Kazakhstan 1-2 Moldova: Stats, xG & Lineups – Oct 2, 2026

← All matches

UEFA Nations League ·Fri 02 Oct

Kazakhstan

1–2

HT 0–1

Full time

Moldova

Astana Arena, Astana · Ref: Marian Barbu

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Kazakhstan 1-2 Moldova.

90+2'

P. Popescu

Attempt missed. P. Popescu (Moldova), left-footed shot. xG 0.01.

90'

3 minutes of added time.

89'

Y. Vorogovskiy

Yellow card for Y. Vorogovskiy (Kazakhstan) for foul.

88'

Kazakhstan

Corner, Kazakhstan.

88'

Kazakhstan

Corner, Kazakhstan.

86'

I. Revenco

Substitution, Moldova: O. David comes on for I. Revenco.

86'

V. Rață

Substitution, Moldova: D. Dumbrăvanu comes on for V. Rață.

85'

P. Popescu

Attempt missed. P. Popescu (Moldova), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.08.

83'

N. Alip

Cleared off the line! N. Alip (Kazakhstan), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.05.

83'

D. Karaman

Attempt blocked. D. Karaman (Kazakhstan), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.02.

82'

N. Zhagorov

Attempt missed. N. Zhagorov (Kazakhstan), header. xG 0.22.

81'

S. Perciun

Attempt missed. S. Perciun (Moldova), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.03.

80'

G. Kenzhebek

Yellow card for G. Kenzhebek (Kazakhstan) for foul.

78'

V. Stina

Attempt missed. V. Stina (Moldova), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.06.

75'

E. Tapalov

Attempt missed. E. Tapalov (Kazakhstan), header. xG 0.04.

75'

O. Reabciuk

Substitution, Moldova: M. Ștefan comes on for O. Reabciuk.

74'

T. Yerlanov

Substitution, Kazakhstan: S. Maliy comes on for T. Yerlanov.

71'

Kazakhstan

Corner, Kazakhstan.

71'

B. Islamkhan

Attempt blocked. B. Islamkhan (Kazakhstan), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

66'

A. Mrynskiy

Substitution, Kazakhstan: N. Zhagorov comes on for A. Mrynskiy.

64'

N. Alip

Goal! Kazakhstan 1-2 Moldova. N. Alip (Kazakhstan) scores, assisted by B. Islamkhan.

61'

P. Popescu

Attempt saved. P. Popescu (Moldova), header. xG 0.05.

59'

N. Cleșcenco

Substitution, Moldova: V. Stina comes on for N. Cleșcenco.

59'

R. Karimov

Substitution, Kazakhstan: A. Shushenachev comes on for R. Karimov.

59'

Moldova

Offside, Moldova.

56'

Y. Vorogovskiy

Attempt blocked. Y. Vorogovskiy (Kazakhstan), left-footed shot. xG 0.04.

56'

Kazakhstan

Corner, Kazakhstan.

55'

D. Karaman

Attempt blocked. D. Karaman (Kazakhstan), left-footed shot. xG 0.04.

53'

G. Kenzhebek

Attempt missed. G. Kenzhebek (Kazakhstan), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.03.

52'

Kazakhstan

Corner, Kazakhstan.

52'

B. Islamkhan

Attempt blocked. B. Islamkhan (Kazakhstan), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.04.

52'

Kazakhstan

Corner, Kazakhstan.

50'

P. Popescu

Goal! Kazakhstan 0-2 Moldova. P. Popescu (Moldova) scores, assisted by S. Perciun.

50'

Moldova

Corner, Moldova.

47'

Kazakhstan

Corner, Kazakhstan.

46'

R. Orazov

Substitution, Kazakhstan: E. Tapalov comes on for R. Orazov.

46'

E. Astanov

Substitution, Kazakhstan: A. Tuyakbayev comes on for E. Astanov.

46'

V. Fratea

Substitution, Moldova: N. Moțpan comes on for V. Fratea.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Kazakhstan 0-1 Moldova.

45+1'

N. Cleșcenco

Goal! Kazakhstan 0-1 Moldova. N. Cleșcenco (Moldova) scores.

45'

1 minute of added time.

44'

G. Kenzhebek

Attempt missed. G. Kenzhebek (Kazakhstan), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.03.

43'

Kazakhstan

Corner, Kazakhstan.

