Georgia 0-1 Northern Ireland: Stats, xG & Lineups

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Georgia 0-1 Northern Ireland.

90+12'

G. Mikautadze

Attempt missed. G. Mikautadze (Georgia), header. xG 0.04.

90+9'

S. Charles

Goal! Georgia 0-1 Northern Ireland. S. Charles (Northern Ireland) scores, assisted by T. Hume.

90+7'

O. Kiteishvili

Attempt missed. O. Kiteishvili (Georgia), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.01.

90+6'

Georgia

Corner, Georgia.

90+5'

J. Devenny

Yellow card for J. Devenny (Northern Ireland) for argument.

90+5'

K. Kvaratskhelia

Yellow card for K. Kvaratskhelia (Georgia) for argument.

90+5'

D. Ballard

Substitution, Northern Ireland: P. McNair comes on for D. Ballard.

90'

6 minutes of added time.

86'

S. Charles

Attempt missed. S. Charles (Northern Ireland), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

86'

T. Atcheson

Substitution, Northern Ireland: C. O'Neill comes on for T. Atcheson.

85'

L. Lochoshvili

Substitution, Georgia: J. Tabidze comes on for L. Lochoshvili.

85'

S. Goglichidze

Substitution, Georgia: I. Beriashvili comes on for S. Goglichidze.

84'

Z. Davitashvili

Attempt blocked. Z. Davitashvili (Georgia), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

78'

T. Hume

Attempt saved. T. Hume (Northern Ireland), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.07.

78'

O. Kiteishvili

Attempt saved. O. Kiteishvili (Georgia), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

77'

A. Mekvabishvili

Substitution, Georgia: O. Kiteishvili comes on for A. Mekvabishvili.

77'

G. Kvernadze

Substitution, Georgia: Z. Davitashvili comes on for G. Kvernadze.

76'

S. Charles

Attempt saved. S. Charles (Northern Ireland), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.41.

73'

J. Donley

Substitution, Northern Ireland: J. Magennis comes on for J. Donley.

73'

P. Kelly

Substitution, Northern Ireland: B. Spencer comes on for P. Kelly.

72'

I. Price

Attempt saved. I. Price (Northern Ireland), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.05.

72'

C. Brown

Substitution, Northern Ireland: R. McConville comes on for C. Brown.

67'

C. Brown

Yellow card for C. Brown (Northern Ireland) for foul.

66'

L. Lochoshvili

Attempt missed. L. Lochoshvili (Georgia), header from a corner. xG 0.03.

65'

K. Kvaratskhelia

Penalty missed! K. Kvaratskhelia (Georgia), saved.

64'

D. Ballard

Yellow card for D. Ballard (Northern Ireland) for foul.

62'

L. Lochoshvili

VAR: no penalty for Georgia.

59'

T. Hume

Attempt saved. T. Hume (Northern Ireland), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

58'

G. Mikautadze

Attempt saved. G. Mikautadze (Georgia), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.35.

55'

G. Mikautadze

Attempt blocked. G. Mikautadze (Georgia), right-footed shot. xG 0.06.

53'

G. Mikautadze

Attempt saved. G. Mikautadze (Georgia), right-footed shot. xG 0.33.

47'

S. Charles

Attempt blocked. S. Charles (Northern Ireland), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.01.

46'

S. Kharebashvili

Substitution, Georgia: G. Chakvetadze comes on for S. Kharebashvili.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Georgia 0-0 Northern Ireland.

38'

G. Kvernadze

Cleared off the line! G. Kvernadze (Georgia), header from a corner. xG 0.04.

37'

A. Mekvabishvili

Attempt blocked. A. Mekvabishvili (Georgia), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

32'

I. Price

Attempt blocked. I. Price (Northern Ireland), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.02.

32'

E. Galbraith

Attempt blocked. E. Galbraith (Northern Ireland), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.03.

32'

I. Price

Attempt blocked. I. Price (Northern Ireland), right-footed shot. xG 0.07.

32'

J. Donley

Attempt missed. J. Donley (Northern Ireland), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

25'

S. Charles

Attempt missed. S. Charles (Northern Ireland), header. xG 0.06.

