Poland 0-0 Bosnia & Herzegovina: Stats & xG – Sep 25, 2026

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Poland 0-0 Bosnia & Herzegovina.

90+4'

J. Bednarek

Attempt missed. J. Bednarek (Poland), header from a throw-in. xG 0.05.

90+2'

Poland

Corner, Poland.

90+2'

P. Zieliński

Attempt saved. P. Zieliński (Poland), right-footed shot. xG 0.10.

90+1'

H. Tabaković

Substitution, Bosnia & Herzegovina: J. Lukić comes on for H. Tabaković.

90+1'

K. Alajbegović

Substitution, Bosnia & Herzegovina: A. Gigović comes on for K. Alajbegović.

90'

3 minutes of added time.

90'

E. Mahmić

Attempt missed. E. Mahmić (Bosnia & Herzegovina), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.06.

89'

A. Memić

Yellow card for A. Memić (Bosnia & Herzegovina) for foul.

88'

Bosnia & Herzegovina

Corner, Bosnia & Herzegovina.

87'

E. Mahmić

Attempt missed. E. Mahmić (Bosnia & Herzegovina), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.05.

87'

R. Lewandowski

Substitution, Poland: M. Żukowski comes on for R. Lewandowski.

86'

M. Cash

Yellow card for M. Cash (Poland) for foul.

82'

J. Bednarek

Yellow card for J. Bednarek (Poland) for argument.

81'

S. Kolašinac

Yellow card for S. Kolašinac (Bosnia & Herzegovina) for foul.

78'

E. Demirović

Substitution, Bosnia & Herzegovina: E. Mahmić comes on for E. Demirović.

76'

Bosnia & Herzegovina

Corner, Bosnia & Herzegovina.

76'

K. Alajbegović

Attempt blocked. K. Alajbegović (Bosnia & Herzegovina), left-footed shot. xG 0.04.

76'

S. Kolašinac

Attempt blocked. S. Kolašinac (Bosnia & Herzegovina), left-footed shot. xG 0.01.

74'

W. Nowak

Attempt blocked. W. Nowak (Poland), left-footed shot. xG 0.09.

73'

M. Skóraś

Substitution, Poland: K. Świderski comes on for M. Skóraś.

71'

K. Alajbegović

Attempt saved. K. Alajbegović (Bosnia & Herzegovina), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.02.

71'

Bosnia & Herzegovina

Corner, Bosnia & Herzegovina.

69'

M. Cash

Attempt missed. M. Cash (Poland), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

66'

I. Šunjić

Substitution, Bosnia & Herzegovina: B. Tahirović comes on for I. Šunjić.

64'

M. Cash

Attempt missed. M. Cash (Poland), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.03.

62'

N. Zalewski

Attempt missed. N. Zalewski (Poland), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.05.

58'

W. Nowak

Attempt missed. W. Nowak (Poland), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

57'

S. Barbarez

Yellow card for S. Barbarez (Bosnia & Herzegovina) for argument.

55'

M. Cash

Attempt saved. M. Cash (Poland), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

55'

S. Szymański

Attempt saved. S. Szymański (Poland), left-footed shot. xG 0.08.

47'

P. Zieliński

Attempt missed. P. Zieliński (Poland), left-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.02.

47'

I. Šunjić

Yellow card for I. Šunjić (Bosnia & Herzegovina) for foul.

46'

Z. Smajlović

Substitution, Bosnia & Herzegovina: A. Memić comes on for Z. Smajlović.

46'

B. Slisz

Substitution, Poland: W. Nowak comes on for B. Slisz.

46'

J. Kiwior

Substitution, Poland: P. Frankowski comes on for J. Kiwior.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Poland 0-0 Bosnia & Herzegovina.

45'

1 minute of added time.

44'

S. Szymański

Attempt saved. S. Szymański (Poland), left-footed shot. xG 0.16.

40'

I. Bašić

Attempt missed. I. Bašić (Bosnia & Herzegovina), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

39'

P. Zieliński

Attempt missed. P. Zieliński (Poland), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.04.

38'

Z. Smajlović

Yellow card for Z. Smajlović (Bosnia & Herzegovina) for foul.

32'

K. Alajbegović

Yellow card for K. Alajbegović (Bosnia & Herzegovina) for foul.

24'

J. Kamiński

Substitution, Poland: N. Zalewski comes on for J. Kamiński.

