Denmark 2-0 Wales: Stats, xG & Lineups – Sep 27, 2026

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Denmark 2-0 Wales.

90+4'

K. Høgh

Attempt saved. K. Høgh (Denmark), header. xG 0.09.

90+3'

Wales

Offside, Wales.

90+3'

Wales

Offside, Wales.

90'

4 minutes of added time.

89'

V. Froholdt

Attempt missed. V. Froholdt (Denmark), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.04.

87'

M. Damsgaard

Substitution, Denmark: V. Froholdt comes on for M. Damsgaard.

87'

R. Højlund

Substitution, Denmark: K. Høgh comes on for R. Højlund.

86'

Denmark

Offside, Denmark.

84'

Wales

Corner, Wales.

83'

B. Johnson

Substitution, Wales: W. Burns comes on for B. Johnson.

81'

M. Daramy

Attempt blocked. M. Daramy (Denmark), right-footed shot. xG 0.05.

81'

O. Provstgaard

Attempt missed. O. Provstgaard (Denmark), header from a corner. xG 0.06.

81'

Denmark

Corner, Denmark.

79'

N. Williams

Attempt missed. N. Williams (Wales), header. xG 0.05.

76'

G. Isaksen

Substitution, Denmark: A. Daghim comes on for G. Isaksen.

75'

C. Roberts

Attempt saved. C. Roberts (Wales), right-footed shot. xG 0.10.

74'

M. Daramy

Attempt saved. M. Daramy (Denmark), right-footed shot. xG 0.08.

74'

G. Isaksen

Attempt missed. G. Isaksen (Denmark), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

74'

Denmark

Offside, Denmark.

73'

N. Williams

Attempt missed. N. Williams (Wales), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.02.

70'

M. Hjulmand

Attempt blocked. M. Hjulmand (Denmark), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.02.

67'

K. Moore

Substitution, Wales: L. Koumas comes on for K. Moore.

67'

D. James

Substitution, Wales: J. James comes on for D. James.

66'

J. Andersen

Cleared off the line! J. Andersen (Denmark), header from a set piece. xG 0.13.

66'

G. Isaksen

Goal! Denmark 2-0 Wales. G. Isaksen (Denmark) scores.

65'

B. Johnson

Yellow card for B. Johnson (Wales) for argument.

64'

M. Daramy

Attempt missed. M. Daramy (Denmark), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.30.

62'

Wales

Offside, Wales.

62'

Wales

Offside, Wales.

61'

K. Moore

Attempt blocked. K. Moore (Wales), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

60'

C. Savage

Substitution, Wales: J. Sheehan comes on for C. Savage.

57'

R. Højlund

Attempt blocked. R. Højlund (Denmark), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

56'

R. Højlund

Attempt blocked. R. Højlund (Denmark), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

53'

B. Davies

Goal! Denmark 1-0 Wales. Own goal by B. Davies.

52'

M. Daramy

Attempt missed. M. Daramy (Denmark), right-footed shot. xG 0.05.

49'

Denmark

Corner, Denmark.

49'

M. Daramy

Attempt blocked. M. Daramy (Denmark), right-footed shot. xG 0.05.

48'

N. Williams

Attempt saved. N. Williams (Wales), right-footed shot. xG 0.01.

48'

C. Mepham

Yellow card for C. Mepham (Wales) for foul.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Denmark 0-0 Wales.

45+2'

K. Moore

Attempt blocked. K. Moore (Wales), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

45+2'

P. Højbjerg

Attempt blocked. P. Højbjerg (Denmark), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.05.

45+1'

Wales

Corner, Wales.

45'

2 minutes of added time.

45'

Wales

Corner, Wales.

44'

E. Ampadu

Attempt blocked. E. Ampadu (Wales), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.06.

44'

Wales

Corner, Wales.

43'

C. Roberts

Attempt saved. C. Roberts (Wales), left-footed shot. xG 0.28.

42'

J. Mæhle

Attempt missed. J. Mæhle (Denmark), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

36'

B. Johnson

Attempt missed. B. Johnson (Wales), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.05.

