Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
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**Liechtenstein are staring down another bloodbath**, having conceded 15 goals in five games while Lithuania — fresh off a win vs Moldova — arrive as heavy favorites. 📉
Liechtenstein's winless streak is bleak, but Lithuania's form is wildly inconsistent: they beat Moldova 2-0 yet just shipped four at home to the Netherlands. This is a **mismatch on paper**, though the visitors' fragility could keep things from getting embarrassing.
Key storylines:
- **Lithuania's attack** needs a statement performance after recent defensive chaos — P. Golubickas and G. Sirgėdas should have space
- **B. Büchel and Liechtenstein's back line** are bracing for aerial bombardment and early pressure
- Home hope: if Liechtenstein can survive the first 20 minutes, Lithuania's inconsistency might gift them a chance
Expected lineups:
- **Liechtenstein**: B. Büchel, A. Malin, J. Hofer, L. Traber, M. Göppel, N. Hasler, A. Hasler, A. Sele, L. Meier, F. L. Notaro, F. Saglam
- **Lithuania**: T. Švedkauskas, A. Tutyškinas, V. Armalas, E. Girdvainis, J. Lasickas, A. Dolznikov, G. Gineitis, M. Vorobjovas, G. Sirgėdas, P. Golubickas, G. Paulauskas
Prediction:
**Lithuania 3–0 Liechtenstein**
Visitors have too much talent despite the wobbles, and Liechtenstein's defensive shape should crumble early. 🟡
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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