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Nagoya Grampus
Nagoya Grampus
Nagoya Grampus
Nagoya Grampus
Nagoya Grampus
Kyoto Sanga FC
Kyoto Sanga FC
Nagoya Grampus
Mihailo Petrovic
Nagoya Grampus
Kyoto Sanga FC
Nagoya Grampus
3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1
Kyoto Sanga FC
Commentary
90'
Full-time. Nagoya Grampus 0-2 Kyoto Sanga FC.
90'
6 minutes of added time.
86'
Attempt missed. Rafael Elias (Kyoto Sanga FC), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.06.
64'
Nagoya Grampus
Corner, Nagoya Grampus.
59'
Nagoya Grampus
Offside, Nagoya Grampus.
56'
Nagoya Grampus
Corner, Nagoya Grampus.
52'
Goal! Nagoya Grampus 0-2 Kyoto Sanga FC. S. Yoon (Kyoto Sanga FC) scores, assisted by Halls.
47'
Attempt saved. S. Fukuoka (Kyoto Sanga FC), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.02.
46'
The second half is under way.
45'
Half-time. Nagoya Grampus 0-1 Kyoto Sanga FC.
45'
4 minutes of added time.
43'
Goal! Nagoya Grampus 0-1 Kyoto Sanga FC. A. Souza (Kyoto Sanga FC) scores, assisted by Rafael Elias.
37'
Attempt missed. T. Takamine (Nagoya Grampus), left-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.02.
29'
Nagoya Grampus
Offside, Nagoya Grampus.
29'
Nagoya Grampus
Corner, Nagoya Grampus.
20'
Kyoto Sanga FC
Offside, Kyoto Sanga FC.
10'
Attempt blocked. T. Shichi (Kyoto Sanga FC), left-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.06.
8'
Kyoto Sanga FC
Corner, Kyoto Sanga FC.
5'
Nagoya Grampus
Corner, Nagoya Grampus.
1'
Kick-off: Nagoya Grampus vs Kyoto Sanga FC.
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
111533 EUR · live
Away
1.01 · implied 99.0%
64.7%
-34.3 vs price
Home
500.0 · implied 0.2%
33.8%
+33.6 vs price
Draw
60.0 · implied 1.7%
2.1%
+0.5 vs price
Half time
0 EUR
Home
2.5 · implied 40.0%
43.8%
+3.8 vs price
Draw
2.44 · implied 41.0%
37.5%
-3.5 vs price
Away
4.7 · implied 21.3%
18.8%
-2.5 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
56140 EUR · live
Under
1.05 · implied 95.2%
75.3%
-20.0 vs price
Over
8.8 · implied 11.4%
24.8%
+13.4 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
1117 EUR
Under
1.15 · implied 87.0%
93.8%
+6.8 vs price
Over
7.6 · implied 13.2%
6.2%
-7.0 vs price
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
40'
A. Souza · Foul
43'
⚽
A. Souza · assist Rafael Elias0–1
Half-time · 0–1
45'+5
H. A. Tawiah · Argument
46'
🔁
Mateus ◂ T. Takamine
52'
⚽
S. Yoon · assist Halls0–2
58'
🔁
T. Kato ◂ A. Souza
61'
🔁
H. Koda ◂ Y. Yamagishi
67'
🔁
T. Morishima ◂ T. Uchida
78'
🔁
Y. Nogami ◂ Y. Sato
82'
T. Morishima · Foul
Full-time · 0–2
90'
🔁
H. Morooka ◂ S. Fukuoka
90'
🔁
S. Nagasawa ◂ H. Arai
90'
🔁
M. Okugawa ◂ T. Kato
90'+1
🔁
R. Nakano ◂ S. Yoon
90'+4
Mateus · Foul
Coaches
Mihailo PetrovicRanko Popović 
Recent form
Nagoya GrampusLAVissel Kobe1-3
DHYokohama F. Marinos1-1
DHCerezo Osaka1-1
WAKashiwa Reysol3-1
WAKawasaki Frontale2-1
Kyoto Sanga FCWHShimizu S-Pulse2-0
DAGamba Osaka2-2
DHKashima Antlers2-2
LASanfrecce Hiroshima0-3
LHMachida Zelvia0-1
About this match
**Nagoya's the heavy favorite here** — they've got Kyoto's number historically and are riding steadier form at home. 🔴
Nagoya's mixed recent results (two draws sandwiched around a hammering from Kobe) still beat Kyoto's wobblier output. The visitors scraped a win vs Shimizu but can't string together consistency, and Toyota Stadium hasn't exactly been a fun away day for them.