35'

J. Mæhle

Yellow card for J. Mæhle (Denmark) for foul.

33'

S. Thomas

Attempt missed. S. Thomas (Wales), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

30'

P. Dorgu

Substitution, Denmark: M. Daramy comes on for P. Dorgu.

27'

M. Damsgaard

Off the woodwork! M. Damsgaard (Denmark), right-footed shot. xG 0.07.

25'

Denmark

Offside, Denmark.

24'

G. Isaksen

VAR check complete: the goal for Denmark stands.

21'

Denmark

Offside, Denmark.

18'

M. Damsgaard

Attempt blocked. M. Damsgaard (Denmark), right-footed shot. xG 0.07.

17'

P. Dorgu

Attempt missed. P. Dorgu (Denmark), header. xG 0.02.

16'

G. Isaksen

Attempt missed. G. Isaksen (Denmark), left-footed shot. xG 0.01.

5'

Wales

Offside, Wales.

5'

Wales

Offside, Wales.

1'

Kick-off: Denmark vs Wales.

Where the money is

2047586 EUR matched · captured 1 month, 1 week ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 1274967 EUR · live

Home 1.01 · implied 99.0%

88.2%

-10.8 vs price

Draw 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

7.5%

+7.4 vs price

Away 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

4.4%

+4.2 vs price

Half time 6358 EUR · live

Home 1.62 · implied 61.7%

85.5%

+23.8 vs price

Away 14.0 · implied 7.1%

10.2%

+3.0 vs price

Draw 3.25 · implied 30.8%

4.3%

-26.4 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 307539 EUR · live

Under 1.04 · implied 96.2%

65.2%

-31.0 vs price

Over 26.0 · implied 3.8%

34.9%

+31.0 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 6394 EUR · live

Under 1.02 · implied 98.0%

89.1%

-8.9 vs price

Over 34.0 · implied 2.9%

10.9%

+7.9 vs price

19 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG (estimated)

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 6 clips

Player of the match

Match events

24' VAR Goal not given after review · G. Isaksen

30' 🔁 M. Daramy ◂ P. Dorgu

35' J. Mæhle · Foul

Half-time · 0–0

48' C. Mepham · Foul

53' ⚽ B. Davies1–0

60' 🔁 J. Sheehan ◂ C. Savage

65' B. Johnson · Argument

66' ⚽ G. Isaksen2–0

67' 🔁 J. James ◂ D. James

67' 🔁 L. Koumas ◂ K. Moore

76' 🔁 A. Daghim ◂ G. Isaksen

83' 🔁 W. Burns ◂ B. Johnson

87' 🔁 K. Høgh ◂ R. Højlund

87' 🔁 V. Froholdt ◂ M. Damsgaard

Full-time · 2–0

Coaches

Brian Riemer

Craig Bellamy

Recent form

Denmark

LANorway2-3

DHDR Congo0-0

DACzechia2-2

WHNorth Macedonia4-0

LAScotland2-4

Wales

LAPortugal0-1

LARomania1-2

DHGhana1-1

DHNorthern Ireland1-1

DHBosnia & Herzegovina1-1

About this match

**Denmark's looking nasty at home, and Wales are limping in with a 0-win streak** — this has all the makings of a Copenhagen rout. 🔴

Denmark's mixed five games hide the fact they're **3-0 unbeaten at Parken this term**, while Wales just got hammered 2-1 by Romania and can't buy a win anywhere. The visitors' injury list is brutal — losing **J. Rodon** to a hamstring is a massive defensive blow.

Key storylines:

- **R. Højlund** and the Danish attack exploiting a fragile Wales backline without key centre-back cover
- Denmark's midfield dominance; **P. Højbjerg** controlling tempo against a Wales side leaking chances
- **H2H edge**: Denmark have won 3 of the last 4 head-to-heads — expect that trend to continue

Expected lineups:

- **Denmark**: M. Hermansen, J. Mæhle, J. Andersen, L. Høgsberg, R. Kristensen, P. Højbjerg, M. Hjulmand, P. Dorgu, M. Damsgaard, G. Isaksen, R. Højlund
- **Wales**: K. Darlow, N. Williams, B. Davies, B. Cabango, R. Kpakio, E. Ampadu, J. Sheehan, S. Thomas, R. Colwill, H. Wilson, K. Moore

Prediction:

**Denmark 3–0 Wales**

Denmark edge this comfortably — home fortress status, Wales' winless run, and the defensive injuries make this one-way traffic.

