Belgium 0-1 France: Stats, xG & Lineups – Sep 28, 2026

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UEFA Nations League ·Mon 28 Sep

Belgium

0–1

HT 0–0

Full time

France

Stade Roi Baudouin, Brussels · Ref: Rade Obrenovič

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Belgium 0-1 France.

90+3'

M. Fernández-Pardo

Attempt blocked. M. Fernández-Pardo (Belgium), right-footed shot. xG 0.10.

90'

3 minutes of added time.

90'

L. Da Cunha

Substitution, France: M. Koné comes on for L. Da Cunha.

88'

M. Olise

Goal! Belgium 0-1 France. M. Olise (France) scores, assisted by R. Cherki.

85'

R. Lavia

Substitution, Belgium: N. Raskin comes on for R. Lavia.

85'

C. De Ketelaere

Substitution, Belgium: M. Fernández-Pardo comes on for C. De Ketelaere.

80'

C. De Ketelaere

Attempt blocked. C. De Ketelaere (Belgium), left-footed shot. xG 0.10.

79'

Belgium

Corner, Belgium.

78'

D. Lukebakio

Attempt saved. D. Lukebakio (Belgium), left-footed shot. xG 0.05.

77'

M. Akliouche

Substitution, France: R. Cherki comes on for M. Akliouche.

77'

B. Barcola

Substitution, France: M. Olise comes on for B. Barcola.

75'

M. Godts

Attempt missed. M. Godts (Belgium), left-footed shot. xG 0.04.

74'

Y. Tielemans

Attempt missed. Y. Tielemans (Belgium), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

73'

D. Lukebakio

Attempt saved. D. Lukebakio (Belgium), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.15.

68'

J. Seys

Substitution, Belgium: M. De Cuyper comes on for J. Seys.

68'

E. Lepaul

Substitution, France: O. Dembélé comes on for E. Lepaul.

66'

Y. Tielemans

Yellow card for Y. Tielemans (Belgium) for foul.

63'

D. Moreira

Attempt missed. D. Moreira (Belgium), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

63'

K. De Bruyne

Substitution, Belgium: H. Vanaken comes on for K. De Bruyne.

63'

D. Moreira

Substitution, Belgium: D. Lukebakio comes on for D. Moreira.

62'

D. Doué

Attempt saved. D. Doué (France), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

60'

France

Corner, France.

59'

France

Corner, France.

57'

K. De Bruyne

Yellow card for K. De Bruyne (Belgium) for foul.

56'

D. Doué

Attempt saved. D. Doué (France), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

56'

E. Lepaul

Attempt missed. E. Lepaul (France), right-footed shot. xG 0.18.

55'

M. Akliouche

Attempt blocked. M. Akliouche (France), left-footed shot. xG 0.05.

53'

B. Barcola

Attempt missed. B. Barcola (France), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

53'

L. Da Cunha

Off the woodwork! L. Da Cunha (France), left-footed shot. xG 0.01.

52'

D. Doué

Attempt missed. D. Doué (France), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

51'

D. Doué

Attempt blocked. D. Doué (France), left-footed shot. xG 0.04.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Belgium 0-0 France.

45'

1 minute of added time.

42'

D. Moreira

Yellow card for D. Moreira (Belgium) for foul.

40'

E. Lepaul

Attempt blocked. E. Lepaul (France), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

40'

France

Corner, France.

37'

K. De Bruyne

Attempt missed. K. De Bruyne (Belgium), right-footed shot. xG 0.09.

36'

M. Godts

Attempt missed. M. Godts (Belgium), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

27'

M. Akliouche

Attempt saved. M. Akliouche (France), left-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.05.

27'

P. Kalulu

Cleared off the line! P. Kalulu (France), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.02.

24'

E. Camavinga

Attempt blocked. E. Camavinga (France), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.03.

24'

K. De Bruyne

Attempt missed. K. De Bruyne (Belgium), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.01.

23'

France

Corner, France.

19'

B. Barcola

Attempt saved. B. Barcola (France), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

17'

E. Lepaul

Attempt saved. E. Lepaul (France), right-footed shot. xG 0.23.

15'

K. De Bruyne

Attempt blocked. K. De Bruyne (Belgium), right-footed shot. xG 0.09.

13'

France

Offside, France.

12'

D. Doué

Off the woodwork! D. Doué (France), right-footed shot. xG 0.10.

11'

P. Kalulu

Attempt missed. P. Kalulu (France), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.03.

11'

France

Corner, France.

E. Lepaul

Attempt missed. E. Lepaul (France), right-footed shot. xG 0.09.

B. Mechele

Attempt missed. B. Mechele (Belgium), header from a corner. xG 0.03.

Belgium

Corner, Belgium.

Kick-off: Belgium vs France.