Key storylines:
- **Nagoya's attacking axis** of Kimura and Nakayama will probe a Kyoto defense that's vulnerable on the road
- **Kyoto's Rafael Elias and Túlio** need service and space to threaten — if Nagoya's backline (led by Fujii and Tokumoto) stays compact, it'll be a long afternoon
- Home advantage weighs heavy; Nagoya 7-3-7 in the h2h tells you everything about this matchup
Expected lineups:
- **Nagoya Grampus**: D. Schmidt, S. Tokumoto, H. Fujii, Y. Nogami, T. Hara, S. Inagaki, R. Izumi, T. Takamine, K. Nakayama, Y. Kimura, T. Uchida
- **Kyoto Sanga FC**: Halls, K. Sato, Y. Suzuki, K. Nagata, Y. Ishida, S. Fukuoka, R. Nakano, J. Pedro, T. Matsuda, Rafael Elias, M. Túlio
Prediction:
**Nagoya 2–0 Kyoto**. Lean Nagoya by a goal; they control midfield and Kyoto struggles away. 💪
Match facts
Stadium
Toyota Stadium
City
Toyota
Kickoff
07 Nov, 05:00 UTC
Competition
J1 League
Highlights & clips
Nagoya Grampus
3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1
Kyoto Sanga FC
1
D. Schmidt
7.1
70
T. Hara
6.8
13
H. Fujii
7.5
2
Y. Nogami
7.0
↑ 78'
7
R. Izumi
6.6
15
S. Inagaki
6.6
10
Mateus
7.2
↑ 46'
27
K. Nakayama
6.8
14
T. Morishima
6.9
↑ 67'
22
Y. Kimura
6.7
19
H. Koda
6.5
↑ 61'
90
Halls
7.9
48
R. Nakano
6.5
↑ 90'
50
Y. Suzuki
7.1
5
H. A. Tawiah
7.2
44
K. Sato
7.0
6
J. Pedro
7.3
62
T. Shichi
6.6
7
M. Okugawa
6.6
↑ 90'
23
T. Kato
6.6
↑ 58'
24
H. Morooka
6.6
↑ 90'
9
Rafael Elias
7.5
Substitutes
35GA. Pisano
3DY. Sato↓ 78'6.0
55DS. Tokumoto
31MT. Takamine↓ 46'7.2
17MT. Uchida↓ 67'6.5
30MS. Sugiura
41MM. Ono
58MT. Koyamatsu
11FY. Yamagishi↓ 61'6.6
Coach: Mihailo Petrovic
Substitutes
1GG. Ota
43DWeverton
25MS. Yoon↓ 90'8.0
77MH. Arai↓ 90'7.1
10MS. Fukuoka↓ 90'7.0
99MF. Honda
16MT. Hiraoka
17FA. Souza↓ 58'7.1
93FS. Nagasawa↑ 90'6.7
Coach: Ranko Popović
Top stats
68%Possession32%
0.85Expected goals (xG, estimated)0.94
12Total shots13
3Shots on target6
0Big chances2
4Corners1
Shots
6Shots off target3
3Blocked shots4
5Shots inside box6
7Shots outside box7
0Big chances scored2
Attack
22Touches in box14
80Final third entries52
2Offsides2
17Free kicks15
4Fouled in final third4
Passing
615Passes298
504Accurate passes196
29/64 (45%)Long balls12/59 (20%)
5/17 (29%)Crosses0/6 (0%)
29Throw-ins17
Duels
50Duels50
28/63 (44%)Ground duels35/63 (56%)
22/38 (58%)Aerial duels16/38 (42%)
5/15 (33%)Dribbles4/9 (44%)
6Dispossessed1
Defending
6Tackles16
100Tackles won88
8Interceptions16
17Clearances29
41Recoveries50
Discipline
15Fouls17
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
Goalkeeping
4Saves3
0Big saves1
5Goal kicks6
0Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 24 bookmakers
CornersOver 9.5 corners 50% · 1.70 @ 1xBet
BTTSBoth teams to score 57% · 3.25 @ Bet365
1X2Nagoya to win 50% · 2.20 @ William Hill
CornersOver 8.5 corners 62% · 1.41 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 55% · 4.00 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 78% · 1.91 @ 1xBet
1X2Draw 25% · 2.62 @ 1xBet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 61% · 1.67 @ Pinnacle
Who winsNagoya to win (DNB) 53% · 1.42 @ 10bet
1X2Kyoto Sanga to win 24% · 3.88 @ 1xBet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 64% · 1.44 @ Pinnacle
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.85
Nagoya Grampus
3.70
Draw
3.90
Kyoto Sanga FC
Double Chanceconsensus
1.22
Nagoya Grampus or Draw
1.25
Nagoya Grampus or Kyoto Sanga FC
1.91
Draw or Kyoto Sanga FC
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.63
Yes
2.15
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
3.40
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
7.50
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50
12.30
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.21
Over 1.50
4.16
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.73
Over 2.50
2.11
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.75
Over 3.50
1.42
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.35
Over 4.50
1.14
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.38
Nagoya Grampus
2.83
Kyoto Sanga FC
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.21
Over 7.50
3.70
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.41
Over 8.50
2.65
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.70
Over 9.50
2.05
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.12
Over 10.50
1.65
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.65
Over 11.50
1.40
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.3%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.3%.
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