Serbia 1-2 Greece: Stats, xG & Lineups – Sep 24, 2026

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Serbia 1-2 Greece.

90+4'

A. Douvikas

Goal! Serbia 1-2 Greece. A. Douvikas (Greece) scores, assisted by K. Tsimikas.

90+3'

Serbia

Offside, Serbia.

90+1'

K. Mavropanos

Substitution, Greece: G. Michailidis comes on for K. Mavropanos.

90+1'

C. Zafeiris

Substitution, Greece: A. Androutsos comes on for C. Zafeiris.

90'

5 minutes of added time.

90'

N. Maksimović

Off the woodwork! N. Maksimović (Serbia), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.04.

90'

S. Lukić

Attempt saved. S. Lukić (Serbia), header. xG 0.24.

90'

D. Tadić

Substitution, Serbia: P. Sukačev comes on for D. Tadić.

88'

P. Retsos

Attempt missed. P. Retsos (Greece), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

87'

C. Tzolis

Attempt missed. C. Tzolis (Greece), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.04.

83'

C. Zafeiris

Yellow card for C. Zafeiris (Greece) for handball.

81'

A. Douvikas

Attempt missed. A. Douvikas (Greece), right-footed shot. xG 0.06.

81'

N. Simić

Substitution, Serbia: N. Gudelj comes on for N. Simić.

78'

D. Joveljić

Attempt blocked. D. Joveljić (Serbia), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.17.

77'

Greece

Corner, Greece.

77'

A. Tetteh

Attempt blocked. A. Tetteh (Greece), left-footed shot. xG 0.05.

74'

V. Pavlidis

Substitution, Greece: A. Tetteh comes on for V. Pavlidis.

74'

K. Karetsas

Substitution, Greece: A. Douvikas comes on for K. Karetsas.

74'

C. Tzolis

Goal! Serbia 1-1 Greece. C. Tzolis (Greece) scores, assisted by V. Pavlidis.

72'

A. Terzić

Yellow card for A. Terzić (Serbia) for foul.

71'

Serbia

Offside, Serbia.

71'

Serbia

Offside, Serbia.

71'

L. Jović

Substitution, Serbia: D. Joveljić comes on for L. Jović.

71'

F. Kostić

Substitution, Serbia: A. Terzić comes on for F. Kostić.

66'

F. Ioannidis

Attempt saved. F. Ioannidis (Greece), left-footed shot. xG 0.11.

63'

C. Kostoulas

Substitution, Greece: F. Ioannidis comes on for C. Kostoulas.

63'

D. Tadić

Yellow card for D. Tadić (Serbia) for foul.

61'

K. Karetsas

Attempt saved. K. Karetsas (Greece), left-footed shot. xG 0.04.

61'

V. Pavlidis

Attempt saved. V. Pavlidis (Greece), left-footed shot. xG 0.04.

54'

S. Milinković-Savić

Attempt saved. S. Milinković-Savić (Serbia), right-footed shot. xG 0.13.

53'

Greece

Offside, Greece.

53'

Greece

Offside, Greece.

49'

K. Mavropanos

Attempt saved. K. Mavropanos (Greece), header from a set piece. xG 0.10.

49'

K. Mavropanos

Attempt missed. K. Mavropanos (Greece), right-footed shot. xG 0.28.

49'

P. Retsos

Attempt saved. P. Retsos (Greece), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.19.

46'

M. Cvetković

Substitution, Serbia: S. Lukić comes on for M. Cvetković.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Serbia 1-0 Greece.

45+1'

C. Kostoulas

Attempt blocked. C. Kostoulas (Greece), right-footed shot. xG 0.06.

45'

1 minute of added time.

41'

A. Živković

Attempt missed. A. Živković (Serbia), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.01.

41'

C. Kostoulas

Attempt missed. C. Kostoulas (Greece), header. xG 0.04.

40'

C. Tzolis

Attempt blocked. C. Tzolis (Greece), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

40'

C. Tzolis

Attempt saved. C. Tzolis (Greece), right-footed shot. xG 0.05.

40'

Greece

Corner, Greece.

34'

C. Zafeiris

Attempt blocked. C. Zafeiris (Greece), left-footed shot. xG 0.05.

34'

V. Pavlidis

Attempt missed. V. Pavlidis (Greece), header. xG 0.11.

32'

Serbia

Corner, Serbia.

30'

S. Pavlović

Attempt missed. S. Pavlović (Serbia), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

30'

L. Jović

Attempt missed. L. Jović (Serbia), right-footed shot. xG 0.41.

