Montenegro 2-1 Cyprus: Stats, xG & Lineups – Sep 25, 2026

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Montenegro 2-1 Cyprus.

90+3'

A. Neophytou

Attempt missed. A. Neophytou (Cyprus), header. xG 0.07.

90+2'

D. Vuković

Attempt missed. D. Vuković (Montenegro), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.09.

90+1'

N. Panagiotou

Substitution, Cyprus: A. Neophytou comes on for N. Panagiotou.

90'

4 minutes of added time.

89'

M. Janković

Substitution, Montenegro: M. Brnović comes on for M. Janković.

89'

N. Krstović

Substitution, Montenegro: S. Lončar comes on for N. Krstović.

86'

M. Osmajić

Goal! Montenegro 2-1 Cyprus. M. Osmajić (Montenegro) scores, assisted by N. Krstović.

83'

L. Loizou

Attempt missed. L. Loizou (Cyprus), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.41.

79'

Cyprus

Corner, Cyprus.

76'

N. Krstović

Attempt blocked. N. Krstović (Montenegro), right-footed shot. xG 0.12.

74'

N. Krstović

Attempt blocked. N. Krstović (Montenegro), left-footed shot. xG 0.04.

71'

M. Tzionis

Substitution, Cyprus: S. Georgiou comes on for M. Tzionis.

71'

P. Andreou

Substitution, Cyprus: L. Konomis comes on for P. Andreou.

71'

V. Adžić

Substitution, Montenegro: D. Vuković comes on for V. Adžić.

70'

M. Edwards

Substitution, Cyprus: L. Loizou comes on for M. Edwards.

68'

Cyprus

Offside, Cyprus.

68'

I. Vujačić

Yellow card for I. Vujačić (Montenegro) for foul.

66'

N. Krstović

Goal! Montenegro 1-1 Cyprus. N. Krstović (Montenegro) converts the penalty.

65'

N. Tsaroulla

Yellow card for N. Tsaroulla (Cyprus) for foul.

64'

N. Krstović

Off the woodwork! N. Krstović (Montenegro), right-footed shot. xG 0.43.

61'

I. Pittas

Attempt saved. I. Pittas (Cyprus), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.04.

60'

O. Gašević

Substitution, Montenegro: M. Vešović comes on for O. Gašević.

59'

S. Jovetić

Substitution, Montenegro: M. Vukotić comes on for S. Jovetić.

55'

M. Edwards

Goal! Montenegro 0-1 Cyprus. M. Edwards (Cyprus) scores, assisted by N. Tsaroulla.

54'

M. Tzionis

Attempt missed. M. Tzionis (Cyprus), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.07.

54'

M. Edwards

Off the woodwork! M. Edwards (Cyprus), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.27.

46'

A. Shikkis

Substitution, Cyprus: N. Tsaroulla comes on for A. Shikkis.

46'

G. Kastanos

Yellow card for G. Kastanos (Cyprus) for foul.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Montenegro 0-0 Cyprus.

45+2'

I. Pittas

Attempt missed. I. Pittas (Cyprus), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

45'

2 minutes of added time.

45'

Montenegro

Corner, Montenegro.

45'

V. Adžić

Attempt blocked. V. Adžić (Montenegro), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.03.

43'

G. Kastanos

Attempt blocked. G. Kastanos (Cyprus), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.03.

42'

O. Gašević

Attempt missed. O. Gašević (Montenegro), left-footed shot. xG 0.05.

41'

C. Sotiriou

Attempt saved. C. Sotiriou (Cyprus), header from a set piece. xG 0.01.

40'

S. Jovetić

Attempt missed. S. Jovetić (Montenegro), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

39'

Montenegro

Corner, Montenegro.

34'

Montenegro

Corner, Montenegro.

33'

M. Osmajić

Attempt missed. M. Osmajić (Montenegro), right-footed shot. xG 0.01.

29'

Montenegro

Corner, Montenegro.

29'

Montenegro

Corner, Montenegro.

24'

N. Krstović

Attempt missed. N. Krstović (Montenegro), right-footed shot. xG 0.07.

21'

Montenegro

Corner, Montenegro.

20'

Montenegro

Corner, Montenegro.

20'

A. Bulatović

Attempt missed. A. Bulatović (Montenegro), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

15'

N. Krstović

Attempt missed. N. Krstović (Montenegro), header. xG 0.06.

