Norway 3-2 Denmark: Stats, xG & Lineups – Sep 24, 2026

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Norway 3-2 Denmark.

90+4'

Denmark

Offside, Denmark.

90+3'

D. M. Wolfe

Second yellow card for D. M. Wolfe (Norway), who is sent off.

90+3'

M. Ødegaard

Attempt blocked. M. Ødegaard (Norway), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.07.

90+2'

M. Ødegaard

Attempt missed. M. Ødegaard (Norway), left-footed shot. xG 0.09.

90+1'

G. Isaksen

Yellow card for G. Isaksen (Denmark) for argument.

90'

4 minutes of added time.

90'

Norway

Corner, Norway.

89'

P. Højbjerg

Attempt missed. P. Højbjerg (Denmark), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

89'

A. Nusa

Substitution, Norway: K. Thorstvedt comes on for A. Nusa.

88'

M. Hjulmand

Substitution, Denmark: T. Jørgensen comes on for M. Hjulmand.

85'

A. Nusa

Attempt missed. A. Nusa (Norway), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

84'

A. Schjelderup

Attempt saved. A. Schjelderup (Norway), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.13.

82'

R. Højlund

Substitution, Denmark: K. Høgh comes on for R. Højlund.

82'

M. Damsgaard

Substitution, Denmark: A. Grønbæk comes on for M. Damsgaard.

81'

E. Haaland

Attempt saved. E. Haaland (Norway), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

77'

E. Haaland

Attempt missed. E. Haaland (Norway), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.03.

76'

Norway

Corner, Norway.

75'

P. Dorgu

Substitution, Denmark: G. Isaksen comes on for P. Dorgu.

75'

V. Froholdt

Substitution, Denmark: M. Bidstrup comes on for V. Froholdt.

74'

E. Haaland

Goal! Norway 3-2 Denmark. E. Haaland (Norway) scores, assisted by M. Ødegaard.

73'

Norway

Corner, Norway.

71'

T. Aasgaard

Attempt blocked. T. Aasgaard (Norway), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

70'

P. Dorgu

Yellow card for P. Dorgu (Denmark) for foul.

70'

Denmark

Corner, Denmark.

69'

R. Højlund

Attempt saved. R. Højlund (Denmark), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.03.

69'

Denmark

Corner, Denmark.

68'

D. M. Wolfe

Yellow card for D. M. Wolfe (Norway) for foul.

66'

V. Froholdt

Attempt missed. V. Froholdt (Denmark), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

66'

F. Aursnes

Substitution, Norway: D. M. Wolfe comes on for F. Aursnes.

66'

P. Berg

Substitution, Norway: A. Schjelderup comes on for P. Berg.

66'

O. Bobb

Substitution, Norway: T. Aasgaard comes on for O. Bobb.

65'

Denmark

Offside, Denmark.

63'

Denmark

Corner, Denmark.

63'

M. Damsgaard

Attempt blocked. M. Damsgaard (Denmark), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

60'

R. Højlund

Goal! Norway 2-2 Denmark. R. Højlund (Denmark) scores.

60'

M. Hjulmand

Attempt saved. M. Hjulmand (Denmark), header from a corner. xG 0.19.

59'

Denmark

Corner, Denmark.

59'

R. Kristensen

Attempt saved. R. Kristensen (Denmark), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

58'

Denmark

Corner, Denmark.

58'

R. Højlund

Attempt blocked. R. Højlund (Denmark), left-footed shot. xG 0.06.

49'

E. Haaland

Attempt saved. E. Haaland (Norway), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Norway 2-1 Denmark.

45+3'

Denmark

Corner, Denmark.

45+2'

Denmark

Corner, Denmark.

45+2'

J. Mæhle

Attempt saved. J. Mæhle (Denmark), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

45+2'

Norway

Offside, Norway.

45'

2 minutes of added time.

41'

Denmark

Corner, Denmark.

39'

P. Berg

Attempt saved. P. Berg (Norway), left-footed shot. xG 0.42.

38'

R. Kristensen

Yellow card for R. Kristensen (Denmark) for foul.

25'

M. Damsgaard

Goal! Norway 2-1 Denmark. M. Damsgaard (Denmark) scores.

20'

M. Damsgaard

Attempt missed. M. Damsgaard (Denmark), header. xG 0.09.

18'

E. Haaland

Goal! Norway 2-0 Denmark. E. Haaland (Norway) scores, assisted by A. Nusa.

14'

O. Bobb

Goal! Norway 1-0 Denmark. O. Bobb (Norway) scores, assisted by M. Ødegaard.

