Belgium 3-0 Türkiye: Stats, xG & Lineups – Oct 2, 2026

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UEFA Nations League ·Fri 02 Oct

Belgium

3–0

HT 1–0

Full time

Türkiye

Maurice Dufrasne, Liege · Ref: Rohit Saggi

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Belgium 3-0 Türkiye.

90+2'

N. Ngoy

Yellow card for N. Ngoy (Belgium) for argument.

90+2'

A. Güler

Yellow card for A. Güler (Türkiye) for argument.

90+1'

Türkiye

Corner, Türkiye.

90+1'

A. Güler

Attempt saved. A. Güler (Türkiye), left-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.08.

90+1'

S. Özcan

Attempt saved. S. Özcan (Türkiye), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.01.

90'

3 minutes of added time.

86'

A. Güler

Attempt missed. A. Güler (Türkiye), left-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.03.

85'

İ. Yüksek

Substitution, Türkiye: D. E. Tıknaz comes on for İ. Yüksek.

83'

R. Lukaku

Attempt missed. R. Lukaku (Belgium), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.06.

82'

M. Demiral

Attempt missed. M. Demiral (Türkiye), right-footed shot. xG 0.01.

82'

C. De Ketelaere

Substitution, Belgium: M. Fofana comes on for C. De Ketelaere.

82'

K. De Bruyne

Substitution, Belgium: L. Openda comes on for K. De Bruyne.

80'

K. De Bruyne

Yellow card for K. De Bruyne (Belgium) for time wasting.

76'

R. Lukaku

Goal! Belgium 3-0 Türkiye. R. Lukaku (Belgium) scores, assisted by C. De Ketelaere.

75'

B. Mechele

Attempt missed. B. Mechele (Belgium), header from a corner. xG 0.02.

75'

M. Godts

Substitution, Belgium: L. Trossard comes on for M. Godts.

74'

Belgium

Corner, Belgium.

74'

K. De Bruyne

Attempt blocked. K. De Bruyne (Belgium), right-footed shot. xG 0.06.

73'

D. Gül

Attempt missed. D. Gül (Türkiye), left-footed shot. xG 0.16.

73'

B. Elmaz

Substitution, Türkiye: S. Özcan comes on for B. Elmaz.

72'

İ. Yüksek

Attempt saved. İ. Yüksek (Türkiye), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

71'

M. Demiral

Yellow card for M. Demiral (Türkiye) for foul.

69'

Türkiye

Corner, Türkiye.

69'

A. Güler

Attempt blocked. A. Güler (Türkiye), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

69'

I. Fakili

Attempt saved. I. Fakili (Türkiye), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.03.

68'

Y. Tielemans

Attempt saved. Y. Tielemans (Belgium), left-footed shot. xG 0.04.

67'

K. Aktürkoğlu

Substitution, Türkiye: D. Gül comes on for K. Aktürkoğlu.

66'

O. Aydın

Substitution, Türkiye: I. Fakili comes on for O. Aydın.

61'

H. Vanaken

Substitution, Belgium: R. Lavia comes on for H. Vanaken.

61'

D. Lukebakio

Substitution, Belgium: R. Lukaku comes on for D. Lukebakio.

59'

K. De Bruyne

Goal! Belgium 2-0 Türkiye. K. De Bruyne (Belgium) scores, assisted by Y. Tielemans.

58'

B. Elmaz

Attempt blocked. B. Elmaz (Türkiye), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.04.

57'

Türkiye

Corner, Türkiye.

57'

Türkiye

Corner, Türkiye.

56'

A. Bardakcı

Yellow card for A. Bardakcı (Türkiye) for foul.

55'

Y. Akgün

Attempt saved. Y. Akgün (Türkiye), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.15.

54'

A. Güler

Attempt blocked. A. Güler (Türkiye), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.12.

53'

F. Kadıoğlu

Attempt missed. F. Kadıoğlu (Türkiye), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

53'

D. Lukebakio

Off the woodwork! D. Lukebakio (Belgium), left-footed shot. xG 0.04.

49'

A. Güler

Attempt missed. A. Güler (Türkiye), right-footed shot. xG 0.10.

46'

B. A. Yılmaz

Substitution, Türkiye: Y. Akgün comes on for B. A. Yılmaz.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Belgium 1-0 Türkiye.

45'

1 minute of added time.

43'

Z. Çelik

Attempt missed. Z. Çelik (Türkiye), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.01.

43'

M. Demiral

Attempt missed. M. Demiral (Türkiye), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.14.

