Vissel Kobe 3-1 Nagoya Grampus: Stats & xG – Oct 31, 2026

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Vissel Kobe 3-1 Nagoya Grampus.

90+7'

Y. Muto

Substitution, Vissel Kobe: J. Patric comes on for Y. Muto.

90+2'

Y. Yamagishi

Off the woodwork! Y. Yamagishi (Nagoya Grampus), right-footed shot. xG 0.14.

90+1'

R. Komatsu

Goal! Vissel Kobe 3-1 Nagoya Grampus. R. Komatsu (Vissel Kobe) scores, assisted by Y. Muto.

90'

7 minutes of added time.

90'

Y. Osako

Substitution, Vissel Kobe: R. Komatsu comes on for Y. Osako.

88'

H. Koda

Attempt blocked. H. Koda (Nagoya Grampus), left-footed shot. xG 0.04.

87'

Nagoya Grampus

Corner, Nagoya Grampus.

83'

Y. Osako

Attempt saved. Y. Osako (Vissel Kobe), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.08.

83'

Vissel Kobe

Corner, Vissel Kobe.

78'

Vissel Kobe

Offside, Vissel Kobe.

78'

R. Izumi

Substitution, Nagoya Grampus: H. Koda comes on for R. Izumi.

78'

Y. Nogami

Substitution, Nagoya Grampus: T. Morishima comes on for Y. Nogami.

75'

Y. Osako

Off the woodwork! Y. Osako (Vissel Kobe), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.07.

75'

T. Yamakawa

Attempt missed. T. Yamakawa (Vissel Kobe), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.68.

75'

Diego

VAR check complete: the goal for Vissel Kobe stands.

74'

Vissel Kobe

Corner, Vissel Kobe.

72'

Vissel Kobe

Corner, Vissel Kobe.

72'

Thuler

Attempt missed. Thuler (Vissel Kobe), header from a corner. xG 0.06.

72'

D. Sasaki

Cleared off the line! D. Sasaki (Vissel Kobe), right-footed shot. xG 0.12.

71'

Vissel Kobe

Corner, Vissel Kobe.

64'

Y. Kimura

VAR check complete: the goal for Nagoya Grampus stands.

63'

Y. Ideguchi

Attempt missed. Y. Ideguchi (Vissel Kobe), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.09.

63'

K. Nagai

Substitution, Nagoya Grampus: Y. Yamagishi comes on for K. Nagai.

60'

Y. Kimura

Attempt missed. Y. Kimura (Nagoya Grampus), header. xG 0.10.

58'

Vissel Kobe

Corner, Vissel Kobe.

57'

Vissel Kobe

Corner, Vissel Kobe.

56'

Nagoya Grampus

Corner, Nagoya Grampus.

54'

Nagoya Grampus

Corner, Nagoya Grampus.

52'

R. Izumi

Yellow card for R. Izumi (Nagoya Grampus) for foul.

50'

D. Sasaki

Attempt missed. D. Sasaki (Vissel Kobe), header from a corner. xG 0.02.

50'

Vissel Kobe

Corner, Vissel Kobe.

47'

Erik

Attempt missed. Erik (Vissel Kobe), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.20.

47'

R. Izumi

Goal! Vissel Kobe 2-1 Nagoya Grampus. Own goal by R. Izumi.

46'

Y. Kimura

Attempt missed. Y. Kimura (Nagoya Grampus), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.04.

46'

Y. Goke

Substitution, Vissel Kobe: D. Sasaki comes on for Y. Goke.

46'

K. Nagato

Substitution, Vissel Kobe: Diego comes on for K. Nagato.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Vissel Kobe 1-1 Nagoya Grampus.

45+4'

T. Uchida

Attempt saved. T. Uchida (Nagoya Grampus), left-footed shot. xG 0.07.

45+4'

Nagoya Grampus

Corner, Nagoya Grampus.

45'

4 minutes of added time.

43'

Vissel Kobe

Corner, Vissel Kobe.

41'

K. Nagai

Attempt blocked. K. Nagai (Nagoya Grampus), right-footed shot. xG 0.09.

38'

Y. Muto

Goal! Vissel Kobe 1-1 Nagoya Grampus. Y. Muto (Vissel Kobe) scores, assisted by Erik.

31'

Y. Kimura

Attempt missed. Y. Kimura (Nagoya Grampus), right-footed shot. xG 0.06.

26'

R. Izumi

Off the woodwork! R. Izumi (Nagoya Grampus), left-footed shot. xG 0.04.

26'

K. Nagai

Attempt missed. K. Nagai (Nagoya Grampus), left-footed shot. xG 0.29.

25'

T. Hara

Attempt saved. T. Hara (Nagoya Grampus), header from a corner. xG 0.06.