12'

R. Kristensen

Attempt missed. R. Kristensen (Denmark), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

7'

P. Dorgu

Attempt saved. P. Dorgu (Denmark), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

5'

K. Ajer

Attempt blocked. K. Ajer (Norway), header from a corner. xG 0.18.

4'

Norway

Corner, Norway.

1'

Kick-off: Norway vs Denmark.

Where the money is

4137778 EUR matched · captured 3 weeks, 5 days ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 3307477 EUR · live

Home 1.01 · implied 99.0%

88.4%

-10.6 vs price

Away 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

5.9%

+5.8 vs price

Draw 55.0 · implied 1.8%

5.7%

+3.9 vs price

Half time 16460 EUR · live

Home 1.09 · implied 91.7%

78.7%

-13.1 vs price

Draw 10.0 · implied 10.0%

13.4%

+3.4 vs price

Away 100.0 · implied 1.0%

7.9%

+6.9 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 69011 EUR · live

Over 1.07 · implied 93.5%

77.4%

-16.0 vs price

Under 15.0 · implied 6.7%

22.6%

+15.9 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 547 EUR

Under 1.21 · implied 82.6%

59.8%

-22.8 vs price

Over 5.7 · implied 17.5%

39.9%

+22.3 vs price

18 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 12 clips

Player of the match

Match events

14' ⚽ O. Bobb · assist M. Ødegaard1–0

18' ⚽ E. Haaland · assist A. Nusa2–0

25' ⚽ M. Damsgaard2–1

38' R. Kristensen · Foul

Half-time · 2–1

60' ⚽ R. Højlund2–2

66' 🔁 T. Aasgaard ◂ O. Bobb

66' 🔁 A. Schjelderup ◂ P. Berg

66' 🔁 D. M. Wolfe ◂ F. Aursnes

68' D. M. Wolfe · Foul

70' P. Dorgu · Foul

74' ⚽ E. Haaland · assist M. Ødegaard3–2

75' 🔁 M. Bidstrup ◂ V. Froholdt

75' 🔁 G. Isaksen ◂ P. Dorgu

82' 🔁 A. Grønbæk ◂ M. Damsgaard

82' 🔁 K. Høgh ◂ R. Højlund

88' 🔁 T. Jørgensen ◂ M. Hjulmand

89' 🔁 K. Thorstvedt ◂ A. Nusa

Full-time · 3–2

90'⁺¹ G. Isaksen · Argument

90'⁺³ D. M. Wolfe · Foul

Coaches

Ståle Solbakken

Brian Riemer

Recent form

Norway

LHEngland1-2

WABrazil2-1

WACôte d'Ivoire2-1

LHFrance1-4

WHSenegal3-2

Denmark

DHDR Congo0-0

DACzechia2-2

WHNorth Macedonia4-0

LAScotland2-4

DHBelarus2-2

About this match

**Scandinavia's grudge match gets spicy — Norway's momentum meets Denmark's defensive chaos.** 🔥 This is a Nations League opener with real teeth, especially at Ullevaal where home vibes matter.

Norway arrive hot off wins against Brazil and Côte d'Ivoire, while Denmark have looked shaky (three draws in their last five including a stalemate vs DR Congo). But Denmark's got recent H2H edge, and that matters when bottling comebacks.

Key storylines:

- **E. Haaland and A. Sørloth** lead Norway's attack and will fancy Denmark's patchy backline — especially with **A. Christensen** sidelined for the visitors
- **P. Højbjerg** anchoring midfield is Denmark's last line of sense; if **S. Berge** dominates that battle, Norway control the tempo
- Denmark's injury list (**J. Stage, M. Jensen, W. Osula** all out) leaves attacking depth thin — they'll lean on **C. Eriksen's** craft to thread needles

Expected lineups:

- **Norway**: Nyland, Ajer, Østigård, Heggem, Wolfe, Berge, Ryerson, Thorsby, Haaland, Sørloth, Nusa
- **Denmark**: Schmeichel, Mæhle, Kristensen, Nørgaard, Andersen, Damsgaard, Højbjerg, Højlund, Hjulmand, Isaksen, Eriksen

Prediction:

