Hungary 1-0 Georgia: Stats, xG & Lineups – Oct 2, 2026

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Hungary 1-0 Georgia.

90'

3 minutes of added time.

88'

Georgia

Corner, Georgia.

88'

G. Kvernadze

Attempt blocked. G. Kvernadze (Georgia), left-footed shot. xG 0.04.

87'

Georgia

Corner, Georgia.

86'

R. Tóth

Attempt saved. R. Tóth (Hungary), right-footed shot. xG 0.07.

85'

M. Vitális

Yellow card for M. Vitális (Hungary) for foul.

85'

Hungary

Corner, Hungary.

82'

T. Szűcs

Yellow card for T. Szűcs (Hungary) for foul.

80'

D. Lukács

Substitution, Hungary: G. Jurek comes on for D. Lukács.

80'

D. Szoboszlai

Substitution, Hungary: T. Szűcs comes on for D. Szoboszlai.

77'

B. Zivzivadze

Attempt missed. B. Zivzivadze (Georgia), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

76'

G. Chakvetadze

Substitution, Georgia: Z. Davitashvili comes on for G. Chakvetadze.

75'

L. Dvali

Attempt saved. L. Dvali (Georgia), header from a set piece. xG 0.03.

74'

M. Kerkez

Yellow card for M. Kerkez (Hungary) for foul.

73'

M. Vitális

Attempt missed. M. Vitális (Hungary), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

72'

Georgia

Offside, Georgia.

69'

Z. Nagy

Substitution, Hungary: R. Tóth comes on for Z. Nagy.

67'

G. Kochorashvili

Yellow card for G. Kochorashvili (Georgia) for foul.

66'

A. Schäfer

Attempt missed. A. Schäfer (Hungary), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.01.

63'

G. Tsitaishvili

Substitution, Georgia: G. Kvernadze comes on for G. Tsitaishvili.

63'

G. Mikautadze

Substitution, Georgia: B. Zivzivadze comes on for G. Mikautadze.

62'

M. Csinger

Attempt blocked. M. Csinger (Hungary), header from a corner. xG 0.01.

62'

D. Lukács

Attempt saved. D. Lukács (Hungary), header from a corner. xG 0.46.

62'

D. Lukács

Cleared off the line! D. Lukács (Hungary), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.12.

61'

W. Orbán

Attempt blocked. W. Orbán (Hungary), header from a corner. xG 0.02.

61'

A. Schäfer

Attempt blocked. A. Schäfer (Hungary), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

60'

Hungary

Corner, Hungary.

60'

W. Orbán

Attempt missed. W. Orbán (Hungary), header from a corner. xG 0.02.

60'

M. Kerkez

Cleared off the line! M. Kerkez (Hungary), header from a corner. xG 0.08.

59'

D. Szoboszlai

Attempt saved. D. Szoboszlai (Hungary), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

59'

Hungary

Corner, Hungary.

57'

M. Tóth

Substitution, Hungary: D. Bárány comes on for M. Tóth.

57'

A. Tóth

Substitution, Hungary: M. Vitális comes on for A. Tóth.

55'

Georgia

Offside, Georgia.

53'

A. Tóth

Attempt blocked. A. Tóth (Hungary), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.02.

52'

Hungary

Corner, Hungary.

50'

O. Kiteishvili

Substitution, Georgia: A. Mekvabishvili comes on for O. Kiteishvili.

46'

I. Yegoian

Substitution, Georgia: G. Kochorashvili comes on for I. Yegoian.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Hungary 1-0 Georgia.

45+1'

O. Kiteishvili

Attempt missed. O. Kiteishvili (Georgia), left-footed shot. xG 0.01.

45'

2 minutes of added time.

43'

G. Mikautadze

Attempt missed. G. Mikautadze (Georgia), right-footed shot. xG 0.08.

41'

Georgia

Corner, Georgia.

39'

Georgia

Corner, Georgia.

39'

G. Mikautadze

Attempt saved. G. Mikautadze (Georgia), left-footed shot. xG 0.10.

39'

G. Mikautadze

Attempt saved. G. Mikautadze (Georgia), right-footed shot. xG 0.05.

39'

K. Kvaratskhelia

Attempt blocked. K. Kvaratskhelia (Georgia), right-footed shot. xG 0.12.

38'

Z. Nagy

Attempt missed. Z. Nagy (Hungary), header from a corner. xG 0.11.

37'

Hungary

Corner, Hungary.

37'

D. Szoboszlai

Attempt blocked. D. Szoboszlai (Hungary), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

35'

M. Kerkez

Goal! Hungary 1-0 Georgia. M. Kerkez (Hungary) scores, assisted by D. Lukács.

