Ireland 2-2 Austria: Stats, xG & Lineups – Oct 1, 2026

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Ireland 2-2 Austria.

90+2'

R. Manning

Attempt missed. R. Manning (Ireland), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.03.

90+1'

F. Azaz

Attempt missed. F. Azaz (Ireland), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.06.

90'

3 minutes of added time.

89'

A. Prass

Attempt missed. A. Prass (Austria), left-footed shot. xG 0.20.

86'

A. Prass

Attempt blocked. A. Prass (Austria), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.03.

86'

S. Posch

Attempt blocked. S. Posch (Austria), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.06.

86'

J. Moylan

Substitution, Ireland: T. Cannon comes on for J. Moylan.

85'

Austria

Corner, Austria.

85'

M. Wöber

Yellow card for M. Wöber (Austria) for foul.

82'

R. Manning

Yellow card for R. Manning (Ireland) for foul.

81'

M. Gregoritsch

Attempt missed. M. Gregoritsch (Austria), right-footed shot. xG 0.11.

79'

D. O'Shea

Attempt saved. D. O'Shea (Ireland), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.12.

77'

M. Gregoritsch

Goal! Ireland 2-2 Austria. M. Gregoritsch (Austria) scores.

75'

J. Abankwah

Substitution, Ireland: J. O'Brien comes on for J. Abankwah.

75'

T. Parrott

Substitution, Ireland: C. Ogbene comes on for T. Parrott.

72'

A. Prass

VAR: goal for Austria ruled out.

71'

Austria

Offside, Austria.

71'

A. Prass

Goal! Ireland 2-1 Austria. A. Prass (Austria) scores, assisted by P. Wimmer.

70'

K. Laimer

Attempt saved. K. Laimer (Austria), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

68'

Ireland

Corner, Ireland.

67'

R. Schmid

Substitution, Austria: A. Prass comes on for R. Schmid.

63'

Austria

Offside, Austria.

63'

L. Scales

Substitution, Ireland: L. Kitching comes on for L. Scales.

63'

A. Idah

Substitution, Ireland: J. Molumby comes on for A. Idah.

60'

J. Abankwah

Yellow card for J. Abankwah (Ireland) for foul.

59'

S. Posch

Attempt saved. S. Posch (Austria), right-footed shot. xG 0.01.

46'

D. Affengruber

Substitution, Austria: M. Wöber comes on for D. Affengruber.

46'

N. Seiwald

Substitution, Austria: K. Laimer comes on for N. Seiwald.

46'

C. Chukwuemeka

Substitution, Austria: M. Gregoritsch comes on for C. Chukwuemeka.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Ireland 2-0 Austria.

45'

5 minutes of added time.

45'

T. Parrott

Goal! Ireland 2-0 Austria. T. Parrott (Ireland) converts the penalty.

42'

Ireland

Corner, Ireland.

41'

Austria

Corner, Austria.

40'

Austria

Corner, Austria.

40'

P. Wimmer

Attempt saved. P. Wimmer (Austria), right-footed shot. xG 0.12.

39'

T. Parrott

Attempt missed. T. Parrott (Ireland), header from a set piece. xG 0.03.

35'

P. Wimmer

Attempt blocked. P. Wimmer (Austria), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

35'

Austria

Corner, Austria.

32'

S. Posch

Attempt saved. S. Posch (Austria), header from a corner. xG 0.01.

31'

Austria

Corner, Austria.

31'

P. Wimmer

Attempt saved. P. Wimmer (Austria), left-footed shot. xG 0.08.

29'

R. Schmid

Attempt missed. R. Schmid (Austria), header. xG 0.03.

27'

Ireland

Corner, Ireland.

25'

N. Seiwald

Attempt missed. N. Seiwald (Austria), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

20'

Ireland

Offside, Ireland.

15'

R. Schmid

Attempt missed. R. Schmid (Austria), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

12'

T. Parrott

Goal! Ireland 1-0 Austria. T. Parrott (Ireland) scores, assisted by A. Idah.

7'

R. Manning

Attempt blocked. R. Manning (Ireland), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

3'

C. Coventry

Attempt blocked. C. Coventry (Ireland), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.03.

3'

A. Idah

Attempt missed. A. Idah (Ireland), header from a throw-in. xG 0.04.

