FC Tokyo 0-0 Kashiwa Reysol: Stats, xG & Lineups

Commentary

90'

Full-time. FC Tokyo 0-0 Kashiwa Reysol.

90+4'

K. Endo

Yellow card for K. Endo (Kashiwa Reysol) for foul.

90+3'

Y. Koizumi

Attempt saved. Y. Koizumi (Kashiwa Reysol), left-footed shot. xG 0.04.

90+3'

F. Yamada

Attempt blocked. F. Yamada (FC Tokyo), left-footed shot. xG 0.05.

90+2'

D. Gómez

Attempt saved. D. Gómez (FC Tokyo), right-footed shot. xG 0.05.

90+1'

K. Tawaratsumida

Attempt missed. K. Tawaratsumida (FC Tokyo), right-footed shot. xG 0.06.

90'

4 minutes of added time.

90'

H. Inamura

Attempt blocked. H. Inamura (FC Tokyo), header from a corner. xG 0.04.

90'

A. Scholz

Attempt blocked. A. Scholz (FC Tokyo), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.09.

90'

FC Tokyo

Corner, FC Tokyo.

89'

FC Tokyo

Corner, FC Tokyo.

87'

M. Nagakura

Substitution, FC Tokyo: D. Gómez comes on for M. Nagakura.

86'

T. Ko

Attempt missed. T. Ko (FC Tokyo), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.02.

86'

S. Anzai

Substitution, FC Tokyo: R. Omori comes on for S. Anzai.

85'

W. Harada

Yellow card for W. Harada (Kashiwa Reysol) for foul.

82'

Kashiwa Reysol

Corner, Kashiwa Reysol.

81'

Y. Segawa

Attempt missed. Y. Segawa (Kashiwa Reysol), left-footed shot. xG 0.27.

80'

A. Scholz

Yellow card for A. Scholz (FC Tokyo) for foul.

79'

Y. Koizumi

Yellow card for Y. Koizumi (Kashiwa Reysol) for foul.

78'

T. Kubo

Substitution, Kashiwa Reysol: M. Hosoya comes on for T. Kubo.

75'

H. Ishihara

Yellow card for H. Ishihara (FC Tokyo) for foul.

72'

M. Ryan

Substitution, FC Tokyo: T. Nakagawa comes on for M. Ryan.

72'

K. Sato

Substitution, FC Tokyo: F. Yamada comes on for K. Sato.

69'

Kashiwa Reysol

Corner, Kashiwa Reysol.

68'

K. Sato

Attempt missed. K. Sato (FC Tokyo), left-footed shot. xG 0.05.

67'

K. Endo

Attempt missed. K. Endo (Kashiwa Reysol), right-footed shot. xG 0.09.

65'

S. Fujio

Substitution, Kashiwa Reysol: Y. Segawa comes on for S. Fujio.

64'

Kashiwa Reysol

Corner, Kashiwa Reysol.

62'

K. Bangnagande

Substitution, FC Tokyo: K. Tawaratsumida comes on for K. Bangnagande.

61'

N. Nakagawa

Attempt missed. N. Nakagawa (Kashiwa Reysol), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.02.

60'

Kashiwa Reysol

Corner, Kashiwa Reysol.

60'

K. Yuba

Attempt saved. K. Yuba (Kashiwa Reysol), left-footed shot. xG 0.07.

59'

M. Ryan

Attempt missed. M. Ryan (FC Tokyo), right-footed shot. xG 0.07.

57'

W. Harada

Attempt blocked. W. Harada (Kashiwa Reysol), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

55'

M. Nagakura

Attempt missed. M. Nagakura (FC Tokyo), left-footed shot. xG 0.09.

54'

S. Anzai

Attempt missed. S. Anzai (FC Tokyo), right-footed shot. xG 0.06.

53'

Kashiwa Reysol

Corner, Kashiwa Reysol.

52'

S. Fujio

Attempt blocked. S. Fujio (Kashiwa Reysol), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

50'

K. Sato

Attempt missed. K. Sato (FC Tokyo), left-footed shot. xG 0.10.

46'

K. Yuruki

Substitution, Kashiwa Reysol: K. Endo comes on for K. Yuruki.

46'

H. Yamauchi

Substitution, Kashiwa Reysol: Y. Koizumi comes on for H. Yamauchi.

46'

S. Toshima

Substitution, Kashiwa Reysol: W. Harada comes on for S. Toshima.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. FC Tokyo 0-0 Kashiwa Reysol.

45+1'

FC Tokyo

Corner, FC Tokyo.

45'

FC Tokyo

Corner, FC Tokyo.

44'

Y. Konishi

Yellow card for Y. Konishi (Kashiwa Reysol) for foul.

44'

T. Kubo

Off the woodwork! T. Kubo (Kashiwa Reysol), right-footed shot. xG 0.08.

44'

K. Yuruki

Cleared off the line! K. Yuruki (Kashiwa Reysol), left-footed shot. xG 0.12.

