Hungary 0-1 Ukraine: Stats, xG & Lineups – Sep 25, 2026

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Hungary 0-1 Ukraine.

90+6'

G. Jurek

Attempt blocked. G. Jurek (Hungary), left-footed shot. xG 0.04.

90+4'

V. Tsygankov

Yellow card for V. Tsygankov (Ukraine) for argument.

90+4'

M. Matvienko

Yellow card for M. Matvienko (Ukraine) for argument.

90+4'

M. Kerkez

Yellow card for M. Kerkez (Hungary) for argument.

90+3'

D. Szoboszlai

Yellow card for D. Szoboszlai (Hungary) for argument.

90+2'

O. Nazarenko

Second yellow card for O. Nazarenko (Ukraine), who is sent off.

90+1'

G. Sudakov

Substitution, Ukraine: O. Drambaev comes on for G. Sudakov.

90'

4 minutes of added time.

87'

M. Kerkez

Attempt saved. M. Kerkez (Hungary), header from a corner. xG 0.05.

86'

Hungary

Corner, Hungary.

86'

G. Jurek

Attempt blocked. G. Jurek (Hungary), right-footed shot. xG 0.14.

84'

M. Csinger

Substitution, Hungary: T. Szűcs comes on for M. Csinger.

82'

D. Bárány

Yellow card for D. Bárány (Hungary) for foul.

82'

Ukraine

Offside, Ukraine.

79'

M. Matvienko

Attempt missed. M. Matvienko (Ukraine), left-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.14.

77'

Ukraine

Corner, Ukraine.

77'

I. Krasnopir

Attempt saved. I. Krasnopir (Ukraine), right-footed shot. xG 0.23.

75'

W. Orbán

Attempt missed. W. Orbán (Hungary), right-footed shot. xG 0.01.

74'

D. Bárány

Attempt missed. D. Bárány (Hungary), header. xG 0.08.

71'

O. Nazarenko

Yellow card for O. Nazarenko (Ukraine) for foul.

66'

Á. Csongvai

Substitution, Hungary: R. Tóth comes on for Á. Csongvai.

66'

D. Sikan

Substitution, Ukraine: I. Krasnopir comes on for D. Sikan.

66'

Ukraine

Offside, Ukraine.

62'

D. Redzic

Substitution, Hungary: G. Jurek comes on for D. Redzic.

59'

I. Krupskyi

Substitution, Ukraine: V. Bondar comes on for I. Krupskyi.

59'

V. Vanat

Substitution, Ukraine: O. Nazarenko comes on for V. Vanat.

58'

A. Schäfer

Attempt saved. A. Schäfer (Hungary), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.02.

55'

M. Tóth

Attempt saved. M. Tóth (Hungary), right-footed shot. xG 0.05.

51'

Á. Csongvai

Attempt missed. Á. Csongvai (Hungary), header from a corner. xG 0.05.

50'

Hungary

Corner, Hungary.

50'

D. Szoboszlai

Attempt blocked. D. Szoboszlai (Hungary), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.04.

50'

W. Orbán

Attempt blocked. W. Orbán (Hungary), header from a set piece. xG 0.11.

49'

I. Krupskyi

Yellow card for I. Krupskyi (Ukraine) for foul.

46'

M. Vitális

Substitution, Hungary: M. Tóth comes on for M. Vitális.

46'

V. Brazhko

Substitution, Ukraine: Y. Nazaryna comes on for V. Brazhko.

46'

D. Lukács

Substitution, Hungary: D. Bárány comes on for D. Lukács.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Hungary 0-1 Ukraine.

45'

2 minutes of added time.

45'

M. Csinger

Attempt blocked. M. Csinger (Hungary), header from a set piece. xG 0.23.

45'

W. Orbán

Attempt blocked. W. Orbán (Hungary), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.05.

45'

Á. Csongvai

Attempt missed. Á. Csongvai (Hungary), left-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.06.

42'

D. Sikan

Goal! Hungary 0-1 Ukraine. D. Sikan (Ukraine) scores, assisted by G. Sudakov.

40'

Ukraine

Corner, Ukraine.

40'

V. Brazhko

Attempt blocked. V. Brazhko (Ukraine), right-footed shot. xG 0.05.

32'

V. Vanat

Attempt blocked. V. Vanat (Ukraine), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

30'

G. Sudakov

Attempt missed. G. Sudakov (Ukraine), right-footed shot. xG 0.11.

30'

V. Brazhko

Attempt missed. V. Brazhko (Ukraine), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

26'

W. Orbán

Attempt missed. W. Orbán (Hungary), header from a set piece. xG 0.10.