33'

O. Kiteishvili

Yellow card for O. Kiteishvili (Georgia) for foul.

32'

D. Szoboszlai

Attempt missed. D. Szoboszlai (Hungary), left-footed shot. xG 0.05.

29'

A. Tóth

Attempt blocked. A. Tóth (Hungary), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.03.

25'

D. Lukács

Attempt missed. D. Lukács (Hungary), header from a corner. xG 0.38.

25'

Z. Nagy

Attempt missed. Z. Nagy (Hungary), header from a corner. xG 0.21.

24'

Hungary

Corner, Hungary.

23'

D. Szoboszlai

Attempt saved. D. Szoboszlai (Hungary), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

15'

Hungary

Offside, Hungary.

11'

W. Orbán

Attempt missed. W. Orbán (Hungary), header from a set piece. xG 0.04.

11'

Z. Nagy

Attempt blocked. Z. Nagy (Hungary), left-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.01.

11'

M. Kerkez

Attempt missed. M. Kerkez (Hungary), left-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.03.

9'

D. Szoboszlai

Attempt missed. D. Szoboszlai (Hungary), left-footed shot. xG 0.04.

8'

D. Lukács

Attempt blocked. D. Lukács (Hungary), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

8'

Hungary

Corner, Hungary.

4'

A. Tóth

Attempt saved. A. Tóth (Hungary), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

1'

Kick-off: Hungary vs Georgia.

Where the money is

774980 EUR matched · captured 1 month, 1 week ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 441727 EUR · live

Home 1.04 · implied 96.2%

80.7%

-15.4 vs price

Away 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

9.9%

+9.8 vs price

Draw 26.0 · implied 3.8%

9.6%

+5.7 vs price

Half time 12501 EUR · live

Home 1.09 · implied 91.7%

59.7%

-32.1 vs price

Away 120.0 · implied 0.8%

20.4%

+19.5 vs price

Draw 12.0 · implied 8.3%

20.0%

+11.6 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 77524 EUR · live

Under 1.01 · implied 99.0%

74.8%

-24.2 vs price

Over 120.0 · implied 0.8%

25.2%

+24.4 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 16350 EUR · live

Under 1.01 · implied 99.0%

95.9%

-3.1 vs price

Over 36.0 · implied 2.8%

4.1%

+1.4 vs price

14 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 3 clips

Player of the match

Match events

33' O. Kiteishvili · Foul

35' ⚽ M. Kerkez · assist D. Lukács1–0

Half-time · 1–0

46' 🔁 G. Kochorashvili ◂ I. Yegoian

50' 🔁 A. Mekvabishvili ◂ O. Kiteishvili

57' 🔁 M. Vitális ◂ A. Tóth

57' 🔁 D. Bárány ◂ M. Tóth

63' 🔁 B. Zivzivadze ◂ G. Mikautadze

63' 🔁 G. Kvernadze ◂ G. Tsitaishvili

67' G. Kochorashvili · Foul

69' 🔁 R. Tóth ◂ Z. Nagy

74' M. Kerkez · Foul

76' 🔁 Z. Davitashvili ◂ G. Chakvetadze

80' 🔁 T. Szűcs ◂ D. Szoboszlai

80' 🔁 G. Jurek ◂ D. Lukács

82' T. Szűcs · Foul

85' M. Vitális · Foul

Full-time · 1–0

Coaches

Marco Rossi

Ramaz Svanadze

Recent form

Hungary

DANorthern Ireland0-0

LHUkraine0-1

WHKazakhstan3-1

WHFinland2-1

DHGreece0-0

Georgia

DHUkraine0-0

LHNorthern Ireland0-1

WHBahrain2-0

DHRomania1-1

WALithuania2-0

About this match

**Hungary's got home advantage and form on their side, but Georgia's quietly sneaking up with the same record** — this could get spicy. 🔥

Both teams are sitting 2W-2D-1L, meaning someone's due for a statement win. Hungary just spanked Kazakhstan 3-1 at the Puskás, while Georgia scraped past Ukraine and blanked Northern Ireland. Home vibes favor the hosts, but Georgia's no pushover.