23'

E. Bajraktarević

Attempt missed. E. Bajraktarević (Bosnia & Herzegovina), left-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.04.

19'

J. Kiwior

Yellow card for J. Kiwior (Poland) for foul.

9'

E. Demirović

Attempt blocked. E. Demirović (Bosnia & Herzegovina), left-footed shot. xG 0.04.

9'

E. Bajraktarević

Attempt missed. E. Bajraktarević (Bosnia & Herzegovina), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

6'

M. Cash

Attempt blocked. M. Cash (Poland), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.01.

5'

Poland

Corner, Poland.

5'

P. Zieliński

Attempt blocked. P. Zieliński (Poland), left-footed shot. xG 0.04.

4'

Poland

Corner, Poland.

1'

Kick-off: Poland vs Bosnia & Herzegovina.

Where the money is

1737426 EUR matched · captured 1 month, 1 week ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 985734 EUR · live

Home 11.5 · implied 8.7%

77.9%

+69.2 vs price

Draw 1.1 · implied 90.9%

15.7%

-75.2 vs price

Away 100.0 · implied 1.0%

6.5%

+5.5 vs price

Half time 3880 EUR · live

Home 6.2 · implied 16.1%

58.1%

+41.9 vs price

Away 15.0 · implied 6.7%

21.5%

+14.8 vs price

Draw 1.31 · implied 76.3%

20.5%

-55.8 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 81136 EUR · live

Under 1.01 · implied 99.0%

82.3%

-16.7 vs price

Over 250.0 · implied 0.4%

17.7%

+17.3 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 1592 EUR · live

Under 1.01 · implied 99.0%

82.6%

-16.4 vs price

Over 110.0 · implied 0.9%

17.3%

+16.4 vs price

16 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 1 clip

Player of the match

Match events

19' J. Kiwior · Foul

24' 🔁 N. Zalewski ◂ J. Kamiński

32' K. Alajbegović · Foul

38' Z. Smajlović · Foul

Half-time · 0–0

46' 🔁 P. Frankowski ◂ J. Kiwior

46' 🔁 W. Nowak ◂ B. Slisz

46' 🔁 A. Memić ◂ Z. Smajlović

47' I. Šunjić · Foul

57' S. Barbarez · Argument

66' 🔁 B. Tahirović ◂ I. Šunjić

73' 🔁 K. Świderski ◂ M. Skóraś

78' 🔁 E. Mahmić ◂ E. Demirović

81' S. Kolašinac · Foul

82' J. Bednarek · Argument

86' M. Cash · Foul

87' 🔁 M. Żukowski ◂ R. Lewandowski

89' A. Memić · Foul

Full-time · 0–0

90'⁺¹ 🔁 A. Gigović ◂ K. Alajbegović

90'⁺¹ 🔁 J. Lukić ◂ H. Tabaković

Coaches

Jan Urban

Sergej Barbarez

Recent form

Poland

DHNigeria2-2

LHUkraine0-2

LASweden2-3

WHAlbania2-1

WAMalta3-2

Bosnia & Herzegovina

LAUSA0-2

WHQatar3-1

LASwitzerland1-4

DACanada1-1

DAPanama1-1

About this match

**Poland's home turf and recent inconsistency set up a tricky opener** — these Nations League fixtures can bite you if you sleep, and the Poles have looked shaky lately despite the H2H edge. 🇵🇱

Poland's wobbled in September (mixed results against solid opposition), while Bosnia & Herzegovina scraped past Qatar at home but got hammered by Switzerland. The visitors won't roll over, but Poland's better pedigree should count here.

Key storylines:

- **R. Lewandowski** and **M. Skóraś** lead Poland's attack, with **P. Zieliński** orchestrating midfield against a Bosnia side missing defensive cohesion
- **E. Džeko** and **E. Demirović** offer pace on the counter, but **S. Kolašinac** and the back four are vulnerable to Poland's width via **M. Cash** and **S. Szymański**
- Poland's rotating injuries (missing **A. Benedyczak**, **F. Rózga**, **P. Płacheta**) mean relying on depth; Bosnia have no excuses but also no consistency

Expected lineups:

- **Poland**: K. Grabara, J. Kiwior, J. Bednarek, P. Wiśniewski, J. Kamiński, M. Cash, P. Zieliński, S. Szymański, N. Zalewski, R. Lewandowski, M. Skóraś
- **Bosnia & Herzegovina**: N. Vasilj, S. Kolašinac, T. Muharemović, N. Katić, A. Dedić, K. Alajbegović, B. Tahirović, I. Bašić, A. Memić, E. Džeko, E. Demirović

