Cerezo Osaka 2-2 JEF United Chiba: Stats & xG

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J1 League ·Sun 25 Oct

Cerezo Osaka

2–2

HT 0–1

Full time

JEF United Chiba

Yodokou Sakura Stadium , Osaka · Ref: Koei Koya

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Cerezo Osaka 2-2 JEF United Chiba.

90+9'

P. Sabbag

Attempt missed. P. Sabbag (Cerezo Osaka), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.10.

90+8'

Y. Yokoyama

Goal! Cerezo Osaka 2-2 JEF United Chiba. Y. Yokoyama (Cerezo Osaka) scores, assisted by A. Ohata.

90+6'

R. Inoue

Attempt missed. R. Inoue (Cerezo Osaka), header from a corner. xG 0.04.

90+6'

S. Sakuragawa

Goal! Cerezo Osaka 1-2 JEF United Chiba. S. Sakuragawa (Cerezo Osaka) scores, assisted by R. Inoue.

90+5'

Cerezo Osaka

Corner, Cerezo Osaka.

90+4'

K. Yamura

Attempt blocked. K. Yamura (JEF United Chiba), right-footed shot. xG 0.11.

90+4'

JEF United Chiba

Corner, JEF United Chiba.

90+2'

T. Taguchi

Attempt missed. T. Taguchi (JEF United Chiba), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.07.

90+1'

D. Cools

Yellow card for D. Cools (Cerezo Osaka) for foul.

90'

7 minutes of added time.

89'

S. Uejo

Attempt missed. S. Uejo (Cerezo Osaka), right-footed shot. xG 0.08.

88'

S. Tanaka

Substitution, Cerezo Osaka: S. Uejo comes on for S. Tanaka.

87'

S. Sakuragawa

Attempt missed. S. Sakuragawa (Cerezo Osaka), header. xG 0.07.

87'

P. Sabbag

Attempt missed. P. Sabbag (Cerezo Osaka), header. xG 0.09.

86'

JEF United Chiba

Offside, JEF United Chiba.

84'

S. Sakuragawa

Attempt missed. S. Sakuragawa (Cerezo Osaka), header. xG 0.12.

82'

Y. Yokoyama

Attempt missed. Y. Yokoyama (Cerezo Osaka), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.09.

81'

Y. Yokoyama

Attempt missed. Y. Yokoyama (Cerezo Osaka), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

78'

Y. Kobayashi

Yellow card for Y. Kobayashi (JEF United Chiba) for argument.

77'

Y. Yokoyama

Attempt missed. Y. Yokoyama (Cerezo Osaka), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

77'

D. Cools

Attempt blocked. D. Cools (Cerezo Osaka), left-footed shot. xG 0.07.

77'

S. Tanaka

Attempt missed. S. Tanaka (Cerezo Osaka), right-footed shot. xG 0.10.

74'

Erison

Substitution, JEF United Chiba: N. Sugiyama comes on for Erison.

74'

L. Fernandes

Substitution, Cerezo Osaka: S. Kagawa comes on for L. Fernandes.

72'

S. Sakuragawa

Attempt saved. S. Sakuragawa (Cerezo Osaka), header from a set piece. xG 0.03.

71'

Y. Yokoyama

Attempt blocked. Y. Yokoyama (Cerezo Osaka), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

70'

Erison

Attempt missed. Erison (JEF United Chiba), header. xG 0.10.

68'

K. Toriumi

Substitution, JEF United Chiba: D. Suzuki comes on for K. Toriumi.

67'

Y. Komi

Substitution, Cerezo Osaka: Y. Yokoyama comes on for Y. Komi.

67'

M. Himeno

Substitution, JEF United Chiba: K. Tanaka comes on for M. Himeno.

65'

S. Sakuragawa

Yellow card for S. Sakuragawa (Cerezo Osaka) for argument.

63'

L. Fernandes

Attempt blocked. L. Fernandes (Cerezo Osaka), right-footed shot. xG 0.06.

61'

H. Goya

Substitution, JEF United Chiba: K. Yamura comes on for H. Goya.

61'

Eduardo

Substitution, JEF United Chiba: Indio comes on for Eduardo.

60'

D. Cools

Attempt missed. D. Cools (Cerezo Osaka), header from a corner. xG 0.03.

60'

Y. Komi

Attempt blocked. Y. Komi (Cerezo Osaka), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.04.

60'

L. Fernandes

Attempt blocked. L. Fernandes (Cerezo Osaka), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.01.

59'

T. Yasui

Substitution, JEF United Chiba: T. Taguchi comes on for T. Yasui.

56'

Cerezo Osaka

Corner, Cerezo Osaka.

56'

S. Sakuragawa

Attempt blocked. S. Sakuragawa (Cerezo Osaka), right-footed shot. xG 0.09.