24'

Nagoya Grampus

Corner, Nagoya Grampus.

24'

Y. Sato

Attempt blocked. Y. Sato (Nagoya Grampus), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.11.

24'

Nagoya Grampus

Corner, Nagoya Grampus.

21'

T. Yamakawa

Yellow card for T. Yamakawa (Vissel Kobe) for foul.

14'

Y. Muto

Attempt missed. Y. Muto (Vissel Kobe), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.08.

13'

Vissel Kobe

Offside, Vissel Kobe.

12'

Nagoya Grampus

Offside, Nagoya Grampus.

10'

S. Inagaki

Attempt saved. S. Inagaki (Nagoya Grampus), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

8'

Vissel Kobe

Offside, Vissel Kobe.

6'

Y. Osako

VAR check complete: the goal for Vissel Kobe stands.

2'

K. Nagai

Goal! Vissel Kobe 0-1 Nagoya Grampus. K. Nagai (Nagoya Grampus) scores, assisted by R. Izumi.

1'

Kick-off: Vissel Kobe vs Nagoya Grampus.

Where the money is

135207 EUR matched · captured 1 week ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 64987 EUR · live

Home 1.01 · implied 99.0%

65.0%

-34.0 vs price

Away 500.0 · implied 0.2%

25.4%

+25.2 vs price

Draw 600.0 · implied 0.2%

9.7%

+9.5 vs price

Half time 121 EUR

Draw 2.4 · implied 41.7%

88.3%

+46.6 vs price

Home 2.74 · implied 36.5%

11.1%

-25.4 vs price

Away 4.2 · implied 23.8%

1.8%

-22.0 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 20009 EUR · live

Over 1.24 · implied 80.6%

69.0%

-11.6 vs price

Under 5.2 · implied 19.2%

34.6%

+15.3 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 123 EUR

Over 7.8 · implied 12.8%

100.0%

+87.2 vs price

13 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG (estimated)

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 1 clip

Player of the match

Match events

2' ⚽ K. Nagai · assist R. Izumi0–1

6' VAR Goal not given after review · Y. Osako

21' T. Yamakawa · Foul

38' ⚽ Y. Muto · assist Erik1–1

Half-time · 1–1

46' 🔁 Diego ◂ K. Nagato

46' 🔁 D. Sasaki ◂ Y. Goke

47' ⚽ R. Izumi2–1

52' R. Izumi · Foul

63' 🔁 Y. Yamagishi ◂ K. Nagai

64' VAR Goal not given after review · Y. Kimura

75' VAR Goal not given after review · Diego

78' 🔁 T. Morishima ◂ Y. Nogami

78' 🔁 H. Koda ◂ R. Izumi

Full-time · 3–1

90' 🔁 R. Komatsu ◂ Y. Osako

90'⁺¹ ⚽ R. Komatsu · assist Y. Muto3–1

90'⁺⁷ 🔁 J. Patric ◂ Y. Muto

Coaches

Michael Skibbe

Mihailo Petrovic

Recent form

Vissel Kobe

DHMachida Zelvia0-0

LAKawasaki Frontale1-2

WAFagiano Okayama3-0

LAKashiwa Reysol2-4

WHSagan Tosu1-0

Nagoya Grampus

DHYokohama F. Marinos1-1

DHCerezo Osaka1-1

WAKashiwa Reysol3-1

WAKawasaki Frontale2-1

LAFC Tokyo0-1

About this match

**Kobe's home haven gets tested by a Nagoya side that actually know how to not lose.** A Saturday evening clash between two middling J1 sides with dead opposite vibes — one's grinding out wins, the other's grinding out draws. 📊

Vissel have been hot and cold (literally: 3-0 stomping followed by a dodgy 1-2), while Nagoya just can't seem to break through (1-1, 1-1, then a rare convincing 3-1). Home advantage is real, but Kobe's form is spottier than their guest's consistency.

Key storylines:

- **Y. Osako and Y. Muto** lead Kobe's attack on familiar turf; Nagoya's defense (Schmidt, Tokumoto, Fujii) has leaned toward the solid side
- **Nagoya's midfield** (Hara, Inagaki, Takamine) thrives on control; Kobe's **Y. Goke, Y. Ideguchi, Y. Kuwasaki** need to win the tempo battle
- H2H edge heavily favors **Nagoya (17 wins to Kobe's 11)**, but that's ancient history in form leagues

Expected lineups:

- **Vissel Kobe**: S. Gonda, Diego, Thuler, T. Yamakawa, G. Sakai, Y. Goke, Y. Ideguchi, Y. Kuwasaki, J. Patric, Y. Osako, Y. Muto
- **Nagoya Grampus**: D. Schmidt, S. Tokumoto, H. Fujii, Y. Nogami, T. Hara, S. Inagaki, T. Takamine, R. Izumi, K. Nakayama, Y. Kimura, Y. Yamagishi

