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Shimizu S-Pulse
Shimizu S-Pulse
Shimizu S-Pulse
Tokyo Verdy
Shimizu S-Pulse
Shimizu S-Pulse
Tokyo Verdy
Tokyo Verdy
Shimizu S-Pulse
Shimizu S-Pulse
Shimizu S-Pulse
Tokyo Verdy
Shimizu S-Pulse
Shimizu S-Pulse
Tokyo Verdy
Tokyo Verdy
Tokyo Verdy
Takayuki Yoshida
Shimizu S-Pulse
Tokyo Verdy
Shimizu S-Pulse
4-2-3-1 · 4-4-2
Tokyo Verdy
Commentary
90'
Full-time. Shimizu S-Pulse 0-1 Tokyo Verdy.
90+7'
Shimizu S-Pulse
Corner, Shimizu S-Pulse.
90+6'
Shimizu S-Pulse
Corner, Shimizu S-Pulse.
90'
9 minutes of added time.
89'
Attempt missed. D. J. Won (Shimizu S-Pulse), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.04.
87'
Shimizu S-Pulse
Corner, Shimizu S-Pulse.
83'
Attempt saved. R. Germain (Shimizu S-Pulse), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.06.
79'
Tokyo Verdy
Offside, Tokyo Verdy.
78'
Shimizu S-Pulse
Corner, Shimizu S-Pulse.
75'
Shimizu S-Pulse
Corner, Shimizu S-Pulse.
72'
Goal! Shimizu S-Pulse 0-1 Tokyo Verdy. I. Kumatoriya (Tokyo Verdy) scores, assisted by Y. Arai.
71'
Attempt missed. K. Matsuzaki (Shimizu S-Pulse), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.06.
69'
Tokyo Verdy
Offside, Tokyo Verdy.
62'
Tokyo Verdy
Offside, Tokyo Verdy.
52'
Shimizu S-Pulse
Corner, Shimizu S-Pulse.
49'
Shimizu S-Pulse
Corner, Shimizu S-Pulse.
46'
The second half is under way.
45'
Half-time. Shimizu S-Pulse 0-0 Tokyo Verdy.
45'
3 minutes of added time.
37'
Shimizu S-Pulse
Corner, Shimizu S-Pulse.
29'
Tokyo Verdy
Offside, Tokyo Verdy.
23'
Shimizu S-Pulse
Corner, Shimizu S-Pulse.
22'
Shimizu S-Pulse
Corner, Shimizu S-Pulse.
20'
Tokyo Verdy
Corner, Tokyo Verdy.
9'
Tokyo Verdy
Corner, Tokyo Verdy.
6'
Tokyo Verdy
Corner, Tokyo Verdy.
1'
Kick-off: Shimizu S-Pulse vs Tokyo Verdy.
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
30982 EUR · live
Away
1.02 · implied 98.0%
69.3%
-28.7 vs price
Draw
17.5 · implied 5.7%
17.5%
+11.8 vs price
Home
200.0 · implied 0.5%
13.3%
+12.8 vs price
Half time
17 EUR
Draw
2.1 · implied 47.6%
99.7%
+52.1 vs price
Home
3.45 · implied 29.0%
0.2%
-28.8 vs price
Away
3.85 · implied 26.0%
0.2%
-25.8 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
31940 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
82.2%
-16.8 vs price
Over
50.0 · implied 2.0%
18.0%
+16.0 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
63 EUR
Over
13.0 · implied 7.7%
100.0%
+92.3 vs price
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
18'
🔁
M. Sako ◂ Y. M. Jo
21'
N. Hayashi · Foul
Half-time · 0–0
46'
🔁
Y. Shimamoto ◂ T. Hirato
59'
🔁
K. Shibato ◂ K. Morita
59'
🔁
I. Kumatoriya ◂ K. Fujimoto
65'
Y. Takahashi · Foul
67'
🔁
Y. Matsuhashi ◂ I. Someno
69'
🔁
K. Matsuzaki ◂ K. Inoue
69'
🔁
R. Germain ◂ T. Fujii
72'
⚽
I. Kumatoriya · assist Y. Arai0–1
78'
🔁
D. J. Won ◂ K. Koizumi
86'
🔁
S. Teranuma ◂ K. Ichimi
89'
🔁
Capixaba ◂ S. Park
Full-time · 0–1
90'+1
S. Teranuma · Foul
90'+2
Capixaba · Foul
Coaches
Takayuki YoshidaNaoki Soma 
Recent form
Shimizu S-PulseLAKyoto Sanga FC0-2
LASanfrecce Hiroshima0-4
LHMachida Zelvia0-5
DHGamba Osaka2-2
WAMito Hollyhock2-1
Tokyo VerdyWAV-Varen Nagasaki2-1
WHAvispa Fukuoka3-1
DAYokohama F. Marinos2-2
LHFC Tokyo0-4
LHSanfrecce Hiroshima0-2
About this match
**Shimizu S-Pulse are in freefall, and Tokyo Verdy smell blood.** This is a proper mismatch on form — one team clawing out of the basement, the other riding a 2W streak. 🔥
S-Pulse have leaked 11 goals in their last three games and look genuinely lost defensively. Verdy, meanwhile, just dismantled Avispa 3-1 and beat Nagasaki on the road. The home side desperately needs a win, but they're walking into a buzzsaw.