55'

Cerezo Osaka

Corner, Cerezo Osaka.

54'

T. Tsukui

Attempt blocked. T. Tsukui (JEF United Chiba), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

54'

Cerezo Osaka

Offside, Cerezo Osaka.

52'

H. Goya

Yellow card for H. Goya (JEF United Chiba) for argument.

51'

Y. Komi

Attempt missed. Y. Komi (Cerezo Osaka), left-footed shot. xG 0.13.

50'

Erison

Attempt saved. Erison (JEF United Chiba), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.14.

49'

Cerezo Osaka

Corner, Cerezo Osaka.

48'

Y. Komi

Attempt saved. Y. Komi (Cerezo Osaka), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

47'

Erison

Goal! Cerezo Osaka 0-2 JEF United Chiba. Erison (JEF United Chiba) scores, assisted by H. Goya.

46'

T. Nakamura

Substitution, Cerezo Osaka: S. Sakuragawa comes on for T. Nakamura.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Cerezo Osaka 0-1 JEF United Chiba.

45'

4 minutes of added time.

45'

P. Sabbag

Attempt missed. P. Sabbag (Cerezo Osaka), header. xG 0.11.

40'

T. Tsukui

Yellow card for T. Tsukui (JEF United Chiba) for foul.

39'

JEF United Chiba

Offside, JEF United Chiba.

36'

Y. Komi

Attempt blocked. Y. Komi (Cerezo Osaka), left-footed shot. xG 0.09.

26'

L. Fernandes

Yellow card for L. Fernandes (Cerezo Osaka) for argument.

23'

M. Himeno

Goal! Cerezo Osaka 0-1 JEF United Chiba. M. Himeno (JEF United Chiba) scores, assisted by Erison.

23'

Erison

Attempt saved. Erison (JEF United Chiba), left-footed shot. xG 0.22.

21'

Erison

Attempt blocked. Erison (JEF United Chiba), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.14.

21'

T. Yasui

Attempt blocked. T. Yasui (JEF United Chiba), right-footed shot. xG 0.10.

19'

M. Hidaka

Attempt blocked. M. Hidaka (JEF United Chiba), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.02.

18'

JEF United Chiba

Corner, JEF United Chiba.

17'

Y. Komi

Attempt saved. Y. Komi (Cerezo Osaka), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

13'

M. Himeno

Attempt missed. M. Himeno (JEF United Chiba), right-footed shot. xG 0.10.

12'

M. Himeno

Attempt saved. M. Himeno (JEF United Chiba), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

Kick-off: Cerezo Osaka vs JEF United Chiba.

