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Avispa Fukuoka
Gamba Osaka
Gamba Osaka
Gamba Osaka
Gamba Osaka
Gamba Osaka
Avispa Fukuoka
Gamba Osaka
Gamba Osaka
Gamba Osaka
Avispa Fukuoka
Gamba Osaka
Shinya Tsukahara
Avispa Fukuoka
Gamba Osaka
Avispa Fukuoka
3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1
Gamba Osaka
Commentary
90'
Full-time. Avispa Fukuoka 1-2 Gamba Osaka.
90'
6 minutes of added time.
89'
Attempt missed. S. Takemoto (Avispa Fukuoka), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.02.
88'
Avispa Fukuoka
Corner, Avispa Fukuoka.
77'
Goal! Avispa Fukuoka 1-2 Gamba Osaka. T. Usami (Gamba Osaka) scores, assisted by I. Jebali.
72'
Gamba Osaka
Offside, Gamba Osaka.
65'
Gamba Osaka
Corner, Gamba Osaka.
52'
Attempt blocked. Y. Tsujioka (Avispa Fukuoka), left-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.07.
50'
Goal! Avispa Fukuoka 0-1 Gamba Osaka. Welton (Gamba Osaka) scores, assisted by R. Yamashita.
46'
The second half is under way.
45'
Half-time. Avispa Fukuoka 0-0 Gamba Osaka.
45+1'
Gamba Osaka
Corner, Gamba Osaka.
45'
2 minutes of added time.
45'
Gamba Osaka
Corner, Gamba Osaka.
45'
Gamba Osaka
Corner, Gamba Osaka.
43'
Avispa Fukuoka
Corner, Avispa Fukuoka.
42'
Gamba Osaka
Corner, Gamba Osaka.
40'
Gamba Osaka
Offside, Gamba Osaka.
29'
Gamba Osaka
Corner, Gamba Osaka.
8'
Attempt blocked. M. Shigemi (Avispa Fukuoka), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.10.
8'
Avispa Fukuoka
Corner, Avispa Fukuoka.
6'
Gamba Osaka
Offside, Gamba Osaka.
1'
Kick-off: Avispa Fukuoka vs Gamba Osaka.
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
33155 EUR · live
Away
1.04 · implied 96.2%
55.3%
-40.9 vs price
Home
210.0 · implied 0.5%
23.2%
+22.7 vs price
Draw
11.5 · implied 8.7%
21.9%
+13.2 vs price
Half time
28 EUR
Draw
2.24 · implied 44.6%
76.5%
+31.8 vs price
Home
3.4 · implied 29.4%
12.1%
-17.4 vs price
Away
3.55 · implied 28.2%
11.5%
-16.7 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
41889 EUR · live
Under
1.7 · implied 58.8%
94.6%
+35.8 vs price
Over
2.42 · implied 41.3%
5.4%
-35.9 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
62 EUR
Over
9.8 · implied 10.2%
100.0%
+89.8 vs price
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
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Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
27'
Y. Tsujioka · Foul
44'
K. Maeda · Foul
Half-time · 0–0
46'
Y. Masato · Foul
50'
⚽
Welton · assist R. Yamashita0–1
63'
🔁
S. Takemoto ◂ Y. Kitajima
63'
🔁
Y. Hashimoto ◂ Y. Masato
72'
🔁
I. Jebali ◂ Y. Toshida
75'
🔁
Werik Popó ◂ M. Shigemi
75'
⚽
Y. Hashimoto1–1
77'
⚽
T. Usami · assist I. Jebali1–2
79'
🔁
T. Kishimoto ◂ Welton
84'
🔁
R. Meshino ◂ S. Fujiwara
84'
🔁
S. Sasaki ◂ T. Usami
87'
R. Mito · Foul
Full-time · 1–2
90'+1
🔁
D. Miya ◂ Y. Tsujioka
90'+2
🔁
N. Shintaro ◂ M. Yota
Coaches
Shinya TsukaharaTomokazu Myojin 
Recent form
Avispa FukuokaLAMachida Zelvia0-3
WHFagiano Okayama2-1
LHYokohama FC0-1
LHSanfrecce Hiroshima0-1
LAShimizu S-Pulse0-1
Gamba OsakaDAShimizu S-Pulse2-2
LAKashima Antlers0-2
WHTokushima Vortis5-0
LHVissel Kobe0-1
LHFC Tokyo0-2
About this match
**Avispa Fukuoka's struggling and Gamba Osaka's all over the place** — both teams are limping into midweek after a rough stretch, and neither can really afford another slip. 📉
Fukuoka's won just once in five; Osaka's barely better at 1W-1D-3L themselves. The head-to-head leans Osaka's way over 16 games, but that doesn't mean much when both squads are playing this poorly. Expect a cagey, low-confidence affair.
Key storylines:
- **Avispa's attack** — Werik Popó and M. Yota need to generate something against an Osaka defense that's been leaky
- **Osaka's mood swings** — They demolished Tokushima 5-0 at home but got hammered 2-0 at Kashima; which Gamba shows up?