43'

M. Nagakura

Attempt missed. M. Nagakura (FC Tokyo), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

40'

H. Yamauchi

Attempt blocked. H. Yamauchi (Kashiwa Reysol), right-footed shot. xG 0.05.

33'

M. Nagakura

Attempt blocked. M. Nagakura (FC Tokyo), right-footed shot. xG 0.05.

28'

S. Anzai

Attempt missed. S. Anzai (FC Tokyo), right-footed shot. xG 0.08.

25'

M. Ryan

Attempt missed. M. Ryan (FC Tokyo), right-footed shot. xG 0.59.

25'

M. Nagakura

Attempt saved. M. Nagakura (FC Tokyo), right-footed shot. xG 0.06.

21'

M. Ryan

Attempt blocked. M. Ryan (FC Tokyo), left-footed shot. xG 0.17.

20'

Kashiwa Reysol

Offside, Kashiwa Reysol.

17'

T. Kubo

Attempt blocked. T. Kubo (Kashiwa Reysol), right-footed shot. xG 0.15.

13'

H. Yamauchi

Attempt missed. H. Yamauchi (Kashiwa Reysol), header from a set piece. xG 0.70.

12'

H. Inamura

Yellow card for H. Inamura (FC Tokyo) for foul.

3'

FC Tokyo

Corner, FC Tokyo.

3'

S. Anzai

Attempt saved. S. Anzai (FC Tokyo), right-footed shot. xG 0.20.

3'

T. Ko

Attempt missed. T. Ko (FC Tokyo), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.02.

1'

Kick-off: FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol.

Where the money is

334758 EUR matched · captured 1 week, 2 days ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 175029 EUR · live

Home 34.0 · implied 2.9%

46.8%

+43.8 vs price

Draw 1.01 · implied 99.0%

42.5%

-56.5 vs price

Away 240.0 · implied 0.4%

10.7%

+10.3 vs price

Half time 22 EUR

Draw 2.38 · implied 42.0%

97.3%

+55.2 vs price

Away 4.2 · implied 23.8%

2.0%

-21.8 vs price

Home 2.72 · implied 36.8%

0.7%

-36.0 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 77082 EUR · live

Under 1.01 · implied 99.0%

72.4%

-26.6 vs price

Over 100.0 · implied 1.0%

27.6%

+26.6 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 161 EUR

Over 7.8 · implied 12.8%

90.5%

+77.7 vs price

Under 1.14 · implied 87.7%

9.5%

-78.2 vs price

14 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG (estimated)

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 1 clip

Player of the match

Match events

12' H. Inamura · Foul

44' Y. Konishi · Foul

Half-time · 0–0

46' 🔁 W. Harada ◂ S. Toshima

46' 🔁 Y. Koizumi ◂ H. Yamauchi

46' 🔁 K. Endo ◂ K. Yuruki

62' 🔁 K. Tawaratsumida ◂ K. Bangnagande

65' 🔁 Y. Segawa ◂ S. Fujio

72' 🔁 F. Yamada ◂ K. Sato

72' 🔁 T. Nakagawa ◂ M. Ryan

75' H. Ishihara · Foul

78' 🔁 M. Hosoya ◂ T. Kubo

79' Y. Koizumi · Foul

80' A. Scholz · Foul

85' W. Harada · Foul

86' 🔁 R. Omori ◂ S. Anzai

87' 🔁 D. Gómez ◂ M. Nagakura

Full-time · 0–0

90'⁺⁴ K. Endo · Foul

Coaches

Rikizo Matsuhashi

Ricardo Rodriguez

Recent form

FC Tokyo

WATokyo Verdy4-0

WHUrawa Red Diamonds3-0

WHShonan Bellmare4-0

WHNagoya Grampus1-0

WAGamba Osaka2-0

Kashiwa Reysol

LHNagoya Grampus1-3

WHVissel Kobe4-2

WHFC Imabari4-0

WAMachida Zelvia4-2

WAKyoto Sanga FC3-2

About this match

**FC Tokyo are absolutely rolling right now** — five straight wins, no draws, no losses, and they're doing it at home. Kashiwa Reysol arrive with momentum of their own but also carry a loss to Nagoya on the sheet. 🔥

Tokyo's defense has been genuinely stingy; Kashiwa have sparkled going forward (4-0, 4-2 wins) but leaked three at home to Nagoya. The head-to-head is spicy — dead even over 33 games — but form doesn't lie this season.