Where to watch

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Match facts

Stadium

Parken

City

Copenhagen

Referee

Willy Delajod

3.04 yellows/match · 50 matches

Kickoff

27 Sep, 16:00 UTC

Competition

UEFA Nations League

Highlights & clips

Denmark 4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1 Wales

22 F. Jørgensen 7.4 13 R. Kristensen 7.2 2 J. Andersen 7.9 3 O. Provstgaard 7.4 5 J. Mæhle 6.9 21 M. Hjulmand 7.7 23 P. Højbjerg 7.3 11 A. Daghim 6.7 ↑ 76' 7 V. Froholdt 6.5 ↑ 87' 20 M. Daramy 7.2 ↑ 30' 19 K. Høgh 6.7 ↑ 87' 12 D. Ward 6.2 14 C. Roberts 6.1 2 C. Mepham 6.9 4 B. Davies 6.4 3 N. Williams 6.6 5 E. Ampadu 6.1 22 J. Sheehan 6.8 ↑ 60' 17 J. James 6.5 ↑ 67' 8 W. Burns 6.4 ↑ 83' 19 S. Thomas 6.4 9 L. Koumas 6.5 ↑ 67'

Top stats

62%Possession38%

1.39Expected goals (xG)0.62

20Total shots10

4Shots on target3

1Big chances2

2Corners4

Shots

9Shots off target4

7Blocked shots3

12Shots inside box5

8Shots outside box5

1Hit woodwork0

1Big chances missed2

0.44Goals prevented-0.71

Attack

47Touches in box14

55Final third entries38

5Offsides3

17Free kicks10

4Fouled in final third1

Passing

582Passes352

516Accurate passes297

20/43 (47%)Long balls18/36 (50%)

7/20 (35%)Crosses3/15 (20%)

17Throw-ins18

Duels

56Duels44

34/65 (52%)Ground duels31/65 (48%)

14/21 (67%)Aerial duels7/21 (33%)

5/11 (45%)Dribbles7/16 (44%)

8Dispossessed4

Defending

13Tackles14

62Tackles won43

5Interceptions9

15Clearances19

44Recoveries28

Discipline

10Fouls17

1Yellow cards2

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

3Saves2

0Big saves1

6Goal kicks12

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 36 bookmakers

Denmark 66%

20%

Wales 14%

1X2Denmark to win 66% · 2.06 @ efbet.net

Who winsDenmark to win (DNB) 75% · 1.27 @ granmadrid

CornersOver 9.5 corners 51% · 2.10 @ betfair

CornersOver 8.5 corners 63% · 1.60 @ betfair

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 55% · 4.05 @ 1xBet

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 76% · 1.94 @ 1xBet

BTTSBoth teams to score 51% · 3.75 @ Bet365

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 69% · 1.41 @ Pinnacle

1X2Draw 20% · 2.85 @ 1xBet

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 60% · 1.49 @ Pinnacle

1X2Wales to win 14% · 6.20 @ 1xBet

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

1.64

Denmark

3.57

Draw ▲

4.72

Wales ▼

Double Chanceconsensus

1.17

Denmark or Draw

1.25

Denmark or Wales

2.12

Draw or Wales

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

2.02

Yes

1.71

No

Home Win to Nilconsensus

2.45

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

11.00

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.02

Over 0.50

12.00

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.34

Over 1.50

3.04

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

2.07

Over 2.50

1.71

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

3.65

Over 3.50

1.25

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

5.88

Over 4.50

1.13

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.25

Denmark

3.67

Wales

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.31

Over 7.50

2.92

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.58

Over 8.50

2.29

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.99

Over 9.50

1.82

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

2.52

Over 10.50

1.48

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

3.33

Over 11.50

1.25

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.

Denmark to win or draw

✓

86% confidence

A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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