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Fagiano Okayama
FC Tokyo
FC Tokyo
Fagiano Okayama
Fagiano Okayama
FC Tokyo
Fagiano Okayama
Fagiano Okayama
Fagiano Okayama
FC Tokyo
FC Tokyo
Fagiano Okayama
Fagiano Okayama
FC Tokyo
Fagiano Okayama
Fagiano Okayama
Takashi Kiyama
Fagiano Okayama
FC Tokyo
Fagiano Okayama
3-4-2-1 · 4-4-2
FC Tokyo
Commentary
90'
Full-time. Fagiano Okayama 0-4 FC Tokyo.
90+6'
Fagiano Okayama
Corner, Fagiano Okayama.
90+3'
Goal! Fagiano Okayama 0-4 FC Tokyo. D. Gómez (FC Tokyo) scores, assisted by K. Tawaratsumida.
90+2'
Attempt missed. L. Gaúcho (Fagiano Okayama), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.04.
90'
5 minutes of added time.
90'
FC Tokyo
Corner, FC Tokyo.
87'
FC Tokyo
Offside, FC Tokyo.
85'
Attempt missed. K. Tawaratsumida (FC Tokyo), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.03.
79'
Fagiano Okayama
Corner, Fagiano Okayama.
69'
Fagiano Okayama
Corner, Fagiano Okayama.
65'
FC Tokyo
Corner, FC Tokyo.
50'
Fagiano Okayama
Corner, Fagiano Okayama.
48'
Fagiano Okayama
Corner, Fagiano Okayama.
46'
The second half is under way.
45'
Half-time. Fagiano Okayama 0-1 FC Tokyo.
45+4'
Fagiano Okayama
Offside, Fagiano Okayama.
45'
4 minutes of added time.
33'
FC Tokyo
Corner, FC Tokyo.
26'
FC Tokyo
Offside, FC Tokyo.
17'
Fagiano Okayama
Corner, Fagiano Okayama.
12'
Fagiano Okayama
Corner, Fagiano Okayama.
7'
FC Tokyo
Corner, FC Tokyo.
3'
Fagiano Okayama
Corner, Fagiano Okayama.
2'
Fagiano Okayama
Offside, Fagiano Okayama.
1'
Kick-off: Fagiano Okayama vs FC Tokyo.
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
55247 EUR · live
Away
1.02 · implied 98.0%
85.2%
-12.8 vs price
Draw
370.0 · implied 0.3%
7.7%
+7.5 vs price
Home
100.0 · implied 1.0%
7.1%
+6.1 vs price
Half time
31 EUR
Draw
2.3 · implied 43.5%
95.7%
+52.3 vs price
Home
4.9 · implied 20.4%
37.9%
+17.5 vs price
Away
2.7 · implied 37.0%
0.5%
-36.5 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
24066 EUR · live
Under
3.1 · implied 32.3%
66.7%
+34.4 vs price
Over
1.47 · implied 68.0%
33.3%
-34.7 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
345 EUR
Under
1.12 · implied 89.3%
83.4%
-5.9 vs price
Over
9.4 · implied 10.6%
62.2%
+51.6 vs price
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
22'
H. Motoyama · Foul
Half-time · 0–1
45'+4
⚽
T. Nakagawa0–1
46'
⚽
T. Nakagawa0–2
56'
🔁
L. Gaúcho ◂ E. Miyamoto
56'
🔁
T. Yamane ◂ H. Motoyama
58'
🔁
R. Omori ◂ K. Bangnagande
59'
🔁
D. Gómez ◂ T. Nakagawa
63'
⚽
D. Gómez · assist S. Nagano0–3
67'
🔁
K. Kawano ◂ A. Esaka
67'
🔁
M. Matsumoto ◂ Lucao
76'
🔁
K. Tawaratsumida ◂ K. Sato
78'
🔁
R. Takeuchi ◂ K. Shirai
85'
🔁
K. Hashimoto ◂ H. Ishihara
85'
🔁
S. Homma ◂ S. Anzai
Full-time · 0–4
90'+3
⚽
D. Gómez · assist K. Tawaratsumida0–4
Coaches
Takashi KiyamaRikizo Matsuhashi 
Recent form
Fagiano OkayamaLAKawasaki Frontale1-2
WHMito Hollyhock2-0
LHVissel Kobe0-3
LAAvispa Fukuoka1-2
WHJEF United Chiba1-0
FC TokyoWHMito Hollyhock6-0
DHKashiwa Reysol0-0
WATokyo Verdy4-0
WHUrawa Red Diamonds3-0
WHShonan Bellmare4-0
About this match
**FC Tokyo rolling hard while Okayama scrambles for stability** — the visitors are cooking right now, but this away gig at JFE Harenokuri could trip them up. 🔥
Okayama have hit a rough patch (3 losses in last five), though they scraped a win over Mito Hollyhock at home. Tokyo, meanwhile, are basically printing goals — four straight wins, including a shellacking of Tokyo Verdy. The head-to-head is split, so there's at least a shred of drama here.