1'

Kick-off: Georgia vs Northern Ireland.

Where the money is

2387923 EUR matched · captured 1 month, 2 weeks ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 1665769 EUR · live

Home 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

58.7%

+58.6 vs price

Draw 100.0 · implied 1.0%

22.3%

+21.3 vs price

Away 1.01 · implied 99.0%

19.1%

-79.9 vs price

Half time 7218 EUR · live

Draw 1.56 · implied 64.1%

57.8%

-6.4 vs price

Home 4.2 · implied 23.8%

36.3%

+12.5 vs price

Away 7.2 · implied 13.9%

5.9%

-8.0 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 170846 EUR · live

Under 1.01 · implied 99.0%

74.7%

-24.3 vs price

Over 300.0 · implied 0.3%

25.3%

+24.9 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 5271 EUR · live

Under 1.02 · implied 98.0%

81.4%

-16.7 vs price

Over 85.0 · implied 1.2%

18.6%

+17.4 vs price

16 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 1 clip

Player of the match

Match events

Half-time · 0–0

46' 🔁 G. Chakvetadze ◂ S. Kharebashvili

62' VAR Penalty check · L. Lochoshvili

64' D. Ballard · Foul

65' 🚫 Penalty missed · K. Kvaratskhelia

67' C. Brown · Foul

72' 🔁 R. McConville ◂ C. Brown

73' 🔁 B. Spencer ◂ P. Kelly

73' 🔁 J. Magennis ◂ J. Donley

77' 🔁 Z. Davitashvili ◂ G. Kvernadze

77' 🔁 O. Kiteishvili ◂ A. Mekvabishvili

85' 🔁 I. Beriashvili ◂ S. Goglichidze

85' 🔁 J. Tabidze ◂ L. Lochoshvili

86' 🔁 C. O'Neill ◂ T. Atcheson

Full-time · 0–1

90'⁺⁵ J. Devenny · Argument

90'⁺⁵ K. Kvaratskhelia · Argument

90'⁺⁵ 🔁 P. McNair ◂ D. Ballard

90'⁺⁹ ⚽ S. Charles · assist T. Hume0–1

Coaches

Willy Sagnol

Michael O'Neill

Recent form

Georgia

WHBahrain2-0

DHRomania1-1

WALithuania2-0

DHIsrael2-2

LABulgaria1-2

Northern Ireland

LAFrance1-3

WHGuinea1-0

DAWales1-1

LAItaly0-2

WHLuxembourg1-0

About this match

**Georgia's in the mood, and Northern Ireland's injuries are stacking up.** This Nations League opener feels like the perfect storm for a dominant home performance in Tbilisi. 🔥

Georgia are clicking — two wins in their last three, including a tidy 2-0 away at Lithuania. Northern Ireland, meanwhile, are patchy: two wins but also two losses, and they're missing key defenders A. McCann, B. Lyons, and C. Bradley heading into this one.

Key storylines:

- **K. Kvaratskhelia** anchors Georgia's attacking threat on the left; Northern Ireland's backline will be stretched thin without their missing centre-backs
- **G. Mikautadze** leads the line for Georgia and thrives on service from midfield — expect the hosts to probe early
- Northern Ireland will lean heavily on **P. McNair** and **R. McConville** in defence; one slip could be costly against this Georgia side

Expected lineups:

- **Georgia**: G. Mamardashvili, I. Azarovi, L. Lochoshvili, S. Goglichidze, G. Gocholeishvili, O. Kiteishvili, G. Kochorashvili, A. Mekvabishvili, K. Kvaratskhelia, G. Mikautadze, S. Lobzhanidze
- **Northern Ireland**: B. Peacock-Farrell, J. Lewis, P. McNair, R. McConville, T. Hume, E. Galbraith, J. Devenny, S. Charles, I. Price, C. Marshall, P. Smyth

Prediction:

**Georgia 2–0 Northern Ireland**

Clear edge to the hosts on home turf with a fully fit squad versus depleted opposition.