Key storylines:

- **FC Tokyo's attack** keeps finding the net in bunches; **M. Ryan** and **K. Tokiwa** will be pivotal in breaking down Kashiwa's three-man backline
- **Kashiwa's front two** of **T. Kubo** and **Y. Koizumi** carry creative weight, but Tokyo's wing presence under **S. Anzai** and **S. Muroya** could suffocate space
- Home advantage at Ajinomoto favors Tokyo's rhythm and routine

Expected lineups:

- **FC Tokyo**: K. Seung-gyu, K. Hashimoto, A. Scholz, H. Inamura, S. Muroya, T. Ko, S. Anzai, K. Tokiwa, M. Nagakura, M. Ryan
- **Kashiwa Reysol**: R. Kojima, T. Koga, D. Sugioka, S. Baba, W. Harada, K. Kumasaka, N. Nakagawa, T. Kubo, Y. Koizumi, M. Watai, S. Fujio

Prediction:

**Tokyo 2–1 Kashiwa**. Tokyo edge this as slight favorites in form, and Kashiwa's defensive hiccup vs Nagoya hints at vulnerability. ⚽

Match facts

Stadium

Ajinomoto Stadium

City

Tokyo

Referee

Koki Nagamine

3.00 yellows/match · 31 matches

Kickoff

21 Oct, 10:00 UTC

Competition

J1 League

Highlights & clips

FC Tokyo 4-4-2 · 3-4-2-1 Kashiwa Reysol

81 K. Seung-gyu 7.0 22 H. Ishihara 7.1 24 A. Scholz 7.7 4 H. Inamura 8.7 33 K. Tawaratsumida 6.8 ↑ 62' 71 F. Yamada 6.4 ↑ 72' 27 K. Tokiwa 7.1 8 T. Ko 7.5 15 R. Omori 6.8 ↑ 86' 39 T. Nakagawa 6.7 ↑ 72' 99 D. Gómez 6.8 ↑ 87' 29 K. Nagai 7.0 42 W. Harada 6.7 ↑ 46' 4 T. Koga 7.6 2 H. Mitsumaru 7.6 9 M. Hosoya 6.9 ↑ 78' 21 Y. Konishi 6.5 39 N. Nakagawa 7.5 44 K. Yuba 7.0 5 K. Endo 6.8 ↑ 46' 8 Y. Koizumi 7.3 ↑ 46' 20 Y. Segawa 6.5 ↑ 65'

Substitutes

1GH. Tanaka 6DK. Bangnagande↓ 62'7.7 20DS. Nagano 3DM. Morishige 10MK. Sato↓ 72'7.0 7MS. Anzai↓ 86'6.6 44MK. Suzuki 26FM. Nagakura↓ 87'6.7 9FM. Ryan↓ 72'5.9

Coach: Rikizo Matsuhashi

Substitutes

1GH. Saruta 26DD. Sugioka 28MS. Toshima↓ 46'7.9 24MT. Kubo↓ 78'6.6 16MK. Yuruki↓ 46'6.4 40MR. Harakawa 15FS. Fujio↓ 65'6.6 87FH. Yamauchi↓ 46'6.4 30FS. Furuya

Coach: Ricardo Rodriguez

Top stats

56%Possession44%

2.46Expected goals (xG)2.07

19Total shots12

3Shots on target3

3Big chances2

4Corners5

Shots

11Shots off target5

5Blocked shots4

12Shots inside box9

7Shots outside box3

0Hit woodwork1

3Big chances missed2

Attack

37Touches in box30

75Final third entries52

0Offsides1

8Free kicks8

2Fouled in final third2

Passing

586Passes469

510Accurate passes393

23/50 (46%)Long balls22/44 (50%)

4/16 (25%)Crosses3/14 (21%)

18Throw-ins19

Duels

53Duels47

26/55 (47%)Ground duels29/55 (53%)

13/18 (72%)Aerial duels5/18 (28%)

2/7 (29%)Dribbles8/16 (50%)

8Dispossessed8

Defending

16Tackles13

69Tackles won62

7Interceptions11

20Clearances36

44Recoveries43

Discipline

8Fouls8

3Yellow cards4

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

2Saves3

1Big saves1

6Goal kicks13

1Punches1

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 15 bookmakers

Tokyo 43%

27%

Kashiwa 30%

BTTSBoth teams to score 58% · 1.71 @ Novibet

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 77% · 1.22 @ Bet365

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 53% · 1.80 @ Bet365

1X2Draw 27% · 2.25 @ Bet365

CornersOver 8.5 corners 59%

Who winsTokyo to win (DNB) 60% · 1.53 @ Betano

1X2Kashiwa to win 30% · 3.60 @ Bet365

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 65%

CornersUnder 9.5 corners 53%

1X2Tokyo to win 43% · 2.75 @ Bet365

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 64% · 1.40 @ Bet365

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

2.10

FC Tokyo

3.40

Draw

3.00

Kashiwa Reysol

Double Chanceconsensus

1.36

FC Tokyo or Draw

1.30

FC Tokyo or Kashiwa Reysol

1.67

Draw or Kashiwa Reysol

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.64

Yes

2.15

No

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.04

Over 0.50

13.00

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.22

Over 1.50

4.00

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.80

Over 2.50

2.00

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

2.75

Over 3.50

1.40

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

5.50

Over 4.50

1.14

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.39

FC Tokyo

2.77

Kashiwa Reysol

1X2 (1st Half)consensus

2.75

FC Tokyo

2.25

Draw

3.60

Kashiwa Reysol

Full odds via API →

No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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