Attempt missed. R. Lewandowski (Poland), header from a corner. xG 0.01.
1'
Kick-off: Poland vs Romania.
Where the money is
954794 EUR matched · captured 1 month ago
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it
should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds593967 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
90.2%
-8.8 vs price
Draw
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
6.2%
+6.1 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
3.6%
+3.5 vs price
Half time3080 EUR · live
Home
1.04 · implied 96.2%
77.7%
-18.5 vs price
Draw
15.0 · implied 6.7%
13.3%
+6.7 vs price
Away
7.0 · implied 14.3%
8.9%
-5.4 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals53267 EUR · live
Over
1.17 · implied 85.5%
51.8%
-33.7 vs price
Under
7.2 · implied 13.9%
48.2%
+34.3 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals4097 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
92.0%
-7.1 vs price
Over
13.0 · implied 7.7%
8.0%
+0.3 vs price
17 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
**Poland's got home advantage and the head-to-head record**, but neither side is exactly firing on all cylinders — this could be a scrappy 50-50 affair. 🏟️
Poland have been patchy (0 wins in five), though they're at the Narodowy where things tend to feel different. Romania just got battered 4-2 at home by Bosnia, so confidence is thin. The visitors do have that 2-1 over Wales to lean on, but inconsistency is their middle name.
Key storylines:
- **Robert Lewandowski** is Poland's creative spark in attack — Romania's defense needs to stay compact or he'll punish them - **Nicuşor Stanciu** running Romania's midfield against **Piotr Zieliński** will define the tempo battle - Home soil rarely lies in Nations League — **Poland** should edge the mentality stakes
**Poland 1-0 Romania** — home record and recent H2H give them a slim edge, but don't expect fireworks. Romania will be organized on the road; Poland just finds a way through. ⚽