26'

Greece

Offside, Greece.

20'

Greece

Corner, Greece.

20'

V. Pavlidis

Attempt blocked. V. Pavlidis (Greece), left-footed shot. xG 0.14.

15'

C. Kostoulas

Attempt missed. C. Kostoulas (Greece), right-footed shot. xG 0.13.

14'

K. Karetsas

Attempt saved. K. Karetsas (Greece), left-footed shot. xG 0.09.

14'

Greece

Corner, Greece.

12'

C. Tzolis

Attempt blocked. C. Tzolis (Greece), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

12'

Greece

Corner, Greece.

11'

Greece

Corner, Greece.

9'

C. Kostoulas

Attempt missed. C. Kostoulas (Greece), left-footed shot. xG 0.08.

9'

V. Pavlidis

Attempt missed. V. Pavlidis (Greece), right-footed shot. xG 0.22.

7'

C. Tzolis

Attempt blocked. C. Tzolis (Greece), right-footed shot. xG 0.06.

5'

K. Karetsas

Off the woodwork! K. Karetsas (Greece), right-footed shot. xG 0.12.

4'

A. Živković

Goal! Serbia 1-0 Greece. A. Živković (Serbia) scores, assisted by D. Tadić.

2'

Serbia

Corner, Serbia.

2'

N. Maksimović

Attempt saved. N. Maksimović (Serbia), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

1'

Kick-off: Serbia vs Greece.

Where the money is

1978865 EUR matched · captured 3 weeks, 5 days ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 912368 EUR · live

Home 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

55.4%

+55.3 vs price

Away 1.03 · implied 97.1%

24.2%

-72.9 vs price

Draw 34.0 · implied 2.9%

20.4%

+17.5 vs price

Half time 9161 EUR · live

Home 1.2 · implied 83.3%

76.2%

-7.2 vs price

Draw 5.6 · implied 17.9%

17.3%

-0.6 vs price

Away 44.0 · implied 2.3%

6.6%

+4.3 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 428999 EUR · live

Over 11.0 · implied 9.1%

65.2%

+56.1 vs price

Under 1.1 · implied 90.9%

34.8%

-56.1 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 24594 EUR · live

Under 1.03 · implied 97.1%

94.3%

-2.8 vs price

Over 36.0 · implied 2.8%

5.7%

+2.9 vs price

16 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 14 clips

Player of the match

Match events

4' ⚽ A. Živković · assist D. Tadić1–0

Half-time · 1–0

46' 🔁 S. Lukić ◂ M. Cvetković

63' 🔁 F. Ioannidis ◂ C. Kostoulas

63' D. Tadić · Foul

71' 🔁 A. Terzić ◂ F. Kostić

71' 🔁 D. Joveljić ◂ L. Jović

72' A. Terzić · Foul

74' 🔁 A. Douvikas ◂ K. Karetsas

74' 🔁 A. Tetteh ◂ V. Pavlidis

74' ⚽ C. Tzolis · assist V. Pavlidis1–1

81' 🔁 N. Gudelj ◂ N. Simić

83' C. Zafeiris · Handball

Full-time · 1–2

90' 🔁 P. Sukačev ◂ D. Tadić

90'⁺¹ 🔁 A. Androutsos ◂ C. Zafeiris

90'⁺¹ 🔁 G. Michailidis ◂ K. Mavropanos

90'⁺⁴ ⚽ A. Douvikas · assist K. Tsimikas1–2

Coaches

Veljko Paunović

Ivan Jovanović

Recent form

Serbia

LAMexico1-5

LACabo Verde0-3

WHSaudi Arabia2-1

LASpain0-3

WHLatvia2-1

Greece

LHItaly0-1

DASweden2-2

DAHungary0-0

LHParaguay0-1

DABelarus0-0

About this match

**Serbia rolls into Belgrade riding a rollercoaster, while Greece's drawing addiction has them stuck in neutral** — this UEFA Nations League opener is basically a desperate need-to-win scenario for both sides. 🏟️

Serbia's been all over the map (hammered by Mexico, beat Saudi Arabia), while Greece can't seem to finish a game — three draws in their last five tells you everything. Home advantage and that extra attacking juice should tilt things for the hosts, but Greece's defensive shape could frustrate.

