Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
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**Netherlands are heavy favorites to pile on the misery** — Serbia's winless streak is brutal, and the Dutch are quietly rolling in Nations League. 🔴
Netherlands sit pretty at 2W-3D, while Serbia are in freefall at 0-5. The hosts already beat Serbia 2-1 away in this window, so expect Eindhoven to be a coronation, not a contest. The visitors need a spark badly, but their form suggests it won't come Sunday.
Key storylines:
- **Van Dijk and the Dutch defense** anchoring a squad that's conceded just three in five despite missing **Gakpo, Malen, and De Jong** — depth is carrying them
- **Jović leading Serbia's attack** against a resolute backline; Milinković-Savić will need to conjure magic in midfield to unlock anything
- Rematch vibes: Netherlands already won the reverse fixture 2-1, so Serbia's chasing redemption they probably can't deliver 📉
Expected lineups:
- **Netherlands**: Verbruggen, Hato, van Dijk, van de Ven, Geertruida, Dumfries, Gravenberch, Reijnders, Summerville, Brobbey, Koopmeiners
- **Serbia**: Milinković-Savić, Terzić, Pavlović, Eraković, Gudelj, Stanković, Dragojevic, Lučić, Samardžić, Živković, Jović
Prediction:
**Netherlands 2-0 Serbia**. Dutch lean hard at home; Serbia haven't scored or won anywhere in this run.
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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