41'

R. Orazov

Attempt saved. R. Orazov (Kazakhstan), left-footed shot. xG 0.06.

37'

V. Fratea

Attempt saved. V. Fratea (Moldova), left-footed shot. xG 0.05.

35'

P. Popescu

Attempt saved. P. Popescu (Moldova), left-footed shot. xG 0.01.

34'

Y. Vorogovskiy

Attempt missed. Y. Vorogovskiy (Kazakhstan), left-footed shot. xG 0.04.

32'

P. Popescu

Attempt missed. P. Popescu (Moldova), header from a corner. xG 0.11.

31'

Moldova

Corner, Moldova.

28'

G. Kenzhebek

Attempt blocked. G. Kenzhebek (Kazakhstan), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.04.

28'

Y. Vorogovskiy

Attempt missed. Y. Vorogovskiy (Kazakhstan), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.08.

28'

Kazakhstan

Corner, Kazakhstan.

27'

Kazakhstan

Corner, Kazakhstan.

27'

G. Kenzhebek

Attempt missed. G. Kenzhebek (Kazakhstan), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

23'

T. Yerlanov

Attempt missed. T. Yerlanov (Kazakhstan), header from a corner. xG 0.20.

22'

Kazakhstan

Corner, Kazakhstan.

22'

D. Karaman

Attempt missed. D. Karaman (Kazakhstan), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

21'

N. Cleșcenco

Attempt saved. N. Cleșcenco (Moldova), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.13.

19'

I. Revenco

Attempt missed. I. Revenco (Moldova), header from a corner. xG 0.11.

19'

S. Perciun

Attempt missed. S. Perciun (Moldova), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.02.

19'

Moldova

Corner, Moldova.

16'

S. Perciun

Attempt saved. S. Perciun (Moldova), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

16'

I. Revenco

Attempt saved. I. Revenco (Moldova), header from a corner. xG 0.01.

16'

Moldova

Corner, Moldova.

13'

N. Cleșcenco

Attempt missed. N. Cleșcenco (Moldova), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.02.

E. Astanov

Attempt saved. E. Astanov (Kazakhstan), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

Kick-off: Kazakhstan vs Moldova.

Where the money is

2642935 EUR matched · captured 1 month, 1 week ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 1464723 EUR · live

Away 1.01 · implied 99.0%

66.2%

-32.8 vs price

Home 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

26.3%

+26.2 vs price

Draw 110.0 · implied 0.9%

7.5%

+6.6 vs price

Half time 4014 EUR · live

Away 7.0 · implied 14.3%

42.9%

+28.6 vs price

Home 4.2 · implied 23.8%

34.7%

+10.9 vs price

Draw 1.68 · implied 59.5%

22.3%

-37.2 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 219761 EUR · live

Under 3.05 · implied 32.8%

60.0%

+27.2 vs price

Over 1.47 · implied 68.0%

40.1%

-28.0 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 13552 EUR · live

Under 1.02 · implied 98.0%

96.5%

-1.6 vs price

Over 50.0 · implied 2.0%

3.5%

+1.5 vs price

14 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Highlights 1 clip

Player of the match

Match events

Half-time · 0–1

45'⁺¹ ⚽ N. Cleșcenco0–1

46' 🔁 N. Moțpan ◂ V. Fratea

46' 🔁 A. Tuyakbayev ◂ E. Astanov

46' 🔁 E. Tapalov ◂ R. Orazov

50' ⚽ P. Popescu · assist S. Perciun0–2

59' 🔁 A. Shushenachev ◂ R. Karimov

59' 🔁 V. Stina ◂ N. Cleșcenco

64' ⚽ N. Alip · assist B. Islamkhan1–2

66' 🔁 N. Zhagorov ◂ A. Mrynskiy

74' 🔁 S. Maliy ◂ T. Yerlanov

75' 🔁 M. Ștefan ◂ O. Reabciuk

80' G. Kenzhebek · Foul

86' 🔁 D. Dumbrăvanu ◂ V. Rață

86' 🔁 O. David ◂ I. Revenco

89' Y. Vorogovskiy · Foul

Full-time · 1–2

Coaches

John van 't Schip

Lilian Popescu

Recent form

Kazakhstan

LASlovakia1-2

DAFaroe Islands1-1

LAHungary1-3

DAArmenia1-1

LAFaroe Islands0-1

Moldova

DHFaroe Islands1-1

LASlovakia0-2

DAArmenia1-1

DHBulgaria2-2

LACyprus2-3

About this match

**Kazakhstan hosting Moldova in a Nations League dead-rubber** — both teams winless in their last five, so this is basically a clash of who can finally get that W before the break ends. 🏟️

Kazakhstan's 3-2 h2h edge should count for something at home, but they've been leaky (three straight losses). Moldova's draw-happy lately (3 in 5), which screams "we'll nick a point and leave."