Where the money is

298556 EUR matched · captured 5 days, 16 hours ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 192336 EUR · live

Away 36.0 · implied 2.8%

67.0%

+64.2 vs price

Home 85.0 · implied 1.2%

18.8%

+17.6 vs price

Draw 1.04 · implied 96.2%

14.3%

-81.9 vs price

Half time 22 EUR

Draw 2.48 · implied 40.3%

76.6%

+36.3 vs price

Home 2.4 · implied 41.7%

22.8%

-18.8 vs price

Away 5.0 · implied 20.0%

0.8%

-19.2 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 34082 EUR · live

Over 7.8 · implied 12.8%

57.7%

+44.8 vs price

Under 1.16 · implied 86.2%

42.5%

-43.7 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 307 EUR

Under 1.15 · implied 87.0%

76.7%

-10.2 vs price

Over 7.6 · implied 13.2%

43.8%

+30.7 vs price

11 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Highlights 1 clip

Player of the match

Match events

23' ⚽ M. Himeno · assist Erison0–1

26' L. Fernandes · Argument

40' T. Tsukui · Foul

Half-time · 0–1

46' 🔁 S. Sakuragawa ◂ T. Nakamura

47' ⚽ Erison · assist H. Goya0–2

52' H. Goya · Argument

59' 🔁 T. Taguchi ◂ T. Yasui

61' 🔁 Indio ◂ Eduardo

61' 🔁 K. Yamura ◂ H. Goya

65' S. Sakuragawa · Argument

67' 🔁 K. Tanaka ◂ M. Himeno

67' 🔁 Y. Yokoyama ◂ Y. Komi

68' 🔁 D. Suzuki ◂ K. Toriumi

74' 🔁 S. Kagawa ◂ L. Fernandes

74' 🔁 N. Sugiyama ◂ Erison

78' Y. Kobayashi · Argument

88' 🔁 S. Uejo ◂ S. Tanaka

Full-time · 2–2

90'⁺¹ D. Cools · Foul

90'⁺⁶ ⚽ S. Sakuragawa · assist R. Inoue1–2

90'⁺⁸ ⚽ Y. Yokoyama · assist A. Ohata2–2

Coaches

Pablo Machin

Yoshiyuki Kobayashi

Recent form

Cerezo Osaka

DANagoya Grampus1-1

LHKawasaki Frontale2-4

DHYokohama F. Marinos0-0

WHKagoshima United2-0

DAV-Varen Nagasaki1-1

JEF United Chiba

LAUrawa Red Diamonds2-3

DHYokohama F. Marinos0-0

DHV-Varen Nagasaki1-1

LAFagiano Okayama0-1

LAShimizu S-Pulse1-2

About this match

**Cerezo's hunting for revenge** — they're the heavy favorites at home after JEF beat them last time out, and with a steadier run of form (three draws sandwiched around one win and a loss), they should finally put this struggling visitors side to bed. 🔥

Cerezo are mixing control with some wobble—drew a pair, lost to Kawasaki, but that 1-1 at Nagoya shows they can grind results. JEF are properly leaky though, winless in five and having shipped goals all month.

Key storylines:

- **Cerezo's attack** (L. Fernandes, T. Andrade) vs a JEF back line that's conceded in three straight
- **S. Tanaka** steering the midfield tempo at home where Cerezo usually dominate possession
- JEF need to avoid being overwhelmed early; **K. Yamura** and **Indio** the main hope on the break

Expected lineups:

- **Cerezo Osaka**: K. Nakamura, A. Ohata, R. Inoue, S. Hatanaka, D. Cools, S. Tanaka, J. Irvine, L. Fernandes, T. Andrade, S. Sakuragawa, P. Sabbag
- **JEF United Chiba**: J. Suárez, R. Ishio, M. Hidaka, D. Hall, T. Iida, T. Tsukui, Y. Kobayashi, H. Kida, Indio, K. Yamura, D. Ishikawa

Prediction:

**Cerezo Osaka 2–0 JEF United Chiba**

Home side edges it on balance and last result adds narrative flavor.

Match facts

Stadium

Yodokou Sakura Stadium

City

Osaka

Referee

Koei Koya

2.66 yellows/match · 35 matches

Kickoff

25 Oct, 06:00 UTC

Competition

J1 League

Top stats

60%Possession40%

2.58Expected goals (xG)1.39

25Total shots13

5Shots on target5

1Big chances1

5Corners2

Shots

13Shots off target3

7Blocked shots5

18Shots inside box8

7Shots outside box5

0Big chances missed1

Attack

24Touches in box12

67Final third entries63

1Offsides3

17Free kicks10

3Fouled in final third1

Passing

519Passes355

412Accurate passes259

22/71 (31%)Long balls25/74 (34%)

8/22 (36%)Crosses2/6 (33%)

22Throw-ins17

Duels

52Duels48

39/79 (49%)Ground duels40/79 (51%)

26/47 (55%)Aerial duels21/47 (45%)

7/22 (32%)Dribbles7/13 (54%)

8Dispossessed10

Defending

16Tackles23

56Tackles won43

5Interceptions8

21Clearances39

52Recoveries48

Discipline

10Fouls17

3Yellow cards2

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

3Saves3

1Big saves0

5Goal kicks13

0Punches1

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 24 bookmakers

Cerezo Osaka 54%

24%

Chiba 21%

Who winsCerezo Osaka to win (DNB) 76% · 1.31 @ Betano

1X2Cerezo Osaka to win 54% · 2.10 @ William Hill

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 56% · 4.00 @ 1xBet

BTTSBoth teams to score 56% · 3.25 @ Bet365

CornersOver 8.5 corners 61% · 1.39 @ 1xBet

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 78% · 1.95 @ 1xBet

1X2Draw 24% · 2.64 @ 1xBet

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 63% · 1.69 @ Pinnacle

CornersUnder 9.5 corners 51% · 2.11 @ Pinnacle

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 64% · 1.45 @ Pinnacle

1X2Chiba to win 21% · 4.33 @ 1xBet

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

1.72

Cerezo Osaka

3.85

Draw

4.45

JEF United Chiba

Double Chanceconsensus

1.20

Cerezo Osaka or Draw

1.22

Cerezo Osaka or JEF United Chiba

2.10

Draw or JEF United Chiba

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.67

Yes

2.09

Home Win to Nilconsensus

3.00

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

8.00

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.02

Over 0.50

12.30

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.21

Over 1.50

4.21

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.71

Over 2.50

2.12

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

2.77

Over 3.50

1.42

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

5.34

Over 4.50

1.15

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.30

Cerezo Osaka

3.30

JEF United Chiba

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.19

Over 7.50

3.80

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.39

Over 8.50

2.70

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.68

Over 9.50

2.08

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

2.09

Over 10.50

1.68

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

2.60

Over 11.50

1.42

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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