**Montenegro rolls in as serious favorites** — they're in far sharper form and have owned this fixture historically, while Latvia's been grinding out narrow home results. 🔥

Latvia are scrappy at Skonto but vulnerable to pace; Montenegro just demolished Armenia 3-2 away and haven't lost in their last four. The Montenegrin midfield will likely control tempo here if Latvia can't press early.

Key storylines:

- **Montenegro's attacking depth** — N. Krstović and M. Osmajić offer directness that Latvia's backline (R. Jurkovskis, A. Černomordijs) will struggle to handle on the counter
- **Latvia lean on home fortress** — V. Gutkovskis and E. Daskevics have been their creative spark, but they'll need early intensity to stay in this
- **Midfield battle shapes it** — A. Duric and M. Janković have been Montenegro's engine; if they settle, Latvia could nab a draw

Expected lineups:

- **Latvia**: R. Matrevics, A. Cigaņiks, A. Černomordijs, R. Jurkovskis, D. Balodis, R. Savaļnieks, D. Zelenkovs, L. Vapne, E. Daskevics, A. Saveljevs, V. Gutkovskis
- **Montenegro**: I. Nikić, S. Savić, M. Roganović, O. Gašević, A. Duric, M. Janković, A. Bulatović, V. Adžić, S. Lončar, N. Krstović, M. Osmajić

Prediction:

**Montenegro 2–0 Latvia.** Montenegro's form and head-to-head edge is just too much for a Latvia side playing catchup. ⚫

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