43'

Türkiye

Corner, Türkiye.

41'

Belgium

Corner, Belgium.

41'

M. De Cuyper

Attempt missed. M. De Cuyper (Belgium), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

36'

D. Lukebakio

Attempt saved. D. Lukebakio (Belgium), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.07.

35'

M. Godts

Attempt blocked. M. Godts (Belgium), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

34'

H. Vanaken

Attempt saved. H. Vanaken (Belgium), right-footed shot. xG 0.23.

31'

Türkiye

Offside, Türkiye.

30'

Y. Tielemans

Yellow card for Y. Tielemans (Belgium) for foul.

29'

K. Aktürkoğlu

Attempt missed. K. Aktürkoğlu (Türkiye), header. xG 0.03.

28'

K. De Bruyne

Attempt saved. K. De Bruyne (Belgium), header. xG 0.02.

27'

A. Güler

Attempt saved. A. Güler (Türkiye), left-footed shot. xG 0.05.

26'

D. Lukebakio

Yellow card for D. Lukebakio (Belgium) for foul.

26'

A. Bardakcı

Attempt missed. A. Bardakcı (Türkiye), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

22'

B. A. Yılmaz

Attempt blocked. B. A. Yılmaz (Türkiye), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

22'

C. De Ketelaere

Attempt saved. C. De Ketelaere (Belgium), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.15.

19'

A. Bardakcı

Attempt missed. A. Bardakcı (Türkiye), header from a set piece. xG 0.10.

18'

O. Aydın

Attempt blocked. O. Aydın (Türkiye), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

17'

A. Güler

Attempt saved. A. Güler (Türkiye), left-footed shot. xG 0.13.

16'

A. Güler

Attempt saved. A. Güler (Türkiye), left-footed shot. xG 0.01.

14'

M. De Cuyper

Attempt saved. M. De Cuyper (Belgium), left-footed shot. xG 0.04.

14'

D. Lukebakio

Attempt saved. D. Lukebakio (Belgium), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

10'

K. De Bruyne

Goal! Belgium 1-0 Türkiye. K. De Bruyne (Belgium) scores, assisted by D. Lukebakio.

M. Godts

Attempt missed. M. Godts (Belgium), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.05.

Kick-off: Belgium vs Türkiye.

Where the money is

3333635 EUR matched · captured 1 month, 1 week ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 1884735 EUR · live

Home 1.01 · implied 99.0%

93.6%

-5.4 vs price

Draw 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

3.7%

+3.6 vs price

Away 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

2.7%

+2.6 vs price

Half time 18817 EUR · live

Home 1.11 · implied 90.1%

92.4%

+2.3 vs price

Draw 9.2 · implied 10.9%

4.8%

-6.0 vs price

Away 110.0 · implied 0.9%

2.8%

+1.9 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 403006 EUR · live

Over 1.66 · implied 60.2%

75.2%

+15.0 vs price

Under 2.54 · implied 39.4%

24.8%

-14.6 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 22599 EUR · live

Under 1.04 · implied 96.2%

85.4%

-10.8 vs price

Over 30.0 · implied 3.3%

14.6%

+11.3 vs price

19 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Highlights 2 clips

Player of the match

Match events

10' ⚽ K. De Bruyne · assist D. Lukebakio1–0

26' D. Lukebakio · Foul

30' Y. Tielemans · Foul

Half-time · 1–0

46' 🔁 Y. Akgün ◂ B. A. Yılmaz

56' A. Bardakcı · Foul

59' ⚽ K. De Bruyne · assist Y. Tielemans2–0

61' 🔁 R. Lukaku ◂ D. Lukebakio

61' 🔁 R. Lavia ◂ H. Vanaken

66' 🔁 I. Fakili ◂ O. Aydın

67' 🔁 D. Gül ◂ K. Aktürkoğlu

71' M. Demiral · Foul

73' 🔁 S. Özcan ◂ B. Elmaz

75' 🔁 L. Trossard ◂ M. Godts

76' ⚽ R. Lukaku · assist C. De Ketelaere3–0

80' K. De Bruyne · Time wasting

82' 🔁 L. Openda ◂ K. De Bruyne

82' 🔁 M. Fofana ◂ C. De Ketelaere

85' 🔁 D. E. Tıknaz ◂ İ. Yüksek

Full-time · 3–0

90'⁺² N. Ngoy · Argument

90'⁺² A. Güler · Argument

Coaches

Mark van Bommel

Vincenzo Montella

Recent form

Belgium

LHFrance0-1

WAItaly2-0

LASpain1-2

WAUSA4-1

WHSenegal3-2

Türkiye

LHItaly1-4

LHFrance0-1

WHUSA3-2

LHParaguay0-1

LAAustralia0-2

About this match

**Belgium roll out the welcome mat at home — and Türkiye are in desperate need of a W.** 🔴

The Red Devils have won three of their last five despite some tough away losses to Spain and France. Meanwhile, Türkiye's resurgence against the USA (3-2) sits awkwardly alongside embarrassing defeats to Italy and France, leaving them hunting for consistency badly.