12'

I. Pittas

Attempt saved. I. Pittas (Cyprus), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.03.

11'

A. Bulatović

Attempt blocked. A. Bulatović (Montenegro), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.08.

11'

A. Bulatović

Attempt blocked. A. Bulatović (Montenegro), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.10.

11'

Montenegro

Corner, Montenegro.

10'

N. Krstović

Attempt saved. N. Krstović (Montenegro), right-footed shot. xG 0.09.

10'

M. Osmajić

Attempt missed. M. Osmajić (Montenegro), header from a corner. xG 0.09.

10'

A. Bulatović

Attempt saved. A. Bulatović (Montenegro), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.12.

10'

Montenegro

Corner, Montenegro.

9'

P. Andreou

Attempt blocked. P. Andreou (Cyprus), right-footed shot. xG 0.01.

8'

N. Krstović

Attempt missed. N. Krstović (Montenegro), left-footed shot. xG 0.06.

6'

Montenegro

Offside, Montenegro.

2'

C. Sotiriou

Yellow card for C. Sotiriou (Cyprus) for foul.

1'

Kick-off: Montenegro vs Cyprus.

Where the money is

1105011 EUR matched · captured 1 month, 2 weeks ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 623977 EUR · live

Home 1.08 · implied 92.6%

75.0%

-17.6 vs price

Away 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

13.7%

+13.6 vs price

Draw 13.5 · implied 7.4%

11.3%

+3.9 vs price

Half time 4041 EUR · live

Home 5.5 · implied 18.2%

66.6%

+48.4 vs price

Away 16.5 · implied 6.1%

17.4%

+11.4 vs price

Draw 1.35 · implied 74.1%

16.0%

-58.1 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 134105 EUR · live

Over 3.3 · implied 30.3%

54.9%

+24.6 vs price

Under 1.43 · implied 69.9%

45.1%

-24.8 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 3415 EUR · live

Under 1.01 · implied 99.0%

92.6%

-6.4 vs price

Over 200.0 · implied 0.5%

7.4%

+6.9 vs price

14 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 2 clips

Player of the match

Match events

2' C. Sotiriou · Foul

Half-time · 0–0

46' G. Kastanos · Foul

46' 🔁 N. Tsaroulla ◂ A. Shikkis

55' ⚽ M. Edwards · assist N. Tsaroulla0–1

59' 🔁 M. Vukotić ◂ S. Jovetić

60' 🔁 M. Vešović ◂ O. Gašević

65' N. Tsaroulla · Foul

66' ⚽ N. Krstović (pen)1–1

68' I. Vujačić · Foul

70' 🔁 L. Loizou ◂ M. Edwards

71' 🔁 D. Vuković ◂ V. Adžić

71' 🔁 L. Konomis ◂ P. Andreou

71' 🔁 S. Georgiou ◂ M. Tzionis

86' ⚽ M. Osmajić · assist N. Krstović2–1

89' 🔁 S. Lončar ◂ N. Krstović

89' 🔁 M. Brnović ◂ M. Janković

Full-time · 2–1

90'⁺¹ 🔁 A. Neophytou ◂ N. Panagiotou

Coaches

Mirko Vučinić

Akis Mantzios

Recent form

Montenegro

DASlovakia2-2

WABulgaria1-0

LHSlovenia2-3

WHAndorra2-0

LHCroatia2-3

Cyprus

WALiechtenstein2-0

DASlovenia1-1

WHMoldova3-2

LHBelarus0-1

LHEstonia2-4

About this match

**Montenegro's home advantage looms large — they've never lost to Cyprus in five meetings**, and the hosts are rolling at the Podgorica cauldron. 🔥

Both sides sit at identical 2W-1D-2L records, but the head-to-head tells the whole story: Montenegro 2, draws 3, Cyprus 0. The visitors have serious work to do to break that curse on foreign soil.