**Norway 2–1 Denmark** — Home heat + form advantage. Denmark's missing bodies hurt too much.

Where to watch

beIN SPORTS 4

Match facts

Stadium

Ullevaal

City

Oslo

Referee

Tobias Stieler

3.44 yellows/match · 39 matches

Kickoff

24 Sep, 18:45 UTC

Competition

UEFA Nations League

Highlights & clips

Norway 4-3-3 · 4-2-3-1 Denmark

1 Ø. Nyland 6.2 14 J. Ryerson 6.5 3 K. Ajer 6.5 17 T. Heggem 6.6 5 D. M. Wolfe 6.5 ↑ 66' 10 M. Ødegaard 8.0 8 S. Berge 6.9 19 T. Aasgaard 6.7 ↑ 66' 21 A. Schjelderup 6.8 ↑ 66' 9 E. Haaland 9.0 18 K. Thorstvedt ↑ 89' 22 F. Jørgensen 5.1 13 R. Kristensen 6.0 2 J. Andersen 6.3 3 O. Provstgaard 7.1 5 J. Mæhle 6.7 10 T. Jørgensen ↑ 88' 23 P. Højbjerg 6.6 12 M. Bidstrup 6.5 ↑ 75' 8 G. Isaksen 6.7 ↑ 75' 20 A. Grønbæk 6.5 ↑ 82' 19 K. Høgh 6.5 ↑ 82'

Substitutes

12GS. Tangvik 13GE. Selvik 2DO. L. Bjørtuft 4DL. Østigård 22MO. Bobb↓ 66'7.5 6MP. Berg↓ 66'6.4 7MF. Aursnes↓ 66'6.1 16MM. Pedersen 20FA. Nusa↓ 89'7.2 11FJ. Larsen 23FE. Botheim 15FO. Blomberg

Coach: Ståle Solbakken

Substitutes

1GA. Jungdal 16GM. Hermansen 4DL. Høgsberg 18DA. Gaaei 6DV. Nelsson 14MM. Damsgaard↓ 82'8.1 21MM. Hjulmand↓ 88'7.8 17MP. Dorgu↓ 75'6.7 7MV. Froholdt↓ 75'6.1 15MV. B. Jensen 9FR. Højlund↓ 82'6.7 11FA. Daghim

Coach: Brian Riemer

Top stats

49%Possession51%

1.41Expected goals (xG)1.09

13Total shots13

7Shots on target7

1Big chances1

4Corners7

Shots

3Shots off target4

3Blocked shots2

11Shots inside box7

2Shots outside box6

0Hit woodwork1

0Big chances scored1

1Big chances missed0

-0.39Goals prevented-1.44

Attack

34Touches in box26

52Final third entries50

1Offsides2

10Free kicks14

1Fouled in final third3

Passing

509Passes523

448Accurate passes464

19/45 (42%)Long balls18/34 (53%)

1/7 (14%)Crosses4/19 (21%)

13Throw-ins19

Duels

44Duels56

31/77 (40%)Ground duels46/77 (60%)

5/5 (100%)Aerial duels0/5 (0%)

8/24 (33%)Dribbles8/12 (67%)

8Dispossessed9

Defending

13Tackles24

54Tackles won71

8Interceptions11

18Clearances22

46Recoveries48

Discipline

14Fouls10

2Yellow cards3

1Red cards0

Goalkeeping

5Saves4

1Big saves1

5Goal kicks8

1Punches0

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 36 bookmakers

Norway 55%

24%

Denmark 22%

1X2Norway to win 55% · 2.62 @ efbet.net

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 60% · 3.40 @ William Hill

BTTSBoth teams to score 60% · 2.76 @ 1xBet

CornersOver 9.5 corners 50% · 1.88 @ Pinnacle

CornersOver 8.5 corners 62% · 1.52 @ Pinnacle

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 80% · 1.77 @ 1xBet

1X2Draw 24% · 2.94 @ 1xBet

Who winsNorway to win (DNB) 57% · 1.64 @ granmadrid

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 61% · 1.57 @ 1xBet

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 64% · 1.67 @ betfair

1X2Denmark to win 22% · 4.65 @ 1xBet

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

2.15

Norway ▲

3.33

Draw ▼

2.83

Denmark ▲

Double Chanceconsensus

1.37

Norway or Draw

1.28

Norway or Denmark

1.61

Draw or Denmark

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.63

Yes

2.14

No

Home Win to Nilconsensus

3.10

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

11.00

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.02

Over 0.50

15.00

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.24

Over 1.50

3.74

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.77

Over 2.50

2.00

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

2.89

Over 3.50

1.37

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

3.99

Over 4.50

1.22

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.62

Norway

2.18

Denmark

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.25

Over 7.50

3.25

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.50

Over 8.50

2.45

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.85

Over 9.50

1.95

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

2.40

Over 10.50

1.55

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

3.04

Over 11.50

1.31

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.

Over 1.5 goals

✓

80% confidence

A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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