Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**Italy's rolling and Türkiye is limping** — the Azzurri come into this one fresh off dismantling the Turks 4-1 and are heavy favorites to repeat. 🔵
Italy's sitting 3W-1D in their last five while Türkiye have won just once in the same stretch, losing four of their last five including that shellacking in Istanbul. The reverse fixture is basically the story here: **Italy dominates this matchup**, and there's no sign of that changing.
Key storylines:
- **Italy's midfield trio** of Barella, Tonali, and Frattesi has been clicking — expect them to control the tempo against a **Türkiye side missing key playmaker Hakan Çalhanoğlu**
- **Moise Kean** leads the line for the Azzurri and will fancy his chances against a creaky Turkish backline
- **Arda Güler** is Türkiye's creative spark in a weakened squad, but Italy's defensive depth should keep him quiet
Expected lineups:
- **Italy**: G. Donnarumma, G. Mancini, A. Bastoni, G. Scalvini, R. Calafiori, G. Di Lorenzo, D. Frattesi, S. Tonali, N. Barella, F. P. Esposito, M. Kean
- **Türkiye**: U. Çakır, F. Kadıoğlu, A. Bardakcı, M. Demiral, Z. Çelik, İ. Yüksek, S. Özcan, B. A. Yılmaz, A. Güler, O. Aydın, D. Gül
Prediction:
**Italy 2–0 Türkiye** — the Azzurri lean on their form and H2H edge to cruise. 🎯
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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