Slovakia 2-1 Kazakhstan: Stats, xG & Lineups – Sep 29, 2026

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Slovakia 2-1 Kazakhstan.

90+2'

Slovakia

Corner, Slovakia.

90+1'

M. Valjent

Substitution, Slovakia: D. Ďuriš comes on for M. Valjent.

90+1'

T. Suslov

Substitution, Slovakia: T. Rigo comes on for T. Suslov.

90'

3 minutes of added time.

86'

R. Boženík

Attempt saved. R. Boženík (Slovakia), right-footed shot. xG 0.01.

86'

A. Ashirbek

Substitution, Kazakhstan: E. Astanov comes on for A. Ashirbek.

82'

D. Hancko

Goal! Slovakia 2-1 Kazakhstan. D. Hancko (Slovakia) scores, assisted by O. Duda.

81'

Slovakia

Corner, Slovakia.

79'

O. Duda

Attempt blocked. O. Duda (Slovakia), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

75'

D. Strelec

Substitution, Slovakia: R. Boženík comes on for D. Strelec.

75'

L. Haraslín

Substitution, Slovakia: I. Schranz comes on for L. Haraslín.

74'

L. Haraslín

Attempt saved. L. Haraslín (Slovakia), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

72'

I. Kuat

Substitution, Kazakhstan: D. Kasabulat comes on for I. Kuat.

69'

M. Valjent

Yellow card for M. Valjent (Slovakia) for simulation.

66'

L. Sauer

Substitution, Slovakia: T. Bobček comes on for L. Sauer.

65'

M. Valjent

Attempt blocked. M. Valjent (Slovakia), left-footed shot. xG 0.04.

65'

R. Karimov

Attempt saved. R. Karimov (Kazakhstan), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.06.

65'

Kazakhstan

Corner, Kazakhstan.

63'

L. Sauer

Attempt missed. L. Sauer (Slovakia), header from a corner. xG 0.05.

62'

Slovakia

Corner, Slovakia.

60'

S. Basmanov

Substitution, Kazakhstan: G. Kenzhebek comes on for S. Basmanov.

60'

Z. Amir

Substitution, Kazakhstan: R. Orazov comes on for Z. Amir.

59'

L. Sauer

Attempt blocked. L. Sauer (Slovakia), left-footed shot. xG 0.24.

59'

O. Duda

Attempt missed. O. Duda (Slovakia), right-footed shot. xG 0.15.

58'

M. Valjent

Attempt saved. M. Valjent (Slovakia), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

55'

A. Mrynskiy

Off the woodwork! A. Mrynskiy (Kazakhstan), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

50'

M. Škriniar

Attempt saved. M. Škriniar (Slovakia), right-footed shot. xG 0.05.

46'

I. Bekbolat

Substitution, Kazakhstan: A. Mrynskiy comes on for I. Bekbolat.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Slovakia 1-1 Kazakhstan.

45'

1 minute of added time.

43'

I. Kuat

Yellow card for I. Kuat (Kazakhstan) for foul.

41'

Slovakia

Offside, Slovakia.

37'

D. Hancko

Attempt blocked. D. Hancko (Slovakia), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

35'

R. Karimov

Goal! Slovakia 1-1 Kazakhstan. R. Karimov (Kazakhstan) scores, assisted by Z. Amir.

33'

Slovakia

Corner, Slovakia.

32'

T. Suslov

Attempt blocked. T. Suslov (Slovakia), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

28'

D. Strelec

Yellow card for D. Strelec (Slovakia) for foul.

26'

L. Sauer

Goal! Slovakia 1-0 Kazakhstan. L. Sauer (Slovakia) scores.

26'

T. Suslov

Attempt blocked. T. Suslov (Slovakia), left-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.04.

21'

Slovakia

Corner, Slovakia.

18'

Slovakia

Offside, Slovakia.

14'

M. Škriniar

Attempt missed. M. Škriniar (Slovakia), header from a set piece. xG 0.05.

10'

Slovakia

Offside, Slovakia.

8'

L. Haraslín

Attempt saved. L. Haraslín (Slovakia), right-footed shot. xG 0.07.

6'

R. Karimov

Yellow card for R. Karimov (Kazakhstan) for foul.

4'

Slovakia

Corner, Slovakia.

4'

L. Haraslín

Attempt saved. L. Haraslín (Slovakia), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.03.