Key storylines:
- **Shimizu S-Pulse's backline** (M. Brunetti, Y. Honda, H. Sugai) has to tighten up fast or Verdy's forwards will feast again
- **Tokyo Verdy's attack led by K. Ichimi and I. Someno** has found rhythm and won't show mercy to a leaky home defense
- **Head-to-head history favors Shimizu**, but form beats history — Verdy are the in-form side here
Expected lineups:
- **Shimizu S-Pulse**: T. Umeda, Y. Yoshida, M. Brunetti, Y. Honda, Capixaba, Y. Takahashi, M. Yumiba, Y. Shimamoto, R. Germain, K. Matsuzaki
- **Tokyo Verdy**: M. Vidotto, S. Mizoguchi, N. Hayashi, K. Suzuki, R. Inoue, K. Saito, R. Hirakawa, Y. Arai, Y. Uchida, I. Someno, K. Ichimi
Prediction:
**Tokyo Verdy 2-1 Shimizu S-Pulse** — Verdy have the edge on form and should control this one. 📍
Match facts
Stadium
IAI Stadium Nihondaira
City
Shizuoka
Kickoff
07 Nov, 04:00 UTC
Competition
J1 League
Highlights & clips
Shimizu S-Pulse
4-2-3-1 · 4-4-2
Tokyo Verdy
1
Y. Oki
6.4
24
H. Sugai
6.9
3
Y. Takahashi
6.9
7
Capixaba
6.4
↑ 89'
25
M. Brunetti
6.7
17
M. Yumiba
7.1
6
D. J. Won
6.6
↑ 78'
21
K. Matsuzaki
6.5
↑ 69'
47
Y. Shimamoto
6.5
↑ 46'
13
R. Germain
6.1
↑ 69'
9
O. Se-Hun
7.2
1
M. Vidotto
7.5
22
Y. Uchida
6.8
4
N. Hayashi
7.1
29
M. Sako
7.1
↑ 18'
18
S. Mizoguchi
7.5
2
K. Shibato
6.5
↑ 59'
25
I. Kumatoriya
7.9
↑ 59'
16
R. Hirakawa
6.5
40
Y. Arai
7.3
45
S. Teranuma
6.5
↑ 86'
7
Y. Matsuhashi
6.9
↑ 67'
Substitutes
16GT. Umeda
14DS. Park↓ 89'6.9
28DY. Yoshida
8MK. Inoue↓ 69'6.7
50MT. Fujii↓ 69'6.7
37MK. Koizumi↓ 78'6.7
18MT. Hirato↓ 46'6.4
97MR. Ohata
81MK. Kozuka
Coach: Takayuki Yoshida
Top stats
59%Possession41%
0.91Expected goals (xG)0.54
13Total shots6
4Shots on target1
1Big chances1
10Corners3
Shots
7Shots off target4
2Blocked shots1
7Shots inside box3
6Shots outside box3
0Big chances scored1
1Big chances missed0
Attack
19Touches in box15
62Final third entries53
0Offsides3
14Free kicks12
4Fouled in final third1
Passing
378Passes268
283Accurate passes191
30/69 (43%)Long balls26/51 (51%)
5/30 (17%)Crosses2/18 (11%)
29Throw-ins33
Duels
52Duels48
35/64 (55%)Ground duels29/64 (45%)
30/60 (50%)Aerial duels30/60 (50%)
4/9 (44%)Dribbles6/14 (43%)
7Dispossessed13
Defending
21Tackles12
81Tackles won67
6Interceptions7
30Clearances32
40Recoveries35
Discipline
12Fouls14
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
Goalkeeping
0Saves4
11Goal kicks9
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 23 bookmakers
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 59% · 1.12 @ William Hill
1X2Draw 30% · 2.25 @ Bet365
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 76% · 1.22 @ Pinnacle
BTTSBTTS: No 51% · 1.22 @ 1xBet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 60% · 1.58 @ Pinnacle
Who winsShimizu to win (DNB) 60% · 1.73 @ Novibet
1X2Tokyo Verdy to win 31% · 3.32 @ 1xBet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 64% · 1.49 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 52% · 1.79 @ Pinnacle
1X2Shimizu to win 39% · 2.88 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 67% · 2.45 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.46
Shimizu S-Pulse
3.12
Draw
2.92
Tokyo Verdy
Double Chanceconsensus
1.36
Shimizu S-Pulse or Draw
1.33
Shimizu S-Pulse or Tokyo Verdy
1.50
Draw or Tokyo Verdy
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.93
Yes
1.77
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
3.80
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
4.60
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.05
Over 0.50
7.90
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.42
Over 1.50
2.73
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.33
Over 2.50
1.58
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
4.52
Over 3.50
1.17
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
9.00
Over 4.50
1.04
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.73
Shimizu S-Pulse
2.04
Tokyo Verdy
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.32
Over 7.50
3.00
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.58
Over 8.50
2.25
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.98
Over 9.50
1.77
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.50
Over 10.50
1.48
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
3.30
Over 11.50
1.26
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.2%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.2%.
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