26'

V. Vanat

Attempt saved. V. Vanat (Ukraine), left-footed shot. xG 0.33.

24'

D. Redzic

Attempt saved. D. Redzic (Hungary), left-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.03.

21'

V. Brazhko

Yellow card for V. Brazhko (Ukraine) for foul.

20'

V. Tsygankov

Attempt missed. V. Tsygankov (Ukraine), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

19'

B. Bolla

Attempt missed. B. Bolla (Hungary), right-footed shot. xG 0.72.

17'

Ukraine

Offside, Ukraine.

15'

D. Sikan

Attempt missed. D. Sikan (Ukraine), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

11'

Hungary

Corner, Hungary.

11'

D. Lukács

Off the woodwork! D. Lukács (Hungary), right-footed shot. xG 0.06.

8'

Hungary

Offside, Hungary.

7'

Hungary

Corner, Hungary.

5'

A. Schäfer

Yellow card for A. Schäfer (Hungary) for foul.

1'

Kick-off: Hungary vs Ukraine.

Where the money is

1421432 EUR matched · captured 1 month, 2 weeks ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 857626 EUR · live

Away 1.11 · implied 90.1%

68.8%

-21.3 vs price

Home 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

18.7%

+18.6 vs price

Draw 10.0 · implied 10.0%

12.5%

+2.5 vs price

Half time 4147 EUR · live

Draw 1.36 · implied 73.5%

49.2%

-24.4 vs price

Home 6.6 · implied 15.2%

30.3%

+15.1 vs price

Away 8.2 · implied 12.2%

20.5%

+8.3 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 133115 EUR · live

Under 1.01 · implied 99.0%

76.4%

-22.7 vs price

Over 120.0 · implied 0.8%

23.7%

+22.8 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 5034 EUR · live

Under 1.01 · implied 99.0%

87.2%

-11.8 vs price

Over 410.0 · implied 0.2%

12.8%

+12.5 vs price

16 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 1 clip

Player of the match

Match events

5' A. Schäfer · Foul

21' V. Brazhko · Foul

42' ⚽ D. Sikan · assist G. Sudakov0–1

Half-time · 0–1

46' 🔁 D. Bárány ◂ D. Lukács

46' 🔁 Y. Nazaryna ◂ V. Brazhko

46' 🔁 M. Tóth ◂ M. Vitális

49' I. Krupskyi · Foul

59' 🔁 O. Nazarenko ◂ V. Vanat

59' 🔁 V. Bondar ◂ I. Krupskyi

62' 🔁 G. Jurek ◂ D. Redzic

66' 🔁 I. Krasnopir ◂ D. Sikan

66' 🔁 R. Tóth ◂ Á. Csongvai

71' O. Nazarenko · Foul

82' D. Bárány · Foul

84' 🔁 T. Szűcs ◂ M. Csinger

Full-time · 0–1

90'⁺¹ 🔁 O. Drambaev ◂ G. Sudakov

90'⁺² O. Nazarenko · Foul

90'⁺³ D. Szoboszlai · Argument

90'⁺⁴ M. Matvienko · Argument

90'⁺⁴ M. Kerkez · Argument

90'⁺⁴ V. Tsygankov · Argument

Coaches

Marco Rossi

Andrea Maldera

Recent form

Hungary

WHKazakhstan3-1

WHFinland2-1

DHGreece0-0

WHSlovenia1-0

LHIreland2-3

Ukraine

WAPoland2-0

WHAlbania1-0

LHSweden1-3

WHIceland2-0

LAFrance0-4

About this match

**Hungary's looking sharp at home, but Ukraine's got revenge on the brain.** The hosts are rolling with three straight wins; the visitors just dismantled Poland on the road and won't be intimidated. 🔥

Hungary's been a fortress, unbeaten in five with back-to-back home victories. Ukraine took a sting from Sweden recently but have the quality to trouble a solid-but-not-elite Hungarian side. Both teams are missing attacking talent — **B. Varga** out for Hungary, **R. Malinovskyi** absent for Ukraine — which could tighten things.