Key storylines:

- **K. De Bruyne** running the creative show against a **Türkiye** midfield missing the orchestration of H. Çalhanoğlu could be the biggest mismatch on the pitch
- **R. Lukaku** has been sharp for Belgium; expect him to feast on shaky defending if Türkiye can't organize at the back
- Home advantage at the Maurice Dufrasne, plus Belgium's 3W-in-5 form, gives the hosts serious edge here

Expected lineups:

- **Belgium**: T. Courtois, B. Mechele, N. Ngoy, A. Theate, T. Meunier, Y. Tielemans, K. De Bruyne, J. Doku, N. Raskin, C. De Ketelaere, R. Lukaku
- **Türkiye**: U. Çakır, Z. Çelik, A. Bardakcı, Ç. Söyüncü, K. Ayhan, A. Güler, B. A. Yılmaz, A. Şimşir, İ. Yüksek, D. Gül, K. Aktürkoğlu

Prediction:

**Belgium 2–0 Türkiye**. The hosts have the midfield control and firepower to bury a fragile Turkish side who can't seem to find their rhythm.

Where to watch

L'Équipe

Match facts

Stadium

Maurice Dufrasne

City

Liege

Referee

Rohit Saggi

3.56 yellows/match · 61 matches

Kickoff

02 Oct, 18:45 UTC

Competition

UEFA Nations League

Top stats

54%Possession46%

1.58Expected goals (xG)1.38

17Total shots23

10Shots on target8

1Big chances2

2Corners5

Shots

5Shots off target10

2Blocked shots5

11Shots inside box10

6Shots outside box13

2Hit woodwork0

1Big chances scored0

0Big chances missed2

0.56Goals prevented0.85

Attack

28Touches in box40

41Final third entries51

0Offsides1

12Free kicks12

3Fouled in final third7

Passing

521Passes443

462Accurate passes377

32/52 (62%)Long balls23/42 (55%)

1/8 (13%)Crosses2/18 (11%)

10Throw-ins13

Duels

40Duels60

32/87 (37%)Ground duels55/87 (63%)

10/18 (56%)Aerial duels8/18 (44%)

4/17 (24%)Dribbles16/23 (70%)

14Dispossessed11

Defending

18Tackles27

67Tackles won63

8Interceptions7

25Clearances18

62Recoveries63

Discipline

12Fouls12

4Yellow cards3

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

8Saves7

1Big saves0

9Goal kicks5

1Punches1

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 24 bookmakers

Belgium 62%

20%

Türkiye 18%

1X2Belgium to win 62% · 1.91 @ William Hill

Who winsBelgium to win (DNB) 73% · 1.24 @ Betano

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 65% · 3.00 @ William Hill

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 84% · 1.68 @ 1xBet

BTTSBoth teams to score 61% · 2.62 @ 1xBet

CornersOver 8.5 corners 59% · 1.57 @ betfair

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 65% · 1.58 @ 1xBet

CornersUnder 9.5 corners 53% · 1.96 @ Pinnacle

1X2Draw 20% · 3.14 @ 1xBet

1X2Türkiye to win 18% · 5.00 @ 1xBet

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 58% · 1.80 @ 1xBet

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

1.50

Belgium

4.78

Draw

5.40

Türkiye

Double Chanceconsensus

1.15

Belgium or Draw

1.16

Belgium or Türkiye

2.45

Draw or Türkiye

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.52

Yes

2.40

Home Win to Nilconsensus

3.30

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

11.00

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.02

Over 0.50

21.00

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.10

Over 1.50

6.00

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.42

Over 2.50

2.77

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

2.09

Over 3.50

1.74

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

3.40

Over 4.50

1.29

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.22

Belgium

3.80

Türkiye

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.25

Over 7.50

3.20

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.53

Over 8.50

2.43

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.87

Over 9.50

1.95

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

2.42

Over 10.50

1.54

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

3.17

Over 11.50

1.29

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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