Where to watch

DStv NowSuperSport MaximoSuperSport Maximo 2SuperSport Premier League

Match facts

Stadium

Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena

City

Tbilisi

Referee

Orel Grinfeeld

4.82 yellows/match · 17 matches

Kickoff

25 Sep, 16:00 UTC

Competition

UEFA Nations League

Highlights & clips

Georgia 3-4-2-1 · 3-4-2-1 Northern Ireland

1 G. Mamardashvili 6.7 13 I. Beriashvili 6.2 ↑ 85' 3 L. Dvali 7.1 21 J. Tabidze 6.3 ↑ 85' 2 Kakabadze 6.0 6 G. Kochorashvili 7.8 8 O. Kiteishvili 6.8 ↑ 77' 10 G. Chakvetadze 7.0 ↑ 46' 9 Z. Davitashvili 6.4 ↑ 77' 22 G. Mikautadze 6.5 7 K. Kvaratskhelia 6.1 1 P. Charles 8.2 9 C. O'Neill 6.3 ↑ 86' 17 P. McNair ↑ 90' 15 R. McConville 6.9 ↑ 72' 5 T. Hume 7.8 19 S. Charles 8.4 7 E. Galbraith 6.5 3 J. Devenny 7.2 20 B. Spencer 7.0 ↑ 73' 14 I. Price 7.2 21 J. Magennis 6.7 ↑ 73'

Top stats

62%Possession38%

1.71Expected goals (xG)1.1

11Total shots12

5Shots on target5

3Big chances2

9Corners1

Shots

3Shots off target3

3Blocked shots4

7Shots inside box3

4Shots outside box9

0Big chances scored1

3Big chances missed1

0.19Goals prevented1.26

Attack

14Touches in box10

55Final third entries53

0Offsides3

13Free kicks13

2Fouled in final third2

Passing

582Passes355

514Accurate passes292

14/40 (35%)Long balls8/45 (18%)

3/18 (17%)Crosses2/9 (22%)

22Throw-ins18

Duels

43Duels57

27/60 (45%)Ground duels33/60 (55%)

7/20 (35%)Aerial duels13/20 (65%)

4/14 (29%)Dribbles5/11 (45%)

8Dispossessed5

Defending

11Tackles18

55Tackles won67

7Interceptions4

24Clearances22

38Recoveries44

Discipline

13Fouls14

1Yellow cards3

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

4Saves4

0Big saves2

7Goal kicks5

1Punches0

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 36 bookmakers

Georgia 51%

27%

Northern Ireland 21%

1X2Georgia to win 51% · 2.22 @ 1xBet

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 55% · 1.15 @ William Hill

BTTSBTTS: No 52% · 1.25 @ Bet365

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 75% · 1.38 @ BET-AT-HOME

1X2Draw 27% · 2.41 @ 1xBet

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 68% · 1.36 @ 1xBet

CornersUnder 9.5 corners 56% · 1.67 @ Pinnacle

CornersOver 8.5 corners 56% · 1.79 @ Pinnacle

Who winsGeorgia to win (DNB) 55% · 1.74 @ granmadrid

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 70% · 2.38 @ 1xBet

1X2Northern Ireland to win 21% · 4.60 @ William Hill

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

2.28

Georgia ▲

3.33

Draw ▲

2.65

Northern Ireland ▲

Double Chanceconsensus

1.43

Georgia or Draw ▲

1.29

Georgia or Northern Ireland ▲

1.56

Draw or Northern Ireland ▲

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.61

Yes

2.18

No

Home Win to Nilconsensus

2.80

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

7.00

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.05

Over 0.50

9.05

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.24

Over 1.50

3.77

Under 1.50 ▲

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.78

Over 2.50

2.00

Under 2.50 ▼

Total Goals 3.50consensus

2.91

Over 3.50 ▼

1.37

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

7.80

Over 4.50

1.07

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.70

Georgia

2.05

Northern Ireland

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.36

Over 7.50

2.65

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.67

Over 8.50

2.04

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

2.15

Over 9.50

1.63

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

2.79

Over 10.50

1.35

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

3.85

Over 11.50

1.18

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.2%.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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