← All matches
Fagiano Okayama
Fagiano Okayama
Fagiano Okayama
Kawasaki Frontale
Kawasaki Frontale
Kawasaki Frontale
Fagiano Okayama
Fagiano Okayama
Kawasaki Frontale
Kawasaki Frontale
Fagiano Okayama
Fagiano Okayama
Fagiano Okayama
Fagiano Okayama
Fagiano Okayama
Kawasaki Frontale
Shigetoshi Hasebe
Kawasaki Frontale
Fagiano Okayama
Kawasaki Frontale
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1
Fagiano Okayama
Commentary
90'
Full-time. Kawasaki Frontale 2-1 Fagiano Okayama.
90'
6 minutes of added time.
87'
Fagiano Okayama
Corner, Fagiano Okayama.
86'
Fagiano Okayama
Corner, Fagiano Okayama.
84'
Fagiano Okayama
Corner, Fagiano Okayama.
66'
Kawasaki Frontale
Offside, Kawasaki Frontale.
65'
Kawasaki Frontale
Corner, Kawasaki Frontale.
57'
Attempt missed. Y. Kamiya (Fagiano Okayama), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.04.
52'
Kawasaki Frontale
Offside, Kawasaki Frontale.
51'
Goal! Kawasaki Frontale 2-0 Fagiano Okayama. Marcinho (Kawasaki Frontale) scores, assisted by T. Ito.
50'
Attempt missed. E. Miyamoto (Fagiano Okayama), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.03.
49'
Fagiano Okayama
Corner, Fagiano Okayama.
47'
Attempt missed. K. Kawano (Fagiano Okayama), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.12.
46'
The second half is under way.
45'
Half-time. Kawasaki Frontale 1-0 Fagiano Okayama.
45'
2 minutes of added time.
41'
Attempt blocked. M. Matsumoto (Fagiano Okayama), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.13.
40'
Fagiano Okayama
Corner, Fagiano Okayama.
34'
Kawasaki Frontale
Corner, Kawasaki Frontale.
33'
Kawasaki Frontale
Corner, Kawasaki Frontale.
31'
Attempt missed. K. Shirai (Fagiano Okayama), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.02.
21'
Fagiano Okayama
Offside, Fagiano Okayama.
18'
Fagiano Okayama
Corner, Fagiano Okayama.
15'
Fagiano Okayama
Offside, Fagiano Okayama.
12'
Goal! Kawasaki Frontale 1-0 Fagiano Okayama. D. Lacerda (Kawasaki Frontale) scores, assisted by Marcinho.
7'
Fagiano Okayama
Corner, Fagiano Okayama.
6'
Fagiano Okayama
Corner, Fagiano Okayama.
2'
Kawasaki Frontale
Corner, Kawasaki Frontale.
1'
Attempt missed. Marcinho (Kawasaki Frontale), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.16.
1'
Kick-off: Kawasaki Frontale vs Fagiano Okayama.
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
114420 EUR · live
Home
1.02 · implied 98.0%
87.8%
-10.2 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
8.1%
+8.0 vs price
Draw
60.0 · implied 1.7%
4.1%
+2.5 vs price
Half time
158 EUR
Draw
2.52 · implied 39.7%
81.6%
+41.9 vs price
Away
4.4 · implied 22.7%
13.1%
-9.7 vs price
Home
2.64 · implied 37.9%
5.4%
-32.5 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
24439 EUR · live
Over
1.79 · implied 55.9%
77.7%
+21.8 vs price
Under
2.28 · implied 43.9%
22.3%
-21.5 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
2002 EUR
Under
1.15 · implied 87.0%
95.0%
+8.0 vs price
Over
7.6 · implied 13.2%
5.0%
-8.1 vs price
12 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
12'
⚽
D. Lacerda · assist Marcinho1–0
27'
Y. Suzuki · Foul
Half-time · 1–0
45'+3
Lucao · Argument
51'
⚽
Marcinho · assist T. Ito2–0
55'
🔁
L. Gaúcho ◂ K. Kawano
55'
🔁
Y. Kamiya ◂ E. Miyamoto
59'
D. Lacerda · Foul
61'
🔁
S. Mori ◂ M. Matsumoto
64'
🔁
K. Mochiyama ◂ D. Lacerda
72'
🔁
S. Yamaichi ◂ Marcinho
72'
🔁
A. Sasaki ◂ R. Yamahara
72'
🔁
T. Yamane ◂ H. Motoyama
72'
🔁
R. Sato ◂ Lucao
75'
⚽
O. Alionço2–1
82'
🔁
Y. Ozeki ◂ T. Ito
82'
🔁
S. Kawahara ◂ Y. Yamamoto
Full-time · 2–1
Coaches
Shigetoshi HasebeTakashi Kiyama 
Recent form
Kawasaki FrontaleWHVissel Kobe2-1
WACerezo Osaka4-2
LHNagoya Grampus1-2
WHTegevajaro Miyazaki2-0
DHKashima Antlers3-3
Fagiano OkayamaWHMito Hollyhock2-0
LHVissel Kobe0-3
LAAvispa Fukuoka1-2
WHJEF United Chiba1-0
LHKyoto Sanga FC1-2
About this match
**Kawasaki rolls in as heavy favorites here** — the Frontale are flying at home while Okayama's just trying to stay afloat in mid-table chaos. 📊
Kawasaki's picked up **3 wins in their last 5**, including a thumping 4-2 away at Cerezo, while Okayama are stuck in a rut with just 2 wins in the same stretch and three losses to show for it. The head-to-head tells the story: **Kawasaki unbeaten** against these guys over the last three meetings.