Key storylines:
- **FC Tokyo's attack** has been relentless; **M. Nagakura** and **M. Ryan** are the focus of that lethal two-striker setup
- **Okayama's midfield battle** — **K. Shirai** and **H. Motoyama** will need to slow Tokyo's tempo or this gets ugly fast
- **L. Moser** between the sticks for Okayama faces a serious test after conceding three at home to Kobe
Expected lineups:
- **Fagiano Okayama**: L. Moser, Y. Suzuki, Y. Tatsuta, H. Omori, O. Alionço, H. Motoyama, K. Shirai, E. Miyamoto, A. Esaka, Lucao, M. Matsumoto
- **FC Tokyo**: K. Seung-gyu, K. Hashimoto, A. Scholz, S. Nagano, S. Muroya, S. Anzai, H. Inamura, T. Ko, K. Tokiwa, M. Nagakura, M. Ryan
Prediction:
**FC Tokyo 3-1 Fagiano Okayama** — Tokyo's streak is too hot and Okayama's home form too shaky. Lean Tokyo. ⚽
Match facts
Stadium
JFE Harenokuni Stadium
City
Okayama
Kickoff
31 Oct, 05:00 UTC
Competition
J1 League
Highlights & clips
Fagiano Okayama
3-4-2-1 · 4-4-2
FC Tokyo
52
T. Hamada
5.7
44
S. Mori
5.9
48
Y. Tatsuta
6.6
43
Y. Suzuki
6.4
88
T. Yamane
7.1
↑ 56'
9
L. Gaúcho
6.6
↑ 56'
80
O. Alionço
6.7
7
R. Takeuchi
6.8
↑ 78'
28
M. Matsumoto
6.5
↑ 67'
10
S. Na
6.8
20
K. Kawano
6.5
↑ 67'
81
K. Seung-gyu
7.1
42
K. Hashimoto
6.6
↑ 85'
24
A. Scholz
7.7
4
H. Inamura
8.2
15
R. Omori
6.7
↑ 58'
33
K. Tawaratsumida
7.3
↑ 76'
20
S. Nagano
7.6
8
T. Ko
7.1
19
S. Homma
6.5
↑ 85'
99
D. Gómez
9.7
↑ 59'
26
M. Nagakura
6.8
Substitutes
1GL. Moser
41ME. Miyamoto↓ 56'6.9
51MK. Shirai↓ 78'6.5
26MH. Motoyama↓ 56'6.4
55MY. Fujii
24MI. Fujita
79MN. Browne
99FLucao↓ 67'6.9
8FA. Esaka↓ 67'6.6
Coach: Takashi Kiyama
Substitutes
1GH. Tanaka
22DH. Ishihara↓ 85'7.5
6DK. Bangnagande↓ 58'7.2
3DM. Morishige
7MS. Anzai↓ 85'6.9
10MK. Sato↓ 76'6.8
71MF. Yamada
44MK. Suzuki
39FT. Nakagawa↓ 59'9.5
Coach: Rikizo Matsuhashi
Top stats
39%Possession61%
0.65Expected goals (xG)3.73
12Total shots21
4Shots on target8
0Big chances4
8Corners5
Shots
4Shots off target6
4Blocked shots7
6Shots inside box17
6Shots outside box4
0Hit woodwork1
0Big chances scored3
0Big chances missed1
Attack
19Touches in box42
46Final third entries67
2Offsides2
9Free kicks6
2Fouled in final third0
Passing
352Passes574
270Accurate passes484
18/45 (40%)Long balls25/61 (41%)
4/28 (14%)Crosses3/16 (19%)
23Throw-ins30
Duels
58Duels42
30/53 (57%)Ground duels23/53 (43%)
12/20 (60%)Aerial duels8/20 (40%)
2/5 (40%)Dribbles5/17 (29%)
9Dispossessed9
Defending
21Tackles12
71Tackles won67
11Interceptions5
28Clearances32
49Recoveries59
Discipline
6Fouls9
1Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
Goalkeeping
4Saves4
2Big saves1
7Goal kicks3
0Punches2
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 24 bookmakers
Who winsTokyo to win (DNB) 63% · 1.42 @ Betano
1X2Tokyo to win 49% · 2.30 @ William Hill
CornersOver 9.5 corners 51% · 1.87 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 63% · 1.50 @ Pinnacle
1X2Draw 27% · 2.50 @ Bet365
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 50% · 1.17 @ William Hill
BTTSBoth teams to score 53% · 3.50 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 74% · 2.15 @ William Hill
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 69% · 1.33 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 60% · 1.56 @ 1xBet
1X2Okayama to win 25% · 3.84 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
3.80
Fagiano Okayama
3.50
Draw
1.91
FC Tokyo
Double Chanceconsensus
1.83
Fagiano Okayama or Draw
1.27
Fagiano Okayama or FC Tokyo
1.25
Draw or FC Tokyo
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.78
Yes
1.93
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
6.00
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
3.40
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.03
Over 0.50
10.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.29
Over 1.50
3.50
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.95
Over 2.50
1.86
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.40
Over 3.50
1.30
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
7.00
Over 4.50
1.09
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
2.75
Fagiano Okayama
1.40
FC Tokyo
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.25
Over 7.50
3.40
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.48
Over 8.50
2.45
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.83
Over 9.50
1.90
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.29
Over 10.50
1.56
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.90
Over 11.50
1.35
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.1%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.1%.
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