2'

S. Kalajdžić

Attempt missed. S. Kalajdžić (Austria), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.02.

1'

Kick-off: Ireland vs Austria.

Where the money is

1702627 EUR matched · captured 1 month, 1 week ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 1197802 EUR · live

Home 70.0 · implied 1.4%

55.6%

+54.2 vs price

Draw 1.04 · implied 96.2%

28.9%

-67.3 vs price

Away 46.0 · implied 2.2%

15.5%

+13.3 vs price

Half time 5730 EUR · live

Home 1.15 · implied 87.0%

60.4%

-26.6 vs price

Draw 5.6 · implied 17.9%

37.2%

+19.3 vs price

Away 55.0 · implied 1.8%

2.4%

+0.6 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 172372 EUR · live

Over 1.94 · implied 51.5%

81.8%

+30.3 vs price

Under 2.04 · implied 49.0%

18.2%

-30.8 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 10172 EUR · live

Under 1.02 · implied 98.0%

94.0%

-4.1 vs price

Over 34.0 · implied 2.9%

6.0%

+3.1 vs price

16 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 1 clip

Player of the match

Match events

12' ⚽ T. Parrott · assist A. Idah1–0

Half-time · 2–0

45' ⚽ T. Parrott (pen)2–0

46' 🔁 M. Gregoritsch ◂ C. Chukwuemeka

46' 🔁 K. Laimer ◂ N. Seiwald

46' 🔁 M. Wöber ◂ D. Affengruber

60' J. Abankwah · Foul

63' 🔁 J. Molumby ◂ A. Idah

63' 🔁 L. Kitching ◂ L. Scales

67' 🔁 A. Prass ◂ R. Schmid

71' ⚽ A. Prass · assist P. Wimmer2–1

72' VAR Goal check · A. Prass

75' 🔁 C. Ogbene ◂ T. Parrott

75' 🔁 J. O'Brien ◂ J. Abankwah

77' ⚽ M. Gregoritsch2–2

82' R. Manning · Foul

85' M. Wöber · Foul

86' 🔁 T. Cannon ◂ J. Moylan

Full-time · 2–2

Coaches

Heimir Hallgrímsson

Ralf Rangnick

Recent form

Ireland

WAIsrael3-0

LAKosovo0-1

DACanada1-1

WHQatar1-0

WHGrenada5-0

Austria

WHKosovo3-1

WHIsrael3-1

LASpain0-3

DAAlgeria3-3

LAArgentina0-2

About this match

**Ireland host Austria in a Nations League clash that could define their group — the hosts are rolling while the visitors are banged up.** 🍀

Ireland have won 3 of their last 5 with a perfect home record brewing; Austria, meanwhile, are missing half their midfield and just took a 3-0 hammering in Spain. This feels like a golden moment for the Irish to pile on.

Key storylines:

- **Ireland's attacking trio of T. Parrott, A. Idah, and T. Cannon** looking to capitalize on a stuttering Austrian backline
- **Austria's injury crisis in midfield** — N. Seiwald and X. Schlager are carrying the load without Laimer, Baumgartner, and Grillitsch
- **Home advantage at the Aviva Stadium** has been Ireland's fortress; Austria struggle on the road (0-3 vs Spain most recently)

Expected lineups:

- **Ireland**: C. Kelleher, D. O'Shea, J. O'Brien, L. Scales, J. Abankwah, J. Molumby, C. Ogbene, F. Azaz, T. Parrott, A. Idah, T. Cannon
- **Austria**: P. Pentz, M. Sabitzer, P. Lienhart, D. Alaba, S. Posch, N. Seiwald, X. Schlager, M. Arnautović

Prediction:

**Ireland 2–0 Austria**

Ireland's edge at home, Austria's injuries, and recent form all point one way. 🎯

Where to watch

DStv NowSuperSport Football Plus

Match facts

Stadium

Aviva Stadium

City

Dublin

Referee

Allard Lindhout

3.30 yellows/match · 63 matches

Kickoff

01 Oct, 18:45 UTC

Competition

UEFA Nations League

Highlights & clips

Ireland 3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1 Austria

1 C. Kelleher 7.2 4 D. O'Shea 7.1 15 J. Egan 6.5 12 L. Kitching 5.7 ↑ 63' 5 J. O'Brien 6.3 ↑ 75' 11 F. Azaz 6.8 14 C. Coventry 6.4 18 R. Manning 7.4 9 T. Cannon ↑ 86' 6 J. Molumby 6.5 ↑ 63' 20 C. Ogbene 6.4 ↑ 75' 12 F. Wiegele 6.3 5 S. Posch 6.9 14 M. Wöber 6.9 ↑ 46' 15 P. Lienhart 6.8 16 P. Mwene 6.3 20 K. Laimer 6.4 ↑ 46' 4 X. Schlager 7.1 21 P. Wimmer 7.6 11 M. Gregoritsch 7.6 ↑ 46' 22 A. Prass 7.7 ↑ 67' 9 S. Kalajdžić 6.3

Substitutes

16GG. Bazunu 23GM. O'Leary 3DL. Scales↓ 63'7.4 2DJ. Abankwah↓ 75'6.8 21DJ. Dunne 17MJ. Moylan↓ 86'6.8 8MJ. Knight 22MK. Phillips 7FT. Parrott↓ 75'9.7 10FA. Idah↓ 63'6.2 13FR. Vata 19FO. Elding

Coach: Heimir Hallgrímsson

Substitutes

1GA. Schlager 13GM. Bignetti 2DD. Affengruber↓ 46'6.6 3DF. Bacher 23DM. Friedl 18MR. Schmid↓ 67'6.8 17MC. Chukwuemeka↓ 46'6.4 6MN. Seiwald↓ 46'6.1 7FC. Lang 8FJ. Adamu 19FM. Grüll

Coach: Ralf Rangnick

Top stats

42%Possession58%

1.62Expected goals (xG)1.37

9Total shots16

3Shots on target7

2Big chances3

3Corners5

Shots

4Shots off target6

2Blocked shots3

6Shots inside box11

3Shots outside box5

2Big chances scored1

0Big chances missed2

0.06Goals prevented-0.58

Attack

27Touches in box30

37Final third entries68

0Offsides1

16Free kicks14

3Fouled in final third2

Passing

380Passes526

287Accurate passes441

29/58 (50%)Long balls17/33 (52%)

5/16 (31%)Crosses4/24 (17%)

21Throw-ins17

Duels

55Duels45

39/76 (51%)Ground duels37/76 (49%)

22/34 (65%)Aerial duels12/34 (35%)

7/14 (50%)Dribbles5/14 (36%)

12Dispossessed7

Defending

16Tackles19

63Tackles won74

15Interceptions10

34Clearances31

45Recoveries53

Discipline

14Fouls17

2Yellow cards1

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

5Saves1

1Big saves1

10Goal kicks5

2Punches0

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers

Ireland 27%

29%

Austria 44%

1X2Austria to win 44% · 2.62 @ William Hill

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 79% · 1.23 @ 1xBet

CornersUnder 8.5 corners 56% · 1.81 @ 1xBet

CornersUnder 9.5 corners 67% · 1.49 @ Pinnacle

Who winsAustria to win (DNB) 52% · 1.55 @ Betsson

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 57% · 1.11 @ William Hill

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 78% · 1.21 @ Pinnacle

1X2Draw 29% · 2.30 @ 1xBet

BTTSBTTS: No 52% · 1.23 @ 1xBet

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 68% · 2.50 @ 1xBet

1X2Ireland to win 27% · 3.88 @ 1xBet

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

3.51

Ireland

3.15

Draw

2.20

Austria

Double Chanceconsensus

1.67

Ireland or Draw

1.35

Ireland or Austria

1.29

Draw or Austria

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.96

Yes

1.75

No

Home Win to Nilconsensus

5.50

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

3.40

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.06

Over 0.50

7.83

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.42

Over 1.50

2.71

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

2.28

Over 2.50

1.59

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

4.70

Over 3.50

1.17

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

9.00

Over 4.50

1.03

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

2.45

Ireland

1.51

Austria

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.50

Over 7.50

2.29

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.93

Over 8.50

1.81

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

2.50

Over 9.50

1.44

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

3.38

Over 10.50

1.23

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

4.78

Over 11.50

1.11

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.3%.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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