Attempt saved. M. Kean (Italy), left-footed shot. xG 0.26.
9'
Italy
Corner, Italy.
7'
France
Offside, France.
1'
Kick-off: France vs Italy.
Where the money is
4791313 EUR matched · captured 1 month ago
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it
should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds3271040 EUR · live
Home
70.0 · implied 1.4%
77.3%
+75.9 vs price
Draw
1.04 · implied 96.2%
17.4%
-78.8 vs price
Away
50.0 · implied 2.0%
5.3%
+3.3 vs price
Half time36075 EUR · live
Draw
1.4 · implied 71.4%
52.3%
-19.1 vs price
Home
4.7 · implied 21.3%
43.8%
+22.5 vs price
Away
16.5 · implied 6.1%
3.9%
-2.2 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals622619 EUR · live
Under
1.03 · implied 97.1%
68.1%
-29.0 vs price
Over
21.0 · implied 4.8%
31.9%
+27.2 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals59152 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
96.1%
-2.9 vs price
Over
200.0 · implied 0.5%
3.9%
+3.4 vs price
20 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shape
Shot map
xG sized
GoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
GoalOn targetOff targetBlocked● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 2 clips
Player of the match
Match events
Half-time · 0–0
54'N. Fagioli· Foul
55'⚽M. Olise· assist R. Cherki1–0
62'🔁N. Barella◂ S. Tonali
62'🔁A. Vergara◂ F. P. Esposito
68'⚽A. Bastoni1–1
73'M. Kean· Argument
73'D. Upamecano· Argument
76'🔁E. Camavinga◂ R. Cherki
76'🔁B. Barcola◂ D. Doué
80'🔁I. Doumbia◂ D. Frattesi
80'🔁D. Maldini◂ S. Esposito
82'A. Vergara· Foul
85'D. Upamecano· Foul
87'🔁M. Lacroix◂ L. Da Cunha
Full-time · 1–1
90'🔁G. Scamacca◂ N. Fagioli
90'+2A. Bastoni· Foul
Coaches
Zinédine Zidane
Roberto Mancini
Recent form
France
WABelgium1-0
WATürkiye1-0
LHEngland4-6
LHSpain0-2
WHMorocco2-0
Italy
WATürkiye4-1
LHBelgium0-2
WAGreece1-0
WALuxembourg1-0
DABosnia & Herzegovina1-1
About this match
**France host Italy in a heavyweight Nations League clash**, and Les Bleus are **unbeaten at the Stade de France** this campaign — but they've got injury troubles lurking in their squad. 🔵
Both sides are mixing form: France just smashed Belgium and Türkiye on the road, while Italy showed their bite with a 4-1 demolition of Türkiye. Yet the Azzurri also stumbled against Belgium (0-2), so consistency remains their weakness. The head-to-head leans France's way over a decade-plus, and that's the vibe here too.
Key storylines:
- **K. Mbappé** and **D. Dembélé** spearhead France's attack with **O. Dembélé** firing on the wing — Italy's back line will need to be sharp - **S. Tonali** and **D. Frattesi** hold Italy's midfield; disrupting them early could tilt possession toward the hosts - France missing **W. Saliba**, **J. Mateta**, and **W. Zaïre-Emery** — depth tested but not depth destroyed
Expected lineups:
- **France**: M. Maignan, L. Digne, D. Upamecano, A. Tchouaméni, J. Koundé, M. Olise, A. Rabiot, O. Dembélé, M. Koné, D. Doué, K. Mbappé - **Italy**: G. Donnarumma, R. Calafiori, A. Bastoni, G. Di Lorenzo, M. Kayode, S. Tonali, D. Frattesi, A. Romano, F. P. Esposito, M. Kean
Prediction:
**France 2–1 Italy** 🇫🇷 — home edge and the head-to-head edge give the Bleus a slight favorite lean.
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