Key storylines:

- **D. Szoboszlai** anchors Hungary's midfield creativity; Ukraine's **I. Kalyuzhnyi** will need to break up play and catch them on transitions
- Hungary's wing-back **M. Kerkez** vs Ukraine's left-flank options — if the hosts control the wide game, they suffocate Ukraine's build
- Both benches are thin in attack without their injured stars; efficiency in the final third becomes everything

Expected lineups:

- **Hungary**: B. Tóth, M. Kerkez, W. Orbán, M. Dárdai, D. Szoboszlai, A. Schäfer, D. Redzic, D. Lukács
- **Ukraine**: A. Trubin, V. Mykolenko, I. Zabarnyi, M. Matvienko, I. Kalyuzhnyi, O. Zubkov, V. Vanat

Prediction:

**1-1 Draw.** Home edge keeps Hungary from losing, but Ukraine's visit carries just enough bite to nick a goal and spoil the party. 🤝

Where to watch

DStv NowSuperSport GOtv LaLigaSuperSport LaLiga

Match facts

Stadium

Puskás Aréna

City

Budapest

Referee

Jarred Gillett

3.98 yellows/match · 57 matches

Kickoff

25 Sep, 18:45 UTC

Competition

UEFA Nations League

Highlights & clips

Hungary 4-3-1-2 · 4-4-2 Ukraine

22 B. Tóth 6.3 14 B. Bolla 6.6 6 W. Orbán 7.7 7 T. Szűcs 6.6 ↑ 84' 11 M. Kerkez 6.8 20 M. Tóth 6.4 ↑ 46' 19 R. Tóth 6.7 ↑ 66' 13 A. Schäfer 7.1 10 D. Szoboszlai 8.0 17 G. Jurek 6.7 ↑ 62' 9 D. Bárány 6.1 ↑ 46' 23 D. Riznyk 8.0 4 V. Bondar 7.0 ↑ 59' 13 I. Zabarnyi 7.3 22 M. Matvienko 7.4 16 V. Mykolenko 7.7 15 V. Tsygankov 7.2 18 O. Ocheretko 7.6 19 Y. Nazaryna 6.8 ↑ 46' 5 O. Drambaev ↑ 90' 10 I. Krasnopir 6.8 ↑ 66' 17 O. Nazarenko 6.3 ↑ 59'

Top stats

57%Possession43%

2.0Expected goals (xG)1.03

17Total shots10

4Shots on target3

1Big chances3

4Corners2

Shots

7Shots off target5

6Blocked shots2

12Shots inside box6

5Shots outside box4

1Hit woodwork0

0Big chances scored1

1Big chances missed2

-0.47Goals prevented0.36

Attack

34Touches in box11

68Final third entries45

1Offsides3

19Free kicks12

3Fouled in final third2

Passing

527Passes400

450Accurate passes336

18/49 (37%)Long balls17/45 (38%)

7/21 (33%)Crosses4/10 (40%)

24Throw-ins8

Duels

49Duels51

33/66 (50%)Ground duels33/66 (50%)

13/28 (46%)Aerial duels15/28 (54%)

4/18 (22%)Dribbles1/2 (50%)

6Dispossessed9

Defending

10Tackles20

80Tackles won85

4Interceptions10

13Clearances39

44Recoveries49

Discipline

12Fouls19

4Yellow cards6

0Red cards1

Goalkeeping

2Saves4

1Big saves0

5Goal kicks6

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 38 bookmakers

Hungary 41%

29%

Ukraine 30%

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 54% · 1.15 @ William Hill

1X2Draw 29% · 2.70 @ betcity

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 74% · 1.33 @ BET-AT-HOME

CornersOver 8.5 corners 58% · 1.65 @ Pinnacle

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 66% · 1.50 @ Pinnacle

BTTSBoth teams to score 51% · 3.75 @ Bet365

Who winsHungary to win (DNB) 58% · 1.80 @ 888Sport

CornersUnder 9.5 corners 54% · 1.79 @ 1xBet

1X2Ukraine to win 30% · 3.33 @ granmadrid

1X2Hungary to win 41% · 3.04 @ 1xBet

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 71% · 2.35 @ 1xBet

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

2.21

Hungary ▲

3.24

Draw

2.88

Ukraine ▼

Double Chanceconsensus

1.38

Hungary or Draw

1.30

Hungary or Ukraine

1.61

Draw or Ukraine

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.73

Yes

2.00

No

Home Win to Nilconsensus

3.75

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

5.00

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.04

Over 0.50

9.00

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.29

Over 1.50

3.35

Under 1.50 ▼

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.94

Over 2.50 ▼

1.84

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

3.26

Over 3.50

1.30

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

8.00

Over 4.50

1.05

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.60

Hungary

2.20

Ukraine

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.29

Over 7.50

3.01

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.57

Over 8.50

2.20

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

2.05

Over 9.50

1.78

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

2.56

Over 10.50

1.44

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

3.46

Over 11.50

1.22

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.2%.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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