Where the money is

6397226 EUR matched · captured 1 month, 2 weeks ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 4456913 EUR · live

Away 1.03 · implied 97.1%

80.2%

-16.9 vs price

Home 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

11.3%

+11.2 vs price

Draw 22.0 · implied 4.5%

8.5%

+4.0 vs price

Half time 21726 EUR · live

Away 4.7 · implied 21.3%

57.2%

+35.9 vs price

Draw 1.5 · implied 66.7%

30.1%

-36.6 vs price

Home 7.2 · implied 13.9%

12.7%

-1.2 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 414146 EUR · live

Under 1.01 · implied 99.0%

72.4%

-26.6 vs price

Over 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

27.6%

+27.5 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 13322 EUR · live

Under 1.01 · implied 99.0%

91.0%

-8.0 vs price

Over 80.0 · implied 1.2%

9.0%

+7.8 vs price

20 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Highlights 3 clips

Player of the match

Match events

42' D. Moreira · Foul

Half-time · 0–0

57' K. De Bruyne · Foul

63' 🔁 D. Lukebakio ◂ D. Moreira

63' 🔁 H. Vanaken ◂ K. De Bruyne

66' Y. Tielemans · Foul

68' 🔁 O. Dembélé ◂ E. Lepaul

68' 🔁 M. De Cuyper ◂ J. Seys

77' 🔁 M. Olise ◂ B. Barcola

77' 🔁 R. Cherki ◂ M. Akliouche

85' 🔁 M. Fernández-Pardo ◂ C. De Ketelaere

85' 🔁 N. Raskin ◂ R. Lavia

88' ⚽ M. Olise · assist R. Cherki0–1

Full-time · 0–1

90' 🔁 M. Koné ◂ L. Da Cunha

Coaches

Mark van Bommel

Zinédine Zidane

Recent form

Belgium

WAItaly2-0

LASpain1-2

WAUSA4-1

WHSenegal3-2

WANew Zealand5-1

France

WATürkiye1-0

LHEngland4-6

LHSpain0-2

WHMorocco2-0

WAParaguay1-0

About this match

**France roll into Brussels as massive favorites, but Belgium at home could pull off something special.** 🔥 The hosts are on a four-game winning streak and know this is their best shot to nick something against a side that just got hammered 4-6 by England.

France's recent form is patchy — they've lost twice in five and are dealing with a serious injury crisis (Konaté, Hernández, Saliba, Zaïre-Emery, Mateta all out). Belgium, meanwhile, are hitting their stride with only A. Onana and L. Trossard sidelined, which is manageable. That said, France's H2H dominance is real (8 wins in 11), so they still edge this even at Stade Roi Baudouin.

Key storylines:

- **K. De Bruyne** and **Y. Tielemans** anchor Belgium's midfield as they look to break France's stranglehold in this fixture
- **K. Mbappé** spearheads France's attack despite defensive shambles, but depleted backline could get exposed by **R. Lukaku**
- Belgium's home advantage + form vs France's injuries = genuine upset territory

Expected lineups:

- **Belgium**: T. Courtois, M. De Cuyper, B. Mechele, N. Ngoy, T. Castagne, Y. Tielemans, N. Raskin, J. Doku, K. De Bruyne, D. Lukebakio, R. Lukaku
- **France**: M. Maignan, L. Digne, D. Upamecano, M. Lacroix, J. Koundé, A. Rabiot, A. Tchouaméni, B. Barcola, O. Dembélé, M. Olise, K. Mbappé

Prediction:

**Belgium 1–1 France**. Coin flip, but slight lean Belgium to hold at home. 🇧🇪

Where to watch

DStv NowSuperSport GrandstandSuperSport MaximoSuperSport Maximo 2SuperSport Premier League

Match facts

Stadium

Stade Roi Baudouin

City

Brussels

Referee

Rade Obrenovič

4.15 yellows/match · 34 matches

Kickoff

28 Sep, 18:45 UTC

Competition

UEFA Nations League

Top stats

35%Possession65%

0.69Expected goals (xG)1.22

12Total shots18

2Shots on target7

2Big chances2

2Corners6

Shots

8Shots off target6

2Blocked shots5

7Shots inside box12

5Shots outside box6

0Hit woodwork2

2Big chances missed2

0.66Goals prevented0.19

Attack

23Touches in box41

39Final third entries62

0Offsides1

9Free kicks12

2Fouled in final third1

Passing

363Passes677

300Accurate passes625

16/35 (46%)Long balls22/42 (52%)

2/9 (22%)Crosses2/12 (17%)

10Throw-ins13

Duels

47Duels53

32/70 (46%)Ground duels38/70 (54%)

4/7 (57%)Aerial duels3/7 (43%)

7/14 (50%)Dribbles9/16 (56%)

11Dispossessed10

Defending

17Tackles18

59Tackles won61

10Interceptions7

13Clearances16

48Recoveries48

Discipline

12Fouls9

3Yellow cards0

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

5Saves2

6Goal kicks7

1Punches0

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers

Belgium 25%

24%

France 50%

1X2France to win 50% · 2.42 @ 1xBet

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 62% · 3.70 @ William Hill

Who winsBelgium to win (DNB) 68% · 2.88 @ 888Sport

BTTSBoth teams to score 61% · 2.75 @ Bet365

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 82% · 1.84 @ 1xBet

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 71% · 1.44 @ betfair

CornersUnder 9.5 corners 59% · 1.76 @ Pinnacle

1X2Draw 24% · 2.75 @ Bet365

CornersOver 8.5 corners 53% · 1.66 @ Pinnacle

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 61% · 1.58 @ Sbo

1X2Belgium to win 25% · 3.75 @ Bet365

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

3.17

Belgium

3.63

Draw

2.14

France

Double Chanceconsensus

1.72

Belgium or Draw

1.25

Belgium or France

1.32

Draw or France

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.53

Yes

2.39

Home Win to Nilconsensus

6.00

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

4.00

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.01

Over 0.50

15.00

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.16

Over 1.50

4.72

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.62

Over 2.50

2.29

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

2.46

Over 3.50

1.50

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

4.55

Over 4.50

1.17

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

2.80

Belgium

1.38

France

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.31

Over 7.50

3.04

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.57

Over 8.50

2.20

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.95

Over 9.50

1.75

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

2.53

Over 10.50

1.43

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

3.35

Over 11.50

1.24

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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