Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
**Germany rolls into Augsburg as heavy favorites**, but Greece's recent resilience on the road means this won't be a walkover. 🇩🇪 The hosts have steadied the ship after Ecuador's shock win, while the Greeks are riding a confidence spike from beating Serbia away.
Germany's form looks patchy — two draws sandwiching a loss — but at home they typically click. Greece have won just once in five but showed grit with that Serbia upset and a 2-2 draw in Sweden. This is a step up in class though.
Key storylines:
- **Florian Wirtz and Kai Havertz** need to impose themselves early; Greece's midfield is solid but not elite
- **Germany's fullback depth** (Brown, Rüdiger holding the line) will be tested by Greece's direct runners like **Vangelis Pavlidis**
- Missing **Leon Goretzka** removes some midfield control for Germany, but **Joshua Kimmich** and **Aleksandar Pavlović** should compensate
Expected lineups:
- **Germany**: Neuer, Brown, Tah, Schlotterbeck, Rüdiger, Kimmich, Pavlović, Wirtz, Havertz, Sané, Undav
- **Greece**: Tzolakis, Tsimikas, Koulierakis, Retsos, Vagiannidis, Kourbelis, Zafeiris, Tzolis, Bakasetas, Masouras, Pavlidis
Prediction:
**Germany 2-0 Greece**. Home advantage, quality in attack, and Greece's inconsistency tip this toward a comfortable German win. 🎯
Everything we are at least 80% sure of for this match. We publish nothing below that — across all fixtures, 86.5% of these turn out right.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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