Key storylines:

- **D. Szoboszlai** running the show in midfield for Hungary, trying to impose tempo on a compact Georgia side
- **K. Kvaratskhelia** on the wing for Georgia — the kind of creative spark that could slice through Hungary's backline on the counter
- **B. Bolla out** with an ankle injury means Hungary reshuffles the left side; **M. Kerkez** steps in

Expected lineups:

- **Hungary**: B. Tóth, W. Orbán, M. Kerkez, M. Csinger, Á. Csongvai, D. Szoboszlai, A. Schäfer, D. Lukács, M. Vitális, D. Bárány, A. Tóth
- **Georgia**: G. Mamardashvili, L. Lochoshvili, S. Goglichidze, L. Dvali, S. Kharebashvili, G. Kochorashvili, O. Kiteishvili, Kakabadze, K. Kvaratskhelia, Z. Davitashvili, G. Mikautadze

Prediction:

**Hungary 2-0 Georgia**

Home field + recent firepower gives Hungary the slight edge, but Georgia won't roll over.

Where to watch

DStv Now

Match facts

Stadium

Ferenc Puskás Stadium

City

Budapest

Referee

Srdan Jovanovic

3.75 yellows/match · 12 matches

Kickoff

02 Oct, 18:45 UTC

Competition

UEFA Nations League

Highlights & clips

Hungary 4-2-3-1 · 3-4-1-2 Georgia

1 B. Tóth 7.5 2 A. Osváth 6.9 6 W. Orbán 7.3 3 M. Csinger 7.6 11 M. Kerkez 8.0 13 A. Schäfer 7.1 17 G. Jurek 6.6 ↑ 80' 7 T. Szűcs 6.5 ↑ 80' 8 M. Vitális 6.7 ↑ 57' 14 R. Tóth 6.7 ↑ 69' 9 D. Bárány 6.3 ↑ 57' 1 G. Mamardashvili 7.5 5 S. Goglichidze 7.2 3 L. Dvali 7.9 4 L. Lochoshvili 6.4 2 Kakabadze 6.6 6 G. Kochorashvili 7.0 ↑ 46' 14 A. Mekvabishvili 6.7 ↑ 50' 17 G. Kvernadze 6.6 ↑ 63' 9 Z. Davitashvili 6.8 ↑ 76' 11 B. Zivzivadze 6.4 ↑ 63' 7 K. Kvaratskhelia 7.8

Top stats

42%Possession58%

1.66Expected goals (xG)0.45

26Total shots8

8Shots on target3

5Big chances1

8Corners4

Shots

11Shots off target3

7Blocked shots2

17Shots inside box6

9Shots outside box2

1Big chances scored0

4Big chances missed1

0.5Goals prevented0.65

Attack

28Touches in box22

56Final third entries33

1Offsides4

17Free kicks18

4Fouled in final third1

Passing

324Passes470

273Accurate passes407

32/50 (64%)Long balls19/43 (44%)

11/26 (42%)Crosses4/18 (22%)

16Throw-ins21

Duels

51Duels49

41/81 (51%)Ground duels40/81 (49%)

8/15 (53%)Aerial duels7/15 (47%)

8/15 (53%)Dribbles8/16 (50%)

10Dispossessed8

Defending

16Tackles17

50Tackles won71

11Interceptions5

22Clearances17

47Recoveries41

Discipline

18Fouls17

3Yellow cards2

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

3Saves5

0Big saves1

4Goal kicks9

0Punches1

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers

Hungary 44%

29%

Georgia 27%

Who winsGeorgia to win (DNB) 51% · 2.30 @ 888Sport

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 74% · 1.29 @ betfair

CornersUnder 8.5 corners 50% · 1.95 @ betfair

CornersUnder 9.5 corners 62% · 1.55 @ Pinnacle

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 56% · 1.12 @ 1xBet

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 77% · 1.25 @ Pinnacle

1X2Draw 29% · 2.35 @ 1xBet

BTTSBTTS: No 51% · 1.26 @ 1xBet

1X2Hungary to win 44% · 2.70 @ William Hill

1X2Georgia to win 27% · 3.62 @ 1xBet

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 69% · 2.38 @ 1xBet

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

2.25

Hungary

3.20

Draw

3.25

Georgia

Double Chanceconsensus

1.31

Hungary or Draw

1.33

Hungary or Georgia

1.62

Draw or Georgia

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.90

Yes

1.83

No

Home Win to Nilconsensus

3.60

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

5.00

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.05

Over 0.50

8.00

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.38

Over 1.50

2.92

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

2.22

Over 2.50

1.65

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

4.06

Over 3.50

1.21

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

8.00

Over 4.50

1.04

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.57

Hungary

2.23

Georgia

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.45

Over 7.50

2.49

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.85

Over 8.50

1.91

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

2.30

Over 9.50

1.53

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

3.05

Over 10.50

1.27

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

4.41

Over 11.50

1.13

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.3%.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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