Key storylines:

- **A. Mitrović** leads Serbia's hunt for early rhythm after a messy stretch; Greece's backline will have their hands full

- Serbia's missing key defenders (Terzić, Ivanović, Veselinović out) — depth is about to get tested hard

- **V. Pavlidis** and Greece's midfield need to avoid sitting too deep; they can't afford another stalemate

Expected lineups:

- **Serbia**: P. Rajković, S. Pavlović, M. Veljković, O. Mimović, F. Kostić, S. Milinković-Savić, A. Mitrović, S. Mitrović

- **Greece**: K. Tzolakis, K. Tsimikas, K. Koulierakis, L. Rota, C. Tzolis, D. Kourbelis, V. Pavlidis, G. Masouras

Prediction:

**Serbia 2–0 Greece.** Home crowd + injury-hit but hungry Serbia should edge this one; Greece's draw specialists just don't have the attacking fire to punish a patchy Serbian side. 🎯

Where to watch

beIN SPORTS 6

Match facts

Stadium

Rajko Mitić Stadion

City

Belgrade

Referee

Glenn Nyberg

3.37 yellows/match · 52 matches

Kickoff

24 Sep, 18:45 UTC

Competition

UEFA Nations League

Highlights & clips

Serbia 4-4-2 · 4-4-2 Greece

23 V. Milinković-Savić 8.1 6 N. Gudelj 6.4 ↑ 81' 16 S. Eraković 7.3 3 S. Pavlović 7.0 17 A. Terzić 6.2 ↑ 71' 14 A. Živković 8.6 5 N. Maksimović 6.8 20 S. Milinković-Savić 7.1 22 S. Lukić 6.6 ↑ 46' 9 D. Joveljić 6.4 ↑ 71' 2 P. Sukačev ↑ 90' 12 K. Tzolakis 6.9 2 G. Vagiannidis 6.5 18 G. Michailidis ↑ 90' 5 P. Retsos 6.4 21 K. Tsimikas 7.0 9 A. Douvikas 7.4 ↑ 74' 6 D. Kourbelis 7.8 15 A. Androutsos ↑ 90' 10 C. Tzolis 7.8 8 F. Ioannidis 6.4 ↑ 63' 16 A. Tetteh 7.0 ↑ 74'

Top stats

39%Possession61%

1.42Expected goals (xG)2.51

9Total shots26

4Shots on target9

4Big chances2

2Corners6

Shots

4Shots off target10

1Blocked shots7

7Shots inside box16

2Shots outside box10

1Hit woodwork1

1Big chances scored1

3Big chances missed1

0.82Goals prevented0.22

Attack

19Touches in box44

36Final third entries57

2Offsides2

7Free kicks11

1Fouled in final third3

Passing

378Passes588

323Accurate passes525

25/42 (60%)Long balls25/47 (53%)

4/12 (33%)Crosses4/25 (16%)

10Throw-ins13

Duels

53Duels47

28/61 (46%)Ground duels33/61 (54%)

22/33 (67%)Aerial duels11/33 (33%)

5/10 (50%)Dribbles9/19 (47%)

8Dispossessed7

Defending

17Tackles13

47Tackles won46

8Interceptions3

33Clearances14

43Recoveries47

Discipline

11Fouls7

2Yellow cards1

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

7Saves3

3Big saves0

9Goal kicks4

3Punches0

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 37 bookmakers

Serbia 36%

29%

Greece 35%

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 55% · 1.12 @ William Hill

Who winsSerbia to win (DNB) 64% · 1.52 @ Novibet

1X2Greece to win 35% · 3.90 @ Novibet

1X2Draw 29% · 2.51 @ efbet.net

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 75% · 1.29 @ betfred

BTTSBTTS: No 50% · 1.25 @ 1xBet

CornersOver 8.5 corners 57% · 2.01 @ Pinnacle

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 66% · 1.29 @ betfair

CornersUnder 9.5 corners 54% · 1.50 @ betfair

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 70% · 2.49 @ 1xBet

1X2Serbia to win 36% · 3.32 @ 1xBet

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

2.06

Serbia

3.31

Draw ▼

3.76

Greece ▲

Double Chanceconsensus

1.26

Serbia or Draw ▼

1.32

Serbia or Greece

1.75

Draw or Greece ▲

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.80

Yes

1.91

No

Home Win to Nilconsensus

4.40

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

4.20

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.06

Over 0.50

9.10

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.32

Over 1.50 ▼

3.11

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

2.04

Over 2.50

1.75

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

3.52

Over 3.50 ▼

1.26

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

6.72

Over 4.50

1.07

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.46

Serbia

2.56

Greece

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.48

Over 7.50

2.35

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.90

Over 8.50

1.84

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

2.40

Over 9.50

1.48

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

3.15

Over 10.50

1.27

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

4.39

Over 11.50

1.13

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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