Prediction:

**Kobe 2-1 Nagoya.** Home field + sharper finishing edge, but Nagoya won't roll over. Tight one. ⚽

Match facts

Stadium

Noevir Stadium Kobe

City

Kobe

Referee

Koji Takasaki

3.03 yellows/match · 37 matches

Kickoff

31 Oct, 06:00 UTC

Competition

J1 League

Highlights & clips

Vissel Kobe 4-3-3 · 3-4-2-1 Nagoya Grampus

71 S. Gonda 6.6 24 G. Sakai 6.8 4 T. Yamakawa 6.3 3 Thuler 7.3 15 Diego 6.9 ↑ 46' 7 Y. Ideguchi 6.8 23 Y. Iwamoto 6.5 13 D. Sasaki 6.4 ↑ 46' 94 Erik 7.4 29 R. Komatsu 7.2 ↑ 90' 26 J. Patric ↑ 90' 1 D. Schmidt 5.8 13 H. Fujii 6.3 3 Y. Sato 6.9 14 T. Morishima 6.5 ↑ 78' 70 T. Hara 6.5 17 T. Uchida 7.3 15 S. Inagaki 6.5 27 K. Nakayama 7.4 19 H. Koda 6.4 ↑ 78' 22 Y. Kimura 7.6 11 Y. Yamagishi 6.5 ↑ 63'

Substitutes

1GD. Maekawa 41DK. Nagato↓ 46'6.6 16DCaetano 2DN. Iino 5MY. Goke↓ 46'6.5 25MY. Kuwasaki 11FY. Muto↓ 90'9.2 10FY. Osako↓ 90'6.6 62FH. Kawabata

Coach: Michael Skibbe

Substitutes

35GA. Pisano 2DY. Nogami↓ 78'6.3 55DS. Tokumoto 58MT. Koyamatsu 33MT. Kikuchi 41MM. Ono 30MS. Sugiura 18FK. Nagai↓ 63'7.2 7FR. Izumi↓ 78'6.5

Coach: Mihailo Petrovic

Top stats

55%Possession45%

1.92Expected goals (xG)1.59

11Total shots13

4Shots on target4

3Big chances1

8Corners6

Shots

7Shots off target6

0Blocked shots3

9Shots inside box8

2Shots outside box5

2Hit woodwork2

1Big chances scored0

2Big chances missed1

Attack

23Touches in box29

48Final third entries57

3Offsides2

13Free kicks5

4Fouled in final third2

Passing

447Passes362

357Accurate passes276

18/52 (35%)Long balls29/58 (50%)

5/22 (23%)Crosses5/18 (28%)

15Throw-ins18

Duels

49Duels51

26/46 (57%)Ground duels20/46 (43%)

21/50 (42%)Aerial duels29/50 (58%)

3/5 (60%)Dribbles8/11 (73%)

5Dispossessed7

Defending

10Tackles7

60Tackles won29

9Interceptions13

21Clearances32

45Recoveries42

Discipline

5Fouls13

1Yellow cards1

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

3Saves1

8Goal kicks7

2Punches1

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 24 bookmakers

Vissel Kobe 47%

26%

Nagoya 27%

Who winsVissel Kobe to win (DNB) 78% · 1.50 @ Unibet

BTTSBoth teams to score 58% · 3.00 @ Bet365

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 55% · 4.00 @ William Hill

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 78% · 1.95 @ William Hill

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 68% · 1.53 @ Pinnacle

1X2Vissel Kobe to win 47% · 2.40 @ Bet365

1X2Draw 26% · 2.60 @ 1xBet

CornersUnder 9.5 corners 56% · 1.87 @ Pinnacle

CornersOver 8.5 corners 55% · 1.53 @ 1xBet

1X2Nagoya to win 27% · 3.62 @ 1xBet

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 65% · 1.44 @ Pinnacle

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

2.00

Vissel Kobe

3.50

Draw

3.45

Nagoya Grampus

Double Chanceconsensus

1.29

Vissel Kobe or Draw

1.28

Vissel Kobe or Nagoya Grampus

1.79

Draw or Nagoya Grampus

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.68

Yes

2.05

No

Home Win to Nilconsensus

3.60

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

6.50

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.03

Over 0.50

13.00

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.22

Over 1.50

4.10

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.73

Over 2.50

2.09

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

2.80

Over 3.50

1.41

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

5.40

Over 4.50

1.14

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.40

Vissel Kobe

2.65

Nagoya Grampus

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.30

Over 7.50

3.10

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.52

Over 8.50

2.34

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.91

Over 9.50

1.83

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

2.39

Over 10.50

1.51

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

3.10

Over 11.50

1.30

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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