Key storylines:
- **Kawasaki's attacking depth** with D. Lacerda, K. Konno, and A. Ienaga sparking chances should overwhelm an Okayama backline that shipped 3 at home to Vissel Kobe
- **Okayama's defensive vulnerabilities** — H. Omori and Y. Suzuki will be tested relentlessly by the Frontale's midfield press
- Home advantage matters: Kawasaki at Todoroki Stadium have momentum; Okayama traveling and winless in 3
Expected lineups:
- **Kawasaki Frontale**: S. Brodersen, S. Miura, P. Romano, H. Taniguchi, R. Yamahara, K. Tachibanada, Y. Yamamoto, D. Lacerda, K. Konno, A. Ienaga, K. Mochiyama
- **Fagiano Okayama**: L. Moser, Y. Tatsuta, H. Omori, Y. Suzuki, S. Mori, I. Fujita, O. Alionço, K. Shirai, S. Na, N. Browne, A. Esaka
Prediction:
**Kawasaki 3-1 Okayama** — Frontale are the clear lean here, converting home dominance into a comfortable win. 🎯
Match facts
Stadium
Kawasaki Todoroki Stadium
City
Kawasaki
Kickoff
25 Oct, 07:00 UTC
Competition
J1 League
Highlights & clips
Kawasaki Frontale
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1
Fagiano Okayama
49
S. Brodersen
6.4
5
A. Sasaki
6.5
↑ 72'
4
P. Romano
6.7
22
F. Uremović
7.8
13
S. Miura
7.9
8
K. Tachibanada
6.8
16
Y. Ozeki
6.6
↑ 82'
19
S. Kawahara
6.9
↑ 82'
14
Y. Wakizaka
6.7
25
S. Yamaichi
6.5
↑ 72'
20
K. Mochiyama
6.7
↑ 64'
1
L. Moser
6.1
19
R. Sato
6.6
↑ 72'
48
Y. Tatsuta
7.3
43
Y. Suzuki
6.0
44
S. Mori
7.2
↑ 61'
33
Y. Kamiya
6.8
↑ 55'
80
O. Alionço
8.4
51
K. Shirai
6.4
9
L. Gaúcho
6.1
↑ 55'
8
A. Esaka
7.5
88
T. Yamane
6.4
↑ 72'
Substitutes
1GL. Yamaguchi
29DR. Yamahara↓ 72'6.7
28DY. Maruyama
23MMarcinho↓ 72'7.7
17MT. Ito↓ 82'7.0
6MY. Yamamoto↓ 82'6.4
34MR. Osa
97FD. Lacerda↓ 64'7.5
11FY. Kobayashi
Coach: Shigetoshi Hasebe
Substitutes
52GT. Hamada
41ME. Miyamoto↓ 55'6.5
26MH. Motoyama↓ 72'6.5
28MM. Matsumoto↓ 61'6.2
55MY. Fujii
24MI. Fujita
7MR. Takeuchi
20FK. Kawano↓ 55'6.2
99FLucao↓ 72'6.0
Coach: Takashi Kiyama
Top stats
51%Possession49%
1.23Expected goals (xG)1.81
6Total shots20
2Shots on target2
1Big chances0
3Corners8
Shots
3Shots off target12
1Blocked shots6
5Shots inside box10
1Shots outside box10
0Hit woodwork1
1Big chances scored0
Attack
18Touches in box33
53Final third entries66
2Offsides2
12Free kicks9
1Fouled in final third3
Passing
409Passes370
297Accurate passes284
22/75 (29%)Long balls15/46 (33%)
0/6 (0%)Crosses5/27 (19%)
27Throw-ins27
Duels
55Duels45
45/77 (58%)Ground duels32/77 (42%)
12/27 (44%)Aerial duels15/27 (56%)
12/17 (71%)Dribbles6/19 (32%)
12Dispossessed10
Defending
23Tackles17
70Tackles won65
11Interceptions8
32Clearances20
35Recoveries51
Discipline
9Fouls12
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
Goalkeeping
1Saves1
15Goal kicks6
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 24 bookmakers
BTTSBoth teams to score 57% · 3.25 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 54% · 4.20 @ William Hill
Who winsKawasaki to win (DNB) 61% · 1.47 @ Betano
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 77% · 2.00 @ William Hill
CornersOver 8.5 corners 59% · 1.47 @ Pinnacle
1X2Draw 27% · 2.56 @ 1xBet
1X2Kawasaki to win 44% · 2.40 @ Bet365
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 65% · 1.59 @ Pinnacle
1X2Okayama to win 29% · 3.50 @ William Hill
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 53% · 1.97 @ Pinnacle
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 64% · 1.42 @ Pinnacle
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.10
Kawasaki Frontale
3.50
Draw
3.20
Fagiano Okayama
Double Chanceconsensus
1.30
Kawasaki Frontale or Draw
1.28
Kawasaki Frontale or Fagiano Okayama
1.72
Draw or Fagiano Okayama
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.62
Yes
2.15
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
3.90
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
5.50
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50
11.60
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.23
Over 1.50
4.02
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.79
Over 2.50
2.04
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.88
Over 3.50
1.40
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.55
Over 4.50
1.13
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.44
Kawasaki Frontale
2.60
Fagiano Okayama
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.23
Over 7.50
3.50
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.46
Over 8.50
2.51
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.79
Over 9.50
1.96
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.23
Over 10.50
1.58
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.80
Over 11.50
1.36
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.1%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.1%.
Report a data issue
Spotted something wrong on this match? Tell us what and we'll fix it.