Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Ivan Jovanović
Greece
Netherlands**Greece hosts the Netherlands in a Nations League clash where the hosts fancy their chances** — the Greeks are riding a sharp streak and won't fear anyone at home. 🔥
Greece have been quietly impressive on their travels, grabbing wins in Germany and Serbia. The Dutch arrive without their star attackers but are still unbeaten in this window, which tells you something about their depth.
Key storylines:
- **V. van Dijk** anchors a Netherlands defence that's held firm despite injury chaos in attack — Greece's **A. Douvikas** will test that resilience
- Greece's midfield has been a proper engine; **D. Kourbelis** and **C. Tzolis** will need to control the tempo or the Dutch transition game takes over
- **M. Depay** and **W. Weghorst** inherit a bigger workload with half the attack sidelined — clinical finishing becomes everything
Expected lineups:
- **Greece**: K. Tzolakis, K. Tsimikas, P. Retsos, K. Mavropanos, G. Vagiannidis, C. Tzolis, D. Kourbelis, V. Pavlidis, C. Zafeiris, A. Tetteh, A. Douvikas
- **Netherlands**: B. Verbruggen, J. P. van Hecke, V. van Dijk, M. van de Ven, L. Geertruida, R. Gravenberch, D. Dumfries, T. Reijnders, J. Kluivert, M. Depay, W. Weghorst
Prediction:
**Greece 1-1 Netherlands**. Slight edge to Greece at home, but the Dutch have enough craft to get out of Thessaloniki unbeaten.
Greece
4-2-3-1 · 4-3-3
Netherlands
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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