4'

Slovakia

Corner, Slovakia.

2'

Slovakia

Corner, Slovakia.

1'

Kick-off: Slovakia vs Kazakhstan.

Where the money is

1064948 EUR matched · captured 1 month, 2 weeks ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 755593 EUR · live

Home 1.01 · implied 99.0%

87.4%

-11.6 vs price

Draw 100.0 · implied 1.0%

9.2%

+8.2 vs price

Away 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

3.4%

+3.3 vs price

Half time 4761 EUR · live

Home 5.1 · implied 19.6%

83.0%

+63.4 vs price

Draw 1.28 · implied 78.1%

12.1%

-66.0 vs price

Away 38.0 · implied 2.6%

4.9%

+2.2 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 74741 EUR · live

Over 2.08 · implied 48.1%

72.8%

+24.7 vs price

Under 1.93 · implied 51.8%

27.4%

-24.4 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 19871 EUR · live

Under 1.2 · implied 83.3%

96.0%

+12.7 vs price

Over 5.6 · implied 17.9%

4.0%

-13.9 vs price

14 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Player of the match

Match events

6' R. Karimov · Foul

26' ⚽ L. Sauer1–0

28' D. Strelec · Foul

35' ⚽ R. Karimov · assist Z. Amir1–1

43' I. Kuat · Foul

Half-time · 1–1

46' 🔁 A. Mrynskiy ◂ I. Bekbolat

60' 🔁 R. Orazov ◂ Z. Amir

60' 🔁 G. Kenzhebek ◂ S. Basmanov

66' 🔁 T. Bobček ◂ L. Sauer

69' M. Valjent · Simulation

72' 🔁 D. Kasabulat ◂ I. Kuat

75' 🔁 I. Schranz ◂ L. Haraslín

75' 🔁 R. Boženík ◂ D. Strelec

82' ⚽ D. Hancko · assist O. Duda2–1

86' 🔁 E. Astanov ◂ A. Ashirbek

Full-time · 2–1

90'⁺¹ 🔁 T. Rigo ◂ T. Suslov

90'⁺¹ 🔁 D. Ďuriš ◂ M. Valjent

Coaches

Vladimir Weiss

John van 't Schip

Recent form

Slovakia

WHMoldova2-0

DHMontenegro2-2

WHMalta2-1

WHRomania2-0

LHKosovo3-4

Kazakhstan

DAFaroe Islands1-1

LAHungary1-3

DAArmenia1-1

LAFaroe Islands0-1

DHBelgium1-1

About this match

**Kazakhstan? More like Kazakhstan Chancebek.** Slovakia come in hot while the visitors are stuck in a rut — this could get messy fast. 🔥

Slovakia's **3W-1D record** in their last five is the polar opposite of Kazakhstan's winless stretch (0W-3D-2L). The hosts have momentum, the away side has... well, a lot of draws. And here's the kicker: **Kazakhstan haven't beaten Slovakia in their last two meetings**, losing both times.

Key storylines:

- **Slovakia's midfield trio** of Duda, Bero, and Lobotka will control tempo against a Kazakhstan side that's been leaky and uninspiring
- **Strelec and Schranz** up front should have chances galore against a backline that's conceded 3 goals in one match already (Hungary thrashing)
- Kazakhstan's **Orazov and Kenzhebek** need to do heavy lifting just to keep this respectable

Expected lineups:

- **Slovakia**: M. Dúbravka, L. Haraslín, D. Hancko, M. Škriniar, P. Pekarík, O. Duda, M. Bero, S. Lobotka, D. Ďuriš, D. Strelec, I. Schranz
- **Kazakhstan**: S. Pokatilov, N. Alip, Y. Vorogovskiy, S. Maliy, A. Mrynskiy, I. Kuat, G. Kenzhebek, R. Orazov, A. Shushenachev, I. Bekbolat, R. Karimov

Prediction:

**Slovakia 2–0 Kazakhstan** — clean sheet edges and a comfortable home win. 👌

Where to watch

DStv NowSuperSport Football Plus

Match facts

Stadium

Košická futbalová aréna

City

Kosice

Referee

Patrik Kolarić

Kickoff

29 Sep, 18:45 UTC

Competition

UEFA Nations League

Slovakia 4-3-3 · 4-2-3-1 Kazakhstan

1 M. Dúbravka 6.7 19 T. Rigo ↑ 90' 14 M. Škriniar 7.6 21 A. Obert 7.5 16 D. Hancko 8.0 20 D. Ďuriš ↑ 90' 22 S. Lobotka 7.8 8 O. Duda 6.8 11 T. Bobček 6.4 ↑ 66' 9 R. Boženík 6.5 ↑ 75' 18 I. Schranz 6.5 ↑ 75' 1 S. Pokatilov 6.5 21 E. Astanov 6.4 ↑ 86' 23 T. Yerlanov 6.5 3 N. Alip 6.3 14 N. Zhagorov 6.9 6 D. Kasabulat 6.2 ↑ 72' 18 D. Karaman 6.1 13 A. Mrynskiy 6.4 ↑ 46' 7 G. Kenzhebek 6.7 ↑ 60' 20 R. Orazov 6.3 ↑ 60' 9 R. Karimov 7.8

Substitutes

12GD. Greif 23GJ. Surovčík 4DM. Valjent↓ 90'6.5 2DI. Mesík 3DD. Vavro 5DĽ. Šatka 10MT. Suslov↓ 90'6.6 6MP. Pokorný 13MA. Kaprálik 7FL. Sauer↓ 66'7.2 17FL. Haraslín↓ 75'7.0 15FD. Strelec↓ 75'6.7

Coach: Vladimir Weiss

Substitutes

12GT. Anarbekov 16GA. Zarutskiy 2DS. Maliy 11DY. Vorogovskiy 4MA. Ashirbek↓ 86'7.9 17MS. Basmanov↓ 60'6.5 5MI. Kuat↓ 72'6.5 8MZ. Amir↓ 60'6.3 15MG. Zhukov 19MA. Tuyakbayev 22FI. Bekbolat↓ 46'6.2 10FA. Shushenachev

Coach: John van 't Schip

Top stats

75%Possession25%

1.36Expected goals (xG)0.18

17Total shots3

8Shots on target2

2Big chances0

8Corners1

Shots

3Shots off target1

6Blocked shots0

10Shots inside box1

7Shots outside box2

0Hit woodwork1

1Big chances scored0

1Big chances missed0

0.15Goals prevented-0.3

Attack

25Touches in box4

103Final third entries27

3Offsides0

18Free kicks8

4Fouled in final third0

Passing

703Passes237

628Accurate passes165

26/44 (59%)Long balls13/45 (29%)

6/21 (29%)Crosses0/5 (0%)

24Throw-ins21

Duels

53Duels47

40/73 (55%)Ground duels33/73 (45%)

9/19 (47%)Aerial duels10/19 (53%)

10/23 (43%)Dribbles3/11 (27%)

10Dispossessed4

Defending

12Tackles23

75Tackles won70

11Interceptions13

13Clearances34

50Recoveries42

Discipline

8Fouls18

2Yellow cards2

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

1Saves6

1Big saves1

2Goal kicks5

1Punches1

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers

Slovakia 74%

17%

Kazakhstan 9%

1X2Slovakia to win 74% · 1.62 @ William Hill

BTTSBTTS: No 60% · 1.18 @ Bet365

Who winsSlovakia to win (DNB) 67% · 1.07 @ Betano

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 52% · 4.60 @ William Hill

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 76% · 2.10 @ William Hill

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 71% · 1.37 @ Pinnacle

1X2Draw 17% · 3.05 @ 1xBet

1X2Kazakhstan to win 9% · 9.30 @ 1xBet

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

1.28

Slovakia

5.50

Draw

11.00

Kazakhstan

Double Chanceconsensus

1.04

Slovakia or Draw

1.11

Slovakia or Kazakhstan

3.50

Draw or Kazakhstan

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

2.37

Yes

1.53

No

Home Win to Nilconsensus

1.85

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

17.00

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.02

Over 0.50

12.00

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.23

Over 1.50

3.88

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.80

Over 2.50

2.01

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

3.07

Over 3.50

1.35

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

5.93

Over 4.50

1.11

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.05

Slovakia

9.25

Kazakhstan

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.25

Over 7.50

2.95

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.52

Over 8.50

2.32

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.90

Over 9.50

1.86

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

2.35

Over 10.50

1.50

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

2.90

Over 11.50

1.26

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.

Slovakia to win or draw

✓

91% confidence

A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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