Key storylines:

- **Montenegro's midfield engine** (V. Adžić, M. Janković, A. Bulatović) controls the tempo at home, where they've rarely looked vulnerable
- **Cyprus hunting an away win** they've never managed vs this opponent — M. Tzionis and I. Pittas carry the attacking load
- **N. Krstović and S. Jovetić** form a potent frontline for the hosts, with A. Marušić's absence a minor blow to the backline depth

Expected lineups:

- **Montenegro**: I. Nikić, A. Vukčević, N. Šipčić, S. Savić, M. Roganović, V. Adžić, M. Janković, A. Bulatović, N. Krstović, S. Jovetić
- **Cyprus**: Fabiano, A. Correia, K. Laifis, C. Sielis, A. Shikkis, K. Artymatas, G. Kastanos, I. Pittas, L. Loizou

Prediction:

**Montenegro 2–1 Cyprus**. Home fortress vibes, and that historical edge against Cyprus is too real to ignore.

Where to watch

DStv Now

Match facts

Stadium

Gradski Stadion

City

Podgorica

Referee

Daniele Chiffi

2.87 yellows/match · 47 matches

Kickoff

25 Sep, 18:45 UTC

Competition

UEFA Nations League

Highlights & clips

Montenegro 4-3-3 · 4-1-4-1 Cyprus

1 B. Popović 6.2 2 M. Roganović 7.0 15 S. Savić 7.6 5 I. Vujačić 6.4 7 M. Vešović 7.2 ↑ 60' 21 A. Bulatović 7.5 14 M. Brnović ↑ 89' 23 D. Vuković 6.6 ↑ 71' 20 M. Osmajić 7.1 22 S. Lončar ↑ 89' 11 M. Vukotić 6.9 ↑ 59' 1 Fabiano 7.0 17 N. Tsaroulla 5.8 ↑ 46' 5 C. Sotiriou 6.4 7 A. Neophytou ↑ 90' 14 G. Malekkidis 6.5 4 H. Kyprianou 7.3 10 L. Loizou 6.2 ↑ 70' 15 L. Konomis 6.4 ↑ 71' 20 G. Kastanos 7.7 19 S. Georgiou 6.3 ↑ 71' 9 I. Pittas 6.6

Top stats

64%Possession36%

2.82Expected goals (xG)1.03

19Total shots11

4Shots on target4

3Big chances1

8Corners1

Shots

10Shots off target5

5Blocked shots2

14Shots inside box6

5Shots outside box5

1Hit woodwork1

2Big chances scored0

1Big chances missed1

-0.36Goals prevented0.53

Attack

33Touches in box13

71Final third entries42

1Offsides2

6Free kicks7

3Fouled in final third1

Passing

531Passes299

464Accurate passes229

30/55 (55%)Long balls25/51 (49%)

9/36 (25%)Crosses5/17 (29%)

22Throw-ins20

Duels

53Duels47

33/61 (54%)Ground duels28/61 (46%)

13/25 (52%)Aerial duels12/25 (48%)

8/14 (57%)Dribbles8/21 (38%)

7Dispossessed5

Defending

18Tackles13

78Tackles won54

6Interceptions8

18Clearances32

41Recoveries35

Discipline

7Fouls7

1Yellow cards3

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

3Saves2

0Big saves2

4Goal kicks15

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 36 bookmakers

Montenegro 53%

26%

Cyprus 21%

1X2Montenegro to win 53% · 2.15 @ William Hill

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 52% · 1.18 @ 1xBet

BTTSBTTS: No 51% · 1.27 @ 1xBet

1X2Draw 26% · 2.75 @ betcity

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 67% · 1.39 @ 1xBet

CornersOver 8.5 corners 57% · 1.68 @ Pinnacle

CornersUnder 9.5 corners 55% · 1.70 @ Pinnacle

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 71% · 1.32 @ 1xBet

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 73% · 2.15 @ William Hill

Who winsMontenegro to win (DNB) 57% · 1.25 @ 888Sport

1X2Cyprus to win 21% · 6.80 @ betcity

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

1.41

Montenegro

3.86

Draw

6.62

Cyprus

Double Chanceconsensus

1.09

Montenegro or Draw

1.20

Montenegro or Cyprus

2.67

Draw or Cyprus

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

2.19

Yes

1.60

No

Home Win to Nilconsensus

2.80

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

8.00

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.03

Over 0.50

9.70

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.32

Over 1.50

3.17

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

2.00

Over 2.50

1.78

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

3.48

Over 3.50

1.27

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

6.50

Over 4.50

1.08

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.23

Montenegro

3.80

Cyprus

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.38

Over 7.50

2.71

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.65

Over 8.50

2.13

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

2.06

Over 9.50

1.69

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

2.55

Over 10.50

1.39

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

3.20

Over 11.50

1.21

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.2%.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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