Key storylines:

- **Kazakhstan** desperate to stop the bleeding at the Astana Arena after back-to-back defeats
- **Moldova's** three-game unbeaten run (all draws) shows defensive solidity but offensive drought
- Both teams' inability to convert chances this window suggests a cagey, low-scoring affair

Expected lineups:

- **Kazakhstan**: S. Pokatilov, N. Alip, Y. Vorogovskiy, S. Maliy, A. Mrynskiy, I. Kuat, G. Kenzhebek, R. Orazov
- **Moldova**: A. Cojuhar, M. Gherasimencov, O. Reabciuk, V. Baboglo, I. Iovu, V. Rață, D. Forov

Prediction:

**1-1** — Kazakhstan's home edge gets them level, but Moldova's draw curse strikes again. Coin flip to break the tie, but the form screams stalemate. ⚪

Where to watch

DStv NowSuperSport Maximo 2SuperSport Premier League

Match facts

Stadium

Astana Arena

City

Astana

Referee

Marian Barbu

3.89 yellows/match · 61 matches

Kickoff

02 Oct, 14:00 UTC

Competition

UEFA Nations League

Top stats

66%Possession34%

1.1Expected goals (xG)0.89

19Total shots16

4Shots on target8

3Big chances0

11Corners4

Shots

9Shots off target8

6Blocked shots0

10Shots inside box9

9Shots outside box7

1Big chances scored0

2Big chances missed0

-1.29Goals prevented-0.29

Attack

26Touches in box13

77Final third entries44

0Offsides1

10Free kicks10

4Fouled in final third3

Passing

584Passes315

507Accurate passes249

40/60 (67%)Long balls17/47 (36%)

8/36 (22%)Crosses5/11 (45%)

16Throw-ins21

Duels

59Duels41

34/57 (60%)Ground duels23/57 (40%)

15/26 (58%)Aerial duels11/26 (42%)

6/16 (38%)Dribbles2/8 (25%)

3Dispossessed12

Defending

18Tackles13

72Tackles won54

8Interceptions14

8Clearances32

57Recoveries59

Discipline

10Fouls10

2Yellow cards0

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

6Saves2

1Big saves1

7Goal kicks9

0Punches2

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers

Kazakhstan 50%

28%

Moldova 21%

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 57% · 1.12 @ William Hill

BTTSBTTS: No 55% · 1.22 @ 1xBet

1X2Kazakhstan to win 50% · 2.30 @ William Hill

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 77% · 1.25 @ Pinnacle

1X2Draw 28% · 2.37 @ Bet365

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 67% · 1.35 @ 1xBet

Who winsKazakhstan to win (DNB) 59% · 1.35 @ Betano

CornersUnder 9.5 corners 55% · 1.62 @ 1xBet

CornersOver 8.5 corners 57% · 1.76 @ Pinnacle

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 68% · 2.47 @ 1xBet

1X2Moldova to win 21% · 4.55 @ 1xBet

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

1.87

Kazakhstan

3.33

Draw

4.37

Moldova

Double Chanceconsensus

1.20

Kazakhstan or Draw

1.30

Kazakhstan or Moldova

1.94

Draw or Moldova

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

2.10

Yes

1.65

Home Win to Nilconsensus

2.90

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

7.00

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.05

Over 0.50

8.50

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.38

Over 1.50

2.82

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

2.23

Over 2.50

1.65

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

4.15

Over 3.50

1.21

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

8.50

Over 4.50

1.04

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.33

Kazakhstan

3.10

Moldova

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.37

Over 7.50

2.63

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.71

Over 8.50

2.02

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

2.17

Over 9.50

1.62

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

2.70

Over 10.50

1.35

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

3.42

Over 11.50

1.19

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Report a data issue