 84'
17
M. Yumiba
6.7
47
Y. Shimamoto
6.4
↑ 46'
50
T. Fujii
8.5
↑ 46'
13
R. Germain
6.9
↑ 46'
Substitutes
27GJ. Słowik
2DM. Fofana
15DY. Kimoto
8MC. Kato↓ 85'7.7
38MH. Leonardo↓ 46'6.9
11MY. Torikai↓ 20'6.6
30MJ. Okumura↓ 67'6.3
48MY. Yamashita
29FK. Tada↑ 67'6.3
Coach: Daisuke Kimori
Substitutes
1GY. Oki
70DS. Takagi
51DJ. R. Sumiyoshi
2MDieguinho↓ 84'6.9
8MK. Inoue↓ 46'6.4
21MK. Matsuzaki↓ 67'6.2
81MK. Kozuka
49FK. Kitagawa↓ 46'6.4
9FO. Se-Hun↓ 46'5.7
Coach: Takayuki Yoshida
Top stats
60%Possession40%
0.82Expected goals (xG)0.85
7Total shots9
2Shots on target4
0Big chances1
7Corners1
Shots
3Shots off target4
2Blocked shots1
4Shots inside box6
3Shots outside box3
0Big chances scored1
Attack
8Touches in box20
64Final third entries64
2Offsides0
12Free kicks11
0Fouled in final third1
Passing
542Passes359
425Accurate passes246
31/83 (37%)Long balls14/55 (25%)
5/26 (19%)Crosses1/13 (8%)
25Throw-ins25
Duels
47Duels53
22/49 (45%)Ground duels27/49 (55%)
19/39 (49%)Aerial duels20/39 (51%)
4/7 (57%)Dribbles8/9 (89%)
5Dispossessed7
Defending
8Tackles8
63Tackles won50
15Interceptions10
9Clearances32
51Recoveries49
Discipline
11Fouls12
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
Goalkeeping
2Saves1
5Goal kicks7
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 71% · 1.56 @ Pinnacle
1X2Shimizu to win 36% · 2.90 @ William Hill
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 59% · 1.93 @ Pinnacle
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 53% · 1.15 @ William Hill
1X2Draw 29% · 2.37 @ Bet365
BTTSBoth teams to score 53% · 3.50 @ Bet365
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 70% · 1.29 @ betfair
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 72% · 2.21 @ 1xBet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 53% · 1.50 @ Pinnacle
Who winsMito to win (DNB) 53% · 2.01 @ Betsson
1X2Mito to win 35% · 2.99 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.62
Mito Hollyhock
3.20
Draw
2.66
Shimizu S-Pulse
Double Chanceconsensus
1.46
Mito Hollyhock or Draw
1.32
Mito Hollyhock or Shimizu S-Pulse
1.44
Draw or Shimizu S-Pulse
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.88
Yes
1.83
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
4.60
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
4.50
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50
9.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.33
Over 1.50
3.25
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.08
Over 2.50
1.75
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.75
Over 3.50
1.25
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
7.63
Over 4.50
1.08
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.98
Mito Hollyhock
1.75
Shimizu S-Pulse
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.25
Over 7.50
3.40
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.49
Over 8.50
2.44
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.83
Over 9.50
1.92
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.29
Over 10.50
1.56
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.90
Over 11.50
1.34
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.2%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.2%.
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