Prediction:

**Poland 2–0 Bosnia & Herzegovina**. Home edge and H2H record push them over the line, though Bosnia won't make it pretty. ⚽

Where to watch

DStv NowSuperSport Football Plus

Match facts

Stadium

PGE Narodowy

City

Warsaw

Referee

Anastasios Papapetrou

4.57 yellows/match · 42 matches

Kickoff

25 Sep, 18:45 UTC

Competition

UEFA Nations League

Highlights & clips

Poland 4-4-1-1 · 4-4-2 Bosnia & Herzegovina

1 M. Bułka 6.9 2 M. Cash 7.2 23 K. Potulski 6.9 5 J. Bednarek 7.3 16 W. Nowak 7.5 ↑ 46' 11 K. Świderski 6.6 ↑ 73' 19 P. Frankowski 6.7 ↑ 46' 10 P. Zieliński 7.5 21 N. Zalewski 7.4 ↑ 24' 20 S. Szymański 7.2 13 M. Żukowski ↑ 87' 22 M. Zlomislić 7.5 15 A. Memić 6.6 ↑ 46' 18 N. Katić 8.2 4 T. Muharemović 7.5 5 S. Kolašinac 7.0 20 E. Bajraktarević 7.0 13 I. Bašić 6.7 6 B. Tahirović 6.7 ↑ 66' 8 A. Gigović ↑ 90' 16 E. Mahmić 6.4 ↑ 78' 11 J. Lukić ↑ 90'

Top stats

50%Possession50%

0.73Expected goals (xG)0.31

14Total shots9

4Shots on target1

1Big chances0

3Corners3

Shots

7Shots off target5

3Blocked shots3

6Shots inside box4

8Shots outside box5

1Big chances missed0

0.1Goals prevented0.46

Attack

29Touches in box11

42Final third entries45

1Offsides0

17Free kicks18

2Fouled in final third0

Passing

435Passes448

369Accurate passes368

12/35 (34%)Long balls29/58 (50%)

2/19 (11%)Crosses1/12 (8%)

17Throw-ins20

Duels

55Duels45

41/72 (57%)Ground duels31/72 (43%)

17/34 (50%)Aerial duels17/34 (50%)

9/15 (60%)Dribbles2/13 (15%)

6Dispossessed6

Defending

17Tackles12

53Tackles won58

16Interceptions9

17Clearances35

44Recoveries45

Discipline

18Fouls17

3Yellow cards5

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

1Saves4

8Goal kicks10

0Punches1

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 37 bookmakers

Poland 57%

25%

Bosnia & Herzegovina 18%

Who winsPoland to win (DNB) 78% · 1.22 @ granmadrid

1X2Poland to win 57% · 2.05 @ William Hill

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 50% · 1.23 @ 1xBet

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 67% · 1.41 @ 1xBet

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 72% · 1.04 @ betsensation

CornersOver 8.5 corners 57% · 1.68 @ Pinnacle

CornersUnder 9.5 corners 55% · 1.74 @ Pinnacle

1X2Draw 25% · 3.00 @ betcity

BTTSBoth teams to score 52% · 3.60 @ William Hill

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 73% · 2.15 @ William Hill

1X2Bosnia & Herzegovina to win 18% · 5.55 @ 1xBet

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

1.52

Poland ▲

3.80

Draw ▲

5.17

Bosnia & Herzegovina ▲

Double Chanceconsensus

1.14

Poland or Draw

1.22

Poland or Bosnia & Herzegovina

2.33

Draw or Bosnia & Herzegovina ▼

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.84

Yes

1.87

No ▲

Home Win to Nilconsensus

2.62

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

9.00

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.02

Over 0.50

12.50

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.24

Over 1.50

3.69

Under 1.50 ▼

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.79

Over 2.50 ▲

1.98

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

2.90

Over 3.50 ▼

1.37

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

4.87

Over 4.50

1.14

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.20

Poland

4.20

Bosnia & Herzegovina

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.34

Over 7.50

2.81

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.67

Over 8.50

2.16

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

2.10

Over 9.50

1.70

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

2.70

Over 10.50

1.37

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

3.52

Over 11.50

1.21

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.

Poland to win or draw

✓

82% confidence

A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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