- **Home edge in limbo** — Fukuoka's Best Denki Stadium usually helps, but they've lost two straight there
Expected lineups:
- **Avispa Fukuoka**: Y. Obata, D. Fukazawa, Y. Tsujioka, K. Maeda, K. Yamawaki, T. Miki, Werik Popó, M. Yota
- **Gamba Osaka**: R. Araki, R. Hatsuse, T. Kishimoto, G. Ikegaya, S. Abe, R. Meshino, K. Sumi, D. Hümmet
Prediction:
**1-1** — Both teams are too shaky to commit, and a draw feels inevitable. Slight lean to the under here. ⚽
Match facts
Stadium
Best Denki Stadium
City
Fukuoka
Kickoff
21 Oct, 10:00 UTC
Competition
J1 League
Highlights & clips
Avispa Fukuoka
3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1
Gamba Osaka
24
Y. Obata
6.0
16
T. Oka
6.5
5
K. Takumi
6.6
38
D. Miya
↑ 90'
52
S. Takemoto
6.6
↑ 63'
55
K. Maeda
7.2
11
T. Miki
7.0
14
N. Shintaro
↑ 90'
9
Werik Popó
6.7
↑ 75'
47
Y. Hashimoto
7.4
↑ 63'
13
S. Morooka
6.7
22
J. Ichimori
6.3
67
S. Sasaki
6.9
↑ 84'
4
S. Nakatani
6.5
2
S. Fukuoka
6.8
21
R. Hatsuse
6.7
27
R. Mito
6.4
13
S. Abe
6.4
17
R. Yamashita
6.8
8
R. Meshino
6.5
↑ 84'
15
T. Kishimoto
6.8
↑ 79'
11
I. Jebali
6.5
↑ 72'
Substitutes
1GT. Nagaishi
15DY. Tsujioka↓ 90'6.4
37DT. Masaya
33DK. Yamawaki
29MM. Yota↓ 90'6.5
2MY. Masato↓ 63'6.0
34MK. Shiihashi
25FY. Kitajima↓ 63'7.0
6FM. Shigemi↓ 75'6.7
Coach: Shinya Tsukahara
Substitutes
1GM. Higashiguchi
28DS. Fujiwara↓ 84'6.8
47DS. Nakano
7MT. Usami↓ 84'8.8
97MWelton↓ 79'7.0
20ME. Adams
16MT. Suzuki
41FY. Toshida↓ 72'6.2
24FT. Ogashiwa
Coach: Tomokazu Myojin
Top stats
49%Possession51%
1.92Expected goals (xG)0.4
15Total shots7
3Shots on target3
0Big chances2
3Corners6
Shots
6Shots off target4
6Blocked shots0
6Shots inside box4
9Shots outside box3
1Hit woodwork0
0Big chances scored1
0Big chances missed1
Attack
15Touches in box16
55Final third entries85
0Offsides3
14Free kicks12
3Fouled in final third2
Passing
415Passes442
334Accurate passes356
25/60 (42%)Long balls18/59 (31%)
2/14 (14%)Crosses4/16 (25%)
22Throw-ins27
Duels
54Duels46
28/55 (51%)Ground duels27/55 (49%)
16/27 (59%)Aerial duels11/27 (41%)
2/7 (29%)Dribbles2/8 (25%)
10Dispossessed6
Defending
12Tackles15
67Tackles won47
6Interceptions9
30Clearances27
45Recoveries40
Discipline
12Fouls14
3Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
Goalkeeping
1Saves2
3Goal kicks6
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers
Who winsGamba Osaka to win (DNB) 54% · 1.93 @ Novibet
1X2Gamba Osaka to win 35% · 2.95 @ 1xBet
1X2Draw 28% · 2.44 @ 1xBet
BTTSBoth teams to score 55% · 3.25 @ Bet365
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 51% · 1.17 @ William Hill
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 67% · 1.48 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 56% · 1.81 @ Pinnacle
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 74% · 2.15 @ William Hill
CornersOver 8.5 corners 56% · 1.58 @ Pinnacle
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 68% · 1.36 @ Bet365
1X2Fukuoka to win 37% · 2.90 @ William Hill
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.54
Avispa Fukuoka
3.35
Draw
2.70
Gamba Osaka
Double Chanceconsensus
1.44
Avispa Fukuoka or Draw
1.30
Avispa Fukuoka or Gamba Osaka
1.48
Draw or Gamba Osaka
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.75
Yes
1.95
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
4.60
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
4.60
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50
9.75
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.29
Over 1.50
3.40
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.96
Over 2.50
1.81
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.40
Over 3.50
1.30
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
6.50
Over 4.50
1.10
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.83
Avispa Fukuoka
1.88
Gamba Osaka
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.31
Over 7.50
2.88
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.58
Over 8.50
2.23
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.96
Over 9.50
1.77
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.48
Over 10.50
1.45
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
3.10
Over 11.